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← Back to GamesJan 11, 2025Week 1
Ohio StateOhio State
28
-Final
14
TexasTexas

House Prediction

Model Margin

Even matchup

Home Win Probability

Texas 49%

Market (Bovada)

Texas +5.5

Edge: Texas +5.5 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Jan 11, 2025

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
7701428
TexasTexas
077014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1414-1414-2114-28
TexasOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TEXOSTEXOSTEXOSTEXOSTEXOSTEXOSTEXOSTEXOSTEXOSTEXOSTEXTEXOSDOWNS739ydTD1064ydPUNT627ydPUNT843ydPUNT4-11ydPUNT514ydPUNT515ydPUNT37ydPUNT516ydPUNT3-7ydTD759ydTD175ydEND223ydTO427ydPUNT413ydPUNT39ydTD1267ydPUNT4-5ydPUNT35ydTD1388ydTD1058ydTO36ydEND310yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Texas
StatisticOhio StateTexas
Passing24-3323-39
Pass Yards289283
Rush Yards8158
Total Yards370341
Turnovers12
3rd Down3-105-15
Penalties9-755-54
Possession31:3828:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
Will Howard
24/33, 289 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
6 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Carnell Tate
7 REC, 87 YDS
defense
Sonny Styles
3 TFL, 1 PD
Texas
passing
Quinn Ewers
23/39, 283 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tre Wisner
17 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Jaydon Blue
5 REC, 59 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Juan Davis for 4 yds to the TEX 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.94

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 24 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Ryan Wingo run for 6 yds to the OSU 37

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the OSU 36

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 41

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the OSU 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 5 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 14 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the TEX 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 11 yds to the TEX 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 14 yds to the TEX 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Quinshon Judkins 9 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Quinn Ewers sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.95

Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 15 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.85

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 22 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion Wisner

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the OSU 39

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Texas Penalty, False Start (Cameron Williams) to the OSU 44

3rd & 12Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.23

Quinn Ewers sacked by JT Tuimoloau and Ty Hamilton for a loss of 4 yards to the OSU 48

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 3 yds to the OSU 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 13 yds to the OSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Howard run for 2 yds to the OSU 26

2nd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.57

TreVeyon Henderson run for 22 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 14 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the TEX 37

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

Ohio State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TreVeyon Henderson) to the OSU 48

2nd & 24Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Will Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 46

3rd & 26Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 5 yds to the TEX 49

4th & 21Punt+16 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 40 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 16 yds to the TEX 25 Silas Bolden fumbled, forced by Caden Curry, recovered by TEX Silas Bolden

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -0.49

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 4 yds to the TEX 28 Texas Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (Matthew Golden) to the TEX 14

2nd & 21Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 10 yds to the TEX 24

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -0.22

Quinn Ewers sacked by Sonny Styles for a loss of 10 yards to the TEX 14 Quinn Ewers fumbled, forced by Sonny Styles, recovered by TEX DJ Campbell , return for 0 yards

4th & 21Punt+51 yds

Michael Kern punt for 51 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 7 yds to the OSU 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 5 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Howard, Will pass complete to Smith, Jeremiah for 1 yard to the OSU47, PENALTY OSU holding (Scott Jr., Gee) 10 yards to the OSU36, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.98

Will Howard pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 12 yds to the OSU 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 43 yds, downed at the TEX 9

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the TEX 16

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar Helm

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 4 yds to the TEX 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan Wingo

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 35

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Judkins, Quinshon rush for 7 yards to the OSU42, PENALTY OSU holding (Fryar, Josh) 10 yards to the OSU25, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 7 yds to the OSU 32

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Ohio State Penalty, False Start (Luke Montgomery) to the OSU 27

3rd & 18Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 15 yds to the OSU 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 8 yds to the TEX 23

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the TEX 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 27

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Will Howard pass incomplete to Quinshon Judkins

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.28

Will Howard sacked by Anthony Hill Jr. and Barryn Sorrell for a loss of 7 yards to the OSU 20

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Quintrevion Wisner run for no gain to the TEX 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion Wisner

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Quinn Ewers run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.58

Arch Manning run for 8 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.70

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 24 yds to the OSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Jaydon Blue 18 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Will Stone Kick)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

TreVeyon Henderson 75 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Quintrevion Wisner run for 13 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Wingo, Ryan, PENALTY OSU holding (Igbinosun, Davison) 10 yards to the TEX48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the OSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OSU 45

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the TEX 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -3.31

Will Howard pass intercepted David Gbenda return for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 10 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the TEX 41

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 39

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 4 yds to the TEX 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Emeka Egbuka run for no gain to the OSU 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Will Howard pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 9 yds to the OSU 21

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 21

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 46 yds , Silas Bolden returns for no gain to the TEX 33

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas Penalty, False Start (Jake Majors) to the TEX 28

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan Wingo

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.83

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 14 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 5 yds to the OSU 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 2 yds to the OSU 46

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.38

Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 44

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 11 yds to the OSU 33

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the OSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the OSU 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion Wisner

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.55

Jaydon Blue 26 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Will Stone Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 15 yds to the OSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Ohio State Penalty, Personal Foul (Austin Siereveld) to the OSU 25

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Will Howard sacked by Vernon Broughton for a loss of 10 yards to the OSU 15 Will Howard fumbled, forced by Vernon Broughton, recovered by OSU Will Howard , return for 0 yards

2nd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon Henderson

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 39

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the TEX 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.75

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Matthew Golden

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Michael Kern punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 12

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Howard, Will pass incomplete to Egbuka, Emeka, PENALTY TEX pass interference (Muhammad, Malik) 15 yards to the OSU27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OSU.

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 25

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 4 yds to the OSU 29

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.86

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 18 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.95

Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 11 yds to the TEX 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 6 yds to the TEX 36

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Ohio State Penalty, False Start (Josh Fryar) to the TEX 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 7 yds to the TEX 34

4th & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.94

Will Howard run for 18 yds to the TEX 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the TEX 8

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.91

Quinshon Judkins run for 6 yds to the TEX 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Will Howard run for 1 yd to the TEX 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Quinshon Judkins 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 8 yds to the TEX 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Jaydon Blue run for 8 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 34 yds to the OSU 25 for a 1ST down Texas Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gunnar Helm) to the OSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.65

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 27 yds to the OSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the OSU 11

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 5 yds to the OSU 6

3rd & 3Penalty+4 yds

Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Wingo, Ryan, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Ransom, Lathan) 4 yards to the OSU2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.

1st & 0Penalty+1 yds

Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Golden, Matthew, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Mathews Jr., Jermaine) 1 yards to the OSU1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jerrick Gibson run for no gain to the OSU 1

2nd & 1Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.05

Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 7 yards to the OSU 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan Wingo

4th & 8Fumble Return Touchdown+83 ydsPPA -10.70

Quinn Ewers sacked sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 9 yards to the OSU 17, fumbles, forced by Jack Sawyer, recovered by OSU Jack Sawayer, returned 83 yards for a Touchdown (Jayden Fielding Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 6 yds to the TEX 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jaydon Blue

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return+7 ydsPPA -0.39

Quinn Ewers pass intercepted Caleb Downs return for 7 yds to the TEX 41

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Quinshon Judkins run for 9 yds to the TEX 32

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Howard run for 2 yds to the TEX 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 31

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
26 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
75%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play