Skip to main content
← Back to GamesJan 4, 2025Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 0.6

Home Win Probability

Virginia Tech 50%

Market (Bovada)

Virginia Tech +10

Edge: Virginia Tech +10 (9.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Jan 4, 2025

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
0210324
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
730010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-1410-2110-24
Virginia TechMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VTVTMINVTMINVTMINVTMINVTMINVTMINVTMINVTMINVTMINPUNT35ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT35ydPUNT39ydMISS1056ydTD880ydTD980ydPUNT3-10ydTD865ydPUNT612ydTD658ydEND538ydPUNT729ydPUNT722ydFG1566ydDOWNS658ydTO32ydTO51ydEND840yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Virginia Tech
StatisticMinnesotaVirginia Tech
Passing20-3110-18
Pass Yards236149
Rush Yards16774
Total Yards403223
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-113-11
Penalties5-253-33
Possession35:2424:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Max Brosmer
18/29, 211 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Darius Taylor
20 CAR, 113 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elijah Spencer
6 REC, 81 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Virginia Tech
passing
William Watson III
8/12, 81 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Keylen Adams
1 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Ayden Greene
6 REC, 115 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

William Watson III run for 4 yds to the VT 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jeremiah Coney run for 1 yd to the VT 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

William Watson III pass incomplete to Ayden Greene

4th & 5Punt+30 yds

Peter Moore punt for 30 yds , Koi Perich returns for no gain to the MINN 40 Koi Perich fumbled, recovered by VT Jonathan Pennix

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.15

William Watson III sacked by Maverick Baranowski and Devon Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the MINN 46

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

William Watson III pass complete to Ayden Greene for 6 yds to the MINN 40

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

William Watson III run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 42

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Koi Perich at the MINN 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Jacob Simpson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 5 yds to the MINN 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Darius Taylor

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 52 yds , Ali Jennings returns for no gain to the VT 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

William Watson III run for 1 yd to the VT 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

William Watson III pass complete to Ayden Greene for 8 yds to the VT 41

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jeremiah Coney run for no gain to the VT 41

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Koi Perich at the MINN 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the MINN 32

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.65

Darius Taylor run for 11 yds to the MINN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the MINN 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.76

Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jameson Geers for 15 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the VT 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.80

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 26 yds to the VT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Nick Kallerup

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 15

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Darius Taylor

4th & 0Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Dragan Kesich 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VT 25

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Collin Schlee run for 3 yds to the VT 28

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Tyler Mason run for 5 yds to the VT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -1.75

Collin Schlee pass complete to Ayden Greene for 1 yd to the VT 34 Virginia Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the VT 24

1st & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Tyler Mason run for 6 yds to the VT 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+67 ydsPPA +5.31

Collin Schlee pass complete to Ayden Greene for 67 yds to the MINN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Stephen Gosnell

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Collin Schlee run for 3 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Kyle Lowe kickoff for 61 yds , Koi Perich return for 16 yds to the MINN 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Elijah Spencer

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 21

3rd & 9Penalty+8 yds

Virginia Tech Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (8 Yards) to the MINN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaren Mangham run for 13 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaren Mangham run for 6 yds to the MINN 48

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the VT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the VT 46

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Max Brosmer run for 1 yd to the VT 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.78

Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 35 yds to the VT 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Darius Taylor pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 63 yds , Thomas Williams return for 36 yds to the VT 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Benji Gosnell

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyler Mason run for no gain to the VT 38

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VT 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Chanz Wiggins

4th & 5Penalty-15 yds

Virginia Tech Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the VT 28

4th & 20Punt+4 yds

Peter Moore punt for 41 yds , Koi Perich returns for 4 yds to the MINN 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 9 yds to the MINN 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.85

Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 20 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 4 yds to the VT 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Kenric Lanier II

3rd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.31

Jaren Mangham run for 18 yds to the VT 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the VT 14

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Le'Meke Brockington run for 2 yds to the VT 12

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.04

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 12 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

3rd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 61 yds , Thomas Williams return for 13 yds to the VT 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jeremiah Coney run for no gain to the VT 17

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

William Watson III pass incomplete to Ali Jennings

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

William Watson III pass complete to Keylen Adams for 14 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.47

William Watson III sacked by Anthony Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the VT 25

2nd & 16Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.31

William Watson III sacked by Jack Henderson for a loss of 10 yards to the VT 15

3rd & 26Penalty+5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VT 20

3rd & 21Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.07

William Watson III pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 9 yds to the VT 29

4th & 12Punt+11 yds

Peter Moore punt for 40 yds , Koi Perich returns for 11 yds to the MINN 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 6 yds to the MINN 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 10 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Jameson Geers

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.54

Darius Taylor run for 19 yds to the VT 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Cristian Driver

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 28

2nd & 15Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.67

Darius Taylor run for 28 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

2nd & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 55 yds , Thomas Williams return for 10 yds to the VT 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Tyler Mason run for 9 yds to the VT 29

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

William Watson III pass complete to Tyler Mason for no gain to the VT 29

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.24

Tyler Mason run for 7 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.85

William Watson III pass complete to Ayden Greene for 22 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+60 yds

John Love 60 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 3 yds to the MINN 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jaren Mangham run for 6 yds to the MINN 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Max Brosmer pass complete to Donielle Hayes for 13 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Darius Taylor

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the VT 46

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Darius Taylor run for no gain to the VT 46

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds, downed at the VT 1

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

William Watson III run for 6 yds to the VT 7

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.34

William Watson III pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 11 yds to the VT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VT 23

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Jeremiah Coney run for 2 yds to the VT 25

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.30

Jeremiah Coney run for 5 yds to the VT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

William Watson III pass incomplete to Ja'Ricous Hairston

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jeremiah Coney run for 3 yds to the VT 33

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.60

William Watson III sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 10 yards to the VT 23

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 69 yds, downed at the MINN 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.51

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 26 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the MINN 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.87

Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 10 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Brosmer run for 4 yds to the MINN 49

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.96

Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Max Brosmer pass complete to Jaren Mangham for 7 yds to the VT 38

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Darius Taylor run for 7 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the VT 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 31

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Max Brosmer pass complete to Donielle Hayes for 9 yds to the VT 22

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Max Brosmer run for 2 yds to the VT 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Elijah Spencer

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the VT 17

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.29

Max Brosmer sacked by Wilfried Pene for a loss of 9 yards to the VT 26

4th & 16Field Goal Good+44 yds

Dragan Kesich 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyler Mason run for 8 yds to the VT 33

2nd & 2Rush+47 ydsPPA +2.55

Keylen Adams run for 47 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ayden Greene run for 4 yds to the MINN 16

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyler Mason run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 18

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Collin Schlee run for 1 yd to the MINN 17

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.30

Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Stephen Gosnell

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Darius Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 15

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 19

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return+17 ydsPPA +0.16

Max Brosmer pass intercepted Dante Lovett return for 17 yds to the MINN 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

William Watson III pass complete to Ayden Greene for 11 yds to the MINN 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jeremiah Coney run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 5

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.89

William Watson III sacked by Jack Henderson for a loss of 8 yards to the MINN 13 William Watson III fumbled, forced by Jack Henderson, recovered by VT Jeremiah Coney , return for 0 yards

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Ayden Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 14

4th & 14Pass Interception Return+32 ydsPPA -2.90

William Watson III pass intercepted Za'Quan Bryan return for 32 yds to the MINN 34

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Darius Taylor run for 9 yds to the MINN 43

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the VT 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the VT 43

4th & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.58

Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 20 yds to the VT 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 25

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 26

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
29 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
57%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Virginia Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
40%
15 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play