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← Back to GamesNov 30, 2024Week 14

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Arizona by 0.2

Home Win Probability

Abilene Christian 48%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Abilene Christian +2.5

Edge: Abilene Christian +2.5 (2.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Arizona
00000
Abilene Christian
7301424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-024-0
Abilene ChristianNorthern Arizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAACNAACNAACNAACNAACNAACACNAACNAACNAACNAACNAACPUNT725ydPUNT37ydPUNT617ydTD1097ydPUNT415ydTO23ydTO2-5ydTO429ydDOWNS648ydFG1066ydPUNT614ydEND14ydPUNT841ydPUNT847ydTO1070ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT38ydPUNT30ydTD153ydPUNT3-8ydTD1167ydDOWNS757ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Arizona and Abilene Christian
StatisticNorthern ArizonaAbilene Christian
Passing16-3123-29
Pass Yards165244
Rush Yards29230
Total Yards194474
Turnovers13
3rd Down3-146-12
Penalties5-358-75
Possession26:2533:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Arizona
passing
Ty Pennington
16/31, 165 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Seth Cromwell
8 CAR, 19 YDS
receiving
Tay Lanier
1 REC, 36 YDS
Abilene Christian
passing
Carson Haggard
23/29, 244 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Sam Hicks
22 CAR, 171 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Blayne Taylor
5 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty Pennington pass complete to Isaiah Gerena for 5 yds to the NAU 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Seth Cromwell run for 1 yd to the NAU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Ty Pennington pass complete to Isaiah Gerena for 4 yds to the NAU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Mukes) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.71

Ty Pennington pass complete to Seth Cromwell for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Carson Haggard pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 7 yds to the ACU 27

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ACU 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Carson Haggard pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 5 yds to the ACU 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Carson Haggard pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 37 yds , Isaiah Eastman returns for no gain to the NAU 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Isaiah Eastman run for no gain to the NAU 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

D'AQUILA, Ben punt 56 yards to the ACU8 downed by WERNER, Xander, clock 09:07. PENALTY ACU Personal Foul on LEBECHI, Chidubem enforced 15 yards from the NARIZ36 to the ACU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NAU 46

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ty Pennington pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for 5 yds to the ACU 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 2 yds to the ACU 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Sam Hicks run for no gain to the ACU 3

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Carson Haggard pass complete to Sam Hicks for 5 yds to the ACU 8

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Carson Haggard run for 10 yds to the ACU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Carson Haggard pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 4 yds to the ACU 22

2nd & 6Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.38

Sam Hicks run for 24 yds to the ACU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carson Haggard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Carson Haggard pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 7 yds to the NAU 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.63

Carson Haggard pass complete to Hut Graham for 8 yds to the NAU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Carson Haggard pass complete to J.J. Henry for 2 yds to the NAU 37

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.58

Carson Haggard pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 37 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Kyler Meschi kickoff for 63 yds , Tay Lanier return for 20 yds to the NAU 22

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.52

Seth Cromwell run for 18 yds to the NAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Seth Cromwell run for 2 yds to the NAU 42

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Seth Cromwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 41

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.68

Ty Pennington sacked by Kaghen Roach for a loss of 4 yards to the NAU 37

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 44 yds , Nehemiah Martinez I returns for no gain to the ACU 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Sam Hicks run for 3 yds to the ACU 22

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.34

Carson Haggard pass intercepted Mikale Greer return for no gain to the ACU 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Darvon Hubbard run for no gain to the ACU 25

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ACU 30

2nd & 15Pass Interception Return+24 ydsPPA -3.20

Ty Pennington pass intercepted Dorian Plumley return for 24 yds to the ACU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Carson Haggard pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for no gain to the ACU 24

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.20

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 29 yds to the NAU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Nehemiah Martinez I run for no gain to the NAU 47

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -2.34

Carson Haggard pass intercepted Alex McLaughlin return for 2 yds to the NAU 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.28

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 23 yds to the ACU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.76

Ty Pennington pass complete to Isaiah Gerena for 24 yds to the ACU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Darvon Hubbard run for a loss of 3 yards to the ACU 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Ty Pennington pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for 8 yds to the ACU 1

4th & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -4.21

Ty Pennington run for a loss of 4 yards to the ACU 5

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Sam Hicks run for 6 yds to the ACU 11

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Sam Hicks run for 11 yds to the ACU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sam Hicks run for 5 yds to the ACU 27

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Sam Hicks run for no gain to the ACU 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.13

Carson Haggard pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 47 yds to the NAU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 1 yd to the NAU 25

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

HICKS, Sam rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the NARIZ17 (MCLAUGHLIN, Alex). PENALTY ACU Holding on THIELEN, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the NARIZ25 to the NARIZ35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Carson Haggard pass complete to Sam Hicks for 35 yds Abilene Christian Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NAU 28

2nd & 12Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper HAGGARD, Carson rush to the left for a loss of 3 yards, HAGGARD, Carson fumbled at NARIZ31 , recovered by ACU HAGGARD, Carson at the NARIZ31, returned 0 yards to the NARIZ31, End of Play. PENALTY ACU Holding on HATTEN, Alan enforced 10 yards from the NARIZ28 to the NARIZ38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 22Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Carson Haggard pass complete to Sam Hicks for 3 yds to the NAU 35

3rd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Sam Hicks run for 6 yds to the NAU 29

4th & 13Field Goal Good+46 yds

Ritse Vaes 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Isaiah Eastman run for 8 yds to the NAU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ty Pennington pass complete to Xander Werner for no gain to the NAU 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Ty Pennington run for 3 yds to the NAU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ty Pennington pass complete to Seth Cromwell for 3 yds to the NAU 39

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Seth Cromwell run for no gain to the NAU 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 46 yds , Nehemiah Martinez I returns for 1 yd to the ACU 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Sam Hicks run for 4 yds to the ACU 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Nehemiah Martinez I run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carson Haggard pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Carson Haggard pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 23 yds to the ACU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Carson Haggard pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for no gain to the ACU 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.15

Carson Haggard pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 15 yds to the NAU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Sam Hicks run for 7 yds to the NAU 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Carson Haggard pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for a loss of 4 yards to the NAU 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Carson Haggard pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 1 yd to the NAU 34

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 33 yds, downed at the NAU 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Ty Pennington run for 1 yd to the NAU 2

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Seth Cromwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 1

3rd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.28

Ty Pennington pass complete to Tay Lanier for 36 yds to the NAU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Seth Cromwell run for 1 yd to the NAU 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.00

Ty Pennington pass complete to Ta'ir Brooks for 11 yds to the NAU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENNINGTON, Ty pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BROOKS, Ta'ir thrown to the ACU5. PENALTY NARIZ Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on FRIAS III, Ralph enforced 5 yards from the NARIZ49 to the NARIZ44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

2nd & 15Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.01

Ty Pennington sacked by Luke Gambs for a loss of 5 yards to the NAU 39

3rd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Ty Pennington run for 9 yds to the NAU 48

4th & 11Punt+4 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 41 yds , Nehemiah Martinez I returns for 4 yds to the ACU 15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Sam Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 14

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.26

Carson Haggard pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 14 yds to the ACU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Carson Haggard pass complete to Sam Hicks for 14 yds to the ACU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 5 yds to the ACU 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.69

Carson Haggard pass complete to Sam Hicks for 25 yds to the NAU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Sam Hicks run for 3 yds to the NAU 25

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 3 yds to the NAU 22

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

HAGGARD, Carson pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Blayne thrown to the NARIZ0. PENALTY NARIZ Pass Interference on VANHOOK, DJ enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the NARIZ7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Sam Hicks run for 4 yds to the NAU 3

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Sam Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAU 5

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (J.J. Henry) to the NAU 10

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (Nehemiah Martinez I) to the NAU 15

3rd & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.46

Carson Haggard pass intercepted Tommy Ellis return for no gain to the NAU 11

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Seth Cromwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 10

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NAU 5

4th & 16Punt+10 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 53 yds , Nehemiah Martinez I returns for 10 yds to the NAU 48

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Hicks run for no gain to the NAU 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Carson Haggard pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 2 yds to the NAU 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Carson Haggard pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 6 yds to the NAU 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Eastman at the NAU 6

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

J'Wan Evans run for no gain to the NAU 6

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.05

Ty Pennington sacked by Kaghen Roach and Jerry Lawson for 0 yards to the NAU 6

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 47 yds, downed at the ACU 47

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Sam Hicks run for 53 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Kyler Meschi kickoff for 58 yds , Canyon Moses return for 21 yds to the NAU 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ty Pennington run for 5 yds to the NAU 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.24

Ty Pennington pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for a loss of 4 yards to the NAU 29

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.37

Ty Pennington sacked by David Oke for a loss of 9 yards to the NAU 20

4th & 18Punt+7 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 54 yds , Nehemiah Martinez I returns for 7 yds to the ACU 33

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.38

Sam Hicks run for 30 yds to the NAU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Sam Hicks run for 7 yds to the NAU 30

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jordon Vaughn run for 1 yd to the NAU 29

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jordon Vaughn run for 7 yds to the NAU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 3 yds to the NAU 19

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Sam Hicks run for 6 yds to the NAU 13

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.09

Sam Hicks run for 3 yds to the NAU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Carson Haggard run for 2 yds to the NAU 8

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Sam Hicks run for no gain to the NAU 8

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Sam Hicks run for 2 yds to the NAU 6

4th & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +3.13

Carson Haggard pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 6 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 9 yds to the NAU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.47

Ty Pennington pass complete to Ta'ir Brooks for 23 yds to the ACU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.61

Ty Pennington pass complete to J'Wan Evans for 16 yds to the ACU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Ty Pennington run for 9 yds to the ACU 18

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.74

Ty Pennington pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at ACU17 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Northern Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
18 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
10%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
30%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
58%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play