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← Back to GamesDec 28, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas Tech by 4.6

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 40%

Market (Bovada)

Arkansas +3

Edge: Texas Tech -3 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas TechTexas Tech
3160726
ArkansasArkansas
21310539

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-321-321-1221-1927-1934-1936-1939-26
ArkansasTexas Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TTARKTTARKTTARKTTARKTTARKTTARKTTARKARKTTARKTTARKTTARKTTARKTTARKTTARKPUNT517ydTD384ydFG656ydTD375ydDOWNS875ydTD396ydPUNT824ydSAF2-2ydTD569ydTO420ydDOWNS47ydPUNT39ydTD898ydEND1153ydFG1078ydPUNT39ydTD477ydTO1153ydPUNT612ydSAF2-2ydPUNT32ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydTO313ydFG7-1ydTD670ydEND731yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas Tech and Arkansas
StatisticTexas TechArkansas
Passing20-3411-21
Pass Yards280341
Rush Yards217218
Total Yards497559
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-127-14
Penalties3-1510-46
Possession30:2229:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas Tech
passing
Will Hammond
20/34, 280 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
J'Koby Williams
15 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caleb Douglas
5 REC, 115 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
Taylen Green
11/21, 341 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Taylen Green
15 CAR, 81 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dazmin James
3 REC, 137 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Hammond pass incomplete to Jalin Conyers

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

J'Koby Williams run for 11 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

J'Koby Williams run for 7 yds to the TTU 43

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Caleb Douglas) to the TTU 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb Douglas

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Will Hammond pass complete to Coy Eakin for 4 yds to the TTU 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 42 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for no gain to the ARK 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the ARK 18

2nd & 8Rush+70 ydsPPA +4.35

Rodney Hill run for 70 yds to the TTU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Taylen Green run for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Hammond pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 12 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.39

Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 40 yds to the ARK 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb Douglas

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

J'Koby Williams run for 8 yds to the ARK 15

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Hammond run for 1 yd to the ARK 14

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Davion Carter) to the ARK 19

4th & 6Field Goal Good+37 yds

Gino Garcia 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 18 yds to the ARK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +3.53

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 56 yds to the TTU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Braylen Russell run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Devin Bale kickoff for 64 yds , Drae McCray return for 20 yds to the TTU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Will Hammond pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 8 yds to the TTU 29

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

J'Koby Williams run for 4 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

J'Koby Williams run for 8 yds to the ARK 41 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ian Geffrard) to the ARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.88

Will Hammond pass complete to Mason Tharp for 44 yds to the ARK 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

J'Koby Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb Douglas

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

J'Koby Williams run for 2 yds to the ARK 4

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Will Hammond pass incomplete to Coy Eakin

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 5

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Braylen Russell run for 6 yds to the ARK 11

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Fernando Carmona) to the ARK 6

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+94 ydsPPA +7.28

Taylen Green pass complete to Dazmin James for 94 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 8 yds to the TTU 38

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.04

Cameron Dickey run for 3 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cameron Dickey run for 6 yds to the TTU 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb Douglas

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.96

Will Hammond run for 7 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb Douglas

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cameron Dickey run for no gain to the ARK 46

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb Douglas

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 44 yds, downed at the ARK 2

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 3

2nd & 9Penalty-1 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Delay of Game (-1 Yards) to the ARK 2

2nd & 10Safety-2 ydsPPA -1.77

Taylen Green sacked by Isaac Smith for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Devin Bale kickoff for 65 yds , Drae McCray return for 16 yds to the TTU 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cameron Dickey run for 5 yds to the TTU 36

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Cameron Dickey run for 2 yds to the TTU 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.63

Will Hammond pass complete to Cameron Dickey for 5 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cameron Dickey run for 3 yds to the TTU 46

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.90

J'Koby Williams run for 54 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Rodney Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Dazmin James

3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.17

Taylen Green pass complete to Dazmin James for 24 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -2.99

Rodney Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARK 45 Rodney Hill fumbled, forced by James Hansen, recovered by TTU Charles Esters III

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

J'Koby Williams run for 2 yds to the ARK 43

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

J'Koby Williams run for 2 yds to the ARK 41

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalin Conyers run for 4 yds to the ARK 37

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.20

J'Koby Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 38

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.70

Braylen Russell run for a loss of 4 yards to the ARK 34

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.37

Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 12 yds to the ARK 46

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 51 yds, downed at the TTU 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

J'Koby Williams run for 2 yds to the TTU 4

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Cameron Dickey run for 7 yds to the TTU 11

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.94

Cameron Dickey run for 15 yds to the TTU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Will Hammond pass complete to Coy Eakin for 10 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Cameron Dickey run for 11 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.04

Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 47 yds to the ARK 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cameron Dickey run for 4 yds to the ARK 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jalin Conyers run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 5 yds to the ARK 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Krosse Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the ARK 41

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the ARK 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Braylen Russell run for 2 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.10

Taylen Green run for 13 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Krosse Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Taylen Green pass complete to Dazmin James for 19 yds to the TTU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+40 yds

Matthew Shipley 40 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 65 yds , Xavian Sorey Jr. return for 6 yds to the ARK 6 Xavian Sorey Jr. fumbled, forced by Miquel Dingle Jr., recovered by ARK Rodney Hill

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the ARK 8

2nd & 8Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.84

Taylen Green run for 27 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Taylen Green run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Braylen Russell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 49

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Braylen Russell

3rd & 11Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.57

Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 33 yds to the TTU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the TTU 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Rodney Hill

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

4th & 8Field Goal Good+34 yds

Matthew Shipley 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Hammond pass incomplete to J'Koby Williams

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

J'Koby Williams run for 6 yds to the TTU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Will Hammond pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 3 yds to the TTU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the ARK 23

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Braylen Russell run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 21

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 22

3rd & 11Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.59

Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 31 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrell Reed Jr. for 47 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cameron Dickey run for 2 yds to the TTU 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Will Hammond pass incomplete to Coy Eakin

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Will Hammond pass complete to Jordan Brown for 9 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Cameron Dickey run for 2 yds to the TTU 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Will Hammond pass complete to Kelby Valsin for 9 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 12 yds to the ARK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Cameron Dickey run for 6 yds to the ARK 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Will Hammond pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 3 yds to the ARK 32

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.65

J'Koby Williams run for 14 yds to the ARK 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Hammond pass complete to L.J. Johnson Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the ARK 22

2nd & 14Pass Interception Return+26 ydsPPA -3.71

Will Hammond pass intercepted Marquise Robinson return for 26 yds to the ARK 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Rodney Hill run for 3 yds to the ARK 36

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Rodney Hill run for 6 yds to the ARK 42

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Braylen Russell run for 2 yds to the ARK 48

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Braylen Russell

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ARK 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brown at the TTU 2

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

J'Koby Williams run for 5 yds to the TTU 7

2nd & 5Safety-7 ydsPPA -2.09

Will Hammond sacked by Anton Juncaj for a loss of 7 yards for a SAFETY

2nd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Stone Harrington kickoff for 63 yds , Rodney Hill return for 18 yds to the ARK 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 2 yds to the ARK 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

4th & 8Punt+32 yds

Devin Bale punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Coy Eakin at the TTU 26 Arkansas Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the TTU 31

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Caleb Rodkey) to the TTU 26

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Cameron Dickey run for 3 yds to the TTU 29

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cameron Dickey run for 5 yds to the TTU 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Will Hammond pass incomplete to Kelby Valsin

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the ARK 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Braylen Russell run for 7 yds to the ARK 27

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 29

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Isaac TeSlaa) to the ARK 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Coy Eakin at the TTU 24

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Will Hammond run for 12 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Will Hammond run for 1 yd to the TTU 37

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return+47 ydsPPA -1.00

Will Hammond pass intercepted Miguel Mitchell return for 47 yds to the TTU 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the TTU 23

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 8 yds to the TTU 15

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Braylen Russell run for 6 yds to the TTU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the TTU 8

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Kobe Branham) to the TTU 13

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the TTU 11

3rd & 11Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.08

Taylen Green sacked by Isaac Smith and Ashton Hampton for a loss of 14 yards to the TTU 25 Arkansas Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Taylen Green) to the TTU 25

4th & 0Field Goal Good+43 yds

Matthew Shipley 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Will Hammond pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 22 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Will Hammond pass complete to Kelby Valsin for 7 yds to the ARK 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 8 yds to the ARK 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.34

Will Hammond pass complete to Coy Eakin for 18 yds to the ARK 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Hammond pass incomplete to J'Koby Williams

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Will Hammond pass complete to Coy Eakin for 15 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Braylen Russell run for 11 yds to the TTU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Braylen Russell run for 8 yds to the TTU 26

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Braylen Russell run for 2 yds to the TTU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Braylen Russell run for 6 yds to the TTU 18

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Braylen Russell run for no gain to the TTU 18

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the TTU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 14

Situational Analysis

Texas Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
61%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
34%
29 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
12 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play