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← Back to GamesDec 7, 2024Week 15

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota by 12

Home Win Probability

South Dakota 76%

Market (ESPN Bet)

South Dakota -18.5

Edge: Tarleton State +18.5 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tarleton State
7147331
South Dakota
7772142

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-1414-2121-2121-2828-2835-31
South DakotaTarleton State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSSDTSSDTSSDTSSDTSSDTSSDTSSDTSSDTSTD1079ydTD1575ydTD780ydTD1275ydTD975ydMISS448ydEND1-1ydPUNT35ydTO411ydTD1160ydTD575ydPUNT32ydTO515ydTD350ydFG669ydTD470ydUncategorized540yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tarleton State and South Dakota
StatisticTarleton StateSouth Dakota
Passing19-2418-23
Pass Yards330213
Rush Yards93164
Total Yards423377
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-86-9
Penalties5-383-45
Possession23:0429:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tarleton State
passing
Victor Gabalis
19/24, 330 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kayvon Britten
22 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Darius Cooper
8 REC, 151 YDS, 3 TD
South Dakota
passing
Aidan Bouman
18/22, 213 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Charles Pierre Jr.
9 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Carter Bell
5 REC, 79 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.18

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 15 yds to the TAR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 38

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.58

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 13 yds to the SDAK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

(12:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Gabalis,Victor pass complete short left to Omayebu,Benjamin caught at USD36, for 16 yards to the USD30 (Tillmon,Roman) PENALTY TSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Teuhema,Tuli) 5 yards from USD46 to TSU49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.46

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Kayvon Britten for 12 yds to the SDAK 38

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.99

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the SDAK 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Kayvon Britten

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.54

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 33 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Travis Theis run for 15 yds to the SDAK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 16 yds to the TAR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Keyondray Jones-Logan run for 8 yds to the TAR 36

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 4 yds to the TAR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Quaron Adams

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the TAR 24

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.36

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the TAR 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 6 yds to the TAR 15

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the TAR 14

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the TAR 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 3 yds to the TAR 8

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the TAR 6

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

(02:14) Shotgun Bouman,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Michaud,Tristan thrown to TSU00 QB hurried by Owens,AJ PENALTY USD Pass Interference (Michaud,Tristan) 15 yards from TSU06 to TSU21. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Penalty+10 yds

(02:09) Shotgun Bouman,Aidan pass incomplete short middle to Adams,Quaron thrown to TSU10 PENALTY TSU Holding (Eggleston Jr.,Greg) 10 yards from TSU21 to TSU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Keyondray Jones-Logan for 3 yds to the TAR 8

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.68

Travis Theis run for 7 yds to the TAR 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Travis Theis run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 9 yds to the TAR 29

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the TAR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 3 yds to the TAR 45

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.61

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the SDAK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the SDAK 43

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.43

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 43 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 17 yds to the SDAK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 13 yds to the TAR 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 5 yds to the TAR 40

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Nevan Cremascoli run for 7 yds to the TAR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Travis Theis run for no gain to the TAR 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 4 yds to the TAR 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 16 yds to the TAR 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Travis Theis run for 7 yds to the TAR 6

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Travis Theis run for no gain to the TAR 6

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the TAR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the TAR 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Travis Theis run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 8 yds to the TAR 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Victor Gabalis run for no gain to the TAR 33

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TSU False Start (Brooks,Dillon) 5 yards from TSU33 to TSU28. NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.92

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 20 yds to the TAR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the SDAK 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Kayvon Britten for 6 yds to the SDAK 43

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.76

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the SDAK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.63

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 19 yds to the SDAK 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the SDAK 20

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.79

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 20 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 15 yds to the SDAK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Charles Pierre Jr. for 18 yds to the TAR 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Javion Phelps for 15 yds to the TAR 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Zeke Mata 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

V. Gabalis takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Travis Theis run for a loss of 6 yards to the SDAK 19

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Quaron Adams

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 11 yds to the SDAK 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 18

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 23

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.74

Victor Gabalis run for 3 yds to the TAR 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -0.99

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted Shahid Barros return for a loss of 3 yards to the SDAK 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 3 yds to the SDAK 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Javion Phelps for 3 yds to the SDAK 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.69

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Quaron Adams for 21 yds to the TAR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Keyondray Jones-Logan run for 3 yds to the TAR 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Quaron Adams

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Javion Phelps for 13 yds to the TAR 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Keyondray Jones-Logan

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Travis Theis run for 4 yds to the TAR 13

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 4 yds to the TAR 9

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.12

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Keyondray Jones-Logan for 4 yds to the TAR 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Keyondray Jones-Logan for 5 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the TAR 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.82

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 18 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.15

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 27 yds to the SDAK 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 23 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for a loss of 1 yard to the SDAK 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 3 yds to the SDAK 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Carter Bell

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 62 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Benjamin Omayebu

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Victor Gabalis run for 9 yds to the TAR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 26

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.63

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.30

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 37 yds to the TAR 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Travis Theis run for 11 yds to the TAR 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Travis Theis run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

South Dakota Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TAR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.15

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 49 yds to the SDAK 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDAK 9

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Victor Gabalis run for 1 yd to the SDAK 8

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Kayvon Britten for 2 yds to the SDAK 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Corbin Poston 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.85

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 39 yds to the TAR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 4 yds to the TAR 27

2nd & 6Penalty+13 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the TAR 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Keyondray Jones-Logan for 12 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kayvon Britten run for 7 yds to the TAR 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 5 yds to the TAR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

South Dakota Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Blake Holden) to the SDAK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the SDAK 40

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.08

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the SDAK 35 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

South Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
60%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play