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← Back to GamesSep 5, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 0.4

Home Win Probability

Auburn 49%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
00101424
AuburnAuburn
7107731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-017-024-024-331-1031-1731-24
AuburnLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUAUBLOUAUBLOUAUBLOUAUBLOULOUAUBLOUAUBLOUAUBLOUAUBLOUAUBLOUAUBTO10ydTD526ydMISS1256ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-8ydTO529ydPUNT1019ydTO411ydTD861ydPUNT614ydFG1249ydDOWNS530ydTD775ydFG1050ydTO812ydTD636ydTD1272ydTD1175ydPUNT3-3ydTD1281ydDOWNS4-8yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Auburn
StatisticLouisvilleAuburn
Passing17-3311-21
Pass Yards167137
Rush Yards238190
Total Yards405327
Turnovers23
3rd Down8-164-10
Penalties5-358-80
Possession30:5029:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Lamar Jackson
9/20, 100 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Lamar Jackson
16 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Devante Peete
3 REC, 60 YDS
Auburn
passing
Jeremy Johnson
11/21, 137 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Peyton Barber
24 CAR, 115 YDS
receiving
Ricardo Louis
3 REC, 54 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-35 ydsPPA -0.92

Lamar Jackson pass intercepted Tray Matthews return for 35 yds to the Lvile 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Roc Thomas run for 4 yds to the Lvile 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.22

Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 9 yds to the Lvile 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Roc Thomas run for 2 yds to the Lvile 11

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Jeremy Johnson pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 10 yds to the Lvile 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jeremy Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Traveon Samuel run for 21 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to James Quick for 7 yds to the Aub 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Micky Crum for 12 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 36

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds to the Aub 34

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.78

Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 16 yds to the Aub 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Aub 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to James Quick for 11 yds to the Aub 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 11

1st & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to James Quick

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.57

Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 14

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Aaron Epps) to the Aub 19

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to James Quick

4th & 19Field Goal Missed+36 yds

John Wallace 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Ricardo Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Ricardo Louis

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Jeremy Johnson run for 10 yds to the Aub 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaire Alexander at the Lvile 32

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.38

Reggie Bonnafon sacked by Maurice Swain and Justin Garrett for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 28

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the Lvile 28

3rd & 14Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.18

Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Brandon Radcliff for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 24

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Joshua Appleby punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Jeremy Johnson pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 19 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Roc Thomas run for 12 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Roc Thomas run for 5 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jeremy Johnson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 26

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 36

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return-8 ydsPPA -2.08

Jeremy Johnson pass intercepted Josh Harvey-Clemons return for 8 yds to the Lvile 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jeremy Smith run for 3 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jeremy Smith run for 4 yds to the Lvile 39

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.93

Reggie Bonnafon run for 8 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Reggie Bonnafon run for 8 yds to the Aub 45

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Aub 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the Aub 44

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.20

Jeremy Smith run for 5 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.31

Reggie Bonnafon sacked by Devaroe Lawrence and Carl Lawson for a loss of 7 yards to the Aub 46

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete

3rd & 17Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.76

Reggie Bonnafon sacked by Dontavius Russell and Montravius Adams for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 49

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Joshua Appleby punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Melvin Ray for 9 yds to the Aub 30

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Roc Thomas run for no gain to the Aub 30

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.82

Jeremy Johnson run for 2 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.48

Jeremy Johnson pass intercepted Josh Harvey-Clemons return for no gain to the Lvile 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Charles Standberry

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.61

Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 12 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 6 yds to the Lvile 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.79

Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Micky Crum for 7 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (TEAM) to the Aub 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Jeremy Smith run for 8 yds to the Aub 29

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Reggie Bonnafon run for 13 yds to the Aub 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+82 ydsPPA -4.43

TEAM run for no gain TEAM fumbled, recovered by Aub Justin Garrett , return for 82 yds, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 6 yds to the Lvile 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt-2 yds

Joshua Appleby punt for 47 yds , Marcus Davis returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 12

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Jovon Robinson run for 10 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Roc Thomas run for 3 yds to the Aub 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 13 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jovon Robinson run for 6 yds to the Aub 44

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.00

Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Jason Smith for 7 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Peyton Barber run for 7 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Peyton Barber run for 9 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Ricardo Louis

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 39

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Jason Smith

4th & 16Field Goal Good+56 ydsPPA +2.47

Daniel Carlson 56 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Lamar Jackson sacked by Montravius Adams for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.09

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Devonte Peete for 17 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Lamar Jackson run for 18 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to James Quick

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+61 yds

John Wallace 61 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the Aub 30

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Aub 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Peyton Barber run for 7 yds to the Aub 42

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Peyton Barber run for 13 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Ricardo Louis run for 7 yds to the Lvile 38

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Peyton Barber run for no gain to the Lvile 33

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.54

Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 33 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Brandon Radcliff run for 22 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 4 yds to the Aub 49

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lamar Jackson run for 5 yds to the Aub 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds to the Aub 40

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Lamar Jackson run for 10 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Devonte Peete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Lamar Jackson run for 6 yds to the Aub 24

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 25

4th & 5Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.09

John Wallace 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Peyton Barber run for 6 yds to the Aub 29

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.56

Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Peyton Barber run for 7 yds to the Aub 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Marcus Davis for 2 yds to the Aub 43

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the Aub 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Braden Smith) to the Aub 34

1st & 20Penalty-15 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Aub 19

1st & 35Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Peyton Barber run for 6 yds to the Aub 25

2nd & 29Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Melvin Ray for 10 yds to the Aub 35

3rd & 19Pass Interception Return-14 ydsPPA +0.17

Jeremy Johnson pass intercepted Trumaine Washington return for 14 yds to the Aub 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds to the Aub 34

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Aub 30

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Lamar Jackson run for 6 yds to the Aub 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Charles Standberry

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Brandon Radcliff run for 14 yds to the Aub 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Lamar Jackson run for 10 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Peyton Barber run for 7 yds to the Aub 35

2nd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.72

Peyton Barber run for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.36

Jeremy Johnson pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 12 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Peyton Barber run for 13 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Peyton Barber run for no gain to the Lvile 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.69

Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Peyton Barber for 16 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Peyton Barber run for 6 yds to the Lvile 23

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Ricardo Louis run for 7 yds to the Lvile 12

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the Lvile 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the Lvile 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.61

Ricardo Louis 8 Yd Run (Daniel Carlson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Lamar Jackson run for 11 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Lamar Jackson run for 11 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 10 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Charles Standberry for 6 yds to the Aub 37

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.45

Brandon Radcliff run for 17 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lamar Jackson run for 5 yds to the Aub 15

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Aub 14

4th & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.79

Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Aub 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Devonte Peete for 8 yds to the Aub 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)

3rd & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

John Wallace kickoff for 65 yds , Blake Countess return for 14 yds to the Aub 14 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Aub 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the Aub 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to D'haquille Williams

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Ricardo Louis

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Aub 26

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 55 yds, downed at the Lvile 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.90

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Devonte Peete for 35 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Brandon Radcliff run for 12 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Devonte Peete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Traveon Samuel

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.84

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 12 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Ja'Quay Savage for 2 yds to the Aub 20

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd to the Aub 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.51

Lamar Jackson run for 11 yds to the Aub 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Devonte Peete

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Lamar Jackson run for 6 yds to the Aub 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the Lvile 45

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Lvile 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the Lvile 38

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 48

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Peyton Barber run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 49

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 46

4th & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.14

Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
36 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
62%
13 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
59%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
43%
7 plays
29%
7 plays
83%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays