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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

St. Francis (PA) by 1.7

Home Win Probability

Mercyhurst 47%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Mercyhurst +10

Edge: Mercyhurst +10 (8.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
St. Francis (PA)
760720
Mercyhurst
0331521

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-103-1613-1313-20
MercyhurstSt. Francis (PA)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MERSF(MERSF(SF(MERSF(MERSF(MERSF(MERSF(MERSF(MERSF(PUNT515ydTD1080ydPUNT618ydFG1551ydEND10ydPUNT620ydFG1360ydFG767ydTO25ydDOWNS49ydPUNT612ydFG1151ydPUNT32ydTD1078ydTD886ydTD1266ydUncategorized322yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing St. Francis (PA) and Mercyhurst
StatisticSt. Francis (PA)Mercyhurst
Passing18-2621-33
Pass Yards245240
Rush Yards7164
Total Yards316304
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-136-14
Penalties4-352-30
Possession32:0427:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

St. Francis (PA)
passing
Nick Whitfield Jr.
18/26, 245 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
DeMarcus McElroy
15 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Gavin Thomson
9 REC, 157 YDS, 2 TD
Mercyhurst
passing
Adam Urena
21/33, 240 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Brian Trobel
13 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Cameron Barmore
8 REC, 129 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brian Trobel run for no gain to the MERC 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Adam Urena pass complete to Joe Kerbacher for 12 yds to the MERC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Chaz Davis

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Rylan Davison run for a loss of 2 yards to the MERC 45

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

pass incomplete to Cameron Barmore

4th & 12Punt+5 yds

Hunter Pittman punt

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Pittman punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Jahmil Perryman for 5 yds to the SFPA 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Jayden Ivory for 5 yds to the SFPA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Adrian Mejia run for 5 yds to the SFPA 35

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Markell Holman run for 6 yds to the SFPA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Markell Holman run for no gain to the SFPA 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Markell Holman

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.82

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Gavin Thomson for 10 yds to the MERC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Markell Holman run for 1 yd to the MERC 48

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jahmil Perryman run for 2 yds to the MERC 46

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +5.26

Gavin Thomson 46 Yd pass from Nick Whitfield Jr. (Mac Plummer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brian Trobel run for 4 yds to the MERC 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Adam Urena pass incomplete to Brian Trobel, broken up by Geno Calgaro

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.82

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 7 yds to the MERC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Earnest Davis run for 7 yds to the MERC 45

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

pass incomplete to Russell Pytlak

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Adam Urena pass incomplete to Rylan Davison, broken up by Gavin Hockenberry

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Pittman punt for 55 yds

3rd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Jayden Ivory for 22 yds to the MERC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.95

DeMarcus McElroy run for no gain to the SFPA 20 St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Offensive holding (Guzzy Kayed) to the SFPA 10

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

DeMarcus McElroy run for 6 yds to the SFPA 16

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

DeMarcus McElroy run for 7 yds to the SFPA 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Gavin Thomson for 8 yds to the SFPA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

DeMarcus McElroy run for 4 yds to the SFPA 35

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

DeMarcus McElroy run for 2 yds to the SFPA 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to DeMarcus McElroy

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Adrian Mejia run for no gain to the MERC 41

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Nick Whitfield Jr. run for 7 yds to the MERC 34

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.90

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Joe Skule for 7 yds to the MERC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.21

DeMarcus McElroy run for a loss of 5 yards to the MERC 32

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

DeMarcus McElroy run for no gain to the MERC 32

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

DeMarcus McElroy run for 3 yds to the MERC 29

4th & 12Field Goal Good+39 yds

Mac Plummer 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Kaedon Kline kickoff for 35 yds , Gavin Hockenberry return for no gain to the SFPA 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Earnest Davis run for 4 yds to the MERC 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 7 yds to the MERC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Adam Urena pass incomplete to Rylan Davison for a 1ST down St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Semaj Williams) to the SFPA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Adam Urena pass complete to Rylan Davison for 6 yds to the SFPA 43

2nd & 4Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.34

Adam Urena sacked by Mercury Swaim for a loss of 12 yards to the MERC 45

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Adam Urena pass incomplete to Cameron Barmore, broken up by Pierre Royster

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Hunter Pittman punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Markell Holman run for 3 yds to the SFPA 14

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Brayden Porter run for 1 yd to the SFPA 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.38

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Gavin Thomson for 14 yds to the SFPA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Jahmil Perryman for 7 yds to the SFPA 36

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Markell Holman run for 7 yds to the SFPA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Markell Holman run for no gain to the SFPA 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Jayden Ivory, broken up by Elijah Graham

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Justin Thompson

4th & 10Punt+15 yds

Aidan Cirulli punt for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Gavin Thomson for 12 yds to the MERC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Jahmil Perryman

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.59

DeMarcus McElroy run for a loss of 4 yards to the MERC 34

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

St. Francis (PA) Penalty, false start (Gavin Thomson) to the MERC 39

3rd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Gavin Thomson for 10 yds to the MERC 29

4th & 9Field Goal Good+39 yds

Mac Plummer 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Adam Urena pass complete to Joe Kerbacher for 11 yds to the MERC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ayron Rodriguez run for 6 yds to the MERC 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.22

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 46 yds to the SFPA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ayron Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the SFPA 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Adam Urena pass incomplete to Cameron Barmore, broken up by Mekhi Rodgers

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Adam Urena pass complete to Chaz Davis for 2 yds to the SFPA 8

4th & 6Field Goal Good+18 yds

Nathan Nagucki 18 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Gavin Thomson for 5 yds to the SFPA 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Kaedon Kline kickoff for 41 yds , Markell Holman return for 6 yds to the SFPA 30

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -1.41

Markell Holman run for 4 yds to the SFPA 39 Markell Holman fumbled, recovered by MERC Dominic McGhee

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Joe Kerbacher run for no gain to the SFPA 39

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Brian Trobel run for 2 yds to the SFPA 37

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Brian Trobel run for 2 yds to the SFPA 35

4th & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -1.87

Adam Urena pass complete to Chaz Davis for 5 yds to the SFPA 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Jahmil Perryman

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

DeMarcus McElroy run for 6 yds to the SFPA 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.88

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Gavin Thomson for 7 yds to the SFPA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Nick Whitfield Jr. sacked by Damon Banks for a loss of 2 yards to the SFPA 41

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Adrian Mejia run for 1 yd to the SFPA 42

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Gavin Thomson, broken up by Tyler Buterbaugh

4th & 11Punt+15 yds

Aidan Cirulli punt for 38 yds , Chaz Davis returns for 15 yds to the MERC 35

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for a loss of 2 yards to the MERC 33

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Earnest Davis run for 3 yds to the MERC 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.22

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 18 yds to the SFPA 46 for a 1ST down St. Francis (PA) Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Mekhi Butler) to the SFPA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Earnest Davis run for 2 yds to the SFPA 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Mike Pappas

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Adam Urena pass complete to Rylan Davison for 4 yds to the SFPA 40

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+20 ydsPPA +2.74

Adam Urena pass complete to Earnest Davis for 20 yds Adam Urena fumbled, recovered by MERC Russell Pytlak for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Adam Urena pass complete to Joe Kerbacher for 6 yds to the SFPA 14

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

pass incomplete to Russell Pytlak

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Adam Urena pass incomplete to Cameron Barmore, broken up by Mekhi Rodgers

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 yds

Nathan Nagucki 24 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Kaedon Kline kickoff for 51 yds , Markell Holman return for 31 yds to the SFPA 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Jahmil Perryman for 9 yds to the MERC 46

2nd & 1Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.96

Nick Whitfield Jr. sacked by Adrian Lewis for a loss of 7 yards to the SFPA 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Gavin Thomson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aidan Cirulli punt for 31 yds

3rd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.54

Brian Trobel run for 19 yds to the MERC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Rylan Davison run for 1 yd to the MERC 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Adam Urena pass complete to Rylan Davison for 7 yds to the MERC 30

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Adam Urena pass complete to Joe Kerbacher for a loss of 3 yards to the MERC 46

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Brian Trobel run for 3 yds to the MERC 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.01

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 14 yds to the SFPA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Brian Trobel run for 3 yds to the SFPA 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.76

Adam Urena pass complete to Joe Kerbacher for 22 yds to the SFPA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Brian Trobel run for 2 yds to the SFPA 10

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Cameron Barmore 10 Yd pass from Adam Urena (Nathan Nagucki Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+63 yds

Kaedon Kline kickoff for 63 yds , Jahmil Perryman return for no gain to the SFPA 14 , Jahmil Perryman return for 12 yds to the SFPA 14

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Jahmil Perryman run for 8 yds to the SFPA 22

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

DeMarcus McElroy run for 2 yds to the SFPA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DeMarcus McElroy run for 5 yds to the SFPA 29

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

DeMarcus McElroy run for no gain to the SFPA 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to DeMarcus McElroy for 11 yds to the SFPA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

DeMarcus McElroy run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

DeMarcus McElroy run for 5 yds to the MERC 45

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.74

Gavin Thomson 45 Yd pass from Nick Whitfield Jr. (Mac Plummer Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Mac Plummer kickoff for 44 yds , Ayron Rodriguez return for 13 yds to the MERC 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brian Trobel run for 3 yds to the MERC 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Adam Urena pass incomplete to Cameron Barmore, broken up by Mekhi Rodgers

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.29

Adam Urena pass complete to Chaz Davis for 8 yds to the MERC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Brian Trobel run for a loss of 2 yards to the MERC 43

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brian Trobel run for 5 yds to the MERC 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

pass incomplete to Cameron Barmore

4th & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +3.35

Adam Urena pass complete to Rylan Davison for 11 yds to the SFPA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Earnest Davis run for 3 yds to the SFPA 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Brian Trobel run for 2 yds to the SFPA 36

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.26

Brian Trobel run for 7 yds to the SFPA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Cameron Barmore 29 Yd pass from Adam Urena (Adam Urena Pass to Cameron Barmore for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception-62 yds

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for no gain to the MERC 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Kaedon Kline kickoff for 60 yds , Jahmil Perryman return for 23 yds to the SFPA 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.49

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to DeMarcus McElroy for 16 yds to the SFPA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Jayden Ivory for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Nick Whitfield Jr. sacked by Camden White for a loss of 8 yards to the MERC 43 Nick Whitfield Jr. fumbled, recovered by MERC Camden White , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard line Mercyhurst Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Camden White) to the MERC 43

Situational Analysis

St. Francis (PA)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Mercyhurst

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play