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← Back to GamesDec 8, 2024Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 7.9

Home Win Probability

Oregon 65%

Market (Bovada)

Oregon -3

Edge: Oregon -3 (4.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 8, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
101401337
OregonOregon
14177745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-321-1028-1728-2431-2438-2445-3045-37
OregonPenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OREPSOREPSOREPSOREPSOREPSOREPSOREPSPSOREPSOREPSOREPSOREPSORETD984ydFG859ydTD1075ydTD775ydTD775ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT33ydTO20ydTD11ydTD875ydPUNT30ydTD1064ydFG1061ydEND1-5ydMISS1152ydTD577ydPUNT517ydPUNT846ydTD697ydTD1275ydTD1375ydPUNT31ydTO29ydEND513yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Oregon
StatisticPenn StateOregon
Passing20-3922-32
Pass Yards226283
Rush Yards292183
Total Yards518466
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-136-13
Penalties5-653-24
Possession27:2132:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
20/39, 226 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kaytron Allen
14 CAR, 124 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Warren
7 REC, 84 YDS
defense
Oregon
passing
Dillon Gabriel
22/32, 283 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Jordan James
20 CAR, 87 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tez Johnson
11 REC, 181 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Jordan James run for 9 yds to the ORE 25

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jordan James run for no gain to the ORE 25

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.05

Jordan James run for 7 yds to the ORE 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORE 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.05

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 3 yds to the PSU 44

2nd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.30

Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Coziah Izzard) to the PSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.01

Noah Whittington run for a loss of 5 yards to the PSU 28

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.67

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 28 yds for a TD Oregon Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the PSU 8 (Atticus Sappington KICK)

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the PSU 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 4 yds to the PSU 29

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Warren run for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 30 Tyler Warren fumbled, recovered by PSU Nicholas Singleton Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the PSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.40

Nicholas Singleton run for 41 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Liam Clifford

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 6 yds to the ORE 16

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Luke Reynolds

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 yds

Ryan Barker 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Noah Whittington run for 26 yds to the PSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jordan James run for 8 yds to the PSU 41

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jordan James run for 1 yd to the PSU 40

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Patrick Herbert

4th & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.27

Jordan James run for 1 yd to the PSU 39 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the PSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 6 yds to the PSU 18

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the PSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the PSU 6

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.02

Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the PSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 13 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Tyler Warren

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PSU 33

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace III

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.19

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 16 yds to the PSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.16

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 28 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 22 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Penn State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Noah Whittington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.87

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 24 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Dillon Gabriel sacked by Amin Vanover and Dvon J-Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.91

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 31 yds to the PSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jordan James run for 4 yds to the PSU 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 31

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

Penn State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Olaivavega Ioane) to the PSU 16

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 8 yds to the PSU 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jordan James

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.66

Jordan James run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 28

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 6 yds to the ORE 34

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Nicholas Singleton

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+24 ydsPPA +0.13

Drew Allar pass intercepted Dontae Manning return for 24 yds to the PSU 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Khalil Dinkins

3rd & 7Penalty+4 yds

Allar, Drew pass incomplete to Warren, Tyler, PENALTY ORE pass interference (Lopa, Kingston) 4 yards to the PSU32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PSU.

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.11

Kaytron Allen run for 24 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 6 yds to the ORE 38

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace III

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Nicholas Singleton run for 17 yds to the ORE 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 22

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.11

Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 22 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Noah Whittington

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordan James run for no gain to the ORE 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 36

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Nicholas Singleton run for 15 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the ORE 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Nicholas Singleton

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Drew Allar run for 8 yds to the ORE 40

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.90

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the ORE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.46

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 19 yds to the ORE 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Nicholas Singleton run for 8 yds to the ORE 10

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.44

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 3 yds to the ORE 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Drew Allar run for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan James run for 7 yds to the ORE 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.12

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 25 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Jordan James run for 9 yds to the PSU 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan James run for 4 yds to the PSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Dillon Gabriel run for 11 yds to the PSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan James run for 1 yd to the PSU 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 4 yds to the PSU 14

4th & 5Field Goal Good+32 yds

Atticus Sappington 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the PSU 20

0th & 10End of Half-5 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the PSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 3 yds to the PSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Tyler Warren run for 2 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PSU 44

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.10

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Kaytron Allen run for 10 yds to the ORE 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 14 yds to the ORE 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the ORE 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Tyler Warren

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Drew Allar run for 4 yds to the ORE 23

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Ryan Barker 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Jordan James run for 11 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 17 yds to the PSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 1 yd to the PSU 48

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +4.62

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 48 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 9 yds to the PSU 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the PSU 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Tyler Warren

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kaytron Allen

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 49 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for no gain to the ORE 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 9 yds to the ORE 18

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.59

Noah Whittington run for 15 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Noah Whittington run for 9 yds to the ORE 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Patrick Herbert

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Jordan James run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Noah Whittington run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the PSU 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 1 yd to the PSU 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Dunne punt for 42 yds, downed at the PSU 3

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.63

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 6 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Personal Foul (Derrick Harmon) to the PSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.72

Kaytron Allen run for 32 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the ORE 45

2nd & 8Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.59

Kaytron Allen run for 26 yds to the ORE 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Beau Pribula run for 18 yds to the ORE 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24 Dillon Gabriel fumbled, recovered by ORE Dillon Gabriel

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 11 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 38

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the ORE 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.16

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 16 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the PSU 38

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the PSU 35

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jordan James run for no gain to the PSU 35

4th & 2Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.05

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 20 yds to the PSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Jordan James run for 12 yds to the PSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordan James run for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Drew Allar run for 22 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Tyler Warren

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.68

Beau Pribula sacked by Derrick Harmon for a loss of 6 yards to the PSU 41

3rd & 16Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.57

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 16 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Omari Evans

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for no gain to the ORE 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 13 yds to the ORE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 3 yds to the ORE 27

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.44

Drew Allar run for 13 yds to the ORE 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Tyler Warren

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Beau Pribula run for no gain to the ORE 14

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace III

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.75

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 14 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Noah Whittington run for no gain to the ORE 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the ORE 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the PSU 46

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.33

Drew Allar pass intercepted Nikko Reed return for no gain to the ORE 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Noah Whittington run for 7 yds to the ORE 23

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the ORE 25

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.05

Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds to the ORE 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 31

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 29

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
56%
36 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
3 plays
43%
30 plays
2nd
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays