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← Back to GamesAug 24, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tarleton State by 27.5

Home Win Probability

Tarleton State 93%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Tarleton State -15.5

Edge: Tarleton State -15.5 (12.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 24, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
McNeese
7031323
Tarleton State
16100026

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-716-723-726-726-1026-1626-23
Tarleton StateMcNeese

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MCNTSMCNTSMCNMCNTSMCNTSMCNTSMCNTSTSMCNTSMCNTSMCNTSMCNTSMCNTSMCNTSTO323ydFG612ydTD875ydTD1064ydTD26ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT514ydPUNT514ydTD1283ydTO33ydFG638ydTO846ydMISS744ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT523ydPUNT31ydPUNT4-10ydFG1038ydPUNT31ydTD972ydMISS863ydTD180ydPUNT38ydMISS1062ydEND1-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing McNeese and Tarleton State
StatisticMcNeeseTarleton State
Passing14-2012-26
Pass Yards245144
Rush Yards200195
Total Yards445339
Turnovers40
3rd Down3-114-14
Penalties8-641-13
Possession25:3234:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

McNeese
passing
Clifton McDowell
14/20, 245 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Clifton McDowell
20 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Matthew McCallister
1 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
Tarleton State
passing
Victor Gabalis
11/18, 140 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kayvon Britten
25 CAR, 164 YDS
receiving
Darius Cooper
6 REC, 85 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Joshon Barbie run for 11 yds to the MCN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Clifton McDowell run for 11 yds to the MCN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -2.90

Clifton McDowell run for a loss of 2 yards to the MCN 48 Clifton McDowell fumbled, recovered by MCN Clifton McDowell C. McDowell return for 3 yds , return for 3 yds to the MCN 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 9 yds to the MCN 39

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.25

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the MCN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Victor Gabalis sacked by Masey Lewis for a loss of 1 yard to the MCN 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Kayvon Britten for a loss of 2 yards to the MCN 36

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+53 yds

Michael James 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Joshon Barbie run for 2 yds to the MCN 27

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Joshon Barbie run for 16 yds to the MCN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Jer'Michael Carter for 4 yds to the MCN 47

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Joshon Barbie run for 4 yds to the TAR 49

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Joshon Barbie run for 1 yd to the TAR 48

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.35

Joshon Barbie run for 5 yds to the TAR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.29

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Jamaal Levi for 43 yds for a TD (Tyler Larco KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-15 yds

LEVI, Jamaal two-point conversion pass attempt to BORBON, Jovoni failed (complete); conversion is no good , score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on BRADFORD, Phillip enforced 15 yards MSU Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the TAR33. NO PLAY (replay the down).

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Tyler Larco kickoff for 49 yds , Deangelo Rosemond return for 20 yds to the TAR 36

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Kayvon Britten run for 10 yds to the TAR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the MCN 46

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Keylan Johnson for 11 yds to the MCN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Kayvon Britten run for 11 yds to the MCN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the MCN 19

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Derrel Kelley III run for 7 yds to the MCN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Derrel Kelley III run for a loss of 2 yards to the MCN 14

2nd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Derrel Kelley III run for 13 yds to the MCN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Derrel Kelley III run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael James KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Joshon Barbie run for 3 yds to the MCN 28

2nd & 7Fumble Return Touchdown+31 ydsPPA -7.63

Kasyus Kurns 31 Yd Fumble Return (Michael James PAT failed)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Clifton McDowell run for 3 yds to the MCN 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

HAMM, Coleby rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the MSU34 (PERKINS, Charles;CHISM, Tramaine). PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MSU28 to the MSU23. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Finn Lappin punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 40

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Kayvon Britten run for 9 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the TAR 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Jer'Michael Carter for 4 yds to the MCN 24

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Joshon Barbie run for 10 yds to the MCN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Joshon Barbie run for a loss of 3 yards to the MCN 31

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Clifton McDowell run for 3 yds to the MCN 34

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Clifton McDowell run for no gain to the MCN 34

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Finn Lappin punt for 49 yds , Caleb Lewis returns for no gain to the TAR 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 9 yds to the TAR 26

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.01

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the TAR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the TAR 32

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.04

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 17 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 14 yds to the MCN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the MCN 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Kayvon Britten for 9 yds to the MCN 28

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the MCN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Keylan Johnson for 26 yds for a TD (Michael James KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Clifton McDowell run for 1 yd to the MCN 29

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

TreVonte' Citizen run for 2 yds to the MCN 31

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.17

Clifton McDowell pass intercepted Omar Emmons return for no gain to the TAR 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the TAR 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.08

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 32 yds to the MCN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the MCN 17

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Derrel Kelley III run for 1 yd to the MCN 16

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.66

Victor Gabalis sacked by Dominick Bolden and Micah Davey for a loss of 1 yard to the MCN 17

4th & 7Field Goal Good+34 yds

Michael James 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Michael James kickoff for 57 yds , Cory O'Bryant return for 19 yds to the MCN 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Jer'Michael Carter for 9 yds to the MCN 36

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Clifton McDowell run for 10 yds to the MCN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joshon Barbie run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Clifton McDowell run for 2 yds to the TAR 48

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Clifton McDowell run for 4 yds to the TAR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.71

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Tyronne Hayes for 19 yds to the TAR 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Joshon Barbie run for 2 yds to the TAR 23

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -4.06

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Joshon Barbie for a loss of 4 yards Joshon Barbie fumbled, recovered by TAR Kasyus Kurns K. Kurns return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 12 yds to the TAR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the TAR 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Kayvon Britten run for 14 yds to the MCN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the MCN 30

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Victor Gabalis run for 1 yd to the MCN 29

3rd & 3Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Michael James 46 yd FG MISSED

0th & 3End of Half-42 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jaden Pete pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jaden Pete pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 39 yds, downed at the MCN 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Coleby Hamm run for 3 yds to the MCN 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.56

Clifton McDowell sacked by Caimyn Layne for a loss of 5 yards to the MCN 29

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Finn Lappin punt for 51 yds, downed at the TAR 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaden Pete pass complete to Darius Cooper for 4 yds to the TAR 24

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jaden Pete run for no gain to the TAR 24

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

PETE, Jaden sacked for a loss of 4 yards at the TAR20 (SILVERA, Boogsie). PENALTY MSU Face mask on LEWIS, Masey enforced 15 yards from the TAR24 to the TAR39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the TAR 39

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jaden Pete pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Matthew McCallister at the MCN 17

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.72

Clifton McDowell sacked by Ty Rawls for a loss of 5 yards to the MCN 12

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

TreVonte' Citizen run for 6 yds to the MCN 18

3rd & 9Penalty-12 yds

MCDOWELL, Clifton pass up the middle complete for 12 yards to CITIZEN, TreVonte' caught at the MSU30 and advanced to the MSU30 (RAWLS, Ty;KURNS, Kasyus). PENALTY MSU Holding on DUVALL, David enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the MSU18 to the MSU9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.05

Clifton McDowell run for 9 yds to the MCN 18

4th & 9Punt+59 yds

Finn Lappin punt for 59 yds , Caleb Lewis returns for no gain to the TAR 24 , returns for 1 yd to the TAR 24

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaden Pete pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaden Pete pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaden Pete pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt+3 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 46 yds , Matthew McCallister returns for 3 yds to the MCN 43

4th & 20Punt+3 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 46 yds , Matthew McCallister returns for 3 yds to the MCN 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Coleby Hamm run for 5 yds to the MCN 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Coleby Hamm run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Coleby Hamm run for 1 yd to the TAR 49

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.44

Coleby Hamm run for 4 yds to the TAR 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Logan Mauldin for 2 yds to the TAR 43

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.28

D'Angelo Durham run for 16 yds to the TAR 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Clifton McDowell run for 5 yds to the TAR 22

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

McNeese Penalty, False Start (Tyronne Hayes) to the TAR 27

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Clifton McDowell run for 3 yds to the TAR 24

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Clifton McDowell run for 5 yds to the TAR 19

4th & 2Field Goal Good+36 yds

Tyler Larco 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaden Pete sacked by AJ Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the TAR 20

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the TAR 21

3rd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 46 yds, downed at the MCN 28

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

D'Angelo Durham run for 18 yds to the MCN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Clifton McDowell pass complete to D'Angelo Durham for 13 yds to the TAR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

QB Keeper MCDOWELL, Clifton rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the TAR29 (SMITH, Blake), clock 09:33. PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TAR41 to the TAR46. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Coleby Hamm run for 2 yds to the TAR 44

2nd & 13Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.09

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Curtis Deville for 20 yds to the TAR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Clifton McDowell run for 8 yds to the TAR 16

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Clifton McDowell run for no gain to the TAR 16

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.20

Coleby Hamm run for 2 yds to the TAR 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Jer'Michael Carter for 7 yds to the TAR 7

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.24

D'Angelo Durham run for 7 yds for a TD (Tyler Larco PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

McNeese Penalty, Delay Of Game (Tristan Driggers) to the TAR 8

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.19

Kayvon Britten run for 44 yds to the MCN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Derrel Kelley III run for 1 yd to the MCN 29

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the MCN 24

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the MCN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the MCN 14

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the MCN 13

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the MCN 11

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Michael James 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Matthew McCallister for 80 yds for a TD (Tyler Larco KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the TAR 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaden Pete pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Matthew McCallister at the MCN 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

D'Angelo Durham run for 3 yds to the MCN 14

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.87

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Jonathan Harris for 23 yds to the MCN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

D'Angelo Durham run for 4 yds to the MCN 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.16

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Curtis Deville for 22 yds to the TAR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tristan Driggers pass complete to D'Angelo Durham for 3 yds to the TAR 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Clifton McDowell run for 11 yds to the TAR 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Clifton McDowell run for 1 yd to the TAR 22

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Clifton McDowell run for no gain to the TAR 22

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

McNeese Penalty, False Start (Marques White) to the TAR 27

3rd & 14Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Tyler Larco 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.12

(00:04) [NHSG] Kneel down by PETE, Jaden at TAR23 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

McNeese

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play