House Prediction
Model Margin
Indiana by 9.3
Home Win Probability
Indiana 71%
Market (Bovada)
Indiana -7
fitted_v1 · Jan 20, 2026
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 21 |
 Indiana | 3 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Miami | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 19-32 | 16-27 |
| Pass Yards | 232 | 186 |
| Rush Yards | 110 | 131 |
| Total Yards | 342 | 317 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| 3rd Down | 3-11 | 6-16 |
| Penalties | 7-60 | 5-38 |
| Possession | 23:36 | 36:24 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
(14:55) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Miami37 (#22 J.Sharpe; #7 L.Moore)
(14:04) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #10 M.Toney caught at Miami34, for 6 yards to the Miami43 (#22 J.Sharpe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(13:37) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the Miami45 (#5 D.Ponds)
(12:58) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short right to #10 M.Toney thrown to Miami48
(13:02) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #10 M.Toney caught at Miami47, for 3 yards to the Miami48 (#21 R.Hardy)
(12:12) #94 D.Joyce punt 47 yards to the IND05 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND05
(12:16) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at IND09, for 11 yards to the IND16 (#7 Z.Poyser), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(11:36) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 1 yard gain to the IND17 (#8 J.Thomas)
(11:00) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #1 R.Hemby caught at IND16, for 1 yard to the IND18 (#1 M.Toure), out of bounds
(10:28) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep right thrown to IND40 QB hurried by #12 M.Lightfoot
(10:21) #44 M.McCarthy punt 50 yards to the Miami32 #10 M.Toney return 9 yards to the Miami41 (#46 I.Jones) PENALTY Miami Holding (#22 C.Pruitt) 10 yards from Miami33 to Miami23
(10:12) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the Miami27 (#97 M.Landino)
(09:33) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Miami28 (#97 M.Landino; #6 M.Kamara)
(08:49) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short right to #0 K.Marion thrown to Miami42 broken up by #7 L.Moore
(08:44) #94 D.Joyce punt 43 yards to the IND29 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND29
(08:48) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep right to #80 C.Becker thrown to Miami48 QB hurried by #99 A.Moten PENALTY IND Holding (#67 K.Benson) 10 yards from IND29 to IND19. NO PLAY
(08:28) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at IND29, for 25 yards to the IND44 (#29 R.Frederique, Jr.), 1ST DOWN
(07:51) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush right for 6 yards gain to the IND50 (#1 M.Toure)
(07:18) PENALTY IND False Start (#74 B.Lynch) 5 yards from IND50 to IND45. NO PLAY
(07:01) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #13 E.Sarratt caught at IND49, for 10 yards to the Miami45 (#24 E.O'Connor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(06:31) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Miami42 (#31 W.Bissainthe)
(05:53) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at Miami35, for 9 yards to the Miami33 (#10 R.Aguirre, Jr.; #1 M.Toure), 1ST DOWN
(05:13) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #13 E.Sarratt caught at Miami28, for 6 yards to the Miami27, out of bounds at Miami27
(04:44) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #80 C.Becker thrown to Miami20 QB hurried by #1 M.Toure
(04:41) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Miami20 (#8 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWN
(04:02) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush right for 2 yards gain to the Miami18 (#0 K.Scott)
(03:21) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Miami16 (#5 J.Scott)
(02:40) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #80 C.Becker thrown to Miami00 broken up by #29 R.Frederique, Jr.
(02:35) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 02:42
(02:36) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short right to #87 A.Bauman thrown to Miami45 broken up by #21 R.Hardy
(02:20) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Daniels thrown to Miami33 broken up by #5 D.Ponds
(02:17) Shotgun #11 C.Beck sacked for loss of 7 yards to the Miami19 (#4 A.Fisher)
(01:39) #94 D.Joyce punt 54 yards to the IND27
(01:28) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 6 yards loss to the IND21 (#4 R.Bain Jr.)
(00:50) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 1 yard gain to the IND22 (#99 A.Moten)
(00:07) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #1 R.Hemby caught at IND18, for 4 yards to the IND26 (#12 M.Lightfoot; #8 J.Thomas)
(14:44) #44 M.McCarthy punt 46 yards to the Miami28 #10 M.Toney return 3 yards to the Miami31, End Of Play
C. Brown run for 0 yds
(12:57) Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Miami32 (#1 A.Ferrell)
(12:57) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #7 C.Daniels caught at Miami36, for 7 yards to the Miami39 (#7 L.Moore)
(12:57) Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the Miami39 (#6 M.Kamara)
(12:57) #94 D.Joyce punt 46 yards to the IND15 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND15
(12:57) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #13 E.Sarratt caught at IND20, for 12 yards to the IND27 (#29 R.Frederique, Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(12:17) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short middle to #13 E.Sarratt thrown to IND38 broken up by #29 R.Frederique, Jr.
(12:24) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at IND30, for 8 yards to the IND35 (#24 E.O'Connor), out of bounds
(11:33) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND39 (#4 R.Bain Jr.), 1ST DOWN
(10:58) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 1 yard gain to the IND40 (#31 W.Bissainthe)
(10:23) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND43 (#11 D.Blay)
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short left to #13 E.Sarratt thrown to Miami43 QB hurried by #4 R.Bain Jr., 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Miami Pass Interference (#29 R.Frederique, Jr.) 11 yard from IND43 to Miami46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(09:54) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 3 yards loss to the Miami49 (#99 A.Moten)
(09:21) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Miami48 (#1 M.Toure; #4 R.Bain Jr.)
(08:57) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to Miami26 QB hurried by #4 R.Bain Jr. PENALTY Miami Offside (#4 R.Bain Jr.) 5 yards from Miami48 to Miami43. NO PLAY
(08:54) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 20 yards gain to the Miami23 (#13 B.Fitzgerald; #0 K.Scott), 1ST DOWN
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at Miami24, for 3 yards to the Miami20 (#7 Z.Poyser)
(07:56) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at Miami14, for 15 yards to the Miami05 (#8 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (07:56) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at Miami14, for 20 yards to the Miami00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:56, 1ST DOWN)
(07:30) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Miami04 (#1 M.Toure; #5 J.Scott)
(06:44) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Miami01 (#4 R.Bain Jr.)
(06:07) #37 R.Nowakowski rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Miami00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:13 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
(06:03) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Miami30 (#7 L.Moore; #95 T.Tucker)
(05:07) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Miami34 (#46 I.Jones)
(04:33) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the Miami34 (#6 M.Kamara)
(03:49) #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Miami35 (#0 H.Wheeler), 1ST DOWN
(03:04) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete deep left to #7 C.Daniels caught at IND45, for 25 yards to the IND40 (#5 D.Ponds), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(02:32) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #10 M.Toney caught at IND42, for 2 yards to the IND38 (#21 R.Hardy; #17 D.Ndukwe)
(01:48) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the IND38 (#5 D.Ponds)
(01:15) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #0 K.Marion caught at IND40, for 6 yards to the IND32 (#6 M.Kamara)
(00:26) #38 C.Davis field goal attempt from 50 yards NO GOOD (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker), clock 00:33
(00:23) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IND38 (#1 M.Toure)
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep right to #80 C.Becker thrown to Miami00 QB hurried by #3 A.Mesidor
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at Miami50, for 12 yards to the IND50, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
(14:50) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush right for 0 yards to the IND25 (#7 Z.Poyser)
(14:17) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 7 yards to the IND18 (#3 A.Mesidor)
(13:41) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IND23 (#12 M.Lightfoot) PENALTY Miami Face Mask (#18 A.Blount) 15 yards from IND23 to IND38, 1ST DOWN
(13:16) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND39 (#0 K.Scott)
(12:42) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep left to #13 E.Sarratt thrown to Miami39
(12:36) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 8 yards to the IND31 (#4 R.Bain Jr.)
(11:53) #44 M.McCarthy punt 49 yards to the Miami20 #10 M.Toney return 18 yards to the Miami38 (#34 J.Utzinger), out of bounds
(11:41) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #10 M.Toney caught at Miami43, for 5 yards to the Miami43 (#21 R.Hardy; #4 A.Fisher)
(11:05) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush right for 57 yards gain to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:06, 1ST DOWN #38 C.Davis kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)
(10:53) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 15 yards gain to the IND40 (#7 Z.Poyser), 1ST DOWN
(10:20) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IND45 (#1 M.Toure)
(09:44) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 2 yards gain to the IND47 (#1 M.Toure)
(09:03) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short left to #13 E.Sarratt thrown to Miami49 broken up by #1 M.Toure
(08:57) #44 M.McCarthy punt 41 yards to the Miami12 fair catch by #10 M.Toney at Miami12
(08:52) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Miami13 (#97 M.Landino)
(08:14) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short left to #10 M.Toney thrown to Miami16
(08:11) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short middle to #7 C.Daniels thrown to Miami25 broken up by #22 J.Sharpe
(08:06) #94 D.Joyce punt 44 yards to the IND43, out of bounds at IND43
(08:09) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 8 yards to the IND35 (#3 A.Mesidor)
(07:15) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IND41 (#7 Z.Poyser)
(06:29) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short left to #13 E.Sarratt thrown to Miami42
(06:24) #44 M.McCarthy punt 55 yards to the Miami04 #10 M.Toney return 3 yards to the Miami07 (#12 D.Boykin)
(06:14) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Miami10 (#4 A.Fisher; #7 L.Moore)
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short left to #0 K.Marion thrown to Miami15 broken up by #46 I.Jones
(05:46) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #10 M.Toney caught at Miami14, for 6 yards to the Miami16 (#7 L.Moore)
Punt by JOYCE, Dylan at the MIAMI16 is blocked by KAMARA, Mikail, recovered by IND JONES, Isaiah at the MIAMI0, TOUCHDOWN IND, clock 05:04
(05:00) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #4 M.Fletcher Jr. caught at Miami23, for 8 yards to the Miami27 (#12 D.Boykin; #4 A.Fisher)
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush right for 10 yards gain to the Miami37 (#22 J.Sharpe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(03:48) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete deep right to #87 A.Bauman thrown to IND43 broken up by #5 D.Ponds
(03:42) Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the Miami41 (#7 L.Moore)
(03:00) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete deep left to #7 C.Daniels caught at IND39, for 24 yards to the IND35 (#22 J.Sharpe), 1ST DOWN
(02:11) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #3 J.Moore caught at IND34, for 1 yard to the IND34, End Of Play
(01:30) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #10 M.Toney caught at IND37, for 22 yards to the IND12 (#7 L.Moore), 1ST DOWN
(00:42) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND09 (#5 D.Ponds)
(00:04) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IND03 (#12 D.Boykin)
(14:50) #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:57, 1ST DOWN #38 C.Davis kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)
(14:47) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND27 (#41 C.Smith)
(14:10) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 13 yards gain to the IND40 (#41 C.Smith), 1ST DOWN
(13:33) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to IND43 broken up by #24 E.O'Connor
(13:40) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at IND38, for 18 yards to the Miami42 (#31 W.Bissainthe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(12:48) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Miami41 (#4 R.Bain Jr.)
(12:08) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 4 yards gain to the Miami37 (#3 A.Mesidor; #31 W.Bissainthe)
(11:22) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to Miami11
(11:18) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at Miami18, for 19 yards to the Miami18, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
(10:39) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Miami14 (#8 J.Thomas; #5 J.Scott)
(10:01) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Miami12 (#8 J.Thomas; #99 A.Moten)
(09:21) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short middle to #7 E.Williams Jr. thrown to Miami00
F. Mendoza run for 12 yds, for a TD (N. Radicic KICK)
(09:01) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #10 M.Toney caught at Miami10, for 8 yards to the Miami17 (#12 D.Boykin)
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Miami20 (#97 M.Landino), 1ST DOWN
(08:00) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete deep left to #0 K.Marion thrown to Miami41
(07:53) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete deep left to #0 K.Marion thrown to IND36 broken up by #5 D.Ponds
(07:55) PENALTY Miami False Start (#63 S.Okunlola) 5 yards from Miami20 to Miami15. NO PLAY
(07:45) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #87 A.Bauman caught at Miami31, for 22 yards to the Miami37 (#22 J.Sharpe), 1ST DOWN
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #10 M.Toney caught at Miami49, for 41 yards to the IND22 (#5 D.Ponds), 1ST DOWN
(06:39) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short middle to #4 M.Fletcher Jr. thrown to IND21
Malachi Toney 22 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Carter Davis Kick)
(06:27) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND28 (#1 M.Toure; #99 A.Moten)
(05:44) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 3 yards gain to the IND31 (#4 R.Bain Jr.; #7 Z.Poyser)
(05:00) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at IND32, for 14 yards to the IND45 (#24 E.O'Connor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(04:22) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 5 yards gain to the IND50 (#31 W.Bissainthe)
(03:39) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 2 yards loss to the IND48 (#31 W.Bissainthe; #4 R.Bain Jr.)
(02:56) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at Miami33, for 19 yards to the Miami33 (#24 E.O'Connor), 1ST DOWN
(02:10) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 10 yards gain to the Miami23 (#24 E.O'Connor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(02:00) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Miami14 (#31 W.Bissainthe)
(01:56) PENALTY IND False Start (#65 C.Smith) 5 yards from Miami14 to Miami19. NO PLAY
(01:56) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Miami18 (#99 A.Moten)
(01:41) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 1 yard gain to the Miami17 (#31 W.Bissainthe; #1 M.Toure)
(01:35) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 01:42
PENALTY Miami Delay Of Game 5 yards from Miami25 to Miami20. NO PLAY
(01:42) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short middle to #87 A.Bauman thrown to Miami21 QB hurried by #95 T.Tucker
(01:26) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Daniels thrown to Miami39 PENALTY IND Roughing The Passer (#97 M.Landino) 15 yards from Miami20 to Miami35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(01:22) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #6 C.Brown caught at Miami36, for 11 yards to the Miami46 (#21 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWN
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #7 C.Daniels caught at IND41, for 6 yards to the IND41 (#22 J.Sharpe), 1ST DOWN
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #10 M.Toney caught at IND47, for 7 yards to the IND47 (#46 I.Jones)
#11 C. Beck pass deep to the left intercepted by Sharpe, Jamari at the IND6. Sharpe return for 0 yards to the IND6
PENALTY IND UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#22 J.Sharpe) 3 yards from IND06 to IND03. NO PLAY
Kneel down by #15 F.Mendoza at IND02 for loss of 1 yard
#15 F.Mendoza rush middle for 0 yards to the IND02 (#1 M.Toure)