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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee State by 12.2

Home Win Probability

Tennessee State 76%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Tennessee State -20

Edge: Mississippi Valley State +20 (7.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi Valley State
0002121
Tennessee State
211001041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-031-031-741-14
Tennessee StateMississippi Valley State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MVSTSMVSTSMVSTSMVSTSMVSTSMVSTSMVSMVSTSMVSTSMVSTSMVSTSMVSTSTD143ydTD682ydPUNT415ydPUNT32ydPUNT32ydTD677ydPUNT33ydTO411ydPUNT52ydFG1465ydTO1144ydTD650ydUncategorized20ydPUNT36ydPUNT611ydPUNT4-16ydDOWNS951ydTD1381ydTD275ydTD775ydFG750ydTD779ydUncategorized414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi Valley State and Tennessee State
StatisticMississippi Valley StateTennessee State
Passing13-2322-34
Pass Yards195357
Rush Yards69138
Total Yards264495
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-125-12
Penalties11-6110-102
Possession30:1029:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi Valley State
passing
Jaydyn Sisk
7/10, 110 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Zamariyon Kendall
12 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Nathan Rembert
4 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
Tennessee State
passing
Draylen Ellis
21/33, 356 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jaden McGill
7 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Jalal Dean
9 REC, 144 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+54 ydsPPA -10.65

Micah Gay 54 Yd Fumble Return (James Lowery Kick)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, delay of game (Yards) to the TNST 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Bryant Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.66

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 16 yds to the TNST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the TNST 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 6 yds to the TNST 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.60

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 4 yds to the TNST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 55 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.22

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 25 yds to the MVSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Cameron Nelson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kendall,Zamariyon rush middle (George,Eriq).

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the MVSU 44 Mississippi Valley State Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MVSU 39

4th & 20Punt+50 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 40 yds Tennessee State Penalty, Offensive holding (Dion Villiers) to the TNST 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the TNST 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.23

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the TNST 9

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Gant run for 3 yds to the TNST 12

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kendall,Zamariyon rush middle (Ganaway,Malik).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to Cameron Gardner

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 7 yds to the TNST 48

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, false start (Jaxson Davis) to the MVSU 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Cj Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the TNST 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.75

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 72 yds to the MVSU 1 for a 1ST down Tennessee State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Da'Shon Davis) to the MVSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Karate Brenson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.69

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Exavious Reed for 14 yds to the MVSU 2 for a 1ST down Mississippi Valley State Penalty, off-side (Donte Reed) to the MVSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Gant,Jordan rush middle (Montgomery,Jordan).

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jordan Gant for 1 yd for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

DePhabian Fant run for 3 yds to the MVSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

pass incomplete to Cameron Gardner

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 33 yds , Dayron Johnson returns for 7 yds to the MVSU 35 Mississippi Valley State Penalty, illegal formation (Jaxson Davis) to the MVSU 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Roshawn Lacy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 9 yds to the MVSU 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.70

Cj Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the MVSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.91

Draylen Ellis pass intercepted

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jakobe Thomas run for 1 yd to the MVSU 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Zamariyon Kendall run for 7 yds to the MVSU 36

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Zamariyon Kendall run for 4 yds to the MVSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

pass incomplete to Tonorris Brookins II

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, false start (Tonorris Brookins II) to the MVSU 36

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete to Cameron Gardner, broken up by Malik Ganaway

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, delay of game (Jaxson Davis) to the MVSU 31

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 9 yds to the TNST 41

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 13 yds to the MVSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jalen Rouse run for 3 yds to the MVSU 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.12

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 15 yds to the MVSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 12 yds to the MVSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Jalal Dean, broken up by Charlie Williams Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Draylen Ellis run for 7 yds to the MVSU 9

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.24

Jaden McGill run for 6 yds to the MVSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jaden McGill run for 2 yds to the MVSU 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Jalal Dean for a 1ST down Mississippi Valley State Penalty, roughing passer (J.T. Tillis) to the MVSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

McGill,Jaden rush middle (Fant,DePhabian).

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Jaden McGill run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Jalen Rouse

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

James Lowery 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Zamariyon Kendall run for 9 yds to the MVSU 27

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.08

Zamariyon Kendall run for 5 yds to the MVSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kendall,Zamariyon rush right , fumble by Kendall,Zamariyon recovered by MVS Kendall,Zamariyon, Kendall,Zamariyon rush. Zamariyon Kendall fumbled, recovered by MVSU Zamariyon Kendall

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to DePhabian Fant

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.86

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert for a 1ST down Tennessee State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Boogie Trotter) to the MVSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Zamariyon Kendall run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 44

3rd & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.58

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 19 yds to the TNST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Cayden Betts run for 3 yds to the TNST 34

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.70

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the TNST 38

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -2.01

Ty'Jarian Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 6 yds to the MVSU 44

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Gant run for 6 yds to the MVSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jason Hoath Jr. for 7 yds to the MVSU 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jordan Gant for 1 yd to the MVSU 30

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Cj Evans Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 31

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.37

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 31 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Betts,Cayden rush middle (Walker,Chris).

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Cayden Betts run for 1 yd to the TNST 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kerrick Ross run for 2 yds to the MVSU 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 5 yds to the MVSU 29

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ty'Jarian Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 28

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 42 yds , Dayron Johnson returns for 1 yd to the TNST 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Da'Shon Davis, broken up by Charlie Williams Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Jordan Gant run for 8 yds to the TNST 39

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.52

Jordan Gant run for 5 yds to the TNST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Da'Shon Davis

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Cj Evans Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the TNST 42

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Bryant Williams

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to Cameron Nelson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

DePhabian Fant run for 7 yds to the MVSU 31

3rd & 3Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.83

Fant,DePhabian rush (McClendon,Jalen;Nelson,Ahmad), PENALTY MVS illegal block (Ross,Kerrick) 10 yards to the MVS41. Mississippi Valley State Penalty, illegal block (Kerrick Ross) to the MVSU 21

3rd & 13Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.15

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the MVSU 8

4th & 26Punt+22 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 52 yds , Dayron Johnson returns for 22 yds to the TNST 30 Tennessee State Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the TNST 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cj Evans Jr. run for 5 yds to the TNST 35

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Cj Evans Jr. run for 1 yd to the TNST 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 22 yds to the MVSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jason Hoath Jr. for 1 yd to the MVSU 41

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.27

Jordan Gant run for 15 yds to the MVSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 9 yds to the MVSU 17

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Jalal Dean, broken up by Donte Reed

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordan Gant run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 19

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.52

pass incomplete to Cj Evans Jr.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 5 yds to the TNST 32

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.72

DePhabian Fant run for a loss of 3 yards to the MVSU 16

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Jaydyn Sisk run for 9 yds to the MVSU 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.07

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 4 yds to the MVSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jakobe Thomas run for 6 yds to the MVSU 35

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Jakobe Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.63

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete to Cameron Nelson for a 1ST down Tennessee State Penalty, roughing passer (Jalen Bell) to the MVSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Zamariyon Kendall run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 47

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaydyn Sisk run for 2 yds to the MVSU 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.01

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Cameron Nelson for 14 yds to the TNST 37 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Zamariyon Kendall run for 6 yds to the TNST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Zamariyon Kendall run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 27

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, off-side (Cameron Blaylock) to the TNST 1

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.31

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 27 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.46

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 55 yds to the MVSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Jalen Rouse run for 20 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Tonorris Brookins II for 6 yds to the MVSU 31 for a 1ST down Tennessee State Penalty, illegal use of hands (Marlon Huff) to the MVSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jakobe Thomas run for 5 yds to the MVSU 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.61

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Cameron Gardner for 20 yds to the TNST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jakobe Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Kerrick Ross

3rd & 11Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.76

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 34 yds to the TNST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jakobe Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Lorenzo Borelli KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jaden McGill run for 1 yd to the TNST 36

2nd & 9Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.47

Jaden McGill run for 30 yds to the MVSU 34 Mississippi Valley State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Deeshari Keith) to the MVSU 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaden McGill run for 4 yds to the MVSU 15

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tevin Carter run for 4 yds to the MVSU 11

3rd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.98

Rouse,Jalen rush (Tillis,J.T.), PENALTY TSU illegal formation (Foster,Jackson) 5 yards to the MVS06. Tennessee State Penalty, illegal formation (Jackson Foster) to the MVSU 16

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Tevin Carter pass complete to Jalen Rouse for 1 yd to the MVSU 15

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 yds

James Lowery 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, personal foul (Tyler Moore) to the MVSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ruben Lee pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 7 yds to the MVSU 43

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Ruben Lee run for 4 yds to the MVSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.45

Ruben Lee run for a loss of 7 yards to the MVSU 40 Ruben Lee fumbled, recovered by MVSU Brendon Magee

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kendall,Zamariyon rush middle (Smith,Kierron).

3rd & 17Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.84

Ruben Lee run for 12 yds to the TNST 48

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +6.16

Ruben Lee pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 48 yds for a TD Mississippi Valley State Penalty, false start (Vito Moriana-Sigel) to the TNST 8 (Lorenzo Borelli KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, false start (Vito Moriana-Sigel) to the TNST 8

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Tevin Carter run for 14 yds to the MVSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tevin Carter run for 4 yds to the MVSU 33

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Craig Cunningham run for 1 yd to the MVSU 32

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MVSU 37

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Craig Cunningham run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 37

Situational Analysis

Mississippi Valley State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
24 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
40%
25 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
82%
11 plays
3rd
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays