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← Back to GamesSep 8, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

UC Davis by 19

Home Win Probability

UC Davis 90%

Market (ESPN Bet)

UC Davis -28

Edge: East Texas A&M +28 (9.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 8, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East Texas A&M
0071522
UC Davis
09131436

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428426-015-022-0
UC DavisEast Texas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ETAUDETAUDUDETAUDETAUDETAUDUDETAUDETAUDETAPUNT1134ydPUNT734ydPUNT952ydPUNT38ydTO646ydPUNT36ydFG843ydTO1-2ydFG615ydPUNT627ydFG1068ydTD775ydPUNT30ydTD154ydTO411ydPUNT3-6ydUncategorized326yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Texas A&M and UC Davis
StatisticEast Texas A&MUC Davis
Passing12-2319-30
Pass Yards157250
Rush Yards-382
Total Yards154332
Turnovers31
3rd Down5-113-8
Penalties6-404-35
Possession17:4018:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Texas A&M
passing
Ron Peace
13/24, 169 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
EJ Oakmon
6 CAR, 9 YDS
receiving
Jared Wilson
2 REC, 44 YDS
UC Davis
passing
Miles Hastings
19/29, 250 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Lan Larison
17 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
Chaz Davis
4 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ron Peace pass complete to Dayeton Sweeting for 7 yds to the TAMC 32

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.74

Tyler Daniels run for a loss of 9 yards to the TAMC 23 Ron Peace fumbled, recovered by TAMC Ron Peace R. Peace return for 0 yds

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.06

Ron Peace pass complete to Nick Johnson for 13 yds to the TAMC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Nick Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TAMC 33

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TAMC 28

2nd & 18Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.88

Ron Peace pass complete to Tyler Daniels for 18 yds to the TAMC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

BK Jackson run for 5 yds to the UCD 49

2nd & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.35

Ron Peace run for a loss of 6 yards to the TAMC 45

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.14

Ron Peace pass complete to Jared Wilson for 13 yds to the UCD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

JaiSean McMillian run for 1 yd to the UCD 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ron Peace pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ron Peace pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the UCD 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.67

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 15 yds to the UCD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Matteo Perez run for 9 yds to the UCD 47

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.10

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 5 yds to the TAMC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the TAMC 49

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the TAMC 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt-49 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 37 yds , Nick Johnson returns for no gain to the UCD 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

EJ Oakmon run for 3 yds to the TAMC 8

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

EJ Oakmon run for 6 yds to the TAMC 14

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.27

BK Jackson run for 1 yd to the TAMC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ron Peace pass complete to Lake Bennett for 4 yds to the TAMC 19

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ron Peace run for 5 yds to the TAMC 24

3rd & 1Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.14

Ron Peace pass complete to Jared Wilson for 31 yds to the UCD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

JaiSean McMillian run for no gain to the UCD 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ron Peace pass complete to Drew Allison for 2 yds to the UCD 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Ron Peace pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Matteo Perez at the UCD 9

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Lan Larison run for 4 yds to the UCD 13

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Lan Larison run for 2 yds to the UCD 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 2 yds to the UCD 17

4th & 2Punt+28 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 28 yds , Nick Johnson returns for no gain to the UCD 46 , returns for no gain to the UCD 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for 6 yds to the TAMC 48

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Lan Larison run for 2 yds to the TAMC 46

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Lan Larison run for 7 yds to the TAMC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.63

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 29 yds to the TAMC 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Lan Larison run for 2 yds to the TAMC 8

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+10 ydsPPA -4.32

Miles Hastings pass intercepted Devante Keys return for 10 yds to the TAMC 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ron Peace pass complete to Dayan Bilbo for 4 yds to the TAMC 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

EJ Oakmon run for 2 yds to the TAMC 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Ron Peace pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+22 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 39 yds , Matteo Perez returns for 22 yds to the UCD 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.12

Miles Hastings pass complete to Mitchell Dixon for 15 yds to the TAMC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.58

Lan Larison run for 28 yds to the TAMC 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Lan Larison run for 2 yds to the TAMC 8

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Lan Larison run for no gain to the TAMC 8

3rd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the TAMC 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Hunter Ridley 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.92

BK Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TAMC 23 BK Jackson fumbled, recovered by UCD Noa Masui N. Masui return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.76

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 15 yds to the TAMC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Lan Larison run for no gain to the TAMC 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Lan Larison pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Hunter Ridley 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

EJ Oakmon run for 2 yds to the TAMC 36

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

EJ Oakmon run for no gain to the TAMC 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.85

Ron Peace pass complete to Dayan Bilbo for 33 yds to the UCD 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Ron Peace pass complete to EJ Oakmon for 6 yds to the UCD 25

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.22

EJ Oakmon run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCD 29

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ron Peace pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, Delay Of Game (Khris Love) to the UCD 34

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, Delay Of Game (Khris Love) to the UCD 39

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, Illegal Formation (Khris Love) to the UCD 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.22

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 12 yds to the TAMC 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Miles Hastings pass complete to Mitchell Dixon for 3 yds to the UCD 28

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the UCD 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.31

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 27 yds to the TAMC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LARISON, Lan rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD31 (TUCKER, JR., Brandon). PENALTY AMC Personal Foul on TUCKER, JR., Brandon enforced 15 yards from the UCD33 to the UCD48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Lan Larison run for no gain to the TAMC 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 12 yds to the TAMC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

LARISON, Lan rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the AMC0, End of Play. PENALTY Before the snap, UCD Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the AMC1 to the AMC6. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 6Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.71

Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for a loss of 6 yards to the TAMC 12

3rd & 12Field Goal Good+29 yds

Hunter Ridley 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half+11 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Lan Larison run for 8 yds to the UCD 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Lan Larison run for 2 yds to the UCD 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.15

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 27 yds to the TAMC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the TAMC 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.32

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 29 yds to the TAMC 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Lan Larison run for no gain to the TAMC 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ron Peace pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ron Peace pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ron Peace pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+1 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 30 yds , Matteo Perez returns for 1 yd to the UCD 46

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.18

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 54 yds for a TD UC Davis Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the TAMC 8 (Hunter Ridley KICK)

0th & 3Penalty-5 yds

UC Davis Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the TAMC 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

JaiSean McMillian run for 1 yd to the TAMC 26

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

PEACE, Ron pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JOURDAIN, Christian thrown to the UCD39. PENALTY UCD Pass Interference on SHAMBURGER, Lamont enforced 15 yards to the AMC41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ron Peace pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.24

Tyler Daniels run for a loss of 5 yards to the TAMC 36

3rd & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.04

Ron Peace pass intercepted Jackson Cloyd return for no gain to the TAMC 34

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HASTINGS, Miles scrambles up the middle for a gain of 11 yards to the AMC23 (WILLIAMS, Lavon). PENALTY UCD Holding on PEREZ, Matteo enforced 10 yards from the AMC34 to the AMC44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for 4 yds to the TAMC 40

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 30 yds, downed at the TAMC 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ron Peace pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Ron Peace pass complete to Brooks Rigney for 11 yds to the TAMC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.18

Ron Peace pass complete to Brooks Rigney for 15 yds to the TAMC 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

East Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
16 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th

UC Davis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
53%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th