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← Back to GamesDec 7, 2024Week 15

House Prediction

Model Margin

Incarnate Word by 8.9

Home Win Probability

Incarnate Word 70%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Incarnate Word -11.5

Edge: Villanova +11.5 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
03306
Incarnate Word
0301013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-310-613-6
Incarnate WordVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VILIWVILIWVILIWVILIWVILIWVILIWVILIWVILIWVILIWVILIWVILIWVILIWVILIWPUNT37ydPUNT719ydPUNT739ydPUNT39ydPUNT69ydPUNT646ydPUNT35ydFG1458ydPUNT3-11ydPUNT3-6ydFG48ydPUNT37ydPUNT39ydPUNT731ydEND12ydPUNT714ydPUNT628ydDOWNS1148ydFG634ydTD877ydPUNT416ydTO231ydDOWNS517ydFG1062ydTO10ydEND821yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and Incarnate Word
StatisticVillanovaIncarnate Word
Passing12-2722-37
Pass Yards103182
Rush Yards35259
Total Yards138441
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-129-20
Penalties4-209-65
Possession23:4536:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
12/27, 103 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
David Avit
10 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Jaylan Sanchez
6 REC, 54 YDS
Incarnate Word
passing
Zach Calzada
22/37, 182 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Lontrell Turner
18 CAR, 120 YDS
receiving
Jalen Walthall
6 REC, 75 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

David Avit run for 3 yds to the VILL 26

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

David Avit run for 4 yds to the VILL 30

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Lucas Kopecky

4th & 3Punt+8 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UIW 30 , Mason Pierce returns for 8 yds to the UIW 30

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UIW 22

1st & 18Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.89

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 15 yds to the UIW 37

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Josh Lorick

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.61

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 5 yds to the UIW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Walthall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 7 yds to the UIW 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Josh Lorick

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Connor Bryan punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 7 yds to the VILL 10

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Devin Smith

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Watkins,Connor pass incomplete deep right to Kopecky,Lucas thrown to Vil35 PENALTY UIW Pass Interference (Tuayemie,James) 15 yards from Vil10 to Vil25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Isaiah Ragland run for no gain to the VILL 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 10 yds to the VILL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Watkins run for 4 yds to the VILL 39

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

David Avit run for 3 yds to the VILL 42

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaylan Sanchez

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UIW False Start (Borjas,Jayden) 5 yards from UIW16 to UIW11. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 2 yds to the UIW 13

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Zach Calzada run for 7 yds to the UIW 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Zach Calzada pass complete to Timothy Carter for 5 yds to the UIW 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Connor Bryan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tanner Maddocks at the VILL 40

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

David Avit run for 7 yds to the VILL 47

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

David Avit run for 1 yd to the VILL 48

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 4 yds to the UIW 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Connor Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UIW 49

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Vil False Start (Colby,Chris) 5 yards from UIW49 to Vil46. NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Ja'briel Mace run for 3 yds to the VILL 49

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Luke Daly

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mason Pierce at the UIW 6

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Lontrell Turner run for 4 yds to the UIW 10

2nd & 6Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.79

Lontrell Turner run for 26 yds to the UIW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Lontrell Turner run for 20 yds to the VILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Walthall

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UIW Delay Of Game (Calzada,Zach) 5 yards from Vil44 to Vil49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Lontrell Turner run for 1 yd to the VILL 48 Lontrell Turner fumbled, recovered by UIW Lontrell Turner

3rd & 14Penalty0 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Connor Bryan punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Tanner Maddocks at the VILL 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

David Avit run for 5 yds to the VILL 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Devin Smith

4th & 5Punt+10 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 49 yds , Mason Pierce returns for 10 yds to the UIW 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 17 yds to the VILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Walthall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 5 yds to the VILL 42

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY Vil Offside (Howard,Ayden) 5 yards from Vil42 to Vil37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 1 yd to the VILL 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Josh Lorick

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Calzada,Zach pass intercepted by Dawud,Zahmir at Vil00 PENALTY Vil Offside offsetting UIW Ineligible Downfield on Pass offsetting. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Zach Calzada run for 10 yds to the VILL 26 for a 1ST down Villanova Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jalen Goodman) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 1 yd to the VILL 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelon Travis for 7 yds to the VILL 18

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.24

Zach Calzada run for 3 yds to the VILL 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 12 yds to the VILL 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.14

Timothy Carter run for a loss of 4 yards to the VILL 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Logan Compton

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Timothy Carter run for 1 yd to the VILL 6 Timothy Carter fumbled, recovered by UIW Jayden Borjas

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Brack Peacock 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Isaiah Ragland run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 31

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Ragland run for 2 yds to the VILL 33

3rd & 9Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.50

Connor Watkins sacked by Declan Williams for a loss of 12 yards to the VILL 21

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 59 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Lontrell Turner run for 4 yds to the UIW 24

2nd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.76

Zach Calzada run for a loss of 5 yards to the UIW 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UIW False Start (Kordas,Matt) 5 yards from UIW19 to UIW14. NO PLAY.

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Connor Bryan punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UIW 40

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Watkins,Connor pass incomplete short right to Smith,Devin thrown to UIW40 PENALTY UIW Pass Interference (Tuayemie,James) 15 yards from UIW40 to UIW25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaylan Sanchez

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.96

Connor Watkins sacked by Devin Grant for a loss of 7 yards to the UIW 32

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Chris Colby

4th & 17Field Goal Good+49 yds

Ethan Gettman 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Lontrell Turner

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Lontrell Turner run for 7 yds to the UIW 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Mason Pierce

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Connor Bryan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tanner Maddocks at the VILL 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Isaiah Ragland run for 2 yds to the VILL 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 5 yds to the VILL 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 2 yds to the VILL 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mason Pierce at the UIW 15

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.77

Timothy Carter run for 13 yds to the UIW 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Zach Calzada run for 6 yds to the UIW 34

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Timothy Carter run for 3 yds to the UIW 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Timothy Carter run for 3 yds to the UIW 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Calzada pass complete to Josh Lorick for 4 yds to the UIW 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Timothy Carter run for 2 yds to the UIW 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Connor Bryan punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Watkins run for 2 yds to the VILL 3

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Lontrell Turner run for no gain to the UIW 23

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Lontrell Turner run for 7 yds to the UIW 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 6 yds to the UIW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 11 yds to the UIW 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Zach Calzada pass complete to Matt Kordas for 7 yds to the VILL 46

2nd & 3Penalty-15 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Zach Calzada) to the UIW 39

3rd & 18Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Calzada pass complete to Lontrell Turner for 2 yds to the UIW 37

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Connor Bryan punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VILL 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 9 yds to the VILL 34

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY UIW Offside (Dillon,Barry) 5 yards from Vil34 to Vil39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 8 yds to the VILL 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 15 yds to the UIW 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

David Avit run for a loss of 1 yard to the UIW 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Lucas Kopecky

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.91

Connor Watkins sacked by Marcus Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the UIW 47

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Zach Calzada run for 7 yds to the UIW 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.01

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 12 yds to the UIW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Calzada,Zach pass incomplete deep right to Walthall,Jalen thrown to Vil20 broken up by Essiem,Newton PENALTY Vil Offside (McSween,Nigel) 5 yards from UIW39 to UIW44. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Walthall

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.98

Timothy Carter run for 7 yds to the VILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Zach Calzada run for 8 yds to the VILL 41

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Timothy Carter run for 5 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Timothy Carter run for 2 yds to the VILL 34

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Timothy Carter run for 6 yds to the VILL 28

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Lontrell Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 29

4th & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.81

Roy Alexander run for a loss of 3 yards to the VILL 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 9 yds to the VILL 41

2nd & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.13

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 23 yds to the UIW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Lucas Kopecky

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Vil False Start (Fay,Kyle) 5 yards from UIW36 to UIW41. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Connor Watkins pass complete to Kenyon Miles for 7 yds to the UIW 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaylan Sanchez

4th & 8Field Goal Good+52 yds

Ethan Gettman 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Zach Calzada run for 8 yds to the UIW 31

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Lontrell Turner run for 5 yds to the UIW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Lontrell Turner run for 10 yds to the UIW 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.09

Zach Calzada pass complete to Josh Lorick for 16 yds to the VILL 38 for a 1ST down Villanova Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jalen Goodman) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.55

Zach Calzada run for 24 yds to the VILL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Zach Calzada run for a loss of 3 yards to the VILL 17

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Josh Lorick

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.52

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 17 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.49

Connor Watkins run for 16 yds to the VILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Devin Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Chris Colby

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Lucas Kopecky

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Timothy Carter run for no gain to the UIW 7

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+31 ydsPPA +2.23

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 31 yds Jalen Walthall fumbled, recovered by VILL Ethan Potter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.33

David Avit run for 10 yds to the UIW 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

David Avit run for 5 yds to the UIW 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 4 yds to the UIW 19

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

David Avit run for a loss of 1 yard to the UIW 20

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.55

Connor Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UIW 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Timothy Carter run for 3 yds to the UIW 24

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Timothy Carter run for 5 yds to the UIW 29

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Timothy Carter run for 9 yds to the UIW 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.94

Zach Calzada run for 26 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Lontrell Turner run for 1 yd to the VILL 35

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.88

Lontrell Turner run for 11 yds to the VILL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Zach Calzada run for 4 yds to the VILL 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Zach Calzada pass complete to Josh Lorick for 1 yd to the VILL 19

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UIW False Start (Newsome,Traveon) 5 yards from Vil19 to Vil24. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Zach Calzada run for 7 yds to the VILL 17

4th & 3Field Goal Good+35 yds

Brack Peacock 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.24

Connor Watkins pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Lontrell Turner run for 6 yds to the VILL 24

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Lontrell Turner run for 7 yds to the VILL 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Lontrell Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the VILL 21

2nd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.92

Lontrell Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 23

3rd & 16Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.29

Lontrell Turner run for 18 yds to the VILL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Z. Calzada takes a knee

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Z. Calzada takes a knee

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Z. Calzada takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
21 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Incarnate Word

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
47%
32 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
75%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play