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← Back to GamesDec 28, 2024Week 1
Iowa StateIowa State
42
-Final
41
MiamiMiami

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Miami 60%

Market (Bovada)

Miami -4.5

Edge: Iowa State +4.5 (0.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
2177742
MiamiMiami
14177341

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-714-1421-2128-2831-2838-2838-3541-3541-42
MiamiIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MIAISMIAISMIAISMIAISMIAISMIAISMIAISISMIAISMIAISMIAISMIATO1-3ydTD722ydTD175ydTD675ydTD775ydTD665ydTD975ydTD775ydTD372ydPUNT41ydTO624ydDOWNS528ydFG1255ydEND1-1ydPUNT34ydTD1071ydTD1075ydFG1472ydPUNT32ydPUNT33ydTD1584ydTO820yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and Miami
StatisticIowa StateMiami
Passing22-3617-33
Pass Yards270216
Rush Yards145308
Total Yards415524
Turnovers03
3rd Down6-137-14
Penalties2-306-45
Possession27:4132:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
22/36, 270 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Carson Hansen
16 CAR, 82 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jaylin Noel
8 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Miami
passing
Cameron Ward
12/19, 190 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Damien Martinez
14 CAR, 179 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elijah Arroyo
4 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -0.92

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIA 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ISU Cael Brezina

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Miami Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ahmad Moten Sr.) to the MIA 17

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the MIA 16

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the MIA 13

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.64

Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the MIA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Rocco Becht run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIA 12 Rocco Becht fumbled, recovered by ISU Rocco Becht

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 3 yds to the MIA 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Gabe Burkle 9 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Kyle Konrardy Kick)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Damien Martinez 75 Yd Run (Andres Borregales Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ISU 25

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Rocco Becht run for 10 yds to the ISU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.77

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 20 yds to the MIA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Jaylin Noel run for 12 yds to the MIA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 3 yds to the MIA 30

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.10

Carson Hansen 30 Yd Run (Kyle Konrardy Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the MIA 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 3 yds to the MIA 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the MIA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 7 yds to the MIA 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.20

Cam Ward pass complete to Elija Lofton for 17 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Ward, Cam pass incomplete to Lofton, Elija, PENALTY IOWAST pass interference (Freyler, Beau) 15 yards to the IOWAST24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.99

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 20 yds to the ISU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jacolby George 4 Yd pass from Cam Ward (Andres Borregales Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Aiden Flora run for 12 yds to the ISU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Eli Green

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.70

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 49 yds to the MIA 1 for a 1ST down Miami Penalty, Roughing Passer (Yards) to the MIA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Carson Hansen 1 Yd Run (Kyle Konrardy Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jace T. Gilbert kickoff for 40 yds , Syncere Sampson return for no gain to the MIA 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Lyle run for 4 yds to the MIA 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Lyle run for 5 yds to the MIA 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Cam Ward run for 2 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cam Ward pass incomplete to Jacolby George

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Lyle run for 3 yds to the MIA 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.41

Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 24 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Cam Ward pass incomplete to Ray Ray Joseph

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 40

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +5.42

Joshisa Trader 40 Yd pass from Cam Ward (Andres Borregales Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 11 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 6 yds to the ISU 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.09

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Brown for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Carson Hansen run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 48

2nd & 12Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.88

Rocco Becht pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 39 yds to the MIA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Carson Hansen 13 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Kyle Konrardy Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Jace T. Gilbert kickoff for 63 yds , Jordan Lyle return for 26 yds to the MIA 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the MIA 36

2nd & 2Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.99

Damien Martinez run for 31 yds to the ISU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Elijah Arroyo 33 Yd pass from Cam Ward (Andres Borregales Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

2nd & 10Penalty+8 yds

Becht, Rocco pass incomplete to Noel, Jaylin, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (Hill, D'Yoni) 8 yards to the IOWAST33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Carson Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 32

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.34

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 9 yds to the ISU 41 Iowa State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jarrod Hufford) to the ISU 26

4th & 17Punt+12 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 34 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for 12 yds to the ISU 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cam Ward pass incomplete to Damien Martinez

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Cam Ward pass complete to Joshisa Trader for 8 yds to the ISU 40

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Cam Ward run for 6 yds to the ISU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Cam Ward pass incomplete to Jacolby George

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ISU 31

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-8 ydsPPA -3.11

Cam Ward pass complete to Mark Fletcher Jr. for 7 yds Mark Fletcher Jr. fumbled, forced by Myles Mendeszoon, recovered by ISU Ta'Shawn James Miami Penalty, Personal Foul (Elijah Arroyo) to the ISU 39

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.67

Carson Hansen run for 21 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Rocco Becht pass complete to Aiden Flora for 6 yds to the MIA 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Carson Hansen

4th & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -2.22

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 1 yd to the MIA 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the MIA 39

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 7 yds to the MIA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Cam Ward pass complete to Damien Martinez for 6 yds to the ISU 48

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the ISU 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Jordan Lyle run for 2 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Cam Ward pass incomplete to Elijah Arroyo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.53

Cam Ward pass complete to Shemar Kirk for 15 yds to the ISU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Cam Ward pass complete to Joshisa Trader for 13 yds to the ISU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Lyle run for 3 yds to the ISU 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cam Ward pass incomplete to Elijah Arroyo

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Cam Ward pass incomplete to Ray Ray Joseph

4th & 7Field Goal Good+30 yds

Andres Borregales 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 24

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the ISU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Gabe Burkle

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ray Ray Joseph at the MIA 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the MIA 34

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.82

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the MIA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Emory Williams pass complete to Ray Ray Joseph for 8 yds to the MIA 47

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Damien Martinez run for 15 yds to the ISU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the ISU 29

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 20 yds to the ISU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the ISU 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 5 yds to the ISU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mark Fletcher Jr. 1 Yd Run (Andres Borregales Kick)

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Carson Hansen run for 27 yds to the MIA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the MIA 48

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Becht, Rocco pass incomplete to Noel, Jaylin, PENALTY MIAMI roughing passer (Barrow Jr., Simeon) 15 yards to the MIAMI33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.38

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 22 yds to the MIA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the MIA 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for a loss of 4 yards to the MIA 15

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Rocco Becht pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 13 yds to the MIA 2

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.86

Rocco Becht run for 1 yd to the MIA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Rocco Becht run for no gain to the MIA 1

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Carson Hansen run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIA 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Jaylin Noel 4 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Kyle Konrardy Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the MIA 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Emory Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Ny Carr

4th & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.81

Elija Lofton run for 28 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Jordan Lyle run for 8 yds to the ISU 35

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.13

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the ISU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the ISU 22

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the ISU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 9 yds to the ISU 9

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the ISU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jordan Lyle run for 4 yds to the ISU 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Shemar Kirk

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Lyle run for no gain to the ISU 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Andres Borregales 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the ISU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Rocco Becht sacked by Wesley Bissainthe for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ray Ray Joseph at the MIA 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Ray Ray Joseph

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jordan Lyle run for 5 yds to the MIA 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Emory Williams pass complete to Jordan Lyle for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jaylin Noel run for 4 yds to the ISU 20

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ISU 20

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Rocco Becht run for 11 yds to the ISU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Brown for 4 yds to the ISU 35

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Abu Sama III run for 10 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 9 yds to the MIA 46

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the MIA 46

3rd & 1Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.75

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 29 yds to the MIA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Stevo Klotz

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 13 yds to the MIA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

2nd & 0Penalty+2 yds

Becht, Rocco pass incomplete to Burkle, Gabe, PENALTY MIAMI holding (Patterson, Zaquan) 2 yards to the MIAMI2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the MIA 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Gabe Burkle

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the MIA 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Rocco Becht 1 Yd Run (Kyle Konrardy Kick)

4th & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jace T. Gilbert kickoff for 65 yds , Jordan Lyle return for 20 yds to the MIA 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Shemar Kirk

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Ray Ray Joseph

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Emory Williams pass complete to Shemar Kirk for 7 yds to the MIA 27

4th & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.49

Emory Williams pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 4 yds to the MIA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Ray Ray Joseph

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Emory Williams pass incomplete to Ray Ray Joseph

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Emory Williams pass complete to Ray Ray Joseph for 9 yds to the MIA 40

4th & 1Pass Interception Return+4 ydsPPA -0.46

Emory Williams pass intercepted Drew Surges return for 4 yds to the ISU 14

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
35%
26 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
33%
9 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play