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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Even matchup

Home Win Probability

Dayton 48%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Dayton +6.5

Edge: Dayton +6.5 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
St. Francis (PA)
037010
Dayton
909018

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-09-09-315-318-10
DaytonSt. Francis (PA)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SF(DAYSF(DAYSF(DAYSF(DAYSF(DAYSF(DAYDAYSF(DAYSF(DAYSF(DAYSF(DAYSF(DAYSF(TO310ydTD1128ydPUNT527ydPUNT44ydSAF10ydTO323ydPUNT522ydDOWNS6-23ydFG44ydPUNT823ydPUNT55ydEND21ydTD874ydPUNT3-1ydTO4-3ydTD636ydFG1136ydTO770ydPUNT3-1ydTO18ydPUNT515ydDOWNS1044ydPUNT3-10ydEND512yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing St. Francis (PA) and Dayton
StatisticSt. Francis (PA)Dayton
Passing15-2616-23
Pass Yards121156
Rush Yards12647
Total Yards247203
Turnovers22
3rd Down2-96-15
Penalties5-308-45
Possession24:4635:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

St. Francis (PA)
passing
Nick Whitfield Jr.
15/26, 121 YDS
rushing
DeMarcus McElroy
9 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Gavin Thomson
3 REC, 44 YDS
Dayton
passing
Drew VanVleet
15/22, 129 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Luke Hansen
12 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Gavin Lochow
8 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to DeMarcus McElroy for 7 yds to the SFPA 25

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

DeMarcus McElroy run for 12 yds to the SFPA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-9 ydsPPA -1.95

Nick Whitfield Jr. run for a loss of 9 yards to the SFPA 28 fumbled, recovered by DAY Gideon Lampron G. Lampron return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Luke Hansen run for 2 yds to the SFPA 26

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Luke Hansen run for 1 yd to the SFPA 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 4 yds to the SFPA 21

4th & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

run for 3 yds to the SFPA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Luke Hansen run for 7 yds to the SFPA 11

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Luke Hansen run for 2 yds to the SFPA 9

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.62

Luke Hansen run for 1 yd to the SFPA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Drew VanVleet sacked by Gavin Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the SFPA 13

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

run for 1 yd to the SFPA 12

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.23

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 12 yds for a TD (Danny Baker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.80

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Gavin Thomson for 13 yds to the SFPA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.12

DeMarcus McElroy run for 12 yds to the SFPA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WHITFIELD JR., Nick pass deep up the middle complete for 24 yards to SKULE, Joe caught at the DAY41 and advanced to the DAY35 (MITCHELL, Luke;COPE, Cam). PENALTY SFU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the SFU41 to the SFU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

DeMarcus McElroy run for 2 yds to the SFPA 38

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Cinsere Clark for 7 yds to the SFPA 45

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SFPA 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to DeMarcus McElroy for 3 yds to the SFPA 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Luke Hansen run for 19 yds to the DAY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Dayton Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the DAY 34

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Luke Hansen run for 4 yds to the DAY 38

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper VANVLEET, Drew rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the DAY43 (AUMUA-TUISAVURA, Buju), out of bounds. PENALTY DAY Holding enforced 10 yards from the DAY38 to the DAY28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 21Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 6 yds to the DAY 34

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

Dayton Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the DAY 29

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

Dayton Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the DAY 24

4th & 25Punt0 yds

punt for 75 yds

1st & 10Safety-1 ydsPPA -2.01

Markell Holman run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Luke Hansen run for 12 yds to the SFPA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Luke Hansen run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFPA 45

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -2.26

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 13 yds Gavin Lochow fumbled, recovered by SFPA Eddie Bierals E. Bierals return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Markell Holman run for no gain to the SFPA 32

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.44

Jahmil Perryman run for 16 yds to the SFPA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Gavin Thomson for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Markell Holman run for 4 yds to the DAY 46

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Whitfield Jr. run for no gain to the DAY 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Luke Hansen run for 6 yds to the DAY 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.37

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 14 yds to the SFPA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.68

Drew VanVleet sacked by Pierre Royster for a loss of 8 yards to the DAY 47

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 7 yds to the SFPA 46

4th & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-42 ydsPPA -0.46

run for a loss of 42 yards to the DAY 12 fumbled, recovered by DAY return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

DeMarcus McElroy run for 4 yds to the DAY 8

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

DeMarcus McElroy run for no gain to the DAY 8

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Mac Plummer 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ty Stylski run for 2 yds to the DAY 22

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ty Stylski run for 3 yds to the DAY 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.25

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 16 yds to the DAY 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ty Stylski run for 4 yds to the DAY 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.14

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 7 yds to the SFPA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Drew VanVleet sacked by Eyan Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the DAY 44

2nd & 18Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Ty Stylski for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 43

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

punt for 42 yds, downed at the SFPA 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Markell Holman run for 1 yd to the SFPA 16

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Markell Holman run for 9 yds to the SFPA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Nick Whitfield Jr. sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the SFPA 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SFPA , return for 0 yards

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Markell Holman run for 5 yds to the SFPA 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeremy Jonozzo at the DAY 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Ty Stylski run for 1 yd to the DAY 44

0th & 3End of Half+11 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Mac Plummer kickoff for 41 yds , Mason Hackett return for 2 yds to the DAY 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Ty Stylski run for 7 yds to the DAY 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 6 yds to the DAY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the DAY 41

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the DAY 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.25

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 26 yds to the SFPA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 3 yds to the SFPA 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 1 yd to the SFPA 27

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.52

Gavin Lochow pass complete to Luke Brenner for 27 yds for a TD

0th & 0Uncategorized-8 yds

fumbled, recovered by SFPA Eddie Bierals E. Bierals return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

DeMarcus McElroy run for 5 yds to the SFPA 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.57

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Jahmil Perryman for a loss of 6 yards to the SFPA 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Aidan Cirulli punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeremy Jonozzo at the DAY 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mason Hackett run for 3 yds to the DAY 42

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mason Hackett run for 6 yds to the DAY 48

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Mason Hackett run for 5 yds to the SFPA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 17Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-10 ydsPPA -1.81

Drew VanVleet run for a loss of 10 yards to the DAY 36 Drew VanVleet fumbled, recovered by SFPA Eddie Bierals E. Bierals return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Markell Holman run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 37

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Jayden Ivory for 14 yds to the DAY 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+6 yds

Dayton Penalty, Face mask (6 yards) (6 Yards) to the DAY 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Nick Whitfield Jr. run for 7 yds to the DAY 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Markell Holman run for 1 yd for a TD (Mac Plummer KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Mac Plummer kickoff for 62 yds , Gavin Lochow return for 34 yds to the DAY 37

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Mason Hackett run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 36

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mason Hackett run for 5 yds to the DAY 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.14

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 6 yds to the DAY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mason Hackett run for 6 yds to the SFPA 47

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Mason Hackett run for 8 yds to the SFPA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the SFPA 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 9 yds to the SFPA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Brown run for 1 yd to the SFPA 27

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyler Brown run for no gain to the SFPA 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+44 yds

Danny Baker 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DeMarcus McElroy run for 5 yds to the SFPA 30

2nd & 5Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.69

DeMarcus McElroy run for 28 yds to the DAY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to DeMarcus McElroy for 7 yds to the DAY 35

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

WHITFIELD JR., Nick pass to the left complete for 9 yards to THOMSON, Gavin caught at the DAY26 and advanced to the DAY26 (COPE, Cam;RICHARDSON, Reece). PENALTY SFU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the DAY35 to the DAY40 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.27

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Gavin Thomson for 29 yds to the DAY 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to DeMarcus McElroy for 5 yds to the DAY 6

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.22

DeMarcus McElroy run for 1 yd to the DAY 5 DeMarcus McElroy fumbled, recovered by DAY Ca'ron Coleman C. Coleman return for 0 yds

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

Dayton Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the DAY 2

1st & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Mason Hackett run for no gain to the DAY 2

2nd & 13Penalty-1 yds

Dayton Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the DAY 1

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the DAY 2

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the DAY 4

4th & 11Punt+13 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 49 yds , Aaron Tutino returns for 13 yds to the DAY 40

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -3.81

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Joe Skule for 8 yds Joe Skule fumbled, recovered by DAY Cam Cope C. Cope return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Mason Hackett run for 6 yds to the DAY 38

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Mason Hackett run for 6 yds to the DAY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Mason Hackett run for a loss of 3 yards to the DAY 41

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Mason Hackett run for 6 yds to the DAY 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Cinsere Clark for 8 yds to the SFPA 28

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Nick Whitfield Jr. run for 5 yds to the SFPA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Markell Holman run for 12 yds to the SFPA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Markell Holman run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFPA 44

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Markell Holman run for 7 yds to the DAY 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.07

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Markell Holman for 12 yds to the DAY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the DAY 42

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Markell Holman run for 6 yds to the DAY 36

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by DAY at DAY31 (team loss of 5).

2nd & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.46

[NHSG] Kneel down by DAY at DAY26 (team loss of 5).

3rd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.06

Mason Hackett run for no gain to the DAY 26

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.87

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Cinsere Clark for 10 yds to the DAY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Cinsere Clark for 2 yds to the DAY 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

St. Francis (PA)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
100%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
22%
9 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play