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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Lafayette by 24.6

Home Win Probability

Lafayette 91%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Lafayette -22

Edge: Lafayette -22 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Stonehill
030710
Lafayette
2177742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284228-042-335-3
LafayetteStonehill

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STOSTOLAFSTOLAFLAFSTOLAFSTOLAFLAFSTOLAFLAFSTOLAFLAFSTOLAFSTOSTOLAFSTOLAFTO10ydTO626ydTD241ydPUNT517ydTD969ydTD337ydPUNT826ydTD776ydFG1255ydTO21ydMISS865ydPUNT3-4ydEND951ydTD39ydPUNT517ydTD867ydTO313ydPUNT38ydPUNT715ydTO21ydTD773ydDOWNS1470ydUncategorized653ydUncategorized3-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stonehill and Lafayette
StatisticStonehillLafayette
Passing10-2120-29
Pass Yards145280
Rush Yards113204
Total Yards258484
Turnovers52
3rd Down5-127-12
Penalties4-404-45
Possession26:0034:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stonehill
passing
Drew Eason
10/21, 145 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Jarel Washington
14 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Jacob Flynn
2 REC, 84 YDS
Lafayette
passing
Dean DeNobile
18/24, 275 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jamar Curtis
8 CAR, 51 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Mason Kuehner
3 REC, 90 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Drew Eason pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Drew Eason pass complete to Zavion Woodard for 3 yds to the STO 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Drew Eason pass complete to Cole Clarke for 3 yds to the STO 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.77

Drew Eason pass complete to Jason Weir for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Drew Eason pass incomplete to Jake Newsham, broken up by Gabe DuBois

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Brigham Dunphy run for 1 yd to the LAF 49

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -1.21

Drew Eason pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 13 yds to the STO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Jamar Curtis 28 Yd Run (Jack Simonetta Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Zavion Woodard run for 3 yds to the STO 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.38

Drew Eason pass complete to Chase Miller for 12 yds to the STO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Zavion Woodard run for 2 yds to the STO 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Drew Eason pass incomplete to Jarel Washington, broken up by Preston Forney

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Brigham Dunphy

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

Logan Chenette punt for 37 yds , Mason Kuehner returns for 5 yds to the LAF 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the LAF 35

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the LAF 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Elijah Steward

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

pass incomplete to Elijah Steward

3rd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.91

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 38 yds to the STO 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Troy Bruce run for 11 yds to the STO 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Troy Bruce run for 5 yds to the STO 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Troy Bruce 4 Yd Run (Jack Simonetta Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the STO 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 6 yds to the STO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Jamar Curtis 27 Yd pass from Dean DeNobile (Jack Simonetta Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jarel Washington run for 7 yds to the STO 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Zavion Woodard run for 1 yd to the STO 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Drew Eason pass complete to Brigham Dunphy for 3 yds to the STO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brigham Dunphy run for 8 yds to the STO 44

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Jarel Washington run for 2 yds to the STO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Drew Eason run for 5 yds to the LAF 49

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

pass incomplete to Jake Newsham

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Cole Clarke

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Logan Chenette punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Gabe Decker for 6 yds to the STO 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.87

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Kuehner for 21 yds to the LAF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Chris Carasia for a 1ST down Stonehill Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Nigel Henderson) to the STO 40 for a 1ST down

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the STO 31

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the STO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.80

Jason Penza run for 26 yds to the STO 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jamar Curtis 1 Yd Run (Jack Simonetta Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Stonehill Penalty, delay of game (Jermaine Williams) to the STO 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.58

Drew Eason pass incomplete to Chase Miller for a 1ST down Lafayette Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Gabe DuBois) to the STO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jarel Washington run for 7 yds to the STO 42

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Jarel Washington run for 13 yds to the LAF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Drew Eason pass complete to Chase Miller for 7 yds to the LAF 38

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jarel Washington run for 2 yds to the LAF 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.56

Jarel Washington run for 2 yds to the LAF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Drew Eason run for 5 yds to the LAF 29

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Drew Eason run for 8 yds to the LAF 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jarel Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 23

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Drew Eason run for 3 yds to the LAF 20

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Jacob Flynn

4th & 9Field Goal Good+37 yds

Danny Hurley 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Danny Hurley kickoff for 58 yds , Jakyre Henley return for 18 yds to the LAF 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 1 yd to the LAF 26

2nd & 9Interception-10 ydsPPA -0.33

Dean DeNobile pass intercepted Mo Seide fumbled, recovered by LAF Sean Kinney

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Carson Persing

2nd & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.17

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Kuehner for 52 yds to the STO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Troy Bruce run for 1 yd to the STO 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 14 yds to the STO 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Carson Persing run for no gain to the STO 17

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Troy Bruce run for 1 yd to the STO 16

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.09

Dean DeNobile sacked by Zack Athy for a loss of 3 yards to the STO 19

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Jakob Trestik 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Zavion Woodard run for 6 yds to the STO 26

2nd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.17

Drew Eason sacked by Tim O'Hearn for a loss of 8 yards to the STO 18

3rd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.10

Zavion Woodard run for a loss of 2 yards to the STO 16

4th & 14Punt+6 yds

Logan Chenette punt for 42 yds , Mason Kuehner returns for 6 yds to the LAF 48

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jason Penza run for no gain to the STO 35

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Troy Bruce run for 12 yds to the STO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 4 yds to the STO 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.46

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Troy Bruce for 6 yds to the STO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 9 yds to the STO 21

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.45

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Troy Bruce for 4 yds to the STO 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Carson Persing

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.98

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Troy Bruce for 16 yds to the STO 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Mason Kuehner, broken up by Charlie Arvanigian

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kente Edwards run for 6 yds to the STO 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Ethan Weber run for 1 yd to the STO 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Tray Mauney run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK) (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jakob Trestik kickoff for 60 yds , Joshua Roberson return for 14 yds to the STO 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete to Cody Ruff

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Brigham Dunphy run for 11 yds to the STO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jarel Washington run for 1 yd to the STO 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete to Brigham Dunphy

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Drew Eason pass complete to Brigham Dunphy for 5 yds to the STO 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Logan Chenette punt for 53 yds , Mason Kuehner returns for no gain to the LAF 11

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Danny Hurley kickoff for 60 yds , Gianlucca Tiberia return for 28 yds to the LAF 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ethan Weber run for 3 yds to the LAF 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 8 yds to the LAF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.74

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 35 yds to the STO 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Troy Bruce run for a loss of 4 yards to the STO 25

2nd & 14Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for a loss of 2 yards to the STO 27

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.01

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Kuehner for 17 yds to the STO 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Troy Bruce run for 9 yds to the STO 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Troy Bruce run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK) (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Ethan Weber run for 9 yds to the LAF 20

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.24

Tray Mauney run for 4 yds to the LAF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tray Mauney pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jarel Washington run for 8 yds to the STO 42

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.34

Jarel Washington run for no gain to the STO 42

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jarel Washington run for no gain to the STO 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Logan Chenette punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ethan Weber run for 1 yd to the LAF 20

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Tray Mauney run for 6 yds to the LAF 26

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Ethan Weber run for 10 yds to the LAF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tray Mauney pass complete to Shaun Purvy for 4 yds to the LAF 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ethan Weber run for 1 yd to the LAF 41

3rd & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.12

Tray Mauney run for 2 yds to the LAF 43 Lafayette Penalty, Offensive holding (Savion McKinnon) to the LAF 33

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Lafayette Penalty, false start (Michael Dincher) to the LAF 28

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Ethan Weber run for 6 yds to the LAF 34

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Drew Eason run for 1 yd to the STO 33

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.71

Drew Eason pass intercepted

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Jakob Trestik kickoff for 64 yds , Kyree Drake return for 26 yds to the STO 27

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Zavion Woodard run for 14 yds to the STO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Zavion Woodard run for 3 yds to the STO 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.48

Drew Eason pass complete to Cody Ruff for 9 yds to the LAF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.10

Drew Eason pass complete to Jacob Flynn for 37 yds to the LAF 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Zavion Woodard run for 6 yds to the LAF 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Zavion Woodard run for 3 yds to the LAF 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Zavion Woodard run for 1 yd for a TD (Danny Hurley KICK) (Danny Hurley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Danny Hurley kickoff for 30 yds , Kente Edwards return for no gain to the LAF 35 Lafayette Penalty, off-side (Jaylon Hebert) to the LAF 25

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Ethan Weber run for no gain to the STO 25 for a 1ST down Stonehill Penalty, personal foul (Richard Mosley III) to the STO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Ethan Weber run for 7 yds to the STO 41

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Ethan Weber run for 6 yds to the STO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Ethan Weber run for a loss of 2 yards to the STO 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Peyton Cosover pass complete to Keller Gammons for 1 yd to the STO 36

3rd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.10

Kente Edwards run for 11 yds to the STO 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kente Edwards run for 5 yds to the STO 20

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Ethan Weber run for 2 yds to the STO 18

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ethan Weber run for 2 yds to the STO 16

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Kente Edwards run for 5 yds to the STO 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Kente Edwards run for 1 yd to the STO 10

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ethan Weber run for 5 yds to the STO 5

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Peyton Cosover pass incomplete to Jonathan Moyer, broken up by Jaylon Hebert

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.99

Peyton Cosover pass incomplete to Jakyre Henley, broken up by Richard Mosley III

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.23

Drew Eason pass complete to Jacob Flynn for 47 yds to the LAF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jarel Washington run for 4 yds to the LAF 44

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jarel Washington run for 5 yds to the LAF 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Jarel Washington run for 4 yds to the LAF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.09

Drew Eason sacked by Micah Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the LAF 42

2nd & 17Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Drew Eason sacked by Olivier Camerlain for a loss of 4 yards to the LAF 46 Drew Eason fumbled, recovered by LAF Alie Kamara , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Peyton Cosover run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 45

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Peyton Cosover run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 44

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.51

Peyton Cosover run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 44

Situational Analysis

Stonehill

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Lafayette

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
51%
35 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play