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← Back to GamesDec 7, 2024Week 15

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 15.8

Home Win Probability

Montana State 82%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Montana State -19

Edge: UT Martin +19 (3.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UT Martin
0100717
Montana State
141414749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-021-328-1042-1049-1049-17
Montana StateUT Martin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSTD575ydPUNT39ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT38ydPUNT32ydTD358ydPUNT38ydTD1084ydFG1456ydPUNT410ydTD377ydTD673ydEND519ydPUNT614ydTD237ydPUNT36ydTD587ydPUNT30ydPUNT517ydPUNT3-7ydTD868ydTD1475ydPUNT35ydDOWNS48ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UT Martin and Montana State
StatisticUT MartinMontana State
Passing16-3122-26
Pass Yards172300
Rush Yards92201
Total Yards264501
Turnovers00
3rd Down7-195-10
Penalties7-624-35
Possession30:3729:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UT Martin
passing
Kinkead Dent
15/29, 167 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Patrick Smith
12 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Trevonte Rucker
6 REC, 107 YDS, 2 TD
Montana State
passing
Tommy Mellott
22/25, 300 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Scottre Humphrey
11 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ryan Lonergan
3 REC, 90 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Ty McCullouch run for 14 yds to the MTST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 5 yds to the MTST 44

2nd & 5Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.90

Tommy Mellott run for 25 yds to the UTM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Scottre Humphrey run for 7 yds to the UTM 24

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.48

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Hunter Provience for 24 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Patrick Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Patrick Smith for 9 yds to the UTM 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the UTM 34

4th & 1Punt+4 yds

Jaren Van Winkle punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTST 12 , Taco Dowler returns for 4 yds to the MTST 38 Montana State Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the MTST 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 9 yds to the MTST 21

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Adam Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 20

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd to the MTST 21

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the UTM 36

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Trevonte Rucker run for 7 yds to the UTM 43

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UTM False Start 5 yards from UTM43 to UTM38. NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UTM False Start 5 yards from UTM38 to UTM33. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Patrick Smith

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to DeVonte Tanksley

4th & 13Punt+6 yds

Jaren Van Winkle punt for 41 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 6 yds to the MTST 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Unterrio Latin-Henley for 8 yds to the MTST 40

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete to Lonyatta Alexander Jr.

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the UTM 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Asa Wondeh

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to DeVonte Tanksley

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 2 yds to the UTM 13

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jaren Van Winkle punt for 45 yds , Taco Dowler returns for no gain to the MTST 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the MTST 46

2nd & 6Rush+42 ydsPPA +2.20

Scottre Humphrey run for 30 yds to the UTM 24 for a 1ST down UT Martin Penalty, Personal Foul (Oshae Baker) to the UTM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 12 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from UTM03 to UTM08. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the UTM 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kinkead Dent run for 6 yds to the UTM 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Max Dowling

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jaren Van Winkle punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the MTST 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the MTST 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.04

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan Lonergan for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Adam Jones run for 6 yds to the UTM 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 7 yds to the UTM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Unterrio Latin-Henley run for 3 yds to the UTM 34

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun McCullouch,Ty pass incomplete deep middle to Dowler,Taco thrown to UTM08 PENALTY UTM Pass Interference 15 yards from UTM34 to UTM19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Adam Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 20

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Taco Dowler run for 7 yds to the UTM 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan King for 7 yds to the UTM 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tommy Mellott run for no gain to the UTM 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Ty McCullouch run for 6 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Glover Cook III run for 3 yds to the UTM 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Asa Wondeh run for 3 yds to the UTM 31

3rd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Kinkead Dent run for 15 yds to the UTM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 7 yds to the MTST 47

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Asa Wondeh

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Max Dowling

4th & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.82

Trevonte Rucker run for 10 yds to the MTST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Glover Cook III run for 2 yds to the MTST 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 7 yds to the MTST 28

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the MTST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Trevonte Rucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 26

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the MTST 21

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Asa Wondeh run for 2 yds to the MTST 19

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 yds

Jaren Van Winkle 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jaren Van Winkle kickoff for 57 yds , Jared White return for 14 yds to the MTST 22

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Scottre Humphrey run for 17 yds to the MTST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rylan Schlepp for 1 yd to the MTST 40

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd to the MTST 41

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.88

Tommy Mellott sacked by Keyshawn Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the MTST 32

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the UTM 23

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Kinkead Dent sacked by Kenneth Eiden IV for a loss of 4 yards to the UTM 19

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Kinkead Dent run for 3 yds to the UTM 22

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +7.20

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 78 yds for a TD (Jaren Van Winkle KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete to Taco Dowler

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.69

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 21 yds to the MTST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Unterrio Latin-Henley for 3 yds to the UTM 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan King for 4 yds to the UTM 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.43

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Hunter Provience for 6 yds to the UTM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 39 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Glover Cook III run for 5 yds to the UTM 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Glover Cook III run for 6 yds to the UTM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Max Dowling for 8 yds to the UTM 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Scottie Alexander

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Trevonte Rucker

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Asa Wondeh run for 3 yds to the UTM 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 6 yds to the UTM 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the UTM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Kinkead Dent sacked by Paul Brott for a loss of 3 yards to the UTM 33

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Patrick Smith run for 6 yds to the UTM 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to DeVonte Tanksley

4th & 7Punt+40 yds

Jaren Van Winkle punt for 38 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 40 yds to the UTM 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd to the UTM 36

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.62

Scottre Humphrey run for 36 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to DeVonte Tanksley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 4 yds to the UTM 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 2 yds to the UTM 31

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Jaren Van Winkle punt for 57 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 1 yd to the MTST 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 7 yds to the MTST 20

2nd & 3Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.41

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan Lonergan for 48 yds to the UTM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Scottre Humphrey run for no gain to the UTM 32

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ty McCullouch run for 3 yds to the UTM 29

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.75

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 29 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Kinkead Dent sacked by Brody Grebe for a loss of 7 yards to the UTM 18

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Bryce Bailey

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UTM False Start 5 yards from UTM18 to UTM13. NO PLAY.

3rd & 22Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.09

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Glover Cook III for 12 yds to the UTM 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jaren Van Winkle punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the MTST 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Aidan Garrigan for 8 yds to the MTST 41

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Adam Jones run for 3 yds to the MTST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy Mellott run for 3 yds to the MTST 47

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tommy Mellott run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Glover Cook III run for 2 yds to the UTM 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Patrick Smith

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.27

Kinkead Dent sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UTM 13

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jaren Van Winkle punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Adam Jones for 3 yds to the MTST 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Adam Jones run for 5 yds to the MTST 40

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Adam Jones run for 3 yds to the MTST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Jacob Trimble for 6 yds to the MTST 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Tommy Mellott run for no gain to the MTST 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.07

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan Lonergan for 10 yds to the UTM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 11 yds to the UTM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Adam Jones run for 30 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 13 yds to the UTM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Glover Cook III run for 7 yds to the UTM 45

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Max Dowling

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.77

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Bryce Bailey for 6 yds to the MTST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for no gain to the MTST 49

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Dent,Kinkead sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UTM43 (Sharbano,Hunter) PENALTY MSU Offside 5 yards from MSU49 to MSU44. NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UTM False Start 5 yards from MSU44 to MSU49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Kinkead Dent sacked by Dominic Solano for a loss of 2 yards to the UTM 49

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Dent,Kinkead pass intercepted by Carr,Takhari at MSU19 Carr,Takhari return 7 yards to the MSU26 (Bailey,Bryce) PENALTY MSU Pass Interference 15 yards from UTM49 to MSU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Max Dowling for 9 yds Max Dowling fumbled, recovered by UTM

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the MTST 27

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Patrick Smith run for 13 yds to the MTST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the MTST 13

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Kinkead Dent run for 9 yds to the MTST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the MTST 1

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Patrick Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTST 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 4 yds for a TD (Jaren Van Winkle KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Colson Coon run for 4 yds to the MTST 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Colson Coon run for 1 yd to the MTST 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Chance Wilson pass incomplete to Aidan Garrigan

4th & 5Punt+10 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 45 yds , Oshae Baker returns for 10 yds to the UTM 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Julian Calvez pass complete to Jaren Bowling for 5 yds to the UTM 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Julian Calvez run for 4 yds to the UTM 29

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Chris Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 28

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.03

Julian Calvez pass incomplete to Bryce Bailey

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Kneel down by Montana St. at UTM30 for loss of 2 yards.

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.01

Kneel down by Montana St. at UTM31 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

UT Martin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
22 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
44%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th