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← Back to GamesDec 7, 2024Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 6.1

Home Win Probability

Miami (OH) 66%

Market (Bovada)

Miami (OH) -2.5

Edge: Miami (OH) -2.5 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OhioOhio
71410738
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
30003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-73-143-213-283-313-38
Miami (OH)Ohio

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(OHIM(OHIM(OHIM(OHIM(OHIM(OHIM(OHIM(OHIFG1164ydTD1175ydPUNT515ydTD1882ydPUNT34ydTD1075ydEND20ydTD675ydPUNT41ydFG1131ydPUNT32ydPUNT518ydTO1259ydTD980ydDOWNS929ydEND413yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio and Miami (OH)
StatisticOhioMiami (OH)
Passing20-2714-25
Pass Yards235127
Rush Yards23262
Total Yards467189
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-84-11
Penalties2-202-17
Possession37:3522:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio
passing
Parker Navarro
20/27, 235 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Anthony Tyus III
27 CAR, 151 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Coleman Owen
5 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
14/25, 127 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Keyon Mozee
11 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Javon Tracy
7 REC, 58 YDS
defense
Ty Wise
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the M-OH 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.10

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 12 yds to the M-OH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 43

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the M-OH 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.94

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 15 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 19 yds to the OHIO 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the OHIO 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 6 yds to the OHIO 11

4th & 1Field Goal Good+29 yds

Dom Dzioban 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 17 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Parker Navarro run for 5 yds to the OHIO 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.91

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 7 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the M-OH 41

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Anthony Tyus III run for 14 yds to the M-OH 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase Hendricks

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the M-OH 22

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the M-OH 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the M-OH 9

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.69

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the M-OH 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Parker Navarro 4 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 65 yds , Kevin Davis return for 19 yds to the M-OH 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the M-OH 26

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.32

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andre Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 3 yds to the M-OH 34

4th & 7Punt+47 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 47 yds , Coleman Owen returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the OHIO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 7 yds to the OHIO 37

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.03

Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman Owen

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the M-OH 45

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.55

Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 4 yds to the M-OH 28

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Anthony Tyus III run for 7 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the M-OH 24

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.43

Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 9 yds to the M-OH 15

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the M-OH 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the M-OH 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the M-OH 3

3rd & 0Penalty+2 yds

Navarro, Parker rush for loss of 7 yards to the M-OH10, PENALTY M-OH face mask (Washington, Nasir) 2 yards to the M-OH1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the M-OH 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Parker Navarro 1 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 58 yds , Kevin Davis return for 21 yds to the M-OH 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andre Johnson for 7 yds to the M-OH 35

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.52

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 3 yards to the M-OH 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Parker Navarro run for 1 yd to the OHIO 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the OHIO 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the OHIO 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 7 yds to the M-OH 44

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase Hendricks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 15 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Mason Williams 21 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (Gianni Spetic Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 64 yds , Kevin Davis return for 15 yds to the M-OH 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 17

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 16

0th & 9End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 11 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.03

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 23 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the M-OH 27

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the M-OH 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Coleman Owen 25 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (Gianni Spetic Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 58 yds , Kevin Davis return for 15 yds to the M-OH 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 10 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 5 yds to the M-OH 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-15 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the M-OH 23

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 39

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the OHIO 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.99

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 7 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Parker Navarro run for 13 yds to the M-OH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 11 yds to the M-OH 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the M-OH 25

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Anthony Tyus III run for 7 yds to the M-OH 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Navarro, Parker pass incomplete to Owen, Coleman, PENALTY OHIO holding (Heidecker, Carson) 10 yards to the M-OH28, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman Owen

2nd & 20Penalty-10 yds

Navarro, Parker rush for 10 yards to the M-OH18, PENALTY OHIO holding (Atkinson, Christophe) 10 yards to the M-OH38, NO PLAY.

2nd & 30Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 9 yds to the M-OH 29

3rd & 21Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.63

Parker Navarro sacked by Ty Wise for a loss of 6 yards to the M-OH 35

4th & 27Field Goal Good+53 yds

Gianni Spetic 53 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Keyon Mozee for 2 yds to the M-OH 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt-6 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 49 yds , Coleman Owen returns for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 18

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Anthony Tyus III run for 7 yds to the OHIO 25

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.85

Parker Navarro run for 11 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase Hendricks

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman Owen

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 27

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the M-OH 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.06

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 14 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Brett Gabbert sacked by Shay Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.19

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 14 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds to the OHIO 30

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 3 yds to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 9 yds to the OHIO 18

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.16

Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the OHIO 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.45

Brett Gabbert pass intercepted, touchback. Tank Pearson return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Anthony Tyus III run for 9 yds to the OHIO 29

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Coleman Owen run for 4 yds to the OHIO 38

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 43

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.46

Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.08

Parker Navarro pass complete to Max Rodarte for 20 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the M-OH 24

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Anthony Tyus III 21 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan Brunson run for 7 yds to the M-OH 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan Brunson run for 4 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jordan Brunson run for 9 yds to the M-OH 45

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.44

Kevin Davis run for no gain to the M-OH 45

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Nate Milanowski run for 2 yds to the OHIO 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Henry Hesson run for 1 yd to the OHIO 46

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Henry Hesson run for 3 yds to the OHIO 43

4th & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.36

Jordan Brunson run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 46

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Nolan McCormick run for 9 yds to the M-OH 45

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.21

Nolan McCormick run for 5 yds to the M-OH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM run for no gain to the M-OH 40

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 41

Situational Analysis

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
65%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
10 plays
80%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
19 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play