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← Back to GamesAug 30, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

St. Thomas (MN) by 16.2

Home Win Probability

St. Thomas (MN) 81%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Aug 30, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Sioux Falls
8391434
St. Thomas (MN)
706013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-87-1113-2013-27
St. Thomas (MN)Sioux Falls

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SFST(SFST(SFST(SFST(SFST(SFST(SFST(SFSFST(SFST(SFST(SFST(SFST(SFTO3-1ydTD226ydPUNT616ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT4-20ydPUNT35ydTD1485ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS637ydPUNT614ydPUNT622ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT30ydPUNT34ydFG1038ydTD390ydPUNT417ydTD877ydPUNT526ydTD1275ydUncategorized30ydMISS4-10ydUncategorized40ydTD1474ydDOWNS1354ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Sioux Falls and St. Thomas (MN)
StatisticSioux FallsSt. Thomas (MN)
Passing17-2914-35
Pass Yards189150
Rush Yards20522
Total Yards394172
Turnovers11
3rd Down10-201-13
Penalties5-3212-103
Possession40:3019:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Sioux Falls
passing
Camden Dean
17/29, 189 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Dylan Rudningen
23 CAR, 67 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Carter Slykhuis
6 REC, 54 YDS
St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Michael Rostberg
9/22, 101 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Gabriel Abel
8 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Jacob WIldermuth
5 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Travis Yohnke

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dylan Rudningen run for a loss of 1 yard to the SIO 24

3rd & 11Interception+15 ydsPPA +0.17

Camden Dean pass intercepted St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Caleb Sandstrom) to the SIO 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd to the SIO 25

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.08

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 25 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Dylan Rudningen run for 1 yd to the SIO 26 for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, Defensive holding (Seth Hopkins) to the SIO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Camden Dean run for 11 yds to the SIO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Camden Dean pass complete to Carter Slykhuis for 6 yds to the STMN 47

2nd & 4Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.64

Matt Grzybowski run for a loss of 7 yards to the SIO 46

3rd & 11Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.82

Dean,Camden rush (Wurtz,Grif), PENALTY USF illegal formation 5 yards to the UST49. Sioux Falls Penalty, illegal formation (Isaiah Ward) to the SIO 41

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

pass incomplete to Mark Leonard

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Scott Dickson punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Gabriel Abel run for a loss of 2 yards to the STMN 10

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Tak Tateoka run for 1 yd to the STMN 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth, broken up by Joseph Sapp

4th & 11Punt0 yds

punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -3.55

Camden Dean pass complete to Carter Slykhuis Sioux Falls Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Jaelon Taylor) to the SIO 42

1st & 25Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Dylan Rudningen run for 6 yds to the SIO 48

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

pass incomplete to Carter Slykhuis

3rd & 19Penalty-5 yds

Sioux Falls Penalty, delay of game (Camden Dean) to the SIO 43

3rd & 24Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.23

Camden Dean sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SIO 37

4th & 30Punt0 yds

Scott Dickson punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Colin Chase

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Matthew Rink, broken up by Dawson Raabe

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 5 yds to the STMN 34

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-62 yds

Bennett Brueck pass complete to Mark Leonard

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Camden Dean pass complete to Travis Yohnke for 8 yds to the SIO 23

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Dean,Camden rush left (Tyler,Evan;Mafe,Ibk).

3rd & 2Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.98

Camden Dean run for 28 yds to the STMN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Carter Slykhuis

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.02

Camden Dean run for 18 yds to the STMN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Dylan Rudningen run for 1 yd to the STMN 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Camden Dean pass complete to Jaelon Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the STMN 33

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Camden Dean pass complete to Dylan Rudningen for 2 yds to the STMN 31

4th & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.69

Camden Dean pass complete to Mark Leonard for 19 yds to the STMN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Camden Dean run for 2 yds to the STMN 10

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Christian Nash run for 1 yd to the STMN 9

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.98

Camden Dean pass complete to Cade Morse for 8 yds to the STMN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Camden Dean 1 Yd Run (Mark Leonard Pass to Bennett Brueck for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, false start (Langston Robinson) to the STMN 22

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Gabriel Abel run for 6 yds to the STMN 28

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Abel,Gabriel rush right (Schlangen,Eli;McWilliams,Cain).

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.30

Tak Tateoka sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the STMN 24

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Camden Dean run for a loss of 1 yard to the SIO 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.28

Camden Dean pass complete to Adonis Hutchinson for 30 yds to the STMN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Rudningen,Dylan rush middle (Olagbaju,Emmanuel;Herzog,Luke).

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dylan Rudningen run for 3 yds to the STMN 29

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Dylan Rudningen run for 6 yds to the STMN 23

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.48

Camden Dean run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 7 yds to the STMN 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Gabriel Abel

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.96

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Gabriel Abel for 11 yds to the STMN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Elijah Mead, broken up by Alex Macksam

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Gabriel Abel for 1 yd to the STMN 43

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, false start (Patrick Wagner) to the STMN 38

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Camden Dean run for 4 yds to the SIO 44

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dean,Camden rush left (Guggemos,Matthew).

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.01

Camden Dean pass complete to Carter Slykhuis for 20 yds to the STMN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Dylan Rudningen run for a loss of 2 yards to the STMN 38

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Carter Slykhuis

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Mark Leonard

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Camden Dean punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Tak Tateoka run for 1 yd to the STMN 15

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.33

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 5 yards to the STMN 10

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

pass incomplete to Colin Chase

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Adonis Hutchinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Camden Dean pass incomplete to Adonis Hutchinson, broken up by Ryan Sever

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Adonis Hutchinson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Scott Dickson punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Gabriel Abel run for 4 yds to the STMN 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

pass incomplete to Patrick Wagner

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth

4th & 6Punt+21 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 36 yds St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, kick catching interference (Cody Stordahl) to the SIO 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Dylan Rudningen run for 3 yds to the STMN 48

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.38

Dylan Rudningen run for 14 yds to the STMN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Dylan Rudningen run for 2 yds to the STMN 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Camden Dean pass complete to Carter Slykhuis for 3 yds to the STMN 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Camden Dean pass complete to Carter Slykhuis for 6 yds to the STMN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Camden Dean pass incomplete to Mark Leonard, broken up by Grif Wurtz

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Matt Grzybowski run for 4 yds to the STMN 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Camden Dean pass complete to Carter Slykhuis for 6 yds to the STMN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Camden Dean pass incomplete to Mark Leonard, broken up by Matthew Guggemos

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

Nick Hernandez 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Defensive 2pt Conversion+86 yds

Brendan Holt Defensive PAT Conversion

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+2 yds

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Patrick Wagner, broken up by Brendan Holt Sioux Falls Penalty, Defensive holding (Joseph Sapp) to the SIO 1

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-64 yds

Abel,Gabriel rush , fumble by Abel,Gabriel recovered by USF Holt,Brendan, Holt,Brendan rush. Gabriel Abel fumbled, recovered by SIO Brendan Holt

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Gabriel Abel run for 10 yds to the STMN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 3 yds to the STMN 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Gabriel Abel for 5 yds to the STMN 36

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Gabriel Abel run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 35

4th & 3Punt+3 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 45 yds , Carter Slykhuis returns for 3 yds to the SIO 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Camden Dean pass complete to Jaelon Taylor for 3 yds to the SIO 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Dylan Rudningen run for 3 yds to the SIO 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.75

Camden Dean pass complete to Adonis Hutchinson for 9 yds to the SIO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Carter Slykhuis run for 10 yds to the SIO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.38

Camden Dean pass complete to Mark Leonard for 31 yds to the STMN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Matt Grzybowski run for 2 yds to the STMN 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Camden Dean pass complete to Carter Slykhuis for 13 yds to the STMN 6 St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (Joseph Obeto) to the STMN 3

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Matt Grzybowski run for 3 yds for a TD (Nick Hernandez KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, delay of game (Michael Rostberg) to the STMN 16

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

pass incomplete to Colin Chase

2nd & 15Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.02

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 30 yds to the STMN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Michael Rostberg run for 1 yd to the STMN 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Colin Chase

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

pass incomplete to Aiden Carlson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 43 yds

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.24

Camden Dean pass complete to Dylan Rudningen for 23 yds to the STMN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Camden Dean run for 5 yds to the SIO 30

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Christian Nash run for 15 yds to the SIO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Christian Nash run for 7 yds to the STMN 48

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Christian Nash run for 1 yd to the STMN 47

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nash,Christian rush right (Smith,Branden;Herzog,Luke).

4th & 2Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.25

Camden Dean pass complete to Mark Leonard Sioux Falls Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the SIO 48

4th & 7Penalty+15 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (Charlie Boucher) to the STMN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Dylan Rudningen run for 1 yd to the STMN 36

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rudningen,Dylan rush (Tichy,Nash), PENALTY UST off-side (Sneed,Kole) 5 yards to the UST41. St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, off-side (Kole Sneed) to the STMN 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Rudningen,Dylan rush left (Hopkins,Seth;Smith,Branden).

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dylan Rudningen run for 4 yds to the STMN 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Dylan Rudningen 4 Yd Run (Nick Hernandez Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, delay of game (Michael Rostberg) to the STMN 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Colin Chase

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Hope Adebayo for 5 yds to the STMN 25

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Michael Rostberg sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the STMN 18 Michael Rostberg fumbled, recovered by SIO Brendan Holt , return for 0 yards

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Matt Grzybowski run for a loss of 2 yards to the STMN 12

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Matt Grzybowski run for 8 yds to the STMN 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Aiden Carlson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Hope Adebayo for 1 yd to the STMN 47

4th & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.23

Michael Rostberg pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Dylan Rudningen run for 10 yds to the SIO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dylan Rudningen run for 3 yds to the SIO 39

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Dylan Rudningen run for 2 yds to the SIO 41

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Camden Dean run for 7 yds to the SIO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nash,Christian rush middle (Stordahl,Cody;Sever,Ryan).

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Christian Nash run for 6 yds to the STMN 46

3rd & 4Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.20

Carter Slykhuis run for 25 yds to the STMN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Dylan Rudningen run for 1 yd to the STMN 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Camden Dean pass complete to Hank Brown Jr. for 5 yds to the STMN 15

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Camden Dean run for 1 yd to the STMN 14

4th & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.19

Camden Dean run for 8 yds to the STMN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dylan Rudningen run for 4 yds to the STMN 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Rudningen,Dylan rush middle (Nelson,Caden;Sandstrom,Caleb).

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Dylan Rudningen 2 Yd Run (Scott Dickson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Michael Rostberg run for 2 yds to the STMN 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Gabriel Abel run for 3 yds to the STMN 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Colin Chase

4th & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.55

Gabriel Abel run for 12 yds to the STMN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.15

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Colin Chase for 14 yds to the SIO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -2.09

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, off-side (-5 Yards) to the SIO 49

1st & 15Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.83

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Elijah Mead for 29 yds to the SIO 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Colin Chase, broken up by Garret Hoffman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.94

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Hope Adebayo for 14 yds to the SIO 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

pass incomplete to Andrew Eichmann

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Andrew Eichmann

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Colin Chase, broken up by Connor Aldrich

4th & 6Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -3.87

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Andrew Eichmann, broken up by Connor Aldrich for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Shea Albrecht) to the SIO 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Camden Dean run for a loss of 1 yard to the SIO 21

Situational Analysis

Sioux Falls

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
31%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
15 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
88%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
21%
14 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play