House Prediction
Model Margin
Iowa by 12
Home Win Probability
Iowa 79%
Market (DraftKings)
Iowa -14
fitted_v1 · Sep 12, 2026
Line Movement
Hover a snapshot for details
O/U 40.5 → 41.5
Iowa edges Iowa State in defensive struggle, 16-13
Iowa defeated Iowa State 16-13 in a low-scoring defensive battle during Week 2 of the 2026 season. The Hawkeyes controlled much of the game through strong defensive performances, with Iowa's defense recording the game's largest play with 2.86 EPA in the fourth quarter.
Iowa struck first offensively in the second quarter, with quarterback Hank Brown leading a scoring drive capped by a 1-yard rushing touchdown. Brown finished with 191 passing yards and connected with receiver Tony Diaz on a 56-yard completion deep in Iowa State territory earlier in the quarter. Iowa State answered with their own second-quarter touchdown, a 4-yard pass to V. Benetti that tied the game at 10-10 heading into halftime.
Iowa added a field goal in the third quarter before pulling away with a late touchdown in the fourth quarter to secure the 16-13 victory. The defensive units dominated throughout, with Iowa State's defense forcing critical stops to keep the game competitive. Iowa State covered the 14-point spread despite the loss, while the game finished well under the 42.5 over-under at 29 combined points.
AI-generated recap · Sep 13, 2026
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iowa State | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
 Iowa | 0 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 16 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Iowa State | Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 10-19 | 21-30 |
| Pass Yards | 117 | 191 |
| Rush Yards | 138 | 93 |
| Total Yards | 255 | 284 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| 3rd Down | 4-13 | 5-15 |
| Penalties | 6-45 | 4-25 |
| Possession | 30:18 | 29:42 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
(14:59) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #14 T.Diaz caught at IOWA22, for 6 yards to the IOWA31 (#6 D.Surges)
PENALTY IOWA False Start (#81 D.Vonnahme) 5 yards from IOWA31 to IOWA26. NO PLAY
(14:21) Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IOWA29 (#7 S.Schlimgen)
(13:46) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short middle to #28 K.Moulton caught at IOWA32, for 9 yards to the IOWA38 (#24 B.Miller), 1ST DOWN
PENALTY IOWA False Start (#2 R.Vander Zee) 5 yards from IOWA38 to IOWA33. NO PLAY
(12:43) #28 K.Moulton rush right for 3 yards gain to the IOWA36 (#11 W.Breland)
(12:07) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass incomplete short left to #81 D.Vonnahme thrown to IOWA35 broken up by #7 S.Schlimgen
(12:03) Shotgun #9 H.Brown rush middle for 9 yards gain to the IOWA45 (#99 B.Lamb)
(11:17) #49 B.Everitt punt 46 yards to the ISU09 fair catch by #21 A.Flora at ISU09
(11:14) #21 A.Flora rush right for 2 yards gain to the ISU11 (#33 C.Buffington)
(10:33) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #9 O.Hayes caught at ISU14, for 7 yards to the ISU18 (#6 Z.Lutmer), out of bounds
(09:52) #21 A.Flora rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU18 (#33 C.Buffington)
(09:06) #99 J.DuPont punt 47 yards to the IOWA35 fair catch by #2 R.Vander Zee at IOWA35
(09:01) #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #14 T.Diaz caught at IOWA49, for 16 yards to the ISU49 (#3 S.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(08:26) Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush right for 3 yards gain to the ISU46 (#6 D.Surges)
(07:53) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #28 K.Moulton caught at ISU48, for 4 yards to the ISU42 (#5 B.Ngoyi)
(07:13) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #14 T.Diaz caught at ISU40, for 2 yards to the ISU40 (#11 W.Breland)
(06:31) #9 H.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU40 (#0 Z.Hawk; #98 M.Ta'ase), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
(06:27) #0 C.Pettaway rush right for 2 yards gain to the ISU42 (#3 J.Watson; #96 B.Hawthorne)
(05:47) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep middle to #2 C.Jackson thrown to IOWA15
(05:41) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #8 E.Boyd caught at ISU45, for 6 yards to the ISU48 (#36 J.Montgomery; #3 J.Watson)
(05:26) #95 E.Gurney punt 47 yards to the IOWA05
(05:15) #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IOWA06 (#0 Z.Hawk)
(04:40) #81 D.Vonnahme rush right for 2 yards gain to the IOWA08 (#92 C.Crawford)
(04:01) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass incomplete short left to #14 T.Diaz thrown to IOWA15
(03:55) #49 B.Everitt punt 37 yards to the IOWA45 fair catch by #21 A.Flora at IOWA45
(03:50) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush right for 1 yard gain to the IOWA44 (#36 J.Montgomery)
(03:14) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IOWA40 (#33 C.Buffington; #6 Z.Lutmer)
(02:52) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #37 V.Benetti caught at IOWA35, for 6 yards to the IOWA34 (#11 J.Wallace; #33 C.Buffington), 1ST DOWN
(02:13) #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IOWA30 (#44 K.Merrieweather; #11 J.Wallace)
(01:33) #9 O.Hayes rush left for 15 yards gain to the IOWA15 (#6 Z.Lutmer), 1ST DOWN
(00:49) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short middle to #37 V.Benetti thrown to IOWA03 broken up by #6 Z.Lutmer
(00:46) #0 C.Pettaway rush left for 2 yards gain to the IOWA13 (#33 C.Buffington)
(14:59) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IOWA11 (#51 L.Gaffney; #96 B.Hawthorne)
(14:17) #97 K.Konrardy field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler), clock 14:17
(14:16) Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IOWA27 (#92 C.Crawford)
(13:41) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #2 R.Vander Zee thrown to ISU45
(13:36) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass incomplete deep middle to #14 T.Diaz thrown to ISU35
PENALTY IOWA False Start (#22 D.Weisskopf) 5 yards from IOWA27 to IOWA22. NO PLAY
(13:25) #49 B.Everitt punt 44 yards to the ISU34 fair catch by #21 A.Flora at ISU34
(13:24) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU39 (#33 C.Buffington)
(12:46) #21 A.Flora rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ISU45 (#5 A.Hawkins), 1ST DOWN
(12:06) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU47 (#33 C.Buffington; #51 L.Gaffney)
(11:25) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 5 yards gain to the IOWA48 (#96 B.Hawthorne)
(10:42) #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep left to #9 O.Hayes caught at IOWA22, for 28 yards to the IOWA20 (#5 A.Hawkins), 1ST DOWN
(10:10) #25 E.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IOWA17 (#43 K.Brown)
(09:40) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 5 yards gain to the IOWA12 (#43 K.Brown; #23 L.Van Kekerix)
(08:59) #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IOWA08 (#33 C.Buffington; #8 D.Lee), 1ST DOWN
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 4 yards gain to the IOWA04 (#33 C.Buffington)
(07:54) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #37 V.Benetti caught at IOWA04, for 4 yards to the IOWA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:51. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELD #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)
(07:48) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #2 R.Vander Zee caught at IOWA31, for 12 yards to the IOWA37 (#6 D.Surges; #24 B.Miller), 1ST DOWN
(07:12) #9 H.Brown pass complete deep middle to #14 T.Diaz caught at ISU13, for 56 yards to the ISU07 (#3 S.Johnson), 1ST DOWN
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ISU01 (#6 D.Surges)
(06:20) No Huddle #9 H.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU01 (#99 B.Lamb; #97 M.Baloun)
(05:34) Shotgun #9 H.Brown rush left for 1 yard gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:34 #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)
(05:34) #21 A.Flora rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ISU31 (#97 I.Epenesa)
(04:49) #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short left to #89 T.Claiborne thrown to ISU46 broken up by #6 Z.Lutmer
(04:44) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ISU30 (#97 I.Epenesa; #11 J.Wallace)
(04:01) #99 J.DuPont punt 43 yards to the IOWA27 fair catch by #2 R.Vander Zee at IOWA27
(03:55) #28 K.Moulton rush right for 3 yards gain to the IOWA30 (#7 S.Schlimgen)
(03:27) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short middle to #85 T.Meyer caught at IOWA35, for 5 yards to the IOWA35 (#10 C.Willich; #6 D.Surges)
(02:49) Shotgun #9 H.Brown rush middle for 9 yards gain to the IOWA44 (#7 S.Schlimgen), 1ST DOWN
(02:10) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #14 T.Diaz caught at ISU44, for 12 yards to the ISU44 (#18 D.Coffey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(01:59) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #28 K.Moulton caught at ISU49, for 4 yards to the ISU40 (#93 J.Janikowski)
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short middle to #81 D.Vonnahme caught at ISU32, for 13 yards to the ISU27 (#10 C.Willich), 1ST DOWN
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass incomplete short left to #28 K.Moulton thrown to ISU27
(01:20) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #14 T.Diaz thrown to ISU02 broken up by #5 B.Ngoyi
(01:14) Shotgun #9 H.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU27 (#88 I.Terrell)
(00:31) #92 C.Buhr field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz), clock 00:28
(00:23) #21 A.Flora rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU27 (#33 C.Buffington)
(14:58) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 3 yards gain to the ISU28 (#8 D.Lee)
(14:18) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #9 O.Hayes caught at ISU23, for 4 yards to the ISU32, out of bounds at ISU32
(13:35) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #89 T.Claiborne caught at ISU43, for 15 yards to the ISU47 (#33 C.Buffington), 1ST DOWN
(12:58) #21 A.Flora rush left for 34 yards gain to the IOWA19 (#3 J.Watson), 1ST DOWN
(12:11) PENALTY ISU Holding (#63 B.Smith) 10 yards from IOWA19 to IOWA29. NO PLAY
(11:47) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 4 yards loss to the IOWA33 (#36 J.Montgomery)
PENALTY ISU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from IOWA33 to IOWA38. NO PLAY
(10:58) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IOWA34 (#44 K.Merrieweather)
(10:16) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #2 C.Jackson thrown to IOWA03 broken up by #3 J.Watson
(10:08) #97 K.Konrardy field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler), clock 10:06
(10:04) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short middle to #2 R.Vander Zee caught at IOWA30, for 13 yards to the IOWA38 (#18 D.Coffey), 1ST DOWN
(09:31) Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush left for 4 yards gain to the IOWA42 (#7 S.Schlimgen; #99 B.Lamb)
(08:56) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #14 T.Diaz caught at IOWA46, for 4 yards to the IOWA46 (#10 C.Willich)
(08:18) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass incomplete short left to #87 A.Ostrenga thrown to IOWA49 broken up by #92 C.Crawford
(08:16) #49 B.Everitt punt 51 yards to the ISU03
(08:05) #21 A.Flora rush right for 0 yards to the ISU03 (#33 C.Buffington; #3 J.Watson)
(07:23) #21 A.Flora rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU04 (#96 B.Hawthorne; #44 K.Merrieweather)
(06:45) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 6 yards gain to the ISU10 (#33 C.Buffington)
(05:58) #99 J.DuPont punt 58 yards to the IOWA32
(05:38) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #14 T.Diaz caught at IOWA28, for 4 yards loss to the IOWA28 (#10 C.Willich)
(05:05) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #28 K.Moulton caught at IOWA25, for 0 yards to the IOWA28 (#3 S.Johnson)
(04:21) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #2 R.Vander Zee caught at IOWA33, for 7 yards to the IOWA35 (#6 D.Surges)
PENALTY ISU Offside (#50 J.Limbaugh) 5 yards from IOWA35 to IOWA40. NO PLAY
(03:54) #49 B.Everitt punt 45 yards to the ISU15
(03:43) #21 A.Flora rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU19 (#33 C.Buffington; #51 L.Gaffney)
(03:08) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #21 A.Flora caught at ISU13, for 3 yards to the ISU22 (#8 D.Lee), out of bounds PENALTY ISU Holding (#37 V.Benetti) 10 yards from ISU22 to ISU12
(02:43) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #13 J.Polite caught at ISU30, for 20 yards to the ISU32 (#8 D.Lee), 1ST DOWN
(02:12) #3 A.Barnes rush right for 1 yard gain (1) to the ISU33 (#3 J.Watson), out of bounds PENALTY ISU Holding (#37 V.Benetti) 10 yards from ISU33 to ISU23
(01:45) #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Barnes thrown to ISU32
(01:43) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush right for 3 yards gain to the ISU26 (#96 B.Hawthorne; #13 D.Campbell)
(01:04) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short left to #9 O.Hayes thrown to ISU38
(00:16) #99 J.DuPont punt 19 yards to the ISU45
(00:09) PENALTY IOWA Holding (#71 J.Dotzler) 10 yards from ISU45 to IOWA45. NO PLAY
(14:56) #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IOWA50 (#24 B.Miller; #34 B.Goodwin)
(14:21) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #14 T.Diaz thrown to ISU17
(14:18) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass incomplete short right to #81 D.Vonnahme thrown to ISU35 broken up by #18 D.Coffey
(14:12) #49 B.Everitt punt 41 yards to the ISU09 fair catch by #9 O.Hayes at ISU09
(14:07) #21 A.Flora rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU10 (#23 L.Van Kekerix)
(13:27) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #9 O.Hayes thrown to ISU15 broken up by #44 K.Merrieweather
(13:24) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU13 (#33 C.Buffington)
(12:43) #99 J.DuPont punt 55 yards to the IOWA32 #2 R.Vander Zee return 11 yards to the IOWA43 (#3 S.Johnson; #12 E.Stecker)
(12:31) Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush left for 3 yards gain to the IOWA46 (#34 B.Goodwin; #98 M.Ta'ase)
(11:55) #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #28 K.Moulton caught at IOWA48, for 6 yards to the ISU48 (#7 S.Schlimgen)
(11:14) Shotgun #26 X.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU45 (#98 M.Ta'ase), 1ST DOWN
(10:41) #26 X.Williams rush right for 0 yards to the ISU45 (#34 B.Goodwin)
(10:16) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short middle to #81 D.Vonnahme caught at ISU40, for 12 yards to the ISU33 (#31 M.Smith), 1ST DOWN
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush right for 7 yards gain to the ISU26 (#89 D.Fitzmaurice)
(09:12) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #14 T.Diaz caught at ISU29, for 3 yards to the ISU23 (#34 B.Goodwin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(08:24) Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush left for 5 yards gain to the ISU18 (#9 J.Singletary)
(07:46) Shotgun #9 H.Brown rush left for 1 yard gain to the ISU17 (#7 S.Schlimgen)
(07:09) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #8 E.James caught at ISU16, for 3 yards to the ISU14 (#18 D.Coffey), out of bounds
(06:22) #92 C.Buhr field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz), clock 06:22
(06:20) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush right for 2 yards loss to the ISU23 (#36 J.Montgomery)
(05:42) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 11 yards gain to the ISU34 (#5 A.Hawkins)
(04:58) PENALTY ISU False Start (#51 M.King) 5 yards from ISU34 to ISU29. NO PLAY
(04:39) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Pabst thrown to ISU35
(04:37) #99 J.DuPont punt 38 yards to the IOWA33 #2 R.Vander Zee return 12 yards to the IOWA45 (#5 B.Ngoyi)
(04:28) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #28 K.Moulton caught at IOWA46, for 8 yards to the ISU47 (#7 S.Schlimgen)
(03:46) #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU44 (#10 C.Willich; #7 S.Schlimgen), 1ST DOWN
(03:14) Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU39 (#34 B.Goodwin)
(02:35) Shotgun #9 H.Brown rush right for 2 yards gain to the ISU37 (#18 D.Coffey)
(01:59) Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU33 (#10 C.Willich), 1ST DOWN
(01:49) Shotgun #5 N.McNeil rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ISU26 (#7 S.Schlimgen; #92 C.Crawford)
(01:47) Shotgun #5 N.McNeil rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU24 (#21 D.Goodman)
(01:03) Shotgun #26 X.Williams rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU24 (#89 D.Fitzmaurice; #88 I.Terrell)
(00:17) #92 C.Buhr field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz), clock 00:15
(00:14) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep middle to #89 T.Claiborne thrown to ISU50 broken up by #6 Z.Lutmer
(00:06) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep middle to #4 C.Pabst caught at ISU49, for 24 yards to the ISU49 (#18 X.Styles), 1ST DOWN