House Prediction
Model Margin
USC by 16.9
Home Win Probability
USC 85%
Market (Bovada)
USC -14.5
fitted_v1 · Nov 8, 2025
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Northwestern | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
 USC | 7 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 38 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Northwestern | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 20-30 | 25-34 |
| Pass Yards | 150 | 309 |
| Rush Yards | 130 | 173 |
| Total Yards | 280 | 482 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| 3rd Down | 4-12 | 6-11 |
| Penalties | 2-26 | 4-30 |
| Possession | 27:24 | 32:36 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
(14:56) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #87 L.McRee caught at USC23, for 5 yards to the USC23 (#18 G.Wallace)
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #30 K.Miller caught at USC16, for 2 yards to the USC25 (#33 B.Brus)
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #6 M.Lemon caught at USC26, for 19 yards to the USC44 (#6 R.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWN
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USC45 (#1 C.Bastone). #1 C.Bastone injured on the play
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #87 L.McRee caught at USC50, for 5 yards to the USC50 (#33 B.Brus)
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #85 W.Lyons caught at NU41, for 9 yards to the NU41 (#2 F.Davis II), 1ST DOWN
(12:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep middle to #6 M.Lemon thrown to NU00
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 12 yards gain to the NU29 (#37 M.Uihlein; #6 R.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWN
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #8 J.Lane caught at NU21, for 8 yards to the NU21 (#33 B.Brus)
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short middle to #87 L.McRee thrown to NU18
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NU20 (#37 M.Uihlein)
(10:04) No Huddle #14 J.Maiava rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU18 (#37 M.Uihlein), 1ST DOWN
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the NU18 (#1 C.Bastone; #91 A.Hubbard)
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #8 J.Lane caught at NU08, for 11 yards to the NU07 (#9 B.Turner), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NU Pass Interference declined
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #6 M.Lemon caught at NU07, for 0 yards to the NU07 (#33 B.Brus)
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #6 M.Lemon caught at NU04, for 7 yards to the NU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:46 #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)
(07:46) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU27 (#97 J.Abasiri)
(07:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short middle to #19 D.Wagner caught at NU33, for 6 yards to the NU33 (#7 K.Ramsey)
(06:31) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU35 (#97 J.Abasiri), 1ST DOWN
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #19 D.Wagner caught at NU33, for 6 yards to the NU41 (#24 C.Pierce), out of bounds
(05:25) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 14 yards gain to the USC45 (#18 E.Gentry), 1ST DOWN
(04:45) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #5 C.Komolafe caught at USC50, for 9 yards to the USC36 (#25 M.Williams), out of bounds
(04:11) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USC31 (#7 K.Ramsey), 1ST DOWN
(03:28) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USC26 (#1 K.Crawford)
(02:43) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right thrown to USC26 QB hurried by #18 E.Gentry
(02:36) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #5 C.Komolafe caught at USC22, for 18 yards to the USC08 (#23 D.Stephens II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USC07 (#6 A.Lucas)
(01:33) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USC04 (#25 M.Williams; #18 E.Gentry)
(00:49) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at USC02, for 4 yards to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:45 #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)
(00:39) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 4 yards gain to the USC46 (#37 M.Uihlein)
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short middle to #87 L.McRee thrown to USC45
(15:00) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 0 yards to the USC46 (#37 M.Uihlein; #18 G.Wallace)
(14:24) #80 S.Huard pass complete short left to #16 T.Hines caught at NU45, for 10 yards to the NU44, out of bounds at NU44, 1ST DOWN
(13:48) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep right to #6 M.Lemon caught at NU20, for 24 yards to the NU20, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush right for 11 yards gain to the NU09 (#6 R.Fitzgerald), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(12:52) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU07 (#95 N.Story)
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #30 K.Miller caught at NU06, for 1 yard to the NU06 (#6 R.Fitzgerald; #13 J.Fussell)
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush right for 6 yards gain to the NU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:27 #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)
(11:27) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #19 D.Wagner caught at NU24, for 8 yards to the NU33 (#25 M.Williams)
(10:51) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 9 yards gain to the NU42 (#19 B.Fitzgerald; #7 K.Ramsey), 1ST DOWN
(10:27) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #80 H.Eligon II caught at NU46, for 5 yards to the NU47 (#17 D.Nicholson)
(09:46) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush right for 8 yards gain to the USC45 (#23 D.Stephens II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(09:11) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #19 D.Wagner caught at USC49, for 6 yards to the USC39 (#7 K.Ramsey)
(08:28) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 37 yards gain to the USC02 (#7 K.Ramsey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(07:43) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:26 #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)
(07:26) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep middle to #87 L.McRee caught at USC48, for 42 yards to the NU33 (#33 B.Brus), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(07:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #6 M.Lemon caught at NU30, for 3 yards to the NU30 (#9 B.Turner)
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep right to #16 T.Hines caught at NU00, for 30 yards to the NU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:20 PENALTY USC Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#74 J.Tauanuu) 5 yards from NU30 to NU35. NO PLAY
(06:20) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep middle to #6 M.Lemon thrown to NU05
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava sacked for loss of 9 yards to the NU44 (#95 N.Story)
(05:25) #80 S.Johnson punt 23 yards to the NU21
(05:16) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #10 R.Ahumaraeze thrown to NU26 broken up by #19 B.Fitzgerald
(05:12) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NU24 (#1 K.Crawford; #18 E.Gentry)
(04:23) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #5 C.Komolafe caught at NU18, for 6 yards to the NU30 (#10 B.Shelby; #24 C.Pierce), out of bounds
(03:39) #11 L.Akers punt 49 yards to the USC21 fair catch by #6 M.Lemon at USC21
(03:32) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 3 yards gain to the USC24 (#18 G.Wallace)
(02:47) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 55 yards gain to the NU25 (#2 F.Davis II), 1ST DOWN
(02:00) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #8 J.Lane caught at NU12, for 13 yards to the NU12, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 12 yards gain to the NU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:24, 1ST DOWN #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)
(01:19) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NU31 (#97 J.Abasiri)
(01:15) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #19 D.Wagner thrown to USC50
(01:10) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete deep right to #17 G.Wilde thrown to USC45 broken up by #17 D.Nicholson
(01:04) #11 L.Akers punt 46 yards to the USC23 fair catch by #6 M.Lemon at USC23
(00:57) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep right to #16 T.Hines thrown to NU48
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #8 J.Lane caught at USC28, for 5 yards to the USC28 (#33 B.Brus)
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep right to #6 M.Lemon thrown to NU45 broken up by #7 O.Adeyi
(00:24) #80 S.Johnson punt 41 yards to the NU31 fair catch by #19 D.Wagner at NU31 PENALTY USC Illegal Formation (#10 B.Shelby) 5 yards from NU31 to NU36
(00:18) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short middle to #5 C.Komolafe caught at NU40, for 8 yards to the NU44 (#23 D.Stephens II; #22 B.Conley). #1 K.Crawford injured on the play
(00:03) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush left for 7 yards gain to the NU50 fumbled by #41 R.Preckel at NU50 forced by #97 J.Abasiri recovered by USC #6 A.Lucas at NU50, End Of Play
(00:09) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #5 C.Komolafe caught at NU40, for 1 yard loss to the NU43 (#10 B.Shelby)
(15:00) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at NU26, for 3 yards to the NU28 (#22 B.Conley)
(14:22) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 21 yards gain to the NU49 (#19 B.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWN
(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at NU45, for 0 yards to the NU49 (#17 D.Nicholson)
(13:13) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete deep right to #17 G.Wilde thrown to USC25 broken up by #22 B.Conley
(13:07) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 7 yards gain to the USC44 (#8 D.Thompkins)
(12:16) #11 L.Akers punt 35 yards to the USC09 fair catch by #6 M.Lemon at USC09
(12:08) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #6 M.Lemon caught at USC17, for 14 yards to the USC23 (#6 R.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWN
(11:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep middle to #6 M.Lemon caught at NU48, for 52 yards to the NU25 (#2 F.Davis II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep right to #6 M.Lemon thrown to NU02
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 0 yards to the NU25 (#37 M.Uihlein)
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #8 J.Lane caught at NU12, for 13 yards to the NU12, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU10 (#6 R.Fitzgerald)
PENALTY USC False Start (#77 A.Noa) 5 yards from NU10 to NU15. NO PLAY
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 5 yards gain to the NU10 (#37 M.Uihlein)
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #8 J.Lane caught at NU00, for 10 yards to the NU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:56, 1ST DOWN #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)
(07:56) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU27 (#18 E.Gentry; #1 K.Crawford)
(07:05) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete deep left to #17 G.Wilde thrown to USC48 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (#22 B.Conley) 15 yards from NU27 to NU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(07:00) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #84 H.Welcing caught at NU38, for 4 yards loss to the NU38 (#22 B.Conley)
(06:15) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #80 H.Eligon II caught at USC49, for 13 yards to the USC49, out of bounds at USC49
(05:46) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 0 yards to the USC49 (#7 K.Ramsey)
(05:03) #86 L.Albright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USC47 (#4 J.Stewart), 1ST DOWN
(04:23) #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #86 L.Albright caught at USC45, for 3 yards to the USC44 (#17 D.Nicholson)
(03:42) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush left for 0 yards to the USC44 (#22 B.Conley)
(02:52) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep right to #10 R.Ahumaraeze caught at USC16, for 32 yards to the USC12 (#22 B.Conley), 1ST DOWN. #60 E.Beerntsen injured on the play
(02:00) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #84 H.Welcing thrown to USC00
(01:55) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USC10 (#9 K.Silver)
(01:10) Shotgun #8 P.Stone sacked for loss of 5 yards to the USC15 (#97 J.Abasiri)
(00:20) #82 J.Olsen field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine), clock 00:17
(00:17) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #6 M.Lemon caught at USC30, for 11 yards to the USC36 (#18 G.Wallace), 1ST DOWN
(15:00) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 4 yards loss to the USC32 (#37 M.Uihlein)
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #8 J.Lane caught at USC44, for 14 yards to the USC46 (#7 O.Adeyi), 1ST DOWN
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 13 yards gain to the NU41 (#6 R.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWN
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #6 M.Lemon caught at NU25, for 19 yards to the NU22 (#13 J.Fussell), 1ST DOWN
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #6 M.Lemon caught at NU25, for 3 yards to the NU19 (#9 B.Turner), out of bounds
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short right to #8 J.Lane thrown to NU00 PENALTY NU Pass Interference (#9 B.Turner) 15 yards from NU19 to NU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(11:18) No Huddle #6 M.Lemon rush left for 4 yards gain to the NU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:14 #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)
(11:08) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at NU34, for 16 yards to the NU38 (#25 M.Williams), 1ST DOWN
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NU42 (#92 C.Jones)
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #84 H.Welcing caught at NU43, for 6 yards to the NU48 (#19 B.Fitzgerald), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 5 yards gain to the USC47 (#24 C.Pierce)
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete deep right to #19 D.Wagner thrown to USC25
(09:28) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short middle thrown to USC47 QB hurried by #7 K.Ramsey
(09:25) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short middle to #10 R.Ahumaraeze thrown to USC29 broken up by #17 D.Nicholson, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
(09:19) Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NU47 (#1 C.Bastone)
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 18 yards gain to the NU29 (#18 G.Wallace), 1ST DOWN
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush left for 0 yards to the NU29 (#37 M.Uihlein; #47 M.Kilbane)
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #6 M.Lemon caught at NU21, for 9 yards to the NU20 (#13 J.Fussell), out of bounds PENALTY NU Face Mask (#13 J.Fussell) 11 yard from NU20 to NU09, 1ST DOWN
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NU08 (#37 M.Uihlein)
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NU03 (#91 A.Hubbard). #50 J.Reed injured on the play
(04:53) Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short right to #87 L.McRee thrown to NU02 broken up by #33 B.Brus
(04:44) #48 R.Sayeri field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper), clock 04:40
(04:40) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #10 R.Ahumaraeze caught at NU29, for 6 yards to the NU31 (#22 B.Conley; #14 T.Robinson)
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone sacked for loss of 10 yards to the NU21 (#4 J.Stewart)
(03:28) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete deep middle to #17 G.Wilde thrown to NU48 broken up by #24 C.Pierce
(03:21) #11 L.Akers punt 51 yards to the USC28 #44 J.Zamora return 5 yards to the USC33 (#18 G.Wallace), out of bounds
(03:13) Shotgun #25 H.Dalton III rush right for 4 yards gain to the USC37 (#6 R.Fitzgerald)
(02:26) Shotgun #25 H.Dalton III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USC40 (#44 C.Campbell)
(02:00) Shotgun #25 H.Dalton III rush left for 12 yards gain to the NU48 (#37 M.Uihlein), 1ST DOWN
(01:17) Shotgun #27 R.Wormley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NU42 (#33 B.Brus; #9 B.Turner)
(00:29) Kneel down by USC at NU43 for loss of 1 yard