House Prediction
Model Margin
Missouri State by 8.9
Home Win Probability
Missouri State 68%
Market (Bovada)
Missouri State -2.5
fitted_v1 · Nov 29, 2025
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Louisiana Tech Dominates Fourth Quarter to Top Missouri State
Louisiana Tech defeated Missouri State 42-30 in Week 14, with the Bulldogs pulling away decisively in the final period. The away team covered the spread as a 2.5-point favorite in a game that exceeded the over-under of 45.0 points.
Louisiana Tech's offense was led by quarterback Trey Kukuk, who threw for 87 yards, while receiver Jalen Mickens caught 9 passes. The Bulldogs scored consistently throughout, posting 7 points in each of the first three quarters before erupting for 21 in the fourth. A standout first-quarter play featured a 98-yard rushing touchdown that set an early tone.
Missouri State's Shomari Lawrence led the Bears with 84 rushing yards, including a 56-yard touchdown run in the third quarter. However, Missouri State couldn't keep pace down the stretch, managing only 13 points in the final quarter after scoring 10 in the second and 7 in the third.
The game featured significant lead changes, with 18 total swings in win probability throughout the contest. Louisiana Tech's fourth-quarter dominance proved decisive in securing the road victory.
AI-generated recap · Jul 22, 2026
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Louisiana Tech | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 42 |
 Missouri State | 0 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Louisiana Tech | Missouri State |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 8-13 | 17-31 |
| Pass Yards | 87 | 294 |
| Rush Yards | 388 | 122 |
| Total Yards | 475 | 416 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| 3rd Down | 8-13 | 6-12 |
| Penalties | 9-96 | 5-33 |
| Possession | 33:50 | 26:10 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush right for 14 yards gain to the MSU39 (#11 C.Woods; #8 J.Fields), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete short left to #85 D.Hipp caught at MSU44, for 8 yards to the MSU47 (#8 J.Fields; #6 J.Foster)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete short middle to #11 M.Cope thrown to LTU40
No Huddle #12 J.Clark pass complete short right to #40 C.Lair caught at MSU49, for 33 yards to the LTU20 (#6 J.Foster), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LTU26 (#98 D.Rieman)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LTU25 (#91 C.Sims)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark sacked for loss of 10 yards to the LTU35 (#42 S.Leota)
#25 S.McDonald punt 33 yards to the LTU02
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush right for 98 yards gain to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:43, 1ST DOWN #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch)
Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush right for 4 yards loss to the MSU21 (#22 J.Mayfield; #98 D.Rieman)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete short middle to #11 M.Cope caught at MSU33, for 12 yards to the MSU33 (#7 J.Shelby Jr.)
No Huddle #12 J.Clark pass complete short left to #2 S.Lawrence caught at MSU34, for 1 yard to the MSU34 (#7 J.Shelby Jr.)
#12 J.Clark rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU36 (#6 J.Foster), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete deep right to #0 J.Robinson thrown to LTU30
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush right for 3 yards loss to the MSU33 (#9 M.Mason)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete short right to #9 R.Johnson caught at MSU47, for 14 yards to the MSU47 (#11 C.Woods), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush right for 5 yards loss to the MSU42 (#22 J.Mayfield)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete short middle to #2 S.Lawrence caught at MSU45, for 8 yards to the MSU50 (#22 J.Mayfield; #21 Z.Hill)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Luke thrown to LTU45 PENALTY LTU Pass Interference (#8 J.Fields) 5 yards from MSU50 to LTU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush middle for 0 yards to the LTU45 (#42 S.Leota)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Luke thrown to LTU39 broken up by #0 S.Fongang
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete short left to #2 S.Lawrence thrown to LTU45 broken up by #42 S.Leota
#25 S.McDonald punt 30 yards to the LTU15 fair catch by #3 D.Latulas at LTU15
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass incomplete short left to #0 A.Burnette thrown to LTU10
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the LTU18 (#0 M.Neal)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush left for 24 yards gain to the LTU42 (#29 C.Ford), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short right to #4 C.Thevenin caught at LTU40, for 4 yards to the LTU46 (#44 K.Young)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short right to #4 C.Thevenin caught at LTU45, for 30 yards to the MSU24 (#14 T.Anderson), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MSU Offside declined
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush right for 4 yards gain to the MSU20 (#6 J.Lloyd; #98 D.Barnes)
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush right for 3 yards gain to the MSU17 (#44 K.Young; #6 J.Lloyd)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU14 (#91 T.Brantley), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush right for 9 yards gain to the MSU05 (#44 K.Young; #6 J.Lloyd)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU01 (#30 C.Wiest; #6 J.Lloyd), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:54 #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch)
Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush left for 8 yards gain to the MSU30 (#8 J.Fields)
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush right for 5 yards gain to the MSU35 (#94 E.Oguns), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete short left to #40 C.Lair caught at MSU30, for 4 yards loss to the MSU31 (#1 M.Richard)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete short middle to #0 J.Robinson caught at MSU35, for 12 yards to the MSU43 (#97 C.Davis)
No Huddle #12 J.Clark rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU48 (#96 Z.Nason), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LTU45 (#20 K.McNeese; #14 J.Mcrae)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush left for 2 yards gain to the LTU43 (#22 J.Mayfield; #21 Z.Hill)
#2 S.Lawrence rush left for 6 yards gain to the LTU37 (#21 Z.Hill), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the LTU37 (#22 J.Mayfield)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark sacked for loss of 3 yards to the LTU40 (#95 T.Vivians)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete deep right to #0 J.Robinson thrown to LTU15 PENALTY LTU Pass Interference (#7 J.Shelby Jr.) 15 yards from LTU40 to LTU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete deep middle to #88 J.Askren thrown to LTU03
Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete deep left to #9 R.Johnson thrown to LTU02
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete short middle thrown to LTU25 broken up by #6 J.Foster
#36 Y.Obeid field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #25 S.McDonald, LS: #47 A.Kallas), clock 06:36
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LTU32 (#91 T.Brantley; #7 D.Wesolak)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush left for 2 yards gain to the LTU34 fumbled by #0 A.Burnette at LTU33 forced by #55 A.Poole recovered by LTU #55 L.Nelson at LTU34, End Of Play
PENALTY MSU Offside (#55 A.Poole) 5 yards from LTU34 to LTU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush left for 7 yards gain to the LTU46 (#6 J.Lloyd; #29 C.Ford)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LTU50 (#6 J.Lloyd), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush left for 0 yards to the LTU50 (#19 J.Brooks)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass incomplete short right thrown to MSU45 QB hurried by #6 J.Lloyd
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short left to #18 M.Jackson caught at LTU48, for 1 yard to the MSU49 (#14 T.Anderson), out of bounds
#48 J.Chance punt 34 yards to the MSU15, out of bounds at MSU15
Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Luke thrown to MSU19 broken up by #8 J.Fields
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush right for 1 yard gain to the MSU16 (#90 J.Madkins)
Shotgun #12 J.Clark rush right for 10 yards gain to the MSU26 (#22 J.Mayfield), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete short right to #15 T.Gardner thrown to MSU42 PENALTY LTU Pass Interference (#7 J.Shelby Jr.) 15 yards from MSU26 to MSU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete short left to #2 S.Lawrence thrown to MSU37
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete deep middle to #15 T.Gardner caught at LTU32, for 27 yards to the LTU32 (#7 J.Shelby Jr.), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete short right to #1 D.Luke caught at LTU25, for 9 yards to the LTU23 (#6 J.Foster), out of bounds
J. Clark pass to J. Robinson for 23 yds, for a TD (Y. Obeid KICK)
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush left for 5 yards gain to the LTU20 (#91 T.Brantley; #44 K.Young)
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush right for 2 yards gain to the LTU22 (#12 J.Dunbar)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush right for 7 yards gain to the LTU29 (#44 K.Young), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short middle to #4 C.Thevenin caught at LTU30, for 9 yards to the LTU38 (#9 D.Dixson; #44 K.Young)
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Wiggins rush right for 11 yards gain to the LTU44 (#0 M.Neal), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Wiggins rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MSU49 (#29 C.Ford; #44 K.Young)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU47 (#91 T.Brantley; #55 A.Poole)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU47 (#91 T.Brantley)
Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass incomplete deep right to #18 M.Jackson thrown to MSU20, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from MSU47 to MSU42. NO PLAY
Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete short left to #9 R.Johnson caught at MSU45, for 6 yards to the MSU48 (#6 J.Foster; #7 J.Shelby Jr.)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete short right to #11 M.Cope thrown to LTU42 broken up by #9 M.Mason
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark sacked for loss of 10 yards to the MSU38 (#94 E.Oguns)
No Huddle #25 S.McDonald rush right for 11 yards gain to the MSU49 fumbled by #25 S.McDonald at LTU45 forced by #11 C.Woods, out of bounds at MSU49, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Wiggins rush left for 20 yards gain to the MSU29 (#0 M.Neal), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 22 yards gain to the MSU07 (#44 K.Young), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Wiggins rush left for 2 yards loss to the MSU09 (#0 M.Neal)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU05 (#44 K.Young; #30 C.Wiest)
PENALTY LTU False Start (#55 L.Nelson) 5 yards from MSU05 to MSU10. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass incomplete short middle to #18 M.Jackson thrown to MSU00 PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (#12 J.Dunbar) 8 yards from MSU10 to MSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:18 #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch)
Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete short middle to #11 M.Cope caught at MSU41, for 19 yards to the MSU44 (#8 J.Fields; #11 C.Woods), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush middle for 56 yards gain to the LTU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:25, 1ST DOWN #36 Y.Obeid kick attempt good (H: #25 S.McDonald, LS: #47 A.Kallas)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short right to #11 J.Mickens caught at LTU25, for 4 yards to the LTU26 (#12 J.Dunbar)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush left for 16 yards gain (3) to the LTU42 (#44 K.Young) PENALTY LTU Holding (#55 L.Nelson) 10 yards from LTU29 to LTU19
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass incomplete short right to #11 J.Mickens thrown to LTU25 QB hurried by #6 J.Lloyd
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short right to #4 C.Thevenin caught at LTU19, for 17 yards to the LTU36 (#29 C.Ford), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LTU40 (#44 K.Young)
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush middle for 16 yards gain to the MSU44 (#29 C.Ford), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU41 (#0 M.Neal; #17 D.Townley)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU38 (#31 C.Roy; #17 D.Townley)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short right to #11 J.Mickens caught at MSU35, for 5 yards to the MSU33 (#14 T.Anderson; #0 M.Neal), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU33 (#44 K.Young; #6 J.Lloyd)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass incomplete deep middle to #84 E.Finley thrown to MSU00 broken up by #0 M.Neal
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush right for 22 yards gain to the MSU11 (#12 J.Dunbar; #9 D.Dixson), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU07 (#17 D.Townley)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush right for 2 yards gain to the MSU05 (#91 T.Brantley)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU02 (#6 J.Lloyd)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush right for 2 yards gain to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:12, 1ST DOWN #38 K.Kent kick attempt good (H: #29 L.Matthews, LS: #41 E.Burch)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush right for 1 yard gain to the MSU26 (#9 M.Mason)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush left for 5 yards gain to the MSU31 (#42 S.Leota)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete deep left to #15 T.Gardner thrown to LTU45
#25 S.McDonald punt 41 yards to the LTU28 #11 C.Woods return for loss of 8 yards to the LTU20 (#18 D.Quist) PENALTY LTU Holding (#1 D.Gandy) 10 yards from LTU28 to LTU18
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Wiggins rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LTU21 (#35 A.Yelder)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 2 yards loss to the LTU19 (#30 C.Wiest; #35 A.Yelder)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush left for 51 yards gain (7) to the MSU30 (#0 M.Neal) PENALTY LTU Personal Foul (#1 D.Gandy) 13 yards from LTU26 to LTU13
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LTU15 (#35 A.Yelder)
#48 J.Chance punt 50 yards to the MSU35 PENALTY MSU Holding (#3 K.Anderson) 10 yards from MSU25 to MSU25
Jeron Askren 75 Yd pass from Jacob Clark (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
Y. Obeid kickoff for 58 yds, D. Gandy returns for 93 yds for a TD (K. Kent KICK)
Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete deep middle to #0 J.Robinson caught at LTU44, for 31 yards to the LTU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete short right to #11 M.Cope thrown to LTU25
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 S.Lawrence rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LTU40 (#9 M.Mason; #8 J.Fields)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete short middle to #1 D.Luke caught at LTU29, for 15 yards to the LTU25 (#8 J.Fields), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 R.Green Jr. rush right for 13 yards gain to the LTU12 (#6 J.Foster), 1ST DOWN
R. Green Jr. run for 12 yds, for a TD (Y. Obeid KICK)
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Thevenin rush left for 4 yards gain to the LTU22 (#29 C.Ford)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LTU24 (#7 D.Wesolak)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass complete short middle to #84 E.Finley caught at LTU41, for 17 yards to the LTU41 (#29 C.Ford), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LTU42 (#91 T.Brantley; #6 J.Lloyd)
T. Kukuk run for 58 yds, for a TD (K. Kent KICK)
Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete deep left to #85 D.Hipp thrown to LTU50
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass incomplete short left to #5 J.BlackStrain thrown to MSU35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LTU Pass Interference (#11 C.Woods) 13 yards from MSU25 to MSU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass complete short left to #5 J.BlackStrain caught at MSU43, for 5 yards to the MSU43 (#11 C.Woods)
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Clark pass intercepted by #6 J.Foster at LTU36, End Of Play
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk rush middle for 0 yards to the LTU36 (#6 J.Lloyd)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LTU38 (#6 J.Lloyd; #91 T.Brantley)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Kukuk pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Gandy thrown to MSU43 PENALTY MSU Offside (#31 C.Roy) 5 yards from LTU38 to LTU43. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Burnette rush left for 4 yards gain to the LTU47 (#90 S.Smithson), 1ST DOWN
Kneel down by #2 T.Kukuk at LTU45 for loss of 2 yards
Kneel down by #2 T.Kukuk at LTU44 for loss of 1 yard
Kneel down by #2 T.Kukuk at LTU43 for loss of 1 yard