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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Lafayette by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Colgate 39%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Colgate +3.5

Edge: Lafayette -3.5 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Lafayette
0701421
Colgate
01001020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-723-720-14
ColgateLafayette

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20COLLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFLAFLAFLAFCOLCOLCOLCOLLAFLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFTO3-3ydDOWNS54ydDOWNS49ydMISS729ydPUNT35ydPUNT37ydTD879ydTD1275ydPUNT524ydPUNT32ydFG1053ydEND10ydTO637ydPUNT31ydPUNT818ydPUNT428ydPUNT43ydTD847ydFG5-1ydDOWNS49ydTD780ydTO414ydTD641ydTO838ydUncategorized33yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Lafayette and Colgate
StatisticLafayetteColgate
Passing13-2118-26
Pass Yards113153
Rush Yards180177
Total Yards293330
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-143-13
Penalties5-356-63
Possession31:3528:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Lafayette
passing
Dean DeNobile
9/16, 89 YDS
rushing
Jamar Curtis
28 CAR, 122 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Carson Persing
3 REC, 55 YDS
Colgate
passing
Jake Stearney
14/21, 129 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Aleks Sitkowski
10 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Treyvhon Saunders
7 REC, 62 YDS

Play-by-Play

3rd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Jake Stearney pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 6 yds to the COLG 21

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Winston Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the COLG 20

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 15 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Jakob Trestik kickoff for 63 yds , Winston Moore return for 11 yds to the COLG 23 Winston Moore fumbled, recovered by COLG Winston Moore , return for no gain to the COLG 23

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.77

Curtis,Jamar rush (Kozlowski,Cole), PENALTY LAF illegal block (Persing,Carson) 10 yards to the COL26. Lafayette Penalty, illegal block (Carson Persing) to the COLG 46

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the COLG 43

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Troy Bruce run for 2 yds to the COLG 41

3rd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Jamar Curtis run for 9 yds to the COLG 32

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

pass incomplete to Elijah Steward

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marco Maldonado run for 5 yds to the COLG 37

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Marco Maldonado run for 2 yds to the COLG 39

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Aleks Sitkowski run for 1 yd to the COLG 40

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Shelby Pruett run for 1 yd to the COLG 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to Jamar Curtis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Jason Penza pass complete to Chris Carasia for 7 yds to the COLG 34

3rd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.08

Jason Penza run for 19 yds to the COLG 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Troy Bruce run for 6 yds to the COLG 9

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.61

Jason Penza run for a loss of 3 yards to the COLG 12 Jason Penza fumbled, recovered by LAF Jason Penza

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Penza,Jason rush left (Hock,Brody).

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Jakob Trestik 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jake Stearney run for 3 yds to the COLG 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Chris Gee run for 2 yds to the COLG 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jake Stearney pass incomplete to William Parker, broken up by Bryson Bright

4th & 5Punt+1 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 39 yds , Mason Kuehner returns for 1 yd to the LAF 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Jamar Curtis

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the LAF 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 6 yds to the LAF 44

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the COLG 21 , Brady Hutchison returns for 6 yds to the COLG 21

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Aleks Sitkowski run for 6 yds to the LAF 22

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.57

Aleks Sitkowski run for 30 yds to the LAF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.92

Chris Gee run for 18 yds to the LAF 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Chris Gee run for 3 yds to the LAF 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.20

Brendan Cassamajor run for 2 yds to the LAF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Marco Maldonado run for 4 yds to the LAF 16

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jake Stearney run for 5 yds to the LAF 11

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.57

Brendan Cassamajor run for 11 yds for a TD (Luke Vogeler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 5 yds to the LAF 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the LAF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Jamar Curtis run for 13 yds to the LAF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the COLG 49

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Curtis,Jamar rush middle (Allan,Reece).

3rd & 7Sack+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dean DeNobile sacked by Dane Picariello for a loss of 11 yards to the COLG 40 for a 1ST down Colgate Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dane Picariello) to the COLG 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Jamar Curtis run for 8 yds to the COLG 37

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.08

Jamar Curtis run for 14 yds to the COLG 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Troy Bruce run for 3 yds to the COLG 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 5 yds to the COLG 15

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Jamar Curtis run for 10 yds to the COLG 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK) (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Aleks Sitkowski pass complete to Winston Moore for 3 yds to the COLG 28

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jakob Trestik kickoff for 56 yds , Treyvhon Saunders return for 16 yds to the COLG 49 Lafayette Penalty, off-side (Gabe DuBois) to the COLG 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.81

Jake Stearney pass complete to Dave Thomson for 14 yds to the COLG 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Marco Maldonado run for 3 yds to the COLG 45

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Aleks Sitkowski run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Chris Gee run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLG 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 14

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 13

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Elijah Steward, broken up by Josh Stinespring

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jake Stearney pass incomplete to Marco Maldonado, broken up by Reggie Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.30

Jake Stearney pass complete to Winston Moore for 14 yds to the LAF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jake Stearney pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 3 yds to the LAF 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.05

Jake Stearney pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 17 yds to the LAF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Marco Maldonado run for 3 yds to the LAF 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Jake Stearney pass complete to Jariyah Sawyer for 10 yds to the LAF 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Winston Moore

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Treyvhon Saunders

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Jake Stearney pass complete to Winston Moore for 6 yds to the LAF 5

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Luke Vogeler 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

rush middle.

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Jamar Curtis run for 15 yds to the LAF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Elijah Steward

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Jason Penza pass complete to Ethan Hosak for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 41

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.24

Jason Penza pass complete to Chris Carasia for 14 yds to the COLG 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jason Penza pass complete to Carson Persing for 5 yds to the COLG 40

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Colgate Penalty, off-side (Nick Marsh) to the COLG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.03

Jason Penza pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 18

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Ethan Hosak for 2 yds to the LAF 20

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

pass incomplete to Ethan Hosak

4th & 9Punt+9 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 36 yds , Brady Hutchison returns for 9 yds to the LAF 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 32

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jason Penza run for 5 yds to the LAF 37

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.18

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 13 yds to the COLG 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.95

Curtis,Jamar rush (Rowlison,Connor), PENALTY LAF holding (Baucia,Brian) 10 yards to the COL38. Lafayette Penalty, Offensive holding (Brian Baucia) to the LAF 42

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 5 yds to the LAF 47

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 5 yds to the COLG 48

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

Lafayette Penalty, false start (Darson Jeanty) to the LAF 47

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Luke Vogeler kickoff for 55 yds , Ethan Weber return for 19 yds to the LAF 29

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.69

Chris Gee run for 19 yds to the COLG 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chris Gee run for 4 yds to the COLG 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to Winston Moore

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jake Stearney pass incomplete to Winston Moore, broken up by Tyree Morris

4th & 6Punt+5 yds

Shelby Pruett punt

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.72

Jake Stearney pass complete to Marco Maldonado for no gain to the COLG 46 Colgate Penalty, Offensive holding (Ryan Steinbrink) to the COLG 36

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Aleks Sitkowski run for 10 yds to the COLG 46

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Marco Maldonado run for 3 yds to the COLG 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jake Stearney pass incomplete to Treyvhon Saunders, broken up by Saiku White

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 32 yds

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Maldonado,Marco rush middle (Morris,Tyree).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Aleks Sitkowski run for 5 yds to the LAF 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Jake Stearney pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 5 yds to the LAF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Chris Gee run for 4 yds to the LAF 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Aleks Sitkowski pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 10 yds to the LAF 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Aleks Sitkowski run for 14 yds to the LAF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Aleks Sitkowski run for 1 yd to the LAF 8

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Reed Swanson 8 Yd pass from Jake Stearney (Luke Vogeler Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aleks Sitkowski run for 5 yds to the LAF 27

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Chris Gee run for 1 yd to the LAF 26

3rd & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.82

Sitkowski,Aleks rush (Roundtree,Tristen;Brown,Neriyan), PENALTY COL holding (Salinas,Miles) 10 yards to the LAF16. Colgate Penalty, Offensive holding (Miles Salinas) to the LAF 36

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Stearney run for 3 yds to the LAF 33

4th & 11Field Goal Good+49 yds

Luke Vogeler 49 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Luke Vogeler kickoff for 60 yds , Ethan Weber return for 18 yds to the LAF 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jason Penza run for 2 yds to the LAF 25

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Troy Bruce run for 3 yds to the LAF 28

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the LAF 32

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Curtis,Jamar rush middle (Picariello,Dane).

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Luke Vogeler kickoff for 63 yds , Ethan Weber return for 18 yds to the LAF 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Troy Bruce run for 2 yds to the LAF 22

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.28

Troy Bruce run for 21 yds to the LAF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +1.94

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 45 yds to the COLG 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Troy Bruce run for 3 yds to the COLG 9

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 3 yds to the COLG 6

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the COLG 4

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.89

Jamar Curtis 4 Yd Run (Jack Simonetta Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Jakob Trestik kickoff for 59 yds , Winston Moore return for 26 yds to the COLG 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Aleks Sitkowski pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 7 yds to the COLG 39

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Chris Gee run for 8 yds to the COLG 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Chris Gee run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLG 46

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Aleks Sitkowski pass complete to Brady Hutchison for 4 yds Aleks Sitkowski fumbled, recovered by LAF Gabe DuBois

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jamar Curtis run for 6 yds to the COLG 35

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dean DeNobile run for 6 yds to the COLG 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Jason Penza pass incomplete to Chris Carasia for a 1ST down Colgate Penalty, roughing passer (Brody Hock) to the COLG 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Jamar Curtis run for 11 yds to the COLG 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the COLG 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jamar Curtis 2 Yd Run (Jack Simonetta Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Jakob Trestik kickoff for 59 yds , Winston Moore return for 10 yds to the COLG 45 Colgate Penalty, Offensive holding (William Parker) to the COLG 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.77

Jake Stearney pass complete to Reed Swanson for 17 yds to the COLG 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jake Stearney pass complete to Winston Moore for 2 yds to the COLG 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

pass incomplete to Winston Moore

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jake Stearney run for 5 yds to the COLG 32

4th & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.22

Jake Stearney pass complete to Reed Swanson for 8 yds to the COLG 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jake Stearney pass complete to Winston Moore for 5 yds to the COLG 45

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Jake Stearney run for 1 yd to the COLG 46

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -1.41

Jake Stearney pass complete to Treyvhon Saunders for 14 yds Jake Stearney fumbled, recovered by LAF Xavier Johnson

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the LAF 44

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 43

3rd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 3 yards to the LAF 43

Situational Analysis

Lafayette

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
41%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Colgate

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
55%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays