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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tarleton State by 0.5

Home Win Probability

Houston Christian 42%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Houston Christian +14

Edge: Houston Christian +14 (13.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tarleton State
0217735
Houston Christian
073818

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-2110-35
Houston ChristianTarleton State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HCTSHCTSHCTSHCTSHCTSHCTSTSHCTSHCTSHCTSHCDOWNS847ydDOWNS830ydPUNT30ydPUNT33ydPUNT927ydTD1184ydTO20ydTD226ydTD866ydTD1475ydTD368ydUncategorized310ydTO414ydFG69ydTD1675ydPUNT30ydTD770ydDOWNS1053ydMISS1155ydTD1177yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tarleton State and Houston Christian
StatisticTarleton StateHouston Christian
Passing15-2215-33
Pass Yards179177
Rush Yards27088
Total Yards449265
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-104-12
Penalties6-533-25
Possession37:5918:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tarleton State
passing
Daniel Greek
15/22, 179 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kayvon Britten
26 CAR, 152 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Darius Cooper
6 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
Houston Christian
passing
Cutter Stewart
15/33, 177 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Champ Dozier
6 CAR, 29 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Deuce McMillan
3 REC, 41 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Champ Dozier run for 2 yds to the HCU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 16 yds to the HCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 8 yds to the TAR 49

2nd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.70

Champ Dozier run for 20 yds to the TAR 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dozier,Champ rush left (Tolvert,Brandon).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

pass incomplete to Champ Dozier

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete to AJ Wilson, broken up by Derrel Kelley III

4th & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.97

Cutter Stewart run for 1 yd to the TAR 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Daniel Greek pass complete to Darius Cooper for 9 yds to the TAR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 44

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the HCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Daniel Greek pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the HCU 43

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the HCU 42

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.45

Daniel Greek pass incomplete to Darius Cooper, broken up by Sincere Littles

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Deuce McMillan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

pass incomplete to AJ Wilson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller, broken up by Les Odimara

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Keylan Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Daniel Greek pass complete to Keylan Johnson for 3 yds to the TAR 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jesse Valenzuela run for 3 yds to the HCU 38

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jesse Valenzuela run for 5 yds to the HCU 43

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Jesse Valenzuela run for 2 yds to the HCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jesse Valenzuela run for 1 yd to the HCU 46

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jesse Valenzuela run for 6 yds to the TAR 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.68

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Ismael Fuller for 8 yds to the TAR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jesse Valenzuela run for 3 yds to the TAR 37

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jesse Valenzuela run for 2 yds to the TAR 35

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the TAR 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Derrel Kelley III run for 6 yds to the HCU 33

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Kayvon Britten run for 7 yds to the TAR 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Daniel Greek pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 11 yds to the TAR 34 for a 1ST down Houston Christian Penalty, off-side (Byron Mathis) to the TAR 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 36

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Kayvon Britten run for 7 yds to the TAR 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Kayvon Britten run for 7 yds to the HCU 47

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the HCU 39 for a 1ST down

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Daniel Greek pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 4 yds to the HCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Daniel Greek run for 8 yds to the HCU 21

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.28

Derrel Kelley III run for 21 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins, broken up by Ty Rawls

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Cutter Stewart pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the HCU 24

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.97

Daniel Greek pass complete to Cody Jackson for 24 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Calvin Hill run for 2 yds to the HCU 36

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Calvin Hill run for 2 yds to the HCU 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 13 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 17 yds to the TAR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Calvin Hill run for 13 yds to the TAR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Calvin Hill run for 13 yds to the TAR 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Champ Dozier run for 3 yds to the TAR 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Champ Dozier run for 3 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Kayvon Britten run for 9 yds to the TAR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Kayvon Britten run for 14 yds to the HCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Kayvon Britten run for 9 yds to the HCU 39

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.25

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the HCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, false start (Dillon Brooks) to the HCU 38

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the HCU 35

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

3rd & 12Interception+15 ydsPPA -2.18

Daniel Greek pass intercepted for a 1ST down Houston Christian Penalty, Defensive pass interference (D.J. Harris) to the HCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kelley III,Derrel rush right (Bean,Darius).

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Derrel Kelley III run for 7 yds to the HCU 13

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the HCU 11

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.80

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the HCU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the HCU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Darryle Evans run for 2 yds to the HCU 34

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Darryle Evans run for 2 yds to the HCU 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

pass incomplete to AJ Wilson

4th & 6Punt+21 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 58 yds , Blake Smith returns for 21 yds Tarleton State Penalty, Offensive holding (Caimyn Layne) to the TAR 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Derrel Kelley III run for 7 yds to the HCU 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the TAR 19

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Derrel Kelley III run for 8 yds to the TAR 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Daniel Greek pass complete to Darius Cooper for 16 yds to the TAR 41 for a 1ST down Houston Christian Penalty, Defensive holding (Ashton Williams) to the TAR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 2 yards to the TAR 39

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Greek,Daniel rush middle (Blowe,Ravonte).

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.19

Daniel Greek pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 16

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

for a 1ST down Tarleton State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ty Rawls) to the TAR 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 1 yd to the TAR 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 1 yd to the TAR 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Dillon Fedor 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Derrel Kelley III run for 6 yds to the TAR 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the TAR 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the TAR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.99

Daniel Greek sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the TAR 31

2nd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.93

Daniel Greek pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 17 yds to the TAR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kelley III,Derrel rush left (Williams,Ashton;Fuavai,Ruperake).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.86

Daniel Greek pass complete to Keylan Johnson for 10 yds to the HCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Derrel Kelley III run for 1 yd to the HCU 41

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the HCU 36

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.05

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the HCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -1.49

Daniel Greek pass incomplete to Darius Cooper, broken up by Ashton Williams Tarleton State Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the HCU 37

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Kayvon Britten run for 9 yds to the HCU 28

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the HCU 24

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.34

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the HCU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to Keylan Johnson

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Daniel Greek pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 22 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete to AJ Wilson

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Cutter Stewart sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 26

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Champ Dozier run for 1 yd to the HCU 27

4th & 10Punt+9 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 52 yds , Blake Smith returns for 9 yds to the TAR 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the HCU 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Daniel Greek pass complete to Darius Cooper for 10 yds to the TAR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Daniel Greek pass complete to Darius Cooper for 5 yds to the TAR 45

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Kayvon Britten run for 9 yds to the HCU 46 for a 1ST down

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.60

Kayvon Britten run for 19 yds to the HCU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Daniel Greek pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 12 yds to the HCU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Daniel Greek pass complete to Darius Cooper for 9 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Cutter Stewart pass complete to AJ Wilson for 9 yds to the HCU 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.90

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete to Deuce McMillan for a 1ST down Tarleton State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ty Rawls) to the HCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Champ Dozier for 8 yds to the TAR 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, false start (Nonso Omezi) to the TAR 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

pass incomplete to Champ Dozier

4th & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.51

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Drake Martinez for 17 yds to the TAR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Champ Dozier

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jesse Valenzuela run for 5 yds to the TAR 26

4th & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -2.83

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Jesse Valenzuela for 4 yds to the TAR 22

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.05

Kelley III,Derrel rush (Bean,Darius), PENALTY TSU holding (Smith,Hunter) 10 yards to the TSU32. Tarleton State Penalty, Offensive holding (Hunter Smith) to the TAR 12

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Derrel Kelley III run for 6 yds to the TAR 18

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Derrel Kelley III run for 6 yds to the TAR 24

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.84

Derrel Kelley III run for 11 yds to the TAR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Derrel Kelley III run for 1 yd to the TAR 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.78

Daniel Greek pass complete to Darius Cooper for 22 yds to the HCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Kristian Dalton run for 8 yds to the HCU 34

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, off-side (Julius Davis) to the HCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Kristian Dalton run for 3 yds to the HCU 26

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Kristian Dalton run for 1 yd to the HCU 25

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kristian Dalton run for 2 yds to the HCU 23

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Adrian Guzman 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller, broken up by Caden Holt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 11 yds to the HCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Darryle Evans

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to AJ Wilson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.71

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Drake Martinez for 12 yds to the HCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to AJ Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Drake Martinez for 10 yds to the TAR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 14 yds to the TAR 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.29

Cutter Stewart pass complete to AJ Wilson for 19 yds to the TAR 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Cutter Stewart pass complete to AJ Wilson for 11 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 yds

Cutter Stewart pass complete to AJ Wilson for no gain to the TAR 3

Situational Analysis

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
53%
34 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
82%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Houston Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
25 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
15 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays