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← Back to GamesSep 15, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Sacramento State by 9.3

Home Win Probability

Sacramento State 68%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Sacramento State -8.5

Edge: Sacramento State -8.5 (0.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 15, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Nicholls
07007
Sacramento StateSacramento State
10143734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-017-024-024-727-734-7
Sacramento StateNicholls

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SSNICSSNICSSNICSSNICSSNICSSSSNICSSNICSSNICSSNICSSNICSSNICSSNICSSTD675ydDOWNS7-4ydFG47ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1043ydDOWNS1163ydTD568ydMISS953ydTD778ydPUNT512ydTD10ydEND39ydPUNT48ydFG727ydPUNT314ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-1ydMISS845ydPUNT4-4ydPUNT3-8ydDOWNS856ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-15ydTD648ydPUNT30ydEND30yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nicholls and Sacramento State
StatisticNichollsSacramento State
Passing20-3122-32
Pass Yards162264
Rush Yards24144
Total Yards186408
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-165-14
Penalties7-526-65
Possession28:1631:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nicholls
passing
Pat McQuaide
20/31, 162 YDS
rushing
Collin Guggenheim
16 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Terry Matthews
4 REC, 64 YDS
Sacramento State
passing
Carson Conklin
22/32, 264 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Elijah Tau-Tolliver
21 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Danny Scudero
4 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Carson Conklin pass complete to Anderson Grover for 19 yds to the SAC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 10 yds to the NICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Carson Conklin pass complete to Anderson Grover for 7 yds to the NICH 39

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 9 yds to the NICH 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.29

Carson Conklin pass complete to Ezra Moleni for 19 yds to the NICH 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 11 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NICH 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 6 yds to the NICH 25

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NICH 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 7 yds to the NICH 35

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.52

Collin Guggenheim run for a loss of 3 yards to the NICH 32

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.53

Pat McQuaide sacked by Ben Ahio for a loss of 4 yards to the NICH 28

4th & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-15 ydsPPA +0.26

Kylan Dupre run for a loss of 15 yards to the NICH 13 Kylan Dupre fumbled, recovered by NICH Kylan Dupre K. Dupre return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 5 yds to the NICH 8

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 2 yds to the NICH 6

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+25 yds

Zach Schreiner 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NICH 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Marquese Albert run for no gain to the NICH 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+17 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 38 yds , Anderson Grover returns for 17 yds to the NICH 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Carson Conklin run for 1 yd to the NICH 47

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ezra Moleni run for 3 yds to the NICH 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.95

Carson Conklin pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 9 yds to the NICH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Carson Conklin pass complete to Jared Gipson for 7 yds to the NICH 28

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.07

Ezra Moleni run for 6 yds to the NICH 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Carson Conklin pass complete to Danny Scudero for 11 yds to the NICH 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 5 yds to the NICH 6

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ezra Moleni run for 1 yd to the NICH 5

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.99

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Marquese Albert run for 8 yds to the NICH 13

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Christian McNees for 3 yds Christian McNees fumbled, recovered by NICH for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Marquese Albert run for a loss of 2 yards to the NICH 13

2nd & 12Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.48

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 39 yds to the SAC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for 4 yds to the SAC 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.88

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 7 yds to the SAC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 3 yds to the SAC 34

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the SAC 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.29

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 12 yds to the SAC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Carson Conklin pass complete to Danny Scudero for 16 yds to the NICH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 6 yds to the NICH 34

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for no gain to the NICH 34

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.77

Carson Conklin pass complete to Danny Scudero for 34 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for 6 yds to the NICH 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NICH 43

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the NICH 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Patrick Dean) to the SAC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.03

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 35 yds to the SAC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the SAC 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Collin Guggenheim run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAC 7

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.89

Pat McQuaide sacked by Brandon Knott for a loss of 5 yards to the SAC 12

4th & 12Blocked Field Goal+28 yds

Gabe Showalter 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Carson Conklin pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 7 yds to the SAC 29

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Carson Conklin run for 5 yds to the SAC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Zeke Burnett run for 3 yds to the SAC 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Carson Conklin pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 3 yds to the SAC 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.81

Carson Conklin pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 5 yds to the SAC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.73

Carson Conklin pass complete to Danny Scudero for 41 yds to the NICH 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Zeke Burnett run for 14 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 7 yds to the NICH 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Scrappy Osby for 13 yds to the NICH 44 for a 1ST down

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for 1 yd to the NICH 45

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.03

Pat McQuaide sacked by Will Leota for a loss of 9 yards to the NICH 36

4th & 18Punt+5 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 41 yds , Anderson Grover returns for 5 yds to the SAC 28

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+49 ydsPPA -8.14

Carson Conklin pass intercepted Ty Marsh return for 49 yds for a TD (Gabe Showalter KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jared Gipson) to the SAC 32

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 4 yds to the SAC 42

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 6 yds to the SAC 38

0th & 5End of Half-4 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

Nicholls Penalty, Illegal Block (Quincy Brown) to the NICH 6

1st & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NICH 8

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Tank Mcmath for 5 yds to the NICH 13

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SAC 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for 7 yds to the NICH 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 6 yds to the NICH 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Carson Conklin pass complete to Anderson Grover for 5 yds to the NICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Carson Conklin pass complete to Jared Gipson for 10 yds to the NICH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ezra Moleni run for no gain to the NICH 32

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for no gain to the NICH 32

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Carson Conklin pass complete to Austin Jarrard for 6 yds to the NICH 26

4th & 4Field Goal Good+44 yds

Zach Schreiner 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(08:59) MCQUAIDE, Pat pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Quincy thrown to the SAC31, clock 08:52. PENALTY SAC Pass Interference on VEDDER, Zelmar enforced 15 yards to the NIC47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

Nicholls Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Pat McQuaide) to the NICH 35

2nd & 23Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NICH 37

3rd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Marquese Albert for 9 yds to the NICH 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SAC 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 1 yd to the SAC 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+44 yds

Cal McGough punt for 44 yds , Terry Matthews returns for no gain to the NICH 32 , returns for no gain to the NICH 32

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.46

Pat McQuaide sacked by Will Leota for a loss of 5 yards to the NICH 27

2nd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Collin Guggenheim run for 11 yds to the NICH 38

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.02

Pat McQuaide sacked by Nakian Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the NICH 31

4th & 11Punt+8 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 31 yds , Anderson Grover returns for 8 yds to the SAC 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Zeke Burnett run for 3 yds to the SAC 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, False Start (Jared Gipson) to the SAC 44

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.15

Carson Conklin pass complete to Zeke Burnett for 12 yds to the NICH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.87

Carson Conklin pass complete to Devin Gandy for 31 yds to the NICH 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Zeke Burnett run for a loss of 3 yards to the NICH 16

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Carson Conklin pass complete to Onterrio Smith Jr. for 7 yds to the NICH 9

4th & 6Blocked Field Goal+27 yds

Zach Schreiner 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Marquese Albert run for 3 yds to the NICH 15

2nd & 7Penalty-7 yds

Nicholls Penalty, Offensive Holding (Evan Roussel) to the NICH 8

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

Marquese Albert run for no gain to the NICH 8

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+3 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 42 yds , Anderson Grover returns for 3 yds to the NICH 47

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Carson Conklin pass complete to Elijah Tau-Tolliver for a loss of 1 yard to the NICH 48

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds to the NICH 45

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(13:37) CONKLIN, Carson pass to the left complete for 13 yards to GANDY, Devin caught at the NIC32 and advanced to the NIC32 (SMITH, Kendarius), clock 13:32. PENALTY SAC Holding on JARRARD, Austin enforced 10 yards from the NIC45 to the SAC45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Terry Matthews at the NICH 15

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.47

Collin Guggenheim run for 21 yds to the NICH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.97

Pat McQuaide sacked by Davion Ross for a loss of 9 yards to the NICH 27

2nd & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.66

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 12 yds to the NICH 39

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Nicholls Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NICH 34

3rd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.98

Marquese Albert run for 14 yds to the NICH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MCQUAIDE, Pat pass to the right incomplete intended for MATTHEWS, Terry thrown to the SAC45, clock 10:24. PENALTY SAC Personal Foul on KENION III, Murvin enforced 15 yards from the NIC48 to the SAC37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the SAC 33

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Collin Guggenheim run for no gain to the SAC 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -2.07

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Marquese Albert for 4 yds to the SAC 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for no gain to the SAC 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Carson Conklin pass complete to Elijah Tau-Tolliver for 5 yds to the SAC 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Terry Matthews at the NICH 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the NICH 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for a loss of 2 yards to the NICH 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.19

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Jason Barnes Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the NICH 20

4th & 15Penalty-10 yds

Nicholls Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian McNees) to the NICH 10

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the NICH 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 4 yds to the NICH 44

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.14

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 20 yds to the NICH 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds to the NICH 21

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

(03:00) CONKLIN, Carson pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for SMITH JR., Onterrio broken up by LINDSEY, Jamison at the NIC0, clock 02:57. PENALTY NIC Pass Interference on LINDSEY, Jamison enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the NIC6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.80

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for a loss of 5 yards to the NICH 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Carson Conklin pass complete to Jared Gipson for 7 yds to the NICH 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Carson Conklin pass complete to Onterrio Smith Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SAC 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Curron Borders run for 1 yd to the SAC 21

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Curron Borders run for 4 yds to the SAC 25

3rd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.41

(00:06) [NHSG] Kneel down by CONKLIN, Carson at SAC20 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Nicholls

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Sacramento State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
57%
30 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play