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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alcorn State by 11.3

Home Win Probability

Mississippi Valley State 26%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Mississippi Valley State +14.5

Edge: Mississippi Valley State +14.5 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Alcorn State
101451342
Mississippi Valley State
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-107-1714-247-2414-2914-3614-42
Mississippi Valley StateAlcorn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MVSMVSMVSASMVSASASASASMVSMVSASASMVSASASMVSASMVSMVSASMVSASMVSASMVSMVSPUNT30ydTD976ydDOWNS49ydFG743ydTO34ydTD529ydPUNT39ydTO37ydTD568ydPUNT3-6ydTD1065ydPUNT3-10ydTD358ydTO334ydEND48ydFG325ydTO622ydDOWNS534ydSAF32ydPUNT924ydTD1285ydTO10ydTD859ydPUNT37ydPUNT44ydTD1084ydUncategorized511yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alcorn State and Mississippi Valley State
StatisticAlcorn StateMississippi Valley State
Passing12-2017-36
Pass Yards147194
Rush Yards299109
Total Yards446303
Turnovers15
3rd Down5-126-15
Penalties9-843-20
Possession27:1632:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alcorn State
passing
Xzavier Vaughn
8/14, 105 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacorian Sewell
12 CAR, 164 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Deablo Mcgee
4 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD
Mississippi Valley State
passing
Jaydyn Sisk
8/18, 98 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
DePhabian Fant
5 CAR, 28 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kerrick Ross
6 REC, 64 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kendall,Zamariyon rush middle (Thomas Jr.,Eric;Summerour,Edwin).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Tonorris Brookins II

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Nathan Rembert run for 29 yds to the ALCN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 4 yds to the ALCN 43

2nd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.12

Jaydyn Sisk run for 8 yds to the ALCN 35 Alcorn State Penalty, personal foul (Wallace Melton) to the ALCN 20

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jaydyn Sisk run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 21

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Tonorris Brookins II, broken up by Edwin Summerour

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.40

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 14 yds to the ALCN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 4 yds to the ALCN 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd to the ALCN 2 Alcorn State Penalty, off-side (Wallace Melton) to the ALCN 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Marko Jovisic KICK) Mississippi Valley State Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ALCN 8

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 4 yds to the ALCN 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete to Malik Antwine, broken up by Wallace Melton

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 5 yds to the ALCN 32

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.80

Williams,Ty'Jarian rush middle (Dew,Jaquez;Collier,Napoleon).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Cameron Stewart run for 9 yds to the ALCN 35

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

for a 1ST down Mississippi Valley State Penalty, off-side (5 Yards) to the ALCN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.82

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 26 yds to the MVSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacorian Sewell run for 3 yds to the MVSU 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to Damien Jones

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Marko Jovisic kickoff for 55 yds , Tevarrius Adams return for 16 yds to the ALCN 26

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Vaughn,Xzavier rush middle (Bussey,Jordan).

4th & 7Field Goal Good+47 yds

Noah Kiani 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 57 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 19 yds to the MVSU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete to Tonorris Brookins II

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Zamariyon Kendall run for 5 yds to the MVSU 31

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaydyn Sisk pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Tavarious Griffin run for 1 yd to the MVSU 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.27

Xzavier Vaughn run for 9 yds to the MVSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jacorian Sewell run for 8 yds to the MVSU 11

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Damien Jones for 11 yds for a TD (Noah Kiani KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, Offensive holding (Wallace Melton) to the ALCN 22

1st & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Jacorian Sewell run for 12 yds to the ALCN 34

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jacorian Sewell run for 3 yds to the ALCN 37

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Xzavier Vaughn run for 4 yds to the ALCN 41

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Franklin Rogers punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Marko Jovisic kickoff for 47 yds , Terrick Latham return for 14 yds to the ALCN 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 4 yds to the ALCN 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kevin May run for 3 yds to the ALCN 39

3rd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Xzavier Vaughn pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacorian Sewell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 31

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Xzavier Vaughn pass incomplete to Jadyn Bost, broken up by Kerrick Ross

3rd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.47

Xzavier Vaughn run for 11 yds to the ALCN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Xzavier Vaughn run for 3 yds to the ALCN 45

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.99

Jacorian Sewell run for 55 yds for a TD (Noah Kiani KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 45 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 11 yds to the MVSU 31

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Nathan Rembert run for a loss of 3 yards to the MVSU 28

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaydyn Sisk run for 3 yds to the MVSU 31

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.36

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked by Cullan Scott and Malachi Bailey for a loss of 6 yards to the MVSU 25

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Zamariyon Kendall run for 3 yds to the MVSU 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.04

pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert Alcorn State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Markel McLaurin) to the ALCN 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kendall,Zamariyon rush middle (Bost,Jadyn).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.73

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 13 yds to the ALCN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 5 yds to the ALCN 29

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 4 yds to the ALCN 25

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.30

pass incomplete to Tonorris Brookins II for a 1ST down Alcorn State Penalty, off-side (Wallace Melton) to the ALCN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Cameron Gardner for 10 yds to the ALCN 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Fant,DePhabian rush middle (Dew,Jaquez).

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

DePhabian Fant run for 10 yds for a TD (Marko Jovisic KICK)

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Cameron Stewart run for a loss of 10 yards to the ALCN 15

2nd & 20Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.09

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 5 yds to the ALCN 20 Alcorn State Penalty, personal foul (Wallace Melton) to the ALCN 10

3rd & 25Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 5 yds to the ALCN 15

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Franklin Rogers punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacorian Sewell run for 6 yds to the ALCN 48

2nd & 4Rush+47 ydsPPA +2.28

Jacorian Sewell run for 47 yds to the MVSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Xzavier Vaughn run for 5 yds for a TD (Noah Kiani KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 10 yds to the MVSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.50

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Cameron Gardner for 24 yds to the ALCN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.13

Jaydyn Sisk pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 10 yds to the ALCN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacorian Sewell run for 5 yds to the ALCN 40

2nd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.88

Xzavier Vaughn sacked by Donte Reed for a loss of 7 yards to the ALCN 33

3rd & 12Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.29

Xzavier Vaughn sacked by Detrick Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the ALCN 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Marko Jovisic kickoff for 61 yds , Tevarrius Adams return for 30 yds to the ALCN 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.29

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Deablo McGee for 30 yds to the MVSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Sewell,Jacorian rush middle (Bussey,Jordan).

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, false start (Wallace Melton) to the MVSU 26

2nd & 15Field Goal Good+43 yds

Noah Kiani 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 5 yds to the MVSU 21

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete to Malik Antwine

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.05

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 17 yds to the MVSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Lorenzo Garcia kickoff for 57 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 18 yds to the MVSU 47 Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the MVSU 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Fant,DePhabian rush right (McLaurin,Markel;McCall,Bakari).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete to Kerrick Ross, broken up by Kayvon Henderson

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaydyn Sisk pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.56

Jacorian Sewell run for 26 yds to the MVSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Tevarrius Adams

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sewell,Jacorian rush middle (Montgomery,Jordan;Campbell,Erek).

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Xzavier Vaughn run for 9 yds to the MVSU 3

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.18

Xzavier Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 4

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

pass incomplete to Jakobe Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the MVSU 6

3rd & 8Safety0 ydsPPA -1.72

T. Williams run for -6 yds for a SAFETY,T. Williams fumbled, recovered by MSV. ST. in end zone.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Lorenzo Garcia kickoff for 54 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 12 yds to the MVSU 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Thomas,Jakobe rush right (Edwards,Stemarion).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 15 yds to the MVSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 2 yds to the MVSU 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 3 yds to the MVSU 43

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 3 yds to the MVSU 46

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.52

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 5 yds to the ALCN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Kerrick Ross

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.68

Nathan Rembert run for a loss of 4 yards to the MVSU 47

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert, broken up by Tayvion Haney

4th & 14Punt+6 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 44 yds , Omarion Blakes returns for 6 yds to the ALCN 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Cameron Stewart run for 6 yds to the ALCN 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.13

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Deablo McGee for 14 yds to the ALCN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Cameron Stewart run for 9 yds to the ALCN 44

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cameron Stewart run for 4 yds to the ALCN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Xzavier Vaughn run for 1 yd to the ALCN 49

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.72

Cameron Stewart run for 11 yds to the MVSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Xzavier Vaughn run for 12 yds to the MVSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Xzavier Vaughn pass incomplete to Damien Jones, broken up by Bruce Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Omarion Blakes run for 9 yds to the MVSU 19

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Tavarious Griffin run for 4 yds to the MVSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Xzavier Vaughn run for 14 yds to the MVSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tavarious Griffin run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Kiani KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.76

Ty'Jarian Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Omarion Blakes run for 4 yds to the ALCN 45

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.84

Cameron Stewart run for 18 yds to the MVSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Deablo McGee

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Tevarrius Adams

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.74

Tre Lawrence pass complete to Omarion Blakes for 16 yds to the MVSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-62 yds

Franklin Rogers pass incomplete

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Deablo McGee 16 Yd pass from Tre Lawrence (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Lorenzo Garcia kickoff for 57 yds , Cameron Nelson return for 10 yds to the MVSU 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 6 yds to the MVSU 24

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Zamariyon Kendall run for 1 yd to the MVSU 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Cameron Nelson for no gain to the MVSU 25

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.66

Rogers,Brandon rush right (Bussey,Jordan), PENALTY ALC false start 10 yards to the MVS45. Alcorn State Penalty, false start (Wallace Melton) to the ALCN 35

2nd & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.26

Tre Lawrence pass complete to Deablo McGee for no gain to the ALCN 35

3rd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brandon Rogers run for 4 yds to the ALCN 39

2nd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Tre Lawrence pass complete to Mahamadou Diarra for 10 yds to the ALCN 49

4th & 6Punt+11 yds

Franklin Rogers punt for 46 yds , Kerrick Ross returns for 11 yds to the MVSU 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

DePhabian Fant run for 7 yds to the MVSU 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.19

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to DePhabian Fant for 26 yds to the MVSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked by Malachi Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Cameron Gardner for 10 yds to the ALCN 42

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.91

Cayden Betts run for 5 yds to the ALCN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Cameron Gardner for 6 yds to the ALCN 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Cayden Betts run for 6 yds to the ALCN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked by Cedric Roberts for 0 yards to the ALCN 25 for a 1ST down Alcorn State Penalty, personal foul (Wallace Melton) to the ALCN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 2 yds to the ALCN 10

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Cameron Nelson for 10 yds for a TD (Marko Jovisic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete to Tonorris Brookins II

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.90

DePhabian Fant run for 11 yds to the ALCN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.55

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 25 yds to the ALCN 41 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Alcorn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Mississippi Valley State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
31 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
54%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays