House Prediction
Model Margin
North Carolina by 10.4
Home Win Probability
North Carolina 74%
Market (Bovada)
North Carolina -8.5
fitted_v1 · Nov 8, 2025
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stanford | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 15 |
 North Carolina | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Stanford | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 27-39 | 18-25 |
| Pass Yards | 284 | 203 |
| Rush Yards | 36 | 50 |
| Total Yards | 320 | 253 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| 3rd Down | 10-18 | 6-15 |
| Penalties | 8-80 | 11-73 |
| Possession | 32:37 | 27:23 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
(14:48) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STA29 (#31 W.Hardy; #7 K.House)
(14:11) Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the STA33 (#94 I.Johnson)
(13:29) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 6 yards gain to the STA39 (#31 W.Hardy; #7 K.House), 1ST DOWN
(12:52) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STA42 fumbled by #20 M.Ford at STA42 forced by #8 S.Vilbert recovered by STA #20 M.Ford at STA42, End Of Play
(12:07) Shotgun #2 E.Brown sacked for loss of 7 yards to the STA35 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude)
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown sacked for loss of 8 yards to the STA27 (#40 T.Thompson)
(10:44) #37 A.Flintoft punt 42 yards to the UNC31 #9 J.Green return 0 yards to the UNC31 (#87 A.Black)
(10:38) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete short middle to #84 S.Easter thrown to UNC45 broken up by #5 J.Green QB hurried by #94 A.Franklin PENALTY STA Pass Interference declined STA Roughing The Passer (#94 A.Franklin) 15 yards from UNC31 to UNC46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(10:32) Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNC50 (#5 J.Green; #35 M.Rose)
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 K.Paysour caught at STA46, for 4 yards to the STA46 (#9 B.Nicholson)
(09:28) Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 0 yards to the STA46 (#75 B.Marceau-Olayinka; #32 M.Leigber)
(08:51) #96 T.Maginness punt 37 yards to the STA09
(08:40) #20 M.Ford rush left for 1 yard gain to the STA10 (#7 K.House; #18 J.Patterson), out of bounds PENALTY UNC Offside (#8 S.Vilbert) 5 yards from STA09 to STA14. NO PLAY
(08:17) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 4 yards gain to the STA18 (#6 D.Robinson; #8 S.Vilbert)
(07:31) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush right for 7 yards gain to the STA25 (#2 A.Simpson), 1ST DOWN
(06:51) Shotgun #2 E.Brown sacked for loss of 15 yards to the STA10 (#2 A.Simpson), fumble by #2 E.Brown recovered by UNC #8 S.Vilbert at STA10 #8 S.Vilbert return 3 yards to the STA07 (#33 C.Tabb)
(06:45) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush middle for 2 yards loss to the STA09 (#11 T.Tafiti)
(06:03) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete short middle to #19 J.Johnson thrown to STA00 QB hurried by #35 M.Rose and #97 Z.Rowell
(06:00) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete short right thrown to STA01 QB hurried by #11 T.Tafiti
(05:50) #90 R.Verhoff field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #96 T.Maginness, LS: #42 S.Triplett), clock 05:49
(05:44) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STA21 (#7 K.House; #92 C.Mims)
(05:00) #20 M.Ford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STA24 (#2 A.Simpson; #91 L.Jackson)
(04:20) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #3 C.Williams caught at STA29, for 10 yards to the STA34 (#16 C.Bryson), 1ST DOWN
(03:34) #26 S.Irvin rush right for 0 yards to the STA34 (#7 K.House), out of bounds
(02:54) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #3 C.Williams caught at STA39, for 9 yards to the STA43 (#29 M.Allen)
(02:16) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STA46 (#8 S.Vilbert; #92 C.Mims), 1ST DOWN
(01:34) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #88 B.Blackburn caught at STA47, for 11 yards to the UNC43 (#29 M.Allen), 1ST DOWN
(00:52) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC41 (#2 A.Simpson; #92 C.Mims)
(00:08) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #0 C.High thrown to UNC39
(00:06) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short left to #3 C.Williams thrown to UNC33
(00:00) #37 A.Flintoft punt 32 yards to the UNC09
(15:00) #28 B.Hall rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNC12 (#35 M.Rose), out of bounds PENALTY UNC Holding (#1 J.Shipp) 4 yards from UNC09 to UNC05. NO PLAY
(14:36) Shotgun #28 B.Hall rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UNC03 (#45 O.Staples; #30 E.Dubre)
(13:53) #28 B.Hall rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC04 (#45 O.Staples; #35 M.Rose)
(13:08) Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UNC16 (#0 J.Galvan; #5 J.Green)
(12:30) #96 T.Maginness punt 44 yards to the STA40, out of bounds at STA40 PENALTY STA Holding (#30 E.Dubre) 10 yards from STA40 to STA30
(12:25) Shotgun #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STA35 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude)
(11:45) Shotgun #2 E.Brown sacked for loss of 3 yards to the STA32 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude)
(11:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #13 L.Thorpe thrown to UNC44 QB hurried by #2 A.Simpson
(10:57) #37 A.Flintoft punt 54 yards to the UNC14 #9 J.Green return 5 yards to the UNC19 (#41 A.Pulsipher)
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 K.Paysour caught at UNC26, for 12 yards to the UNC31 (#22 C.Ojarikre), 1ST DOWN
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #86 M.Tucker caught at UNC35, for 4 yards to the UNC35 (#5 J.Green)
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 B.Hall rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UNC47 (#21 S.Edwards), 1ST DOWN
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Paysour thrown to STA14
(09:34) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush middle for 8 yards gain to the STA45 (#23 H.Barth) PENALTY UNC Holding (#58 A.Blaske) 10 yards from UNC47 to UNC37. NO PLAY
(09:14) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 K.Paysour caught at UNC44, for 8 yards to the UNC45 (#39 C.Eckhardt)
(08:36) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez sacked for loss of 15 yards to the UNC30 (#35 M.Rose), fumble by #7 G.Lopez recovered by STA #23 H.Barth at UNC30, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELD
(08:23) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNC26 (#94 I.Johnson; #31 W.Hardy)
(07:46) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC23 (#31 W.Hardy; #94 I.Johnson)
(07:00) Shotgun #34 C.Hampton rush middle for 0 yards to the UNC23 (#91 L.Jackson; #9 M.Abou Jaoude)
(06:14) #13 E.Kenney field goal attempt from 41 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #93 P.Warford), clock 06:11
(06:11) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC23, for 0 yards to the UNC23 (#23 H.Barth)
(05:34) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNC31 (#29 D.Davis; #32 M.Leigber)
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC32 (#11 T.Tafiti)
(04:34) #96 T.Maginness punt 44 yards to the STA24 fair catch by #13 L.Thorpe at STA24
(04:27) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #0 C.High caught at STA39, for 15 yards to the STA39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
(03:54) Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STA44 (#92 C.Mims)
(03:18) Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush middle for 0 yards to the STA44 (#6 D.Robinson)
(02:33) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #25 M.Brown caught at STA50, for 7 yards to the UNC49 (#21 K.Cost), 1ST DOWN
(01:58) #20 M.Ford rush left for 3 yards gain to the UNC46 (#7 K.House)
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #20 M.Ford caught at STA50, for 8 yards to the UNC38 (#7 K.House), 1ST DOWN
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #3 C.Williams thrown to UNC05
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #0 C.High caught at UNC35, for 4 yards to the UNC34 (#7 K.House), out of bounds
(01:02) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #3 C.Williams caught at UNC30, for 6 yards to the UNC28 (#29 M.Allen), 1ST DOWN
(00:56) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #86 S.Roush caught at UNC25, for 3 yards to the UNC25, out of bounds at UNC25
(00:54) Shotgun #2 E.Brown sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UNC32 (#8 S.Vilbert) PENALTY STA Holding declined
(00:31) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Williams thrown to UNC25 PENALTY UNC Pass Interference (#29 M.Allen) 7 yards from UNC32 to UNC25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(00:23) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #0 C.High caught at UNC17, for 8 yards to the UNC17 (#31 W.Hardy), out of bounds
(00:18) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short left to #0 C.High thrown to UNC00
(00:18) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #0 C.High caught at UNC15, for 2 yards to the UNC15 (#7 K.House), 1ST DOWN
(00:08) Shotgun #2 E.Brown sacked for loss of 5 yards to the UNC20 (#40 T.Thompson)
Emmet Kenney 38 Yd Field Goal
(14:58) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC40, for 15 yards to the UNC40 (#29 D.Davis), 1ST DOWN
PENALTY UNC Illegal Snap (#58 A.Blaske) 5 yards from UNC40 to UNC35. NO PLAY
(14:03) Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNC34 (#5 J.Green; #98 Z.Buckey)
(13:27) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #9 J.Green caught at UNC35, for 4 yards to the UNC38 (#6 C.Wright), out of bounds
(12:47) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #37 D.Gause caught at UNC40, for 18 yards to the STA44 (#35 M.Rose), 1ST DOWN
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STA41 (#91 C.Patterson; #11 T.Tafiti)
(11:49) Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 1 yard loss to the STA42 (#0 J.Galvan)
(11:15) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #37 D.Gause caught at STA44, for 13 yards to the STA29 (#35 M.Rose), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
PENALTY UNC False Start (#1 J.Shipp) 5 yards from STA29 to STA34. NO PLAY
(10:33) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush middle for 6 yards gain to the STA28 (#0 J.Galvan; #91 C.Patterson)
(09:57) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 K.Paysour caught at STA22, for 10 yards to the STA18 (#9 B.Nicholson), 1ST DOWN
(09:15) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez sacked for loss of 2 yards to the STA20 (#94 A.Franklin, #11 T.Tafiti)
(08:31) Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 0 yards to the STA20 (#35 M.Rose)
Davion Gause 20 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Rece Verhoff Kick)
(07:41) #33 C.Tabb rush right for 25 yards gain to the STA50 (#7 K.House), 1ST DOWN
(07:00) Shotgun #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC49 (#91 L.Jackson)
(06:19) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #20 M.Ford thrown to STA46 QB hurried by #2 A.Simpson PENALTY STA Intentional Grounding (#2 E.Brown)
(06:13) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #86 S.Roush caught at STA43, for 10 yards to the STA50 (#18 J.Patterson)
(05:36) #37 A.Flintoft punt 45 yards to the UNC05
PENALTY UNC False Start (#73 W.O'Steen) 2 yards from UNC05 to UNC03. NO PLAY
(05:25) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Paysour thrown to UNC32 QB hurried by #11 T.Tafiti. #75 B.Marceau-Olayinka injured on the play
(05:20) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC07, for 7 yards to the UNC10 (#21 S.Edwards)
(04:40) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 K.Paysour caught at UNC17, for 9 yards to the UNC19 (#9 B.Nicholson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(04:15) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC30, for 11 yards to the UNC30, out of bounds at UNC30 PENALTY UNC Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#73 W.O'Steen) 5 yards from UNC19 to UNC14. NO PLAY
(03:56) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC17 (#11 T.Tafiti)
(03:12) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Paysour thrown to STA45 PENALTY STA Pass Interference (#6 C.Wright) 15 yards from UNC17 to UNC32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(03:08) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #9 J.Green caught at UNC32, for 2 yards to the UNC34 (#39 C.Eckhardt)
(02:41) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Paysour thrown to STA47 broken up by #39 C.Eckhardt
(02:35) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left thrown to STA48 QB hurried by #35 M.Rose and #30 E.Dubre
(02:28) #96 T.Maginness punt 51 yards to the STA15, out of bounds at STA15
(02:20) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 1 yard gain to the STA16 (#92 C.Mims). #92 C.Mims injured on the play
(01:51) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #3 C.Williams caught at STA20, for 4 yards to the STA20 (#29 M.Allen)
(01:15) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass intercepted by #7 K.House at STA34 QB hurried by #6 D.Robinson #7 K.House return 13 yards to the STA21 (#11 B.Farrell) PENALTY UNC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#2 A.Simpson) 15 yards from STA21 to STA36
(01:05) Shotgun #12 D.June rush middle for 0 yards to the STA36 (#35 M.Rose) PENALTY UNC Holding (#66 J.Hall) 10 yards from STA36 to STA46. NO PLAY
(00:54) Shotgun #28 B.Hall rush middle for 1 yard loss to the STA47 (#35 M.Rose)
(00:16) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC48, for 6 yards to the STA41 (#5 J.Green; #94 A.Franklin)
Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 K.Paysour caught at STA33, for 11 yards to the STA30 (#6 C.Wright)
Rece Verhoff 48 Yd Field Goal
(14:15) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #11 B.Farrell thrown to STA30
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #11 B.Farrell thrown to STA44 QB hurried by #8 S.Vilbert
(14:06) Shotgun #2 E.Brown sacked for loss of 7 yards to the STA18 (#40 T.Thompson)
(13:19) #37 A.Flintoft punt 44 yards to the UNC38 #31 W.Hardy return 5 yards to the UNC43 (#18 M.Libman; #28 S.Neely III) PENALTY UNC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from STA18 to STA23. NO PLAY
(13:10) #37 A.Flintoft punt 42 yards to the UNC35 fair catch by #9 J.Green at UNC35 PENALTY STA Illegal Motion (#18 M.Libman) 5 yards from UNC35 to UNC40
(13:04) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep right to #9 J.Green thrown to STA20
(12:59) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #27 J.McGill caught at UNC42, for 5 yards to the UNC45 (#75 B.Marceau-Olayinka)
Jordan Shipp 55 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Rece Verhoff Kick)
(12:00) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #0 C.High thrown to STA36
(11:57) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #86 S.Roush caught at STA27, for 4 yards to the STA29 (#21 K.Cost)
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #0 C.High caught at STA43, for 23 yards to the UNC48 (#5 G.Gibson; #12 G.Smith III), 1ST DOWN
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC45 (#5 G.Gibson)
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC42 (#29 M.Allen; #7 K.House)
(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #20 M.Ford caught at UNC43, for 19 yards to the UNC23 (#31 W.Hardy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNC15 (#21 K.Cost)
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #0 C.High caught at UNC12, for 14 yards to the UNC01 (#29 M.Allen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Cole Tabb 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
(08:21) Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNC15 (#21 S.Edwards)
(07:48) Shotgun #37 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC18 (#0 J.Galvan)
(07:05) #85 S.Clower rush right for 12 yards gain to the UNC30 (#6 C.Wright), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY STA Tripping (#39 C.Eckhardt) 15 yards from UNC30 to UNC45, 1ST DOWN
(06:34) #37 D.Gause rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNC47 (#45 O.Staples)
(05:55) Shotgun #28 B.Hall rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC49 (#35 M.Rose; #0 J.Galvan)
(05:09) Shotgun #7 G.Lopez rush left for 4 yards loss to the UNC45 (#0 J.Galvan)
(05:04) #96 T.Maginness punt 55 yards to the STA00, Touchback
(04:57) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #86 S.Roush caught at STA21, for 12 yards to the STA32 (#2 A.Simpson; #7 K.House), 1ST DOWN
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #20 M.Ford thrown to STA34 QB hurried by #91 L.Jackson
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #86 S.Roush caught at STA32, for 8 yards to the STA40 (#15 T.Miller)
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STA45 (#94 I.Johnson), 1ST DOWN
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #11 B.Farrell thrown to UNC20 PENALTY STA Pass Interference (#11 B.Farrell) 15 yards from STA45 to STA30. NO PLAY
(03:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #86 S.Roush caught at STA39, for 12 yards to the STA42 (#7 K.House)
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #0 C.High caught at STA44, for 7 yards to the STA49, out of bounds at STA49
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #3 C.Williams caught at UNC46, for 8 yards to the UNC43 (#7 K.House), 1ST DOWN
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #11 B.Farrell caught at UNC25, for 19 yards to the UNC24 (#18 J.Patterson), 1ST DOWN
CJ Williams 24 Yd pass from Elijah Brown (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
(01:44) #37 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards loss to the STA50 (#29 D.Davis)
(01:44) #37 D.Gause rush right for 4 yards gain to the STA46 (#75 B.Marceau-Olayinka)
(01:39) #37 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STA43 (#91 C.Patterson; #0 J.Galvan)
(00:52) #96 T.Maginness punt 23 yards to the STA20, out of bounds at STA20
(00:42) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #86 S.Roush thrown to STA20 broken up by #40 T.Thompson
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #0 C.High caught at STA32, for 12 yards to the STA32 (#15 T.Miller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #3 C.Williams thrown to STA44 broken up by #7 K.House
PENALTY STA False Start (#0 C.High) 5 yards from STA32 to STA27. NO PLAY
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown sacked for loss of 10 yards to the STA17 (#9 M.Abou Jaoude)
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #0 C.High caught at STA21, for 9 yards to the STA26 (#15 T.Miller), out of bounds
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #0 C.High caught at STA24, for 16 yards to the STA42 lateral to #20 M.Ford for 8 yards gain to the STA42 (#15 T.Miller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN