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← Back to GamesDec 7, 2024Week 15

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 23

Home Win Probability

South Dakota State 90%

Market (ESPN Bet)

South Dakota State -22.5

Edge: South Dakota State -22.5 (0.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana
3001518
South Dakota State
71401435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-314-321-328-335-1035-18
South Dakota StateMontana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MONSDSMONSDSMONSDSMONSDSMONSDSMONSDSMONSDSMONMONSDSMONSDSMONSDSPUNT33ydTO49ydFG1035ydTD957ydPUNT510ydTD478ydTO769ydMISS745ydPUNT33ydTD775ydEND3-8ydPUNT935ydPUNT617ydTD1273ydTD311ydTD873ydPUNT521ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT37ydTD1187ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana and South Dakota State
StatisticMontanaSouth Dakota State
Passing19-3214-18
Pass Yards231177
Rush Yards75223
Total Yards306400
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-137-12
Penalties5-253-15
Possession26:0433:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana
passing
Keali'i Ah Yat
19/32, 231 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Keali'i Ah Yat
9 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Keelan White
5 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
12/16, 151 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Amar Johnson
16 CAR, 103 YDS
receiving
Griffin Wilde
7 REC, 114 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the MONT 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Eli Gillman

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Keelan White

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dalys Beanum at the SDST 43

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Amar Johnson run for 9 yds to the MONT 48

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the MONT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 10 yds to the MONT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-13 ydsPPA -4.03

Angel Johnson run for a loss of 13 yards to the MONT 48 Angel Johnson fumbled, recovered by MONT Ronald Jackson Jr.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 1 yd to the MONT 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.82

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White for 13 yds to the SDST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDST 42

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Stevie Rocker Jr. for 8 yds to the SDST 34

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Keelan White

4th & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Junior Bergen for 15 yds to the SDST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Eli Gillman run for no gain to the SDST 19

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds to the SDST 17

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Cole Grossman

4th & 8Field Goal Good+34 yds

Ty Morrison 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDST 46

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the MONT 49

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the MONT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the MONT 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kentrell Prejean for 4 yds to the MONT 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.27

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 8 yds to the MONT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Amar Johnson run for 8 yds to the MONT 22

2nd & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.36

Kevin Brenner pass complete to Mark Gronowski for 21 yds to the MONT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MONT False Start (Grimsrud,Journey) 5 yards from MONT21 to MONT16. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Evan Shafer for 6 yds to the MONT 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Evan Shafer for 9 yds to the MONT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Malae Fonoti run for a loss of 2 yards to the MONT 29

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Junior Bergen for 2 yds to the MONT 31

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Sawyer Racanelli

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dalys Beanum at the SDST 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kentrell Prejean for 1 yd to the SDST 23

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Angel Johnson run for no gain to the SDST 23

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Gronowski,Mark rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SDSU27 (Harris,Hayden) PENALTY MONT Offside (Wilson,Riley) 5 yards from SDSU23 to SDSU28. NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.80

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 38 yds to the MONT 34 for a 1ST down Montana Penalty, Defensive Offside (Vai Kaho) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 34 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MONT Delay Of Game 5 yards from MONT10 to MONT05. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Eli Gillman run for 1 yd to the MONT 6

2nd & 14Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.51

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White for 23 yds to the MONT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Junior Bergen run for 2 yds to the MONT 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.60

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 27 yds to the SDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.66

Xavier Harris run for 21 yds to the SDST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+26 ydsPPA -4.37

Keali'i Ah Yat pass intercepted Tucker Large return for 26 yds to the SDST 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDST 33

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDST 38

3rd & 1Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.05

Amar Johnson run for 34 yds to the MONT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the MONT 23

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the MONT 21

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SDSU False Start (Hagen,Sam) 5 yards from MONT21 to MONT26. NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Lofton O'Groske

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Hunter Dustman 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 2 yds to the MONT 28

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 1 yd to the MONT 29

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Keelan White

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 51 yds , Dalys Beanum returns for 5 yds to the SDST 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Angel Johnson run for no gain to the SDST 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Angel Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDST 29

3rd & 6Rush+44 ydsPPA +4.10

Angel Johnson run for 44 yds to the MONT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Angel Johnson run for 11 yds to the MONT 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 4 yds to the MONT 20

2nd & 14Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.25

Amar Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MONT 24

3rd & 18Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +4.46

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 24 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Keali'i Ah Yat sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MONT 17

2nd & 18Penalty0 yds

Montana Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined

3rd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.04

Eli Gillman run for no gain to the MONT 17

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kevin Brenner for 8 yds to the SDST 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDST 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.65

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 16 yds to the MONT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MONT Offside (Hayden,Patrick) 5 yards from MONT42 to MONT37. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 4 yds to the MONT 33

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.33

Kirby Vorhees run for 6 yds to the MONT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Griffin Wilde

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SDSU False Start (Vibert,Ethan) 5 yards from MONT27 to MONT32. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Kirby Vorhees

3rd & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.04

Mark Gronowski sacked by Hayden Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the MONT 40

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the MONT 6

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Eli Gillman run for 1 yd to the MONT 7

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White for 8 yds to the MONT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Eli Gillman run for a loss of 1 yard to the MONT 14

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Eli Gillman

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 6 yds to the MONT 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Dalys Beanum at the SDST 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Angel Johnson run for 9 yds to the SDST 36

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Angel Johnson run for 8 yds to the SDST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Lofton O'Groske

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDST 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.11

Mark Gronowski pass complete to David Alpers for 8 yds to the MONT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the MONT 36

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the MONT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Shotgun Gronowski,Mark sacked for loss of 19 yards to the MONT48 (Harris,Hayden) PENALTY MONT Offside (Harris,Hayden) 5 yards from MONT29 to MONT24. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA -0.34

Angel Johnson run for 15 yds to the MONT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Angel Johnson run for 2 yds to the MONT 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Angel Johnson run for 4 yds to the MONT 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the MONT 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Lekeldrick Bridges for 6 yds to the MONT 32

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Malae Fonoti run for 5 yds to the MONT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+40 ydsPPA -8.95

Keali'i Ah Yat pass intercepted Adam Bock return for 40 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Malae Fonoti run for 6 yds to the MONT 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Malae Fonoti run for 3 yds to the MONT 36

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 6 yds to the MONT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Malae Fonoti for 6 yds to the MONT 48

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Lekeldrick Bridges run for 5 yds to the SDST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Malae Fonoti

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Malae Fonoti for 3 yds to the SDST 44

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.06

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Sawyer Racanelli for 44 yds for a TD (Ty Morrison KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDST 18

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Angel Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Angel Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDST 25

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Kirby Vorhees run for 3 yds to the SDST 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jon Bell pass complete to Kirby Vorhees for 5 yds to the SDST 33

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for no gain , Drew Deck returns for no gain to the MONT 30

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.61

Keali'i Ah Yat sacked by Reis Kirschenman for a loss of 12 yards to the MONT 18

2nd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the MONT 21

3rd & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 5 yds to the MONT 26

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Maxwell Woods at the SDST 31

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Kirby Vorhees run for 7 yds to the SDST 38

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SDSU False Start (Cole,Devon) 5 yards from SDSU38 to SDSU33. NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the SDST 35

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Maxwell Woods run for 3 yds to the SDST 38

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MONT 13 , Drew Deck returns for no gain to the MONT 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Malae Fonoti for 10 yds to the MONT 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Xavier Harris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White for 15 yds to the MONT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Sawyer Racanelli for 8 yds to the MONT 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.73

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Sawyer Racanelli for 14 yds to the SDST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 8 yds to the SDST 32

2nd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.73

Keali'i Ah Yat sacked by Bryce Hawthorne for a loss of 9 yards to the SDST 41

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.47

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Xavier Harris for 11 yds to the SDST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.39

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Xavier Harris for 21 yds to the SDST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Keelan White

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White for 9 yds for a TD (Erik Barker pass to for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Kneel down by South Dakota St. at SDSU37 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

Montana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
50%
24 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play