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← Back to GamesDec 28, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 5.3

Home Win Probability

Colorado State 36%

Market (Bovada)

Colorado State +2.5

Edge: Miami (OH) -2.5 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
63201443
Colorado StateColorado State
307717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-33-63-93-2210-2910-3617-43
Colorado StateMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CSM(CSM(CSM(CSM(CSM(CSM(CSM(CSM(CSM(CSM(CSM(CSCSM(CSFG1372ydPUNT49ydTO320ydFG518ydTO3-8ydPUNT34ydTO10ydFG43ydDOWNS547ydPUNT1031ydPUNT620ydFG955ydEND15ydTD675ydTO222ydTD547ydDOWNS1172ydTD197ydTD775ydTO2-8ydTO428ydTD35ydTO611ydTD522ydTD1040ydEND956yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Colorado State
StatisticMiami (OH)Colorado State
Passing13-2523-45
Pass Yards184321
Rush Yards217141
Total Yards401462
Turnovers24
3rd Down5-128-17
Penalties7-458-55
Possession27:1632:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
13/25, 184 YDS
rushing
Kevin Davis
9 CAR, 148 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kamryn Perry
2 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Colorado State
passing
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi
23/45, 321 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Justin Marshall
9 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Stephon Daily
4 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 4 yards to the CSU 21

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the CSU 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.97

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dane Olson for 12 yds to the CSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Avery Morrow run for 3 yds to the CSU 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jordan Ross for 8 yds to the CSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Avery Morrow run for 12 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Tommy Maher

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the M-OH 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.04

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jordan Ross for 30 yds to the M-OH 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Justin Marshall run for 4 yds to the M-OH 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the M-OH 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Jordan Ross

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Jordan Noyes 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Braylon Isom for 17 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 40

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kam Perry

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the M-OH 35

3rd & 17Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Brett Gabbert sacked by Mukendi Wa-Kalonji and Gabe Kirschke for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 34

4th & 18Punt+5 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 47 yds , Kobe Johnson returns for 5 yds to the CSU 39 Colorado State Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the CSU 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Avery Morrow run for 3 yds to the CSU 17

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Armani Winfield

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA +0.16

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for 17 yds Avery Morrow fumbled, forced by Ambe' Caldwell, recovered by M-OH Ty Wise

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.32

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 14 yds to the CSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Coldiron

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the CSU 16

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kevin Davis

4th & 6Field Goal Good+34 yds

Dom Dzioban 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the CSU 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Colorado State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CSU 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Tommy Maher

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Colorado State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the CSU 17

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Dane Olson

4th & 18Punt-8 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 39 yds , Cade McDonald returns for a loss of 8 yards to the M-OH 36 Cade McDonald fumbled, recovered by M-OH

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the M-OH 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cole Weaver

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cole Weaver

4th & 6Punt+8 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 49 yds , Kobe Johnson returns for 8 yds to the CSU 19

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -0.56

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass intercepted Adam Trick return for 5 yds to the CSU 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the CSU 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Braylon Isom

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kevin Davis

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Dom Dzioban 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Ross, Jordan rush for loss of 1 yard to the COLORADOST24, PENALTY M-OH face mask (Walters, Silas) 15 yards to the COLORADOST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLORADOST.

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.82

Justin Marshall run for 26 yds to the M-OH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 7 yds to the M-OH 27

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Marshall, Justin rush for 4 yards to the M-OH23, PENALTY COLORADOST holding (Henderson, Saveyon) 10 yards to the M-OH37, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Donovan Ollie

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.48

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dane Olson for 12 yds to the M-OH 25

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -3.35

Justin Marshall run for a loss of 3 yards to the M-OH 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 10 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Mozee, Keyon rush for 1 yard to the M-OH39, PENALTY COLORADOST 12 men on the field 5 yards to the M-OH43, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.40

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cole Weaver

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.08

Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the CSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Brett Gabbert sacked by Henry Blackburn and Gabe Kirschke for a loss of 5 yards to the M-OH 46

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.15

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cole Weaver for 14 yds to the CSU 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.70

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the CSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cade McDonald

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cade McDonald

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Josh Ringer for 7 yds to the CSU 31

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, False Start (Reid Holskey) to the CSU 36

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the CSU 41

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kobe Johnson at the CSU 4

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Avery Morrow run for 6 yds to the CSU 10

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Morrow, Avery rush for 7 yards to the COLORADOST17, PENALTY COLORADOST holding (Montini, Peter) 5 yards to the COLORADOST5, NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the CSU 6

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for 9 yds to the CSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 4 yards to the CSU 11

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.50

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jordan Ross for 12 yds to the CSU 23

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the CSU 24

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the M-OH 43

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.41

Kevin Davis run for 10 yds to the CSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the CSU 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.55

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 14 yds to the CSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.20

Kevin Davis run for 14 yds to the CSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Davis run for no gain to the CSU 13

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Braylon Isom

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 7 yds to the CSU 6

4th & 3Field Goal Good+24 yds

Dom Dzioban 24 yd FG GOOD

4th & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds , Kobe Johnson return for 12 yds to the CSU 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the CSU 17

0th & 10End of Half+5 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kam Perry for 17 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 1 yd to the M-OH 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.91

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kam Perry for 40 yds to the CSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the CSU 13

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Kevin Davis run for 9 yds to the CSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Kevin Davis run for 4 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Jordan Ross

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+22 ydsPPA -0.22

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 22 yds Vince Brown II fumbled, forced by Matt Salopek, recovered by M-OH Silas Walters

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kam Perry

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the CSU 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.48

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 9 yds to the CSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.36

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 22 yds to the CSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Brett Gabbert run for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Stephon Daily for 9 yds to the CSU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dane Olson for 9 yds to the CSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Stephon Daily for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.64

Justin Marshall run for 11 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Donovan Ollie

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Stephon Daily

3rd & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.44

Justin Marshall run for 28 yds to the M-OH 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Armani Winfield

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Avery Morrow run for 6 yds to the M-OH 5

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Vince Brown II

4th & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -3.99

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the M-OH 3

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+97 ydsPPA +6.96

Kevin Davis run for 97 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen Dupree run for 6 yds to the CSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 3 yds to the CSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Justin Marshall run for 2 yds to the CSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jordan Ross for 8 yds to the CSU 44

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Avery Morrow run for no gain to the CSU 44

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +6.41

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Stephon Daily for 56 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+81 yds

Bryan Hansen kickoff for 61 yds , Kevin Davis return for 81 yds to the CSU 15

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, False Start (Reid Holskey) to the CSU 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Josh Ringer run for 2 yds to the CSU 18

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CSU 23

2nd & 18Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.40

Josh Ringer run for no gain to the CSU 23 Josh Ringer fumbled, forced by Ayden Hector, recovered by CSU Ayden Hector

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 12 yds to the CSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Justin Marshall run for 14 yds to the CSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Justin Marshall run for 2 yds to the M-OH 49

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+54 ydsPPA -2.43

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass intercepted Ty Wise return for 54 yds to the CSU 5

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the CSU 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the CSU 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Tommy Maher

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justin Marshall for 13 yds to the CSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Marshall, Justin rush for 22 yards to the M-OH40, PENALTY COLORADOST holding 10 yards to the COLORADOST28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 8 yds to the CSU 36

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt-4 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 38 yds , Cade McDonald returns for a loss of 4 yards to the M-OH 22 Cade McDonald fumbled, recovered by CSU Henry Blackburn

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 23

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.78

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 22 yds to the M-OH 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Peter Montini run for no gain to the M-OH 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Peter Montini run for 1 yd for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the CSU 36

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the CSU 34

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan Brunson run for 5 yds to the CSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jordan Brunson run for 4 yds to the CSU 25

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Brunson run for 5 yds to the CSU 20

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan Brunson run for a loss of 3 yards to the CSU 23

4th & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Brian Shane for 12 yds to the CSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the CSU 9

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the CSU 7

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CSU 12

3rd & 11Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.19

Jordan Brunson run for 12 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Avery Morrow run for 11 yds to the CSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Justin Marshall run for no gain to the CSU 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.72

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dane Olson for 11 yds to the CSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Stephon Daily for 2 yds to the CSU 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Jordan Ross

4th & 8Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +4.03

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tommy Maher for 34 yds to the M-OH 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 19

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
35%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
63%
8 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
30 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
12 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play