House Prediction
Model Margin
Florida by 4.6
Home Win Probability
Florida 62%
Market (Bovada)
Florida +1
fitted_v1 · Nov 29, 2025
Line Movement
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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
Florida Dominates Florida State 40-21 in Week 14 Rivalry
Florida defeated Florida State 40-21 on Saturday in Week 14, with the Gators controlling much of the contest. Florida jumped out to an early lead with 10 points in the first quarter and never relinquished it, extending their advantage to 17-14 by halftime before pulling away decisively in the second half with 14 third-quarter points.
Florida State's offense struggled throughout, with quarterback Thomas Castellanos completing passes for 240 yards but unable to generate sustained scoring drives. The Seminoles managed only a second-quarter surge that netted 14 points, but couldn't maintain momentum. Florida's defense made crucial plays, including a late interception by B. Hanks III with under a minute remaining that sealed the victory.
The Gators' rushing attack proved effective, with Squirrel White leading Florida State's offense with 9 rushing yards. Florida's receiving game was led by Tony Livingston's 9 catches. The final score of 40-21 exceeded the over-under line of 49 points, while Florida covered the 1-point spread with their dominant performance.
AI-generated recap · Jul 22, 2026
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida State | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 21 |
 Florida | 10 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 40 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Florida State | Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 17-28 | 15-24 |
| Pass Yards | 240 | 168 |
| Rush Yards | 167 | 272 |
| Total Yards | 407 | 440 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| 3rd Down | 5-12 | 6-13 |
| Penalties | 4-28 | 5-45 |
| Possession | 25:18 | 34:42 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 2 yards loss to the FSU23 (#88 C.Banks)
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU28, for 4 yards to the FSU27 (#5 M.Graham; #43 A.Allen Jr.)
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos sacked for loss of 10 yards to the FSU17 (#5 M.Graham)
(13:09) #43 M.Chiumento punt 38 yards to the FLA45 #8 V.Brown III return 0 yards to the FLA45 (#3 E.Joseph)
(13:01) Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 21 yards gain to the FSU34 (#3 E.Joseph), 1ST DOWN
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 3 yards gain to the FSU31 (#5 D.Lyons)
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #89 H.Hansen thrown to FSU26 QB hurried by #5 D.Lyons and #15 S.Arnoux
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at FSU34, for 19 yards to the FSU12 (#10 J.Williams), 1ST DOWN
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU08 (#90 D.Desir; #7 S.Thompson)
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU05 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.; #90 D.Desir)
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short left to #8 V.Brown III thrown to FSU00
(09:25) #29 T.Smack field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood), clock 09:25
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep left to #0 D.Robinson caught at FLA41, for 44 yards to the FLA31 (#6 J.Flowers), 1ST DOWN
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush left for 3 yards gain to the FLA28 (#5 M.Graham), out of bounds
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 M.Danzy rush right for 4 yards gain to the FLA24 (#5 M.Graham; #94 T.Sapp)
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FLA22 (#0 S.Denson)
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 2 yards loss to the FLA24 (#8 A.Chiles), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
(07:22) Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FLA27 (#3 E.Joseph; #6 D.Jackson Jr.)
(06:56) Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FLA33 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.; #5 D.Lyons)
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 2 yards gain to the FLA35 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #24 K.Kirkland), 1ST DOWN
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #11 A.Mizell caught at FLA43, for 10 yards to the FLA45 (#15 S.Arnoux), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 4 yards gain to the FLA49 (#9 O.Graham Jr.; #10 J.Williams)
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FLA50 (#93 M.Desir)
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #20 D.Clark caught at FSU48, for 11 yards to the FSU39 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #19 J.Wilson), 1ST DOWN
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete deep right to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at FSU11, for 34 yards to the FSU05, out of bounds at FSU05, 1ST DOWN
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #7 A.Jackson thrown to FSU00 QB hurried by #7 S.Thompson and #9 O.Graham Jr.
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #11 A.Mizell thrown to FSU00
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short left to #9 J.Sturdivant caught at FSU00, for 5 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:49 #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)
(02:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 12 yards gain to the FSU37 (#29 J.Robinson), 1ST DOWN
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #7 L.McCoy caught at FSU43, for 13 yards to the FSU50 (#12 B.Hanks III; #18 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWN
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.White rush left for 3 yards gain to the FLA47 (#0 S.Denson; #8 A.Chiles)
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.White rush right for 6 yards gain to the FLA41 (#8 A.Chiles), out of bounds
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FLA39 fumbled by #1 T.Castellanos at FLA46 recovered by FSU #1 T.Castellanos at FLA47 (#22 K.Asare), 1ST DOWN
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush left for 21 yards gain to the FLA18 (#29 J.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Robinson thrown to FLA00 broken up by #6 J.Flowers
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Lucas rush right for 5 yards gain to the FLA13 (#18 B.Thornton; #2 L.Hayward)
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #19 M.Danzy caught at FLA10, for 13 yards to the FLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:39, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 8 yards gain to the FLA33 (#7 S.Thompson)
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 3 yards gain to the FLA36 (#24 K.Kirkland), 1ST DOWN
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FLA41 (#7 S.Thompson; #27 A.Barker)
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #89 H.Hansen caught at FLA46, for 15 yards to the FSU44 (#93 M.Desir; #19 J.Wilson), 1ST DOWN
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 9 yards gain to the FSU35 (#20 B.Nichelson) PENALTY FLA Face Mask (#8 V.Brown III) 15 yards from FSU44 to FLA41. NO PLAY
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 18 yards gain to the FSU41 (#19 J.Wilson; #27 A.Barker)
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 5 yards gain to the FSU36 (#97 J.Jenkins)
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush left for 2 yards gain to the FSU34 (#28 J.Cryer; #6 D.Jackson Jr.), 1ST DOWN
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass incomplete short right to #89 H.Hansen thrown to FSU35 PENALTY FLA Ineligible Downfield on Pass declined
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #11 A.Mizell caught at FSU24, for 13 yards to the FSU21 (#1 S.Brown), 1ST DOWN
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 6 yards gain to the FSU15 (#1 S.Brown; #97 J.Jenkins)
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 4 yards gain to the FSU11 (#5 D.Lyons; #24 K.Kirkland), 1ST DOWN
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU09 (#31 E.Herring; #90 D.Desir)
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #86 T.Livingston caught at FSU06, for 9 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:38, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #12 J.Lucas caught at FSU21, for 0 yards to the FSU25 (#18 B.Thornton; #43 A.Allen Jr.)
No Huddle #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 16 yards gain to the FSU41 (#5 M.Graham; #18 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWN
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU46, for 12 yards to the FLA47 (#5 M.Graham; #8 A.Chiles), 1ST DOWN
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep left to #19 M.Danzy thrown to FLA12 broken up by #12 B.Hanks III
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep right to #32 O.Kromah thrown to FLA21
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos sacked for loss of 6 yards to the FLA26 (#18 B.Thornton), fumble by #1 T.Castellanos recovered by FLA #88 C.Banks at FLA26, End Of Play
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep right to #7 L.McCoy caught at FLA31, for 34 yards to the FLA20 (#18 B.Thornton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FLA37 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #7 S.Thompson)
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway sacked for loss of 4 yards to the FLA33 (#7 S.Thompson, #5 D.Lyons)
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway sacked for loss of 4 yards to the FLA29 (#93 M.Desir, #10 J.Williams)
(13:26) #19 T.Doman punt 71 yards to the FSU00, Touchback
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 9 yards gain to the FSU29, End Of Play
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU31 (#15 J.Woods; #88 C.Banks), 1ST DOWN
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Robinson thrown to FSU48 broken up by #18 B.Thornton QB hurried by #5 M.Graham
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 R.Pittman Jr. rush right for 9 yards gain to the FSU40 (#6 J.Flowers)
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Williams rush middle for 0 yards to the FSU40 (#5 M.Graham)
(11:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 0 yards to the FSU40 (#5 M.Graham; #18 B.Thornton), out of bounds, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 20 yards gain to the FSU20 (#0 E.Little Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 14 yards gain to the FSU06 (#27 A.Barker), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FSU Face Mask (#27 A.Barker) 3 yards from FSU06 to FSU03, 1ST DOWN
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #89 H.Hansen caught at FSU00, for 3 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:47 #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the FSU25 (#24 K.James)
(09:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos sacked for loss of 5 yards to the FSU20 (#90 B.Bett)
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short middle to #28 S.Singleton Jr. thrown to FSU19 QB hurried by #18 B.Thornton
(08:33) #43 M.Chiumento punt 38 yards to the FLA42 fair catch by #8 V.Brown III at FLA42
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FLA46 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.)
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FLA50 (#24 K.Kirkland; #7 S.Thompson)
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU49 (#7 S.Thompson; #90 D.Desir)
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU48 (#28 J.Cryer; #93 M.Desir) PENALTY FSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from FSU49 to FSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU42 (#5 D.Lyons)
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 10 yards gain to the FSU32 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #7 S.Thompson), 1ST DOWN
(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway rush right for 7 yards gain to the FSU25 (#27 A.Barker), out of bounds
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #8 V.Brown III caught at FSU28, for 3 yards to the FSU22 (#0 E.Little Jr.), 1ST DOWN
(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 22 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:55, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 13 yards gain to the FSU38 (#24 K.James; #43 A.Allen Jr.), 1ST DOWN
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 12 yards gain to the FSU50 (#22 K.Asare), 1ST DOWN
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush right for 2 yards gain to the FLA48 (#22 K.Asare; #33 B.Taylor Jr.)
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #19 M.Danzy caught at FLA32, for 22 yards to the FLA26 (#8 A.Chiles), 1ST DOWN
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FLA25 (#88 C.Banks)
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 6 yards gain to the FLA19 (#6 J.Flowers)
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 4 yards loss to the FLA23 (#15 J.Woods)
Jake Weinberg 42 Yard Field Goal Missed
PENALTY FLA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#88 C.Banks) 11 yard from FLA23 to FLA12. NO PLAY
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 8 yards gain to the FLA20 (#24 K.Kirkland)
PENALTY FLA False Start (#53 B.Lovett) 5 yards from FLA20 to FLA15. NO PLAY
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 8 yards gain to the FLA23 (#15 S.Arnoux), out of bounds
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush right for 0 yards to the FLA23 (#9 O.Graham Jr.)
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 12 yards gain to the FLA35 (#15 S.Arnoux), 1ST DOWN
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short middle to #11 A.Mizell caught at FLA46, for 23 yards to the FSU42 (#15 S.Arnoux), 1ST DOWN
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush middle for 1 yard loss to the FSU43 (#97 J.Jenkins; #28 J.Cryer)
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Daniels rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FSU37 (#24 K.Kirkland)
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lagway pass complete short right to #4 T.Abrams caught at FSU40, for 1 yard to the FSU36 (#5 D.Lyons)
(07:39) #29 T.Smack field goal attempt from 54 yards GOOD (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood), clock 07:38
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #13 R.Pittman Jr. caught at FSU26, for 9 yards to the FSU26 (#6 J.Flowers)
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU29 (#49 J.Wiggins; #97 J.Mbatchou), 1ST DOWN
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep right to #0 D.Robinson thrown to FLA34
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 4 yards gain to the FSU33, out of bounds at FSU33
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #18 L.Thomas thrown to FSU38 broken up by #12 B.Hanks III QB hurried by #29 J.Robinson
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep left to #13 R.Pittman Jr. caught at FLA29, for 48 yards to the FLA19 (#12 B.Hanks III) PENALTY FSU Illegal Motion (#1 T.Castellanos) 5 yards from FSU33 to FSU28. NO PLAY
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #7 L.McCoy caught at FSU47, for 18 yards to the FSU46 (#2 L.Hayward), 1ST DOWN
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #27 G.Sawchuk thrown to FSU41
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #19 M.Danzy caught at FSU50, for 7 yards to the FLA47 (#0 S.Denson)
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FLA44 (#43 A.Allen Jr.; #93 M.Boireau), 1ST DOWN
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #7 L.McCoy caught at FLA41, for 27 yards to the FLA17 (#43 A.Allen Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #7 L.McCoy caught at FLA17, for 17 yards to the FLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:07, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold)
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 5 yards gain to the FSU41 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.; #93 M.Desir)
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 7 yards gain to the FSU34 (#20 B.Nichelson), 1ST DOWN
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 15 yards gain to the FSU19 (#56 K.Sampson; #19 J.Wilson), 1ST DOWN
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 2 yards gain to the FSU17 (#3 E.Joseph)
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 5 yards gain to the FSU12 (#1 S.Brown)
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 12 yards gain (6) to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:48 PENALTY FLA Holding (#86 T.Livingston) 10 yards from FSU06 to FSU16
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush right for 4 yards gain to the FSU12 (#15 S.Arnoux)
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Baugh rush left for 12 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:56, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Smack kick attempt failed (H: #19 T.Doman, LS: #42 R.Underwood)
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #5 R.Williams thrown to FSU41
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #7 L.McCoy caught at FSU33, for 8 yards to the FSU33 (#2 L.Hayward)
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #27 G.Sawchuk caught at FSU35, for 7 yards to the FSU40 (#8 A.Chiles), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 11 yards gain to the FLA49, out of bounds at FLA49, 1ST DOWN
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 17 yards gain to the FLA32, out of bounds at FLA32, 1ST DOWN
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass intercepted by #12 B.Hanks III at FLA01 #12 B.Hanks III return 48 yards to the FLA49, out of bounds at FLA49