House Prediction
Model Margin
Florida State by 1.6
Home Win Probability
Florida State 54%
Market (Bovada)
Florida State +3
fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2026
Line Movement
Hover a snapshot for details
O/U 53 → 52.5
SMU Edges Florida State 27-24 in Tight Week 1 Matchup
SMU defeated Florida State 27-24 in a closely contested Week 1 contest that featured 16 lead changes and kept both teams competitive throughout. The Mustangs' offense was led by quarterback Kevin Jennings, who completed 430 passing yards and orchestrated multiple scoring drives. Jennings connected with Jalen Cooper for a 50-yard touchdown in the first quarter and found Yannick Smith for a 79-yard touchdown reception in the fourth quarter to seal the victory.
Florida State's offense, directed by Ashton Daniels, kept pace early, with the teams tied 7-7 after the first quarter. The Seminoles scored touchdowns in the second and fourth quarters, including a 39-yard completion to Samuel Singleton Jr., but couldn't generate enough offensive momentum down the stretch. SMU's defense made crucial plays, including a key stop in the fourth quarter. Despite Florida State's Ousmane Kromah leading all receivers with 9 catches, it wasn't enough to overcome SMU's second-half surge. The game finished under the 54.5 over-under, with the spread closing at 3.0.
AI-generated recap · Sep 12, 2026
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SMU | 7 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 27 |
 Florida State | 7 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | SMU | Florida State |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 26-36 | 12-23 |
| Pass Yards | 430 | 125 |
| Rush Yards | 155 | 199 |
| Total Yards | 585 | 324 |
| Turnovers | 4 | 1 |
| 3rd Down | 8-14 | 2-15 |
| Penalties | 6-47 | 3-27 |
| Possession | 27:44 | 32:16 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
Kendrick Raphael run for 5 yds to the SMU 30
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 19 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 6 yds to the FSU 45
Kevin Jennings run for 14 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Hale for 6 yds to the FSU 25 SMU Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the FSU 35
Jalen Hale run for 4 yds to the FSU 31 Jalen Hale fumbled, recovered by FSU
Ousmane Kromah run for 1 yd to the FSU 32
Ashton Daniels sacked by Jimmy Wyrick for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 29
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Landen Thomas
Daniel Hughes punt for 45 yds , Yamir Knight returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 25
Dramekco Green run for 7 yds to the SMU 32
Dramekco Green run for 3 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Dramekco Green for 6 yds to the SMU 41
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 3 yds to the SMU 44
Dramekco Green run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 50 yds for a TD (Nick Reed KICK)
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Jayvan Boggs for 3 yds to the FSU 28
Ousmane Kromah run for 11 yds to the FSU 39 for a 1ST down
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micahi Danzy for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 36
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Duce Robinson for 16 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST down
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ousmane Kromah for 8 yds to the SMU 40
Ousmane Kromah run for 1 yd to the SMU 39
Ousmane Kromah run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 41
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Jayvan Boggs for 5 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST down
Ashton Daniels run for 8 yds to the SMU 28
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 3 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST down
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 7 yds to the SMU 18
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the SMU 17
SMU Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (9 Yards) to the SMU 8 for a 1ST down
Ashton Daniels run for 8 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for no gain to the SMU 25
Dramekco Green run for 1 yd to the SMU 26
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 30 yds to the FSU 44 for a 1ST down
Dramekco Green run for 1 yd to the FSU 43
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the FSU 41
Dramekco Green run for 8 yds to the FSU 33 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings run for 9 yds to the FSU 24
Dramekco Green run for 3 yds to the FSU 21 for a 1ST down
Dramekco Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 25
Kevin Jennings run for 4 yds to the FSU 21
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete
Nick Reed 38 yd FG MISSED
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Jayvan Boggs for 15 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST down
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the FSU 37
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 7 yds to the FSU 44
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the FSU 45
Ousmane Kromah run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 43
Dramekco Green run for 3 yds to the FSU 40
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yannick Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 43
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yannick Smith for 11 yds to the FSU 32 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 7 yds to the FSU 25
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 15 yds to the FSU 10 for a 1ST down
Dramekco Green run for 5 yds to the FSU 5
SMU Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the FSU 10
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Kendrick Raphael
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 10 yds for a TD (Nick Reed KICK)
Ousmane Kromah run for 54 yds to the SMU 21 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the SMU 31 for a 1ST down
Ousmane Kromah run for 3 yds to the SMU 28
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Duce Robinson
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Duce Robinson
Gabe Panikowski 46 yd FG GOOD
Conor McAneney kickoff for 64 yds , Dramekco Green return for 25 yds to the SMU 26
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Hale for 64 yds to the FSU 10 for a 1ST down
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the FSU 7
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the FSU 5
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete
Nick Reed 22 yd FG GOOD
Nick Reed kickoff for 65 yds , Samuel Singleton Jr. return for 29 yds to the FSU 29
Ashton Daniels run for 9 yds to the FSU 38
Ousmane Kromah run for 5 yds to the FSU 43 for a 1ST down
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Micahi Danzy
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Samuel Singleton Jr. for 1 yd to the FSU 44
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 6 yds to the 50 yard line
Daniel Hughes punt for 33 yds, downed at the SMU 17
Kendrick Raphael run for 23 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete
Kendrick Raphael run for 5 yds to the SMU 45
End of 2nd Quarter
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Duce Robinson for 10 yds to the FSU 35 for a 1ST down
Ousmane Kromah run for no gain to the FSU 35
Ousmane Kromah run for 4 yds to the FSU 39
Ashton Daniels sacked by Aakil Washington for a loss of 9 yards to the FSU 30
Daniel Hughes punt for 42 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 10 yds to the SMU 38
Kendrick Raphael run for 23 yds to the FSU 39 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Kendrick Raphael for 11 yds to the FSU 28 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for no gain to the FSU 28
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 18 yds to the FSU 10 for a 1ST down
Dramekco Green run for 6 yds to the FSU 4
Kevin Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 6
Kevin Jennings pass intercepted Nehemiah Chandler return for 3 yds to the FSU 3
Ousmane Kromah run for 7 yds to the FSU 10
Ousmane Kromah run for 6 yds to the FSU 16 for a 1ST down
Ousmane Kromah run for 3 yds to the FSU 19
Ousmane Kromah run for 2 yds to the FSU 21
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete
Daniel Hughes punt for 49 yds , Yamir Knight returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 29 Yamir Knight fumbled, recovered by FSU
Ousmane Kromah run for 6 yds to the SMU 23
Ousmane Kromah run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 25
Ashton Daniels run for 3 yds to the SMU 22
SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SMU 17 for a 1ST down
Ousmane Kromah run for 7 yds to the SMU 10
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 12
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 3 yds to the SMU 9
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 2 yds to the SMU 7 for a 1ST down
Ousmane Kromah 6 Yd Run (Gabe Panikowski Kick)
Jennings, Kevin pass incomplete, PENALTY SMU holding 10 yards to the SMU15, NO PLAY.
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 11 yds to the SMU 26
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yannick Smith for 8 yds to the SMU 34
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 5 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Yamir Knight
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Yamir Knight
Wade McSparron punt for 49 yds , Jasen Lopez returns for 11 yds to the FSU 23
Ashton Daniels run for 12 yds to the FSU 35 for a 1ST down
Ousmane Kromah run for 4 yds to the FSU 39
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the FSU 41
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete
Daniel Hughes punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the SMU 17
Dramekco Green run for 5 yds to the SMU 22
Dramekco Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 21
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yannick Smith for 79 yds for a TD (Nick Reed KICK)
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 4 yds to the FSU 29
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 2 yds to the FSU 31
Daniels, Ashton pass incomplete to Robinson, Duce, PENALTY SMU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY FLORIDAST Tripping off-setting, NO PLAY.
Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the FSU 37 for a 1ST down
Ousmane Kromah run for 1 yd to the FSU 38
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micahi Danzy for 21 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down
Ousmane Kromah run for 3 yds to the SMU 38
Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the SMU 34
Florida State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 39
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Samuel Singleton Jr. for 39 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Derrick McFall for 12 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yannick Smith for 12 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the FSU 49
Kevin Jennings pass intercepted Ashlynd Barker return for no gain to the FSU 22
Ousmane Kromah run for 1 yd to the FSU 23
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Landen Thomas
Ashton Daniels sacked by Malcolm Alcorn-Crowder for a loss of 8 yards to the FSU 15
Daniel Hughes punt for 59 yds, downed at the SMU 26
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yamir Knight for 13 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings run for 8 yds to the SMU 47
Kendrick Raphael run for 1 yd to the SMU 48
Raphael, Kendrick rush for 27 yards to the FLORIDAST25, PENALTY SMU holding 9 yards to the SMU39, NO PLAY.
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Dramekco Green for 29 yds to the FSU 32 for a 1ST down
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jalen Cooper for 8 yds to the FSU 24 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (12 Yards) to the FSU 12 for a 1ST down
Kendrick Raphael run for 6 yds to the FSU 6
Kendrick Raphael run for no gain to the FSU 6
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the FSU 3
Nick Reed 20 yd FG GOOD
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Duce Robinson
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Desirrio Riles
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete
Ashton Daniels run for 34 yds to the SMU 48 Duce Robinson Duce Robinson fumbled, recovered by SMU