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← Back to GamesJan 1, 2025Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 7.2

Home Win Probability

Oregon 65%

Market (Bovada)

Oregon +2.5

Edge: Oregon +2.5 (9.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Jan 1, 2025

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
14207041
OregonOregon
087621

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-170-240-3415-3415-4121-41
OregonOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSORETD375ydPUNT39ydPUNT642ydPUNT32ydTD353ydPUNT726ydFG1063ydDOWNS723ydTD248ydPUNT36ydTD166ydPUNT3-2ydFG1043ydEND1075ydTD1175ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-13ydTD656ydPUNT416ydPUNT4-6ydTD1051ydPUNT638ydPUNT50ydPUNT59ydEND13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Oregon
StatisticOhio StateOregon
Passing17-2629-42
Pass Yards319299
Rush Yards181-23
Total Yards500276
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-118-19
Penalties2-143-13
Possession29:0530:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
Will Howard
17/26, 319 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
8 CAR, 94 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jeremiah Smith
7 REC, 187 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Cody Simon
3 TFL, 1 PD
Oregon
passing
Dillon Gabriel
29/41, 299 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jordan James
7 CAR, 14 YDS
receiving
Traeshon Holden
7 REC, 116 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 30 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.47

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 45 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordan James run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 5 yds to the ORE 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.51

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 29 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the ORE 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.61

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 12 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Will Howard run for no gain to the ORE 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon Henderson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 2 yds to the ORE 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Patrick Herbert

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez Johnson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 7 yds to the ORE 46

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the ORE 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 42 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tez Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the ORE 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Jordan James run for 11 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez Johnson

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Jordan James run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 45

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 6 yds to the OSU 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Dunne punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 9

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 14

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.97

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 32 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the ORE 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.27

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 15 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Will Howard run for no gain to the ORE 33

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the ORE 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith

4th & 5Field Goal Good+46 yds

Jayden Fielding 46 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jordan James run for 1 yd to the ORE 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 12 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 43

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jordan James run for no gain to the ORE 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 48

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Terrance Ferguson

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the ORE 43

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.59

W. Howard pass to J. Smith for 43 yds for a TD (J. Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Noah Whittington run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the ORE 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez Johnson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 34

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.34

TreVeyon Henderson run for 66 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Noah Whittington run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Kenyon Sadiq

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the OSU 39

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Quinshon Judkins run for 15 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the ORE 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 4 yds to the ORE 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Will Howard run for 3 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jeremiah Smith run for 5 yds to the ORE 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 10 yds to the ORE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the ORE 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon Henderson

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Jayden Fielding 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 1 yd to the ORE 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the ORE 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 10 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez Johnson

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.24

Dillon Gabriel sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 34

3rd & 16Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +4.47

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 44 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 4 yds to the OSU 18

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the OSU 13

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds to the OSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 5 yds for a TD (Dillon Gabriel pass to Justius Lowe for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0End of Half+3 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Noah Whittington run for no gain to the ORE 25

2nd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.60

Dillon Gabriel sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 12 yards to the ORE 13

3rd & 22Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.58

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 21 yds to the ORE 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.56

Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd to the ORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 17 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 5 yds to the OSU 43

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Noah Whittington run for no gain to the OSU 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 15 yds to the OSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.30

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 25 yds to the OSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jayden Limar run for 1 yd to the OSU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Noah Whittington run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 4 yds to the OSU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Terrance Ferguson

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Dillon Gabriel sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 7 yards to the ORE 18

3rd & 17Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.07

Dillon Gabriel sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 12

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Luke Dunne punt for 44 yds, downed at the OSU 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 1 yd to the OSU 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 1 yd to the OSU 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.67

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 10 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 16 yds to the ORE 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Quinshon Judkins run for 12 yds to the ORE 16 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the ORE 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 10 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds to the ORE 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Noah Whittington

3rd & 2Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.17

Dillon Gabriel sacked by Lathan Ransom for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Dunne punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 15

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.67

Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the OSU 18 Ohio State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the OSU 9

1st & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 10

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the OSU 14

3rd & 11Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.10

Will Howard run for a loss of 5 yards to the OSU 9

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dillon Gabriel

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 6 yds to the OSU 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.76

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 10 yds to the OSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 7 yds to the OSU 28

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.53

Dillon Gabriel sacked by Caden Curry for a loss of 8 yards to the OSU 36

4th & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.12

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the OSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Noah Whittington

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.09

Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the OSU 27 for a 1ST down

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +4.20

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 27 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

3rd & 13Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Andrew Boyle kickoff for 53 yds , TreVeyon Henderson return for 3 yds to the OSU 15

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.19

Quinshon Judkins run for 18 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.53

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 18 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 49

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the ORE 47

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon Henderson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the ORE 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 6 yds to the ORE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 4 yds to the ORE 35

2nd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.45

Dillon Gabriel sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 8 yards to the ORE 27 Oregon Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the ORE 27

3rd & 14Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.18

Dillon Gabriel sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 7 yards to the ORE 20

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Luke Dunne punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 37

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OSU 44

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Ohio State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OSU 45

2nd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 43

3rd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 46

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the ORE 23

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
56%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
28%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
18%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play