House Prediction
Model Margin
Indiana by 36.4
Home Win Probability
Indiana 97%
Market (Bovada)
Indiana -28
fitted_v1 · Nov 15, 2025
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Indiana dominates Wisconsin 31-7 in Week 12 matchup
Indiana overwhelmed Wisconsin 31-7 on Saturday in Week 12, with the Hoosiers controlling most of the contest. Indiana scored touchdowns in the first and third quarters, while Wisconsin managed only a single touchdown in the second quarter.
Wisconsin's Carter Smith led all passers with 98 yards, connecting with Lance Mason on a 45-yard touchdown pass in the second quarter that briefly cut into Indiana's lead. However, the Badgers' offense stalled for much of the game, scoring just once.
Indiana's offense proved far more effective throughout. Quarterback Frankie Mendoza orchestrated multiple scoring drives, with receiver Cole Becker catching a 31-yard touchdown pass in the first quarter and another 48-yard reception in the third. Running back R. Nowakowski added a short-yardage touchdown in the third quarter as well. Indiana receiver Kaelon Black led all receivers with 9 catches.
The Hoosiers scored in three different quarters, demonstrating balanced offensive execution. Indiana's defense also made key stops, highlighted by a defensive play generating 5.43 EPA in the second quarter that helped shift momentum decisively in their favor.
AI-generated recap · Jul 29, 2026
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wisconsin | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
 Indiana | 7 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 31 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Wisconsin | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 9-15 | 23-25 |
| Pass Yards | 98 | 305 |
| Rush Yards | 70 | 83 |
| Total Yards | 168 | 388 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| 3rd Down | 2-11 | 7-12 |
| Penalties | 1-5 | 1-10 |
| Possession | 26:02 | 33:58 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
(15:00) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush right for 3 yards gain to the WIS28 (#6 M.Kamara; #97 M.Landino)
(14:24) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short middle to #34 J.Acker caught at WIS26, for 19 yards to the WIS47 (#7 L.Moore; #97 M.Landino), 1ST DOWN
(13:44) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Kekahuna thrown to IND49 broken up by #5 D.Ponds
(13:41) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS49 (#6 M.Kamara; #7 L.Moore)
(13:03) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 9 yards gain to the IND42 (#5 D.Ponds), 1ST DOWN
(12:25) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush left for 1 yard gain to the IND41 (#21 R.Hardy; #97 M.Landino)
(11:44) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short middle to #87 J.McGohan caught at IND36, for 5 yards to the IND36 (#46 I.Jones; #4 A.Fisher)
(11:04) Shotgun #2 T.Kekahuna rush right for 3 yards gain to the IND33 (#1 A.Ferrell; #7 L.Moore)
(10:17) #10 G.Ituka rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND31 (#14 K.Turner), 1ST DOWN
(09:36) #5 C.Smith sacked for loss of 7 yards to the IND38 (#91 D.Ratcliff)
(08:54) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush right for 3 yards gain to the IND35 (#4 A.Fisher; #6 M.Kamara)
(08:07) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short middle to #8 V.Anthony II caught at IND37, for 8 yards to the IND27, End Of Play
(07:23) #90 N.Vakos field goal attempt from 44 yards NO GOOD (H: #49 A.Bertrams, LS: #46 N.Levy), clock 07:21
(07:21) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND35, for 7 yards to the IND35, out of bounds at IND35
(06:54) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at IND41, for 7 yards to the IND42 (#2 R.Hallman; #19 T.Heiberger), 1ST DOWN
(06:20) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND46 (#22 M.Reiger)
(05:44) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #19 H.Staes caught at IND42, for 5 yards to the WIS49 (#29 M.Jung)
(05:06) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WIS42 (#44 C.Catalano), 1ST DOWN
(04:30) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to WIS28 QB hurried by #95 B.Lane Jr.
(04:24) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #8 K.Black caught at WIS45, for 9 yards to the WIS33 (#1 G.Latimer)
(03:44) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS31 (#8 M.Posa; #5 D.Hill), 1ST DOWN
(03:01) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete deep left to #80 C.Becker caught at WIS00, for 31 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:56, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
(02:56) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush left for 1 yard loss to the WIS24 (#17 D.Ndukwe)
(02:16) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short left to #1 C.Brooks Jr. caught at WIS29, for 12 yards to the WIS36 (#7 L.Moore; #17 D.Ndukwe), 1ST DOWN
(01:36) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete deep left to #6 D.Dupree thrown to IND33
(01:31) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush right for 2 yards loss to the WIS34 (#95 T.Tucker)
(00:50) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short right to #6 D.Dupree caught at WIS29, for 4 yards loss to the WIS30 (#22 J.Sharpe)
(00:12) #91 S.West punt 52 yards to the IND18
(14:58) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND21, for 8 yards to the IND26 (#15 S.Cheeks; #0 C.Alliegro)
(14:38) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush left for 5 yards gain to the IND31 (#0 C.Alliegro; #29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWN
(13:58) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at IND38, for 13 yards to the IND44 (#5 D.Hill), 1ST DOWN
(13:20) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard loss to the IND43 (#30 C.Perkins)
(12:43) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at IND50, for 9 yards to the WIS48 (#5 D.Hill), out of bounds
(12:10) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 7 yards to the IND45 (#8 M.Posa)
(11:30) #44 M.McCarthy punt 34 yards to the WIS21 #3 T.Henry return 3 yards to the WIS24 (#10 R.Gandy)
(11:24) #5 C.Smith sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WIS21 (#21 R.Hardy)
(10:47) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WIS28 (#4 A.Fisher)
(10:02) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short right to #8 V.Anthony II thrown to WIS27
(09:57) #91 S.West punt 54 yards to the IND18 #0 J.Brady return 16 yards to the IND34 (#43 G.Bortolotti; #46 N.Levy)
(09:44) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 4 yards to the IND30 (#17 D.Peterson)
(09:07) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND37 (#29 M.Jung; #1 G.Latimer)
(08:39) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep left to #80 C.Becker thrown to WIS40 PENALTY WIS Offside (#15 S.Cheeks) 5 yards from IND37 to IND42. NO PLAY
(08:31) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND43 (#31 J.Suggs)
(07:51) #44 M.McCarthy punt 36 yards to the WIS21 fair catch by #3 T.Henry at WIS21
(07:44) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush right for 14 yards gain to the WIS35 (#22 J.Sharpe; #4 A.Fisher), 1ST DOWN
(07:06) Shotgun #2 T.Kekahuna rush right for 4 yards gain to the WIS39 (#12 D.Boykin), out of bounds
(06:32) Shotgun #8 V.Anthony II rush right for 5 yards gain to the WIS44 (#5 D.Ponds), out of bounds
(05:54) #34 J.Acker rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS46 (#14 K.Turner; #0 H.Wheeler), 1ST DOWN
(05:15) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short right to #10 G.Ituka thrown to WIS39 QB hurried by #21 R.Hardy
(05:12) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short left to #13 E.Hilton Jr. caught at IND48, for 6 yards to the IND48, End Of Play
(04:26) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND45 (#46 I.Jones; #17 D.Ndukwe)
(03:48) #5 C.Smith pass complete short middle to #86 L.Mason caught at IND27, for 45 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:42, 1ST DOWN #90 N.Vakos kick attempt good (H: #49 A.Bertrams, LS: #46 N.Levy)
(03:40) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IND30 (#92 C.Walker; #8 M.Posa). #67 K.Benson injured on the play
(03:14) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND34 (#8 M.Posa; #44 C.Catalano)
(02:43) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND37 (#5 D.Hill; #9 A.Brown), 1ST DOWN
(02:11) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at IND41, for 5 yards to the IND42 (#8 M.Posa), out of bounds
(02:00) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at IND40, for 37 yards to the WIS21 (#9 A.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(01:51) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 6 yards to the WIS27 (#22 M.Reiger, #17 D.Peterson)
(01:42) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep middle to #80 C.Becker thrown to WIS00
(01:39) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #1 R.Hemby caught at WIS33, for 8 yards to the WIS19 (#1 G.Latimer; #8 M.Posa)
(00:57) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 00:55
(00:48) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS31 (#46 I.Jones)
(00:10) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush right for 6 yards gain to the WIS37 (#4 A.Fisher)
(14:58) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 0 yards to the IND25 (#5 D.Hill)
(14:27) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 2 yards gain to the IND27 (#5 D.Hill; #8 M.Posa)
(13:53) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete deep middle to #80 C.Becker caught at WIS34, for 48 yards to the WIS25 (#9 A.Brown), 1ST DOWN
(13:05) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS21 (#95 B.Lane Jr.; #99 P.Petersen)
(12:32) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 8 yards gain to the WIS13 (#29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWN
(11:55) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at WIS08, for 5 yards to the WIS08 (#5 D.Hill)
(11:17) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WIS02 (#5 D.Hill), 1ST DOWN
(10:56) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 0 yards to the WIS02 (#15 S.Cheeks; #30 C.Perkins)
(10:19) #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #19 H.Staes caught at WIS00, for 2 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:19 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
(10:11) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short right to #10 G.Ituka caught at WIS28, for 0 yards to the WIS34 (#21 R.Hardy)
(09:31) Shotgun #2 T.Kekahuna rush left for 6 yards gain to the WIS40 (#22 J.Sharpe; #7 L.Moore)
(08:47) Shotgun #10 G.Ituka rush right for 3 yards loss to the WIS37 (#8 S.Daley). #10 G.Ituka injured on the play
(08:24) #91 S.West punt 49 yards to the IND14 #0 J.Brady return 18 yards to the IND32 (#34 C.Jarvis)
(08:13) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND36 (#17 D.Peterson)
(07:42) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 9 yards to the IND27 (#17 D.Peterson)
(07:02) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND40, for 13 yards to the IND40 (#6 O.Agard), out of bounds
(06:28) #44 M.McCarthy punt 48 yards to the WIS12 #3 T.Henry return 10 yards to the WIS22 (#47 M.Langston)
(06:19) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS26 (#4 A.Fisher)
(05:41) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush right for 3 yards loss to the WIS23 (#8 S.Daley)
(05:00) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 2 yards loss to the WIS21 fumbled by #5 C.Smith at WIS21 forced by #8 S.Daley recovered by IND #0 H.Wheeler at WIS21, End Of Play
(04:50) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at WIS15, for 21 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:44, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
(04:42) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS27 (#91 D.Ratcliff)
(04:03) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass complete short left to #1 C.Brooks Jr. caught at WIS32, for 7 yards to the WIS34 (#12 D.Boykin; #4 A.Fisher)
(03:23) #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 0 yards to the WIS34 (#8 S.Daley; #91 D.Ratcliff)
(02:33) #91 S.West punt 47 yards to the IND19 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND19
(02:26) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND26 (#8 M.Posa)
(01:53) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND30 (#29 M.Jung; #31 J.Suggs), 1ST DOWN
(01:08) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 6 yards gain to the IND36 (#19 T.Heiberger)
(00:28) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND50, for 14 yards to the IND50, out of bounds at IND50, 1ST DOWN
(14:58) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush right for 6 yards gain to the WIS44 (#6 O.Agard)
(14:25) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush right for 3 yards gain to the WIS41 (#8 M.Posa)
(13:45) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS39 (#17 D.Peterson), 1ST DOWN
(13:08) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WIS38 (#68 B.Barten; #17 D.Peterson)
(12:29) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at WIS36, for 2 yards to the WIS36 (#9 A.Brown)
(11:53) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WIS39 (#44 C.Catalano)
(11:02) #44 M.McCarthy punt 19 yards to the WIS20, out of bounds at WIS20
(10:56) Shotgun #5 C.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS24 (#46 I.Jones; #17 D.Ndukwe)
(10:20) Shotgun #86 L.Mason rush right for 7 yards gain to the WIS31 (#21 R.Hardy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(09:47) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass intercepted by #12 D.Boykin at WIS48, End Of Play
(09:42) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS44 (#99 P.Petersen; #6 O.Agard)
(09:02) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 11 yards gain to the WIS33 (#9 A.Brown), out of bounds PENALTY IND Holding (#74 B.Lynch) 10 yards from WIS44 to IND46. NO PLAY
(08:46) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #0 J.Brady caught at IND45, for 11 yards to the WIS43 (#92 C.Walker), out of bounds
(08:05) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at WIS33, for 10 yards to the WIS33 (#9 A.Brown), 1ST DOWN
(07:23) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS31 (#99 P.Petersen)
(06:38) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at WIS16, for 29 yards to the WIS02 (#29 M.Jung), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(06:00) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards loss to the WIS05 (#30 C.Perkins)
(05:22) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at WIS00, for 5 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:21 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
(05:15) Shotgun #3 T.Henry rush right for 0 yards to the WIS28 (#21 R.Hardy)
(04:37) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush left for 1 yard gain to the WIS29 (#21 R.Hardy; #7 L.Moore)
(03:52) Shotgun #5 C.Smith pass incomplete short left to #8 V.Anthony II thrown to WIS32 broken up by #21 R.Hardy
(03:50) #91 S.West punt 53 yards to the IND18
(03:36) Shotgun #16 A.Mendoza pass complete short left to #6 L.Bond caught at IND22, for 6 yards to the IND24 (#9 A.Brown; #5 D.Hill)
(02:59) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND27 (#95 B.Lane Jr.; #44 C.Catalano)
(02:21) Shotgun #16 A.Mendoza rush left for 2 yards gain to the IND29 (#8 M.Posa), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(02:00) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND36 (#8 M.Posa; #44 C.Catalano)
(01:16) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush left for 5 yards gain to the IND41 (#92 C.Walker; #8 M.Posa), 1ST DOWN
(00:35) Shotgun #18 S.Vanhorse rush right for 2 yards gain to the IND43 (#15 S.Cheeks; #30 C.Perkins)