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← Back to GamesDec 21, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 13.1

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 78%

Market (Bovada)

Notre Dame -7

Edge: Notre Dame -7 (6.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IndianaIndiana
0301417
Notre DameNotre Dame
7103727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-317-320-327-327-17
Notre DameIndiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20INDNDINDNDINDNDINDNDINDNDINDNDINDNDINDNDINDNDINDINDNDPUNT3-3ydTO2-1ydTO424ydTD198ydPUNT838ydTD1683ydPUNT625ydPUNT45ydFG948ydFG1252ydEND16ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-9ydFG1128ydPUNT32ydMISS1150ydPUNT512ydTD978ydTD1276ydTD850ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana and Notre Dame
StatisticIndianaNotre Dame
Passing20-3423-32
Pass Yards215201
Rush Yards63193
Total Yards278394
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-127-13
Penalties5-466-35
Possession24:2035:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana
passing
Kurtis Rourke
20/33, 215 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Justice Ellison
11 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Elijah Sarratt
4 REC, 67 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Riley Leonard
23/32, 201 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jeremiyah Love
8 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Faison
7 REC, 89 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Justice Ellison run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 37 yds, downed at the ND 41

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 40

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -1.00

Riley Leonard pass intercepted D'Angelo Ponds return for 3 yds to the ND 41

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Indiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IU 49

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the ND 48

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the ND 45

3rd & 14Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.40

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 28 yds to the ND 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.42

Kurtis Rourke pass intercepted Xavier Watts return for no gain to the ND 2

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+98 ydsPPA +6.98

Jeremiyah Love run for 98 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Justice Ellison run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 23

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Justice Ellison run for 10 yds to the IU 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Elijah Sarratt

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.82

Ty Son Lawton run for 22 yds to the ND 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the ND 38

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the ND 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Elijah Sarratt

4th & 8Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ND 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jadarian Price run for 4 yds to the ND 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jordan Faison

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.45

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 10 yds to the ND 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jadarian Price run for no gain to the ND 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jadarian Price for 8 yds to the ND 39

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.61

Aneyas Williams run for 6 yds to the ND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 8 yds Mitchell Evans fumbled, recovered by ND Jordan Faison

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 5 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the IU 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 9 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 36

1st & 15Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.91

Jadarian Price run for 20 yds to the IU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the IU 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 7 yds to the IU 7

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.05

Riley Leonard run for 4 yds to the IU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 5 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the IU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 10 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Justice Ellison run for 15 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the ND 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ND 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 11 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 32

2nd & 11Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.70

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 5 yards to the ND 27

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

James Rendell punt for 37 yds, downed at the IU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 1 yd to the IU 37

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.06

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 15 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ND 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Elijah Sarratt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.31

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 17 yds to the ND 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the ND 16

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 17

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the ND 16

4th & 4Field Goal Good+34 yds

Nicolas Radicic 34 yd FG GOOD

4th & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Derek McCormick kickoff for 65 yds , Jayden Harrison return for 17 yds to the ND 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the ND 20

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the ND 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.45

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 10 yds to the ND 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the ND 37

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the ND 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 9 yds to the IU 48

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jordan Faison

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Aneyas Williams run for 12 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 5 yds to the IU 31

4th & 5Field Goal Good+49 yds

Mitch Jeter 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ty Son Lawton run for 6 yds to the IU 31

0th & 10End of Half+6 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+60 yds

Derek McCormick kickoff for 60 yds , Jayden Harrison return for 5 yds to the ND 10, Jordan Faison return for 43 yds to the IU 47

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ND 48

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 8 yds to the IU 44

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the IU 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Beaux Collins

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Rendell punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the IU 12

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.61

Kurtis Rourke sacked by Rylie Mills for a loss of 8 yards to the IU 4

2nd & 18Penalty+5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the IU 9

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Myles Price run for 2 yds to the IU 11

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.10

Kurtis Rourke sacked by Bryce Young for a loss of 8 yards to the IU 3

4th & 19Punt+9 yds

James Evans punt for 49 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 9 yds to the IU 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the IU 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 8 yds to the IU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Jadarian Price run for 9 yds to the IU 24

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.44

Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Raridon for 4 yds to the IU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the IU 19

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.15

Riley Leonard sacked by James Carpenter for a loss of 5 yards to the IU 24

3rd & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Riley Leonard run for no gain to the IU 24 for a 1ST down Indiana Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the IU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 8 yds to the IU 4

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 6

3rd & 4Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the IU 10

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 15

4th & 13Field Goal Good+33 yds

Mitch Jeter 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 8 yds to the IU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles Cross

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Indiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Max Hurleman at the ND 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 8 yds to the ND 39

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Jeremiyah Love run for 7 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 9 yds to the IU 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.01

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 10 yds to the IU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Jadarian Price run for a loss of 4 yards to the IU 39

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Riley Leonard run for 8 yds to the IU 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.12

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 8 yds to the IU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Indiana Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the IU 18

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Riley Leonard sacked by Amare Ferrell and Jamari Sharpe for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 6Blocked Field Goal+37 yds

Mitch Jeter 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by James Carpenter Jeter, recovered by IU Walker, Jailin at IU22, fumble by Walker, Jailin recovered by IU Asbury II, Shawn at IU25, Asbury II, Shawn for 15 yards to the IU40.

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.47

Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the IU 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 10 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Andison Coby

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Williams

3rd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Justice Ellison for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 48

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 26 yds, downed at the ND 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.52

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 12 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 35

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Jeremiyah Love run for 7 yds to the ND 42

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.01

Riley Leonard run for 7 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Aneyas Williams run for 6 yds to the IU 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.63

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 44 yds to the IU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Aneyas Williams run for no gain to the IU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Riley Leonard run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 59 yds , Solomon Vanhorse return for 18 yds to the IU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 10 yds to the IU 34 Indiana Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-14 Yards) to the IU 20

1st & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Justice Ellison for 7 yds to the IU 27

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the IU 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.56

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 7 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 16 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Williams

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ND 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 16 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the ND 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Myles Price

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.41

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 17 yds to the ND 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds for a TD (Kurtis Rourke pass to Elijah Sarratt for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Kurtis Rourke sacked by Loghan Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 48

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 7 yds to the ND 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 4 yds to the ND 41

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.00

Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Zach Horton for 7 yds to the ND 30

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Kurtis Rourke run for 7 yds to the ND 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 49

Situational Analysis

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
42%
24 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th