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← Back to GamesDec 22, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 8

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 69%

Market (Bovada)

Ohio State -8

Edge: Ohio State -8 (0.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 22, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TennesseeTennessee
0100717
Ohio StateOhio State
21014742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-021-321-1028-1035-1042-1042-17
Ohio StateTennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSTENOSTENOSTENOSTENOSTENOSTENOSTENOSTENOSTENOSTENOSTENOSTD575ydPUNT37ydTD568ydPUNT3-18ydTD758ydPUNT722ydTO1260ydFG962ydPUNT38ydTD1679ydDOWNS437ydPUNT68ydTD665ydPUNT618ydTD981ydDOWNS614ydTD539ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT36ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-4ydTD973ydEND35yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee and Ohio State
StatisticTennesseeOhio State
Passing14-3125-31
Pass Yards104317
Rush Yards152156
Total Yards256473
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-164-9
Penalties6-503-25
Possession27:1032:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee
passing
Nico Iamaleava
14/31, 104 YDS
rushing
Peyton Lewis
10 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Bru McCoy
4 REC, 40 YDS
defense
Ohio State
passing
Will Howard
24/29, 311 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
10 CAR, 80 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jeremiah Smith
6 REC, 103 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the OSU 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Bryson Eason) to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 47

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Ohio State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OSU 42

2nd & 16Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.29

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 21 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 37 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nico Iamaleava run for 3 yds to the TENN 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 31

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Nico Iamaleava run for 1 yd to the TENN 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the OSU 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the TENN 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.93

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 40 yds to the TENN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the TENN 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

DeSean Bishop run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 24

2nd & 11Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.50

Nico Iamaleava sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 12 yards to the TENN 12

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Squirrel White

4th & 23Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TENN 7

4th & 28Punt-4 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 47 yds , Caleb Downs returns for a loss of 4 yards to the OSU 42 Caleb Downs fumbled, recovered by OSU Caleb Downs

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.03

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds to the TENN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 6 yds to the TENN 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.95

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 16 yds to the TENN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the TENN 29

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.49

TreVeyon Henderson run for 29 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Nico Iamaleava run for 14 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Bru McCoy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Miles Kitselman

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.93

Nico Iamaleava run for 12 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Nico Iamaleava sacked by Jack Sawyer and Ty Hamilton for a loss of 7 yards to the TENN 44

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 47

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Squirrel White

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 6 yds to the OSU 26

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Quinshon Judkins run for 8 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the OSU 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 10 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Will Howard run for 6 yds to the TENN 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Will Howard pass complete to Will Howard for no gain to the TENN 47

4th & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.93

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 10 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the TENN 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Will Howard run for 3 yds to the TENN 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.76

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 10 yds to the TENN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.38

Will Howard pass intercepted, touchback. Will Brooks return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the TENN 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.20

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 21 yds to the TENN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.18

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 17 yds to the OSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

DeSean Bishop run for 4 yds to the OSU 34

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Ohio State Penalty, Roughing Passer (Kenyatta Jackson Jr.) to the OSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 6 yds to the OSU 13

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OSU 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Bru McCoy

4th & 9Field Goal Good+36 yds

Max Gilbert 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 8 yds to the OSU 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Emeka Egbuka run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 46 yds, downed at the TENN 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Peyton Lewis run for 6 yds to the TENN 27

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds to the TENN 29

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.90

Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds to the TENN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Braylon Staley for 7 yds to the TENN 38

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Peyton Lewis run for 5 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 11 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the OSU 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to DeSean Bishop

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 5 yds to the OSU 37

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.87

DeSean Bishop run for 8 yds to the OSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 14 yds to the OSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Braylon Staley

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Nico Iamaleava run for 8 yds to the OSU 7

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Nico Iamaleava run for 3 yds to the OSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

DeSean Bishop run for 2 yds to the OSU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

TreVeyon Henderson run for 15 yds to the OSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 7 yds to the OSU 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 15 yds to the TENN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+56 yds

Jayden Fielding 56 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 63 yds , Peyton Lewis return for 24 yds to the TENN 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

DeSean Bishop run for 5 yds to the TENN 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the TENN 35

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.89

DeSean Bishop run for 1 yd to the TENN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

DeSean Bishop run for 3 yds to the TENN 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II

3rd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.76

Peyton Lewis run for a loss of 5 yards to the TENN 34

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 8 yds to the OSU 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.71

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the TENN 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.82

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 26 yds to the TENN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 22 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 2 yds to the TENN 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 2 yds to the TENN 29

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Nico Iamaleava run for 8 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nico Iamaleava run for 5 yds to the TENN 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Peyton Lewis for 1 yd to the TENN 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Mike Matthews

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 39 yds , Brandon Inniss returns for 1 yd to the OSU 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the OSU 23

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the OSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 35

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Will Howard run for 10 yds to the OSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Will Howard pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 7 yds to the TENN 48

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the TENN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.61

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 18 yds to the TENN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Howard, Will pass incomplete to Smith, Jeremiah, PENALTY TENN substitution infraction 5 yards to the TENN19, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Penalty+15 yds

Howard, Will pass incomplete to Smith, Jeremiah, PENALTY TENN pass interference (McCoy, Jermod) 15 yards to the TENN4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OSU.

1st & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 3 yds to the TENN 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Peyton Lewis for 2 yds to the TENN 27

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Peyton Lewis run for 8 yds to the TENN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.85

Nico Iamaleava sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 8 yards to the TENN 27

2nd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Peyton Lewis for 4 yds to the TENN 31

3rd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Nico Iamaleava run for 8 yds to the TENN 39

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TENN 42

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.44

Will Howard run for 12 yds to the TENN 30

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.46

Will Howard run for 6 yds to the TENN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Howard pass incomplete to Gee Scott Jr.

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

TreVeyon Henderson run for 24 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Nico Iamaleava sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 8 yards to the TENN 17 Nico Iamaleava fumbled, recovered by TENN Dylan Sampson , return for 0 yards

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 38 yds, downed at the OSU 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

James Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Devin Brown pass complete to Brandon Inniss for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

James Peoples run for 1 yd to the TENN 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Boo Carter at the TENN 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Braylon Staley for 4 yds to the TENN 16

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Braylon Staley

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Mike Matthews

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 42

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

James Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 41

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

James Peoples run for 2 yds to the OSU 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Bryson Rodgers

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Ohio State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OSU 38

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Boo Carter at the TENN 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Peyton Lewis run for 4 yds to the TENN 31

2nd & 6Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.71

Peyton Lewis run for 26 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 8 yds to the OSU 35

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Peyton Lewis run for 3 yds to the OSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.06

Peyton Lewis run for 23 yds to the OSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Peyton Lewis run for 4 yds to the OSU 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Peyton Lewis run for 3 yds to the OSU 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OSU 8

3rd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Josh Turbyville kickoff for 52 yds , TreVeyon Henderson return for no gain to the OSU 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

James Peoples run for 2 yds to the OSU 15

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.34

James Peoples run for a loss of 3 yards to the OSU 12

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

James Peoples run for 6 yds to the OSU 18

Situational Analysis

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
39%
28 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
86%
7 plays
83%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play