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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2025Week 4
Conference Game

USC Tops Michigan State 45-31 in Week 4 Matchup

USC defeated Michigan State 45-31 in Week 4 play, with the Trojans controlling most of the contest despite the Spartans covering the 18.5-point spread. The game finished over the 55.5-point total.

USC built an early advantage, scoring 10 points in the first quarter before extending the lead to 24-10 by halftime. Michigan State mounted a second-half comeback, scoring 14 third-quarter points to narrow the gap, but USC's fourth-quarter execution proved decisive.

Jayden Maiava led USC's offense with 234 passing yards, while Eli Sanders rushed for 84 yards. Tanook Hines was the team's top receiver with seven catches. Michigan State's offensive efforts were highlighted by several significant plays, including a 75-yard touchdown pass to Omari Kelly late in the fourth quarter that drew a roughing-the-passer penalty.

The game featured two lead changes and remained competitive throughout, with win probability shifting as much as 42.58 percentage points at its peak swing. USC's defense generated the game's most impactful plays, particularly in the fourth quarter when they recorded a 6.78 EPA defensive stop against Michigan State's offense.

AI-generated recap · Aug 14, 2026

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
7314731
USCUSC
101471445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-710-717-717-1024-1031-1731-2438-2445-2445-31
USCMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCMSUSCMSUSCMSUSCMSUSCMSMSUSCMSUSCMSUSCMSUSCMSFG1273ydTD675ydTD672ydPUNT615ydTD593ydPUNT37ydDOWNS544ydFG844ydTD1188ydMISS537ydPUNT3-2ydTD457ydTD1187ydTO17ydTD832ydTD1375ydDOWNS43ydTD728ydTD275yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and USC
StatisticMichigan StateUSC
Passing13-2320-26
Pass Yards225234
Rush Yards108283
Total Yards333517
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-118-11
Penalties5-489-67
Possession28:3928:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Aidan Chiles
12/21, 212 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Makhi Frazier
14 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Omari Kelly
6 REC, 133 YDS, 1 TD
defense
USC
passing
Jayden Maiava
20/26, 234 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Waymond Jordan
18 CAR, 157 YDS
receiving
Makai Lemon
8 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Waymond Jordan run for 2 yds to the USC 21

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Waymond Jordan run for 7 yds to the USC 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jaden Richardson for 12 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Eli Sanders run for no gain to the USC 42

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.52

Eli Sanders run for 18 yds to the MSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.42

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Waymond Jordan for 20 yds to the MSU 20 for a 1ST down Michigan State Penalty, Block Below Waist (Nikai Martinez) to the MSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-6 yds

PENALTY USC Delay Of Game 6 yards from MSU09 to MSU15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.50

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Eli Sanders for 11 yds to the MSU 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Waymond Jordan run for 1 yd to the MSU 3

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

(09:25) PENALTY USC False Start (O'Connor,Kilian) 5 yards from MSU03 to MSU08. NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jaden Richardson

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Ryon Sayeri 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Tullis run for 2 yds to the MSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 6 yds to the MSU 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Makhi Frazier run for 2 yds to the MSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(06:56) PENALTY MSU False Start (Ramil,Stanton) 5 yards from MSU35 to MSU30. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 9 yds to the MSU 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.11

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 19 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 42 yds for a TD (Martin Connington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Eli Sanders run for 12 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Eli Sanders run for 16 yds to the MSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.73

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 20 yds to the MSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the MSU 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Eli Sanders for 6 yds to the MSU 15

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.64

Jayden Maiava run for 15 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Brandon Tullis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 22

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Brandon Tullis run for 8 yds to the MSU 30

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.14

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds to the MSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(00:38) Chiles,Aidan pass incomplete short left to Kelly,Omari thrown to MSU50 PENALTY USC Holding (Williams,Marcelles) 10 yards from MSU33 to MSU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Omari Kelly for 2 yds to the MSU 45

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Brandon Tullis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 44

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.89

Aidan Chiles sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the MSU 38

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Makai Lemon at the USC 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.54

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 27 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Waymond Jordan run for 5 yds to the USC 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to DJ Jordan

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.99

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 6 yds to the MSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 40 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Makhi Frazier for 2 yds to the MSU 27

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.64

Makhi Frazier run for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 24

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Aidan Chiles run for 8 yds to the MSU 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Makai Lemon at the USC 11

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.58

Waymond Jordan run for 35 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jay Fair

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 6 yds to the MSU 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Walker Lyons

4th & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.94

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 3 yds to the MSU 45

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Aidan Chiles run for 8 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Makhi Frazier run for 15 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Omari Kelly pass complete to Michael Masunas for 13 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Omari Kelly for 11 yds to the USC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Omari Kelly pass incomplete to Aidan Chiles

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.48

Makhi Frazier run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Martin Connington 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Eli Sanders run for no gain to the USC 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Lake McRee

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jaden Richardson for 11 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Waymond Jordan for 5 yds to the USC 28

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden Maiava run for 2 yds to the USC 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.47

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 17 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Waymond Jordan run for 9 yds to the MSU 44

2nd & 1Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.24

Waymond Jordan run for 20 yds to the MSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Eli Sanders run for 15 yds to the MSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Waymond Jordan run for 2 yds to the MSU 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Tanook Hines for 7 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan Chiles run for 4 yds to the MSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nick Marsh

3rd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.75

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Omari Kelly for 33 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+56 yds

Martin Connington 56 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half-62 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Omari Kelly for 2 yds to the MSU 23

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Aidan Chiles run for no gain to the MSU 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+23 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 43 , Makai Lemon returns for 23 yds to the USC 43

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +1.89

Waymond Jordan run for 40 yds to the MSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Waymond Jordan run for 4 yds to the MSU 13

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the MSU 10

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.72

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Walker Lyons for 10 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Aidan Chiles run for 12 yds to the MSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Makhi Frazier run for 3 yds to the MSU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

(09:54) Eckley,Ryan punt 52 yards to the USC20 Lemon,Makai return 13 yards to the USC33 (Snow,Darius) PENALTY USC Running Into The Kicker (Robinson,Ta'Mere) 5 yards from MSU28 to MSU33. NO PLAY.

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

(09:42) Shotgun Chiles,Aidan pass incomplete short right to McCray,Chrishon thrown to MSU44 PENALTY USC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from MSU33 to MSU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nick Marsh

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(09:32) Shotgun Chiles,Aidan pass incomplete deep left to Marsh,Nick thrown to USC40 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Nicholson,DeCarlos) 15 yards from MSU38 to USC47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Makhi Frazier run for 7 yds to the USC 40

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Makhi Frazier run for 6 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Makhi Frazier run for 11 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Makhi Frazier run for 12 yds to the USC 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Makhi Frazier run for 2 yds to the USC 9

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

(06:06) Chiles,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Velling,Jack thrown to USC06 QB hurried by Shelby,Braylan PENALTY USC Illegal Use Of Hands (Silver,Keeshawn) 5 yards from USC09 to USC04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Aidan Chiles run for 4 yds for a TD (Martin Connington KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jayden Maiava pass complete to DJ Jordan for 7 yds DJ Jordan fumbled, recovered by MSU Grady Kelly

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Makhi Frazier run for 1 yd to the USC 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Omari Kelly for 14 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(04:39) Frazier,Makhi rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USC16 (Stephens II,Desman; Abasiri,Jide) PENALTY USC Offside (Lucas,Anthony) 5 yards from USC17 to USC12. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 1 yd to the USC 11

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Makhi Frazier run for 3 yds to the USC 8

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.48

Aidan Chiles run for 2 yds to the USC 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Makhi Frazier run for 4 yds to the USC 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Makhi Frazier run for 1 yd to the USC 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 1 yd for a TD (Martin Connington KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Waymond Jordan run for no gain to the USC 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Makai Lemon run for 7 yds to the USC 32

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Jayden Maiava run for 13 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Waymond Jordan run for 4 yds to the USC 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 10 yds to the MSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 4 yds to the MSU 37

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the MSU 34

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Eli Sanders run for no gain to the MSU 34

4th & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 10 yds to the MSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Waymond Jordan run for 11 yds to the MSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Waymond Jordan run for 3 yds to the MSU 10

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Waymond Jordan run for 1 yd to the MSU 9

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Maiava,Jayden pass incomplete short right to Richardson,Jaden thrown to MSU06 PENALTY MSU Face Mask (Willie,Ade) 5 yards from MSU09 to MSU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Makai Lemon run for 4 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon Tullis run for 3 yds to the MSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Brandon Tullis run for 1 yd to the MSU 29

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Aidan Chiles sacked by Braylan Shelby for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 28

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.20

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Omari Kelly

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Eli Sanders run for 9 yds to the MSU 19

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.47

Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the MSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Waymond Jordan run for 3 yds to the MSU 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Walker Lyons for 2 yds to the MSU 11

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.81

Waymond Jordan run for 5 yds to the MSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Waymond Jordan run for 5 yds to the MSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jayden Maiava run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nick Marsh

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.78

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Omari Kelly for 75 yds for a TD USC Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Anthony Lucas) to the USC 0

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
36%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
54%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
70%
10 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play