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← Back to GamesNov 30, 2024Week 14

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tarleton State by 7

Home Win Probability

Tarleton State 65%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Tarleton State -18.5

Edge: Drake +18.5 (11.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Drake
1407829
Tarleton State
31971443

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-79-1415-1422-1429-1429-2136-2143-2143-29
Tarleton StateDrake

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DRATSDRATSDRADRATSDRATSDRATSDRATSDRATSDRATSDRATSDRATSDRATSDRATSDRATSPUNT515ydDOWNS43ydTD223ydFG1056ydPUNT34ydTD326ydTD1078ydTO423ydPUNT3-15ydDOWNS1050ydTD564ydPUNT30ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydTD866ydEND1-2ydPUNT518ydPUNT617ydTD868ydTD875ydPUNT410ydPUNT33ydTD583ydTO627ydTD960ydTD1075ydEND29yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Drake and Tarleton State
StatisticDrakeTarleton State
Passing31-4926-37
Pass Yards286337
Rush Yards70153
Total Yards356490
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-124-11
Penalties5-370-0
Possession28:4331:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Drake
passing
Luke Bailey
31/49, 286 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Taj Hughes
2 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Taj Hughes
11 REC, 63 YDS, 2 TD
Tarleton State
passing
Victor Gabalis
26/36, 337 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kayvon Britten
29 CAR, 146 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Darius Cooper
11 REC, 190 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Davion Cherwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 12 yds to the DRKE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Luke Bailey pass complete to Davion Cherwin for 4 yds to the DRKE 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for no gain to the DRKE 40

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Luke Woodson run for no gain to the DRKE 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 40 yds , Caleb Lewis returns for no gain to the TAR 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the TAR 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the TAR 29

4th & 1Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.05

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 6 yards to the TAR 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Luke Bailey pass complete to Jaxon Laminack for 21 yds to the TAR 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Blake Ellingson run for 2 yds for a TD (Shane Dunning KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Cody Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.79

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 21 yds to the DRKE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the DRKE 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.85

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 13 yds to the DRKE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Kayvon Britten run for 9 yds to the DRKE 27

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.32

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 11 yds to the DRKE 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the DRKE 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 1 yd to the DRKE 14

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Cody Jackson

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 yds

Corbin Poston 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Taj Hughes

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Davion Cherwin run for 4 yds to the DRKE 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Taj Hughes

4th & 6Punt+45 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 13 yds to the TAR 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taj Hughes run for 4 yds to the TAR 9

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 9 yds for a TD (Shane Dunning KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 12 yds to the TAR 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 4 yds to the TAR 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 41

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.78

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the TAR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.35

Kayvon Britten run for 26 yds to the DRKE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 8 yds to the DRKE 19

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the DRKE 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 7 yds to the DRKE 9

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.21

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the DRKE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Luke Bailey pass complete to Davion Cherwin for 2 yds to the DRKE 27

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Taj Hughes run for 19 yds to the DRKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Davion Cherwin run for 2 yds to the DRKE 48

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA -2.14

Luke Bailey pass intercepted Dabari Hawkins return for 6 yds to the DRKE 49

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -3.12

Victor Gabalis run for a loss of 12 yards to the TAR 39

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

3rd & 22Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.18

Victor Gabalis sacked by Finn Claypool for a loss of 3 yards to the TAR 36

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 50 yds , Jaxon Laminack returns for no gain to the DRKE 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 1 yd to the DRKE 15

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Mitchell January

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 12 yds to the DRKE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.92

Luke Bailey pass complete to Parker Olthoff for 21 yds to the DRKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Davion Cherwin run for 1 yd to the DRKE 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 10 yds to the TAR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Parker Olthoff

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Luke Bailey run for 5 yds to the TAR 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Taj Hughes

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.90

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Taj Hughes

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Kayvon Britten run for 16 yds to the DRKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.42

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 32 yds to the DRKE 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 18

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.00

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 18 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Taj Hughes

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Trey Radocha

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Taj Hughes

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the TAR 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 7 yds to the TAR 30

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Cody Jackson

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Laminack at the DRKE 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Mitchell January

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Taj Hughes

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Taj Hughes

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 43 yds , Caleb Lewis returns for 12 yds to the TAR 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 12 yds to the TAR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Trevon West for 6 yds to the DRKE 48

3rd & 4Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.34

Kayvon Britten run for 24 yds to the DRKE 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.65

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 21 yds to the DRKE 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the DRKE 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kyle Weber run for 1 yd for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

L. Bailey takes a knee

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.31

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 8 yds to the TAR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 9 yds to the DRKE 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Benjamin Omayebu

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.84

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 3 yards to the DRKE 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Laminack at the DRKE 11

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Davion Cherwin run for 7 yds to the DRKE 18

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Davion Cherwin run for 2 yds to the DRKE 20

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 6 yds to the DRKE 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Bailey,Luke pass complete short middle to Hughes,Taj caught at DRK24, for 6 yards to the DRK32 (Stuart,Donta), out of bounds PENALTY DRK Holding (Nesslage,Tim) 10 yards from DRK26 to DRK16. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 20Penalty-5 yds

Shotgun Bailey,Luke pass complete short right to Hughes,Taj caught at DRK28, for 0 yards to the DRK16 PENALTY DRK Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Palmer,Ross) 5 yards from DRK16 to DRK11. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 4 yds to the DRKE 15

3rd & 21Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 13 yds to the DRKE 28

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 40 yds , Caleb Lewis returns for no gain to the TAR 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.83

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 20 yds to the DRKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the DRKE 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 2 yds to the DRKE 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.21

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 29 yds to the DRKE 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Victor Gabalis run for 6 yds to the DRKE 13

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Kayvon Britten for 7 yds to the DRKE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the DRKE 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Bailey run for 5 yds to the DRKE 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 6 yds to the DRKE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Luke Bailey pass complete to Parker Olthoff for 7 yds to the DRKE 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Luke Bailey pass complete to Sam Rodriguez for 14 yds to the TAR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.41

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tyler Nansel for 17 yds to the TAR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Mitchell January run for 9 yds to the TAR 10

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 10 yds for a TD (Shane Dunning KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 10 yds to the TAR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Fred Brown II

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Laminack at the DRKE 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Parker Olthoff

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Luke Bailey pass complete to Luke Woodson for 8 yds to the DRKE 39

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY DRK False Start (Metze,Jake) 5 yards from DRK39 to DRK34. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 11 yds to the TAR 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 31

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Kayvon Britten run for 14 yds to the TAR 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Braelon Bridges run for 6 yds to the DRKE 49

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.90

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 49 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Davion Cherwin run for 2 yds to the DRKE 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Luke Bailey pass complete to Luke Woodson for 1 yd to the DRKE 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 8 yds to the DRKE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 10 yds to the DRKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Luke Bailey run for 6 yds to the TAR 48

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return+7 ydsPPA -3.19

Luke Bailey pass intercepted Jeremiah Postell return for 7 yds to the TAR 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 12 yds to the DRKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 49

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the DRKE 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 4 yds to the DRKE 41

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.39

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 7 yds to the DRKE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.41

Kayvon Britten run for 11 yds to the DRKE 23 for a 1ST down Drake Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jason Christenson) to the DRKE 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Braelon Bridges run for no gain to the DRKE 11

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Braelon Bridges run for 8 yds to the DRKE 3

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.55

Kyle Weber run for 3 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 6 yds to the DRKE 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Parker Olthoff

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Luke Bailey run for 6 yds to the DRKE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 8 yds to the DRKE 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Luke Bailey pass complete to Jaxon Laminack for 3 yds to the DRKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 1 yd to the DRKE 49

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Luke Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.04

Luke Bailey pass complete to Brandon Langdok for 14 yds to the TAR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.77

Luke Bailey pass complete to Spencer Halvorson for 30 yds to the TAR 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Brandon Langdok 8 Yd pass from Luke Bailey (Blake Ellingson Pass to Sam Rodriguez for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY DRK Offside (Christenson,Jason) 5 yards from DRK46 to DRK41. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.48

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the DRKE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

V. Gabalis takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Drake

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
45%
33 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
73%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays