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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nicholls by 20.5

Home Win Probability

Nicholls 87%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Nicholls -30

Edge: Mississippi Valley State +30 (9.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi Valley State
00000
Nicholls
212414766

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-021-028-035-045-059-066-0
NichollsMississippi Valley State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSNICMVSTD467ydPUNT3-8ydTD445ydPUNT515ydTD1163ydPUNT36ydTD749ydTO10ydTO3-5ydTO20ydPUNT32ydPUNT530ydTD180ydTO311ydTD669ydTO2-2ydFG45ydPUNT39ydEND317ydPUNT31ydDOWNS4-17ydDOWNS42ydTD594ydPUNT33ydTD1180ydPUNT37ydTD879ydTO645ydPUNT37ydTO955yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi Valley State and Nicholls
StatisticMississippi Valley StateNicholls
Passing12-3717-22
Pass Yards166202
Rush Yards-7455
Total Yards159657
Turnovers61
3rd Down0-128-15
Penalties3-255-55
Possession23:2036:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi Valley State
passing
Ruben Lee II
7/16, 122 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ty'Jarian Williams
5 CAR, 15 YDS
receiving
Nathan Rembert
6 REC, 106 YDS
Nicholls
passing
Pat McQuaide
15/20, 184 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Miequle Brock
8 CAR, 132 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Miequle Brock
2 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Pat McQuaide run for 4 yds to the NICH 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.44

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 24 yds to the MVSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Christian McNees for 6 yds to the MVSU 33

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Marko Jovisic kickoff for 60 yds , Miequle Brock return for 28 yds to the NICH 33

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.88

Miequle Brock run for 33 yds for a TD (Gabe Showalter KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Gabe Showalter kickoff for 59 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 15 yds to the MVSU 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete to Kerrick Ross, broken up by Laurence Sullivan Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Zamariyon Kendall run for 3 yds to the MVSU 24

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaydyn Sisk sacked by Alex Villavaso and Zack Bernard for a loss of 6 yards to the MVSU 18

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, false start (Jaxson Davis) to the MVSU 13

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Jason Barnes Jr. for 7 yds to the MVSU 38

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

pass incomplete to Christian McNees

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.01

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 4 yds to the MVSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Ean Rodrigue run for 34 yds for a TD (Gabe Showalter KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Gabe Showalter kickoff for 60 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 17 yds to the MVSU 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 2 yds to the MVSU 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.62

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 13 yds to the MVSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Tonorris Brookins II

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Tonorris Brookins II

4th & 10Punt+14 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 40 yds , Terry Matthews returns for 14 yds to the NICH 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Marquese Albert for 4 yds to the NICH 41

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Collin Guggenheim run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Collin Guggenheim run for 8 yds to the MVSU 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.19

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 12 yds to the MVSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the MVSU 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

pass incomplete to Lee Negrotto

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 11 yds to the MVSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Collin Guggenheim run for 9 yds to the MVSU 9

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Terry Matthews, broken up by Deeshari Keith

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.49

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the MVSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 6 yds for a TD (Gabe Showalter KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Gabe Showalter kickoff for 65 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 12 yds to the MVSU 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 3 yds to the MVSU 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 3 yds to the MVSU 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

pass incomplete to Tonorris Brookins II

4th & 4Punt+16 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 47 yds , Terry Matthews returns for 16 yds to the MVSU 49

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Marquese Albert run for 2 yds to the MVSU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Jackson Dufrene for 5 yds to the MVSU 44

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Marquese Albert run for 9 yds to the MVSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Marquese Albert run for 12 yds to the MVSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Marquese Albert run for 7 yds to the MVSU 16

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Collin Guggenheim run for 9 yds to the MVSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds for a TD (Gabe Showalter KICK)

1st & 10Interception+15 ydsPPA -0.92

Jaydyn Sisk pass intercepted Nicholls Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the MVSU 30

1st & 10Rush-18 ydsPPA -3.79

Pat McQuaide run for a loss of 18 yards to the MVSU 48

2nd & 28Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.43

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 13 yds to the MVSU 35

3rd & 15Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -1.83

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 7 yds Pat McQuaide fumbled, recovered by MVSU Ralpheal Marshall

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Tonorris Brookins II

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaydyn Sisk pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Miequle Brock run for 5 yds to the MVSU 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.55

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Miequle Brock for a loss of 3 yards to the MVSU 48

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ruben Lee pass complete to Nathan Rembert for no gain to the MVSU 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.76

Ruben Lee pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 26 yds to the MVSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.79

Ruben Lee sacked by Quinton Sharkey for a loss of 11 yards to the MVSU 35

2nd & 21Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Gregory Martin for 6 yds to the MVSU 41

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Tonorris Brookins II for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Miequle Brock for 80 yds for a TD (Gabe Showalter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 13 yds to the MVSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Zamariyon Kendall run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 36

2nd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.62

Ty'Jarian Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Collin Guggenheim run for 11 yds to the NICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Collin Guggenheim run for 19 yds to the MVSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Nathan Hebb for 3 yds to the MVSU 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Nathan Hebb for 5 yds to the MVSU 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Corey Warren Jr. run for 3 yds to the MVSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Corey Warren Jr. run for 28 yds for a TD (Gabe Showalter KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jakobe Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 23

2nd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.04

Ty'Jarian Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the MVSU 21

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jayden Milton run for 1 yd to the MVSU 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Jackson Dufrene, broken up by Kobe Byrd

4th & 5Field Goal Good+37 yds

Gabe Showalter 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd to the MVSU 26

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 8 yds to the MVSU 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Eli Ennis

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden Milton run for 17 yds to the NICH 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Milton,Jayden rush middle (Purifoy,Brandon).

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Corey Warren Jr. run for 15 yds to the NICH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd to the MVSU 18

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Rembert,Nathan rush right (Addison,Hunter;Wax,Josh).

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

pass incomplete to Kerrick Ross

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Ray Vallee kickoff for 63 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 15 yds to the MVSU 17

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 50 yds , Karaaz Johnson returns for no gain to the NICH 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marquese Albert run for 4 yds to the NICH 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Marquese Albert run for 1 yd to the NICH 30

3rd & 5Uncategorized-24 yds

fumbled, recovered by NICH Christian Arceneaux

4th & 29Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.41

Kylan Dupre run for 2 yds to the NICH 8

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the NICH 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Malik Antwine

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.87

pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Rodrigue,Ean rush middle (Tillis,J.T.).

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Miequle Brock run for 3 yds to the NICH 9

3rd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.31

Ean Rodrigue run for 18 yds to the NICH 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Corey Warren Jr. run for 5 yds to the NICH 32

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.83

Miequle Brock run for 68 yds for a TD (Ray Vallee KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+42 yds

Ray Vallee kickoff for 60 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 42 yds to the MVSU 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ruben Lee pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Ruben Lee pass incomplete to Kerrick Ross, broken up by Jamison Lindsey

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.73

Corey Warren Jr. run for 21 yds to the NICH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Corey Warren Jr. run for 7 yds to the NICH 48

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.77

Miequle Brock run for 12 yds to the MVSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.57

Marquese Albert run for 5 yds to the MVSU 35 for a 1ST down Mississippi Valley State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jaxson Davis) to the MVSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Marquese Albert run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 21

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Jakob Foss run for 9 yds to the MVSU 12

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.48

Corey Warren Jr. run for 5 yds to the MVSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Corey Warren Jr. run for 2 yds to the MVSU 5

2nd & 5Rush-13 ydsPPA -1.53

Marquese Albert run for 2 yds to the MVSU 3 Nicholls Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the MVSU 18

3rd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jakob Foss pass complete to Logan Wilcox for 8 yds to the MVSU 10

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.51

Jakob Foss pass complete to Karaaz Johnson for 10 yds for a TD (Ray Vallee KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zamariyon Kendall run for 5 yds to the MVSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Zamariyon Kendall run for 3 yds to the MVSU 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Zamariyon Kendall run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Miequle Brock run for 6 yds to the NICH 27

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.76

Corey Warren Jr. run for 18 yds to the NICH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marquese Albert run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.49

Marquese Albert run for 26 yds to the MVSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brock,Miequle rush middle (Campbell,Erek).

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Miequle Brock run for 5 yds to the MVSU 19

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Corey Warren Jr. run for 7 yds to the MVSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Corey Warren Jr. run for 12 yds for a TD (Ray Vallee KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert

2nd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.64

Ruben Lee pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 36 yds to the NICH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Ruben Lee pass complete to Malik Antwine for 15 yds to the NICH 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Ruben Lee run for 1 yd to the NICH 23

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.79

Ruben Lee sacked by Kylin White for a loss of 7 yards to the NICH 30

3rd & 16Interception0 ydsPPA -2.20

Ruben Lee pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Gil Chapman run for 3 yds to the NICH 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Gil Chapman run for 3 yds to the NICH 26

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Corey Warren Jr. run for 1 yd to the NICH 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Ruben Lee pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert, broken up by Jamison Lindsey

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, false start (Jaxson Davis) to the MVSU 21

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ruben Lee pass incomplete to Cameron Gardner, broken up by Kendarius Smith

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert

4th & 15Penalty+15 yds

Nicholls Penalty, personal foul (Jamison Lindsey) to the MVSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Ruben Lee pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.52

Ruben Lee sacked by Christian Mannino and Josh Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the MVSU 43

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert

3rd & 17Penalty+5 yds

Nicholls Penalty, off-side (Marcus Dickey) to the MVSU 48

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Nicholls Penalty, off-side (5 Yards) to the NICH 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert

4th & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.68

Ruben Lee pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 28 yds to the NICH 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.40

Ty'Jarian Williams pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Mississippi Valley State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
17%
23 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
36%
11 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Nicholls

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
62%
34 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
64%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play