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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Iowa by 1.3

Home Win Probability

St. Thomas (MN) 45%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Iowa
0701017
St. Thomas (MN)
703010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-710-710-10
St. Thomas (MN)Northern Iowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ST(NIST(NIST(NINIST(NIST(NIST(NIST(NIST(NIST(NIST(NIST(NIDOWNS49ydMISS523ydTD980ydPUNT36ydFG56ydTD1180ydEND10ydUncategorized30ydPUNT31ydMISS1147ydDOWNS847ydPUNT519ydPUNT732ydFG1247ydPUNT526ydPUNT38ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-2ydFG4-5ydPUNT740ydTD790ydDOWNS1043ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Iowa and St. Thomas (MN)
StatisticNorthern IowaSt. Thomas (MN)
Passing11-2519-29
Pass Yards99168
Rush Yards233129
Total Yards332297
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-124-14
Penalties5-403-20
Possession25:0035:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Iowa
passing
Aiden Dunne
11/25, 99 YDS
rushing
Tye Edwards
15 CAR, 141 YDS
receiving
Sergio Morancy
4 REC, 52 YDS
St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Michael Rostberg
15/23, 104 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Hope Adebayo
20 CAR, 113 YDS
receiving
Patrick Wagner
8 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gabriel Abel run for 5 yds to the STMN 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Gabriel Abel run for 3 yds to the STMN 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Gabriel Abel run for 1 yd to the STMN 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Abel,Gabriel rush middle (Vislisel,Bradley;Butler,Cannon).

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.41

Tye Edwards run for 22 yds to the STMN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Tye Edwards

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, false start (Jaiden Ellis-Lahey) to the STMN 17

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Aidan Dunne run for 6 yds to the STMN 11

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Layne Pryor

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Caden Palmer 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Abel,Gabriel rush middle (Hewitt,Carter;Langenberg,Tucker).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Andrew Eichmann, broken up by JJ Dervil

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.60

Gabriel Abel pass complete to Gabriel Abel for 11 yds to the STMN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.51

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 31 yds to the UNI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.46

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 17 yds to the UNI 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Hope Adebayo run for 10 yds to the UNI 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd to the UNI 10

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNI 15

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tak Tateoka run for 2 yds to the UNI 13

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.27

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 13 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 58 yds , Amauri Pesek-Hickson return for 27 yds to the UNI 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the UNI 38

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UNI 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy, broken up by Joseph Obeto

4th & 4Punt0 yds

punt for no gain

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Landon Reed run for 5 yds to the UNI 14

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the UNI 12

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Tak Tateoka run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 yds

Stephen Shagen 30 yd FG GOOD St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, illegal formation (Yards) to the UNI 13

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Stephen Shagen 30 yd FG MISSED

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.06

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 24 yds to the STMN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tye Edwards run for 3 yds to the UNI 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tye Edwards run for 3 yds to the UNI 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Tysen Kershaw for 9 yds to the UNI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.77

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 20 yds to the STMN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the STMN 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tye Edwards run for 1 yd to the STMN 16

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the STMN 14

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 11 yds to the STMN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds for a TD (Caden Palmer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 10 yds to the STMN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rostberg,Micahel rush left (Langenberg,Tucker).

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Adebayo,Hope rush left (Langenberg,Tucker;Nunes,Albert).

4th & 15Punt+15 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 60 yds , JC Roque Jr. returns for 15 yds to the UNI 35 Northern Iowa Penalty, illegal block (Fletcher Marshall Jr.) to the UNI 20

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.23

Michael Rostberg sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the STMN 20 St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, Offensive holding (Yards) to the STMN 20

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Tye Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNI 18

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete, broken up by Luke Herzog

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 3 yds to the UNI 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Hope Adebayo run for 8 yds to the STMN 49

2nd & 2Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.87

Hope Adebayo run for 22 yds to the UNI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Aiden Carlson for 2 yds to the UNI 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Colin Chase, broken up by JJ Dervil for a 1ST down Northern Iowa Penalty, Defensive holding (Keith Moko) to the UNI 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the UNI 15

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Hope Adebayo run for 11 yds to the UNI 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.35

Adebayo,Hope rush (Cabral-Martin,Jonathan), PENALTY UST holding (Wagner,Patrick) 10 yards to the UNI-6. St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, Offensive holding (Patrick Wagner) to the UNI 14

1st & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Landon Reed for 6 yds to the UNI 8

2nd & 8Rush-11 ydsPPA -1.46

Colin Chase run for a loss of 11 yards to the UNI 19

3rd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 7 yds to the UNI 12

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Stephen Shagen 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 20 yds to the UNI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, false start (Amauri Pesek-Hickson) to the UNI 35

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.30

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 10 yds to the UNI 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 14 yds to the STMN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 3 yds to the STMN 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson, broken up by Joseph Obeto

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.94

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Layne Pryor, broken up by Grif Wurtz

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Michael Rostberg punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Aiden Carlson for 9 yds to the STMN 42

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Michael Rostberg run for 5 yds to the STMN 47 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Colin Chase, broken up by Robbie Peterson Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Gabriel Abel pass complete to Gabriel Abel for 5 yds to the UNI 48

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Edwards,Tye rush middle (Warren,C.J;Nelson,Caden).

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Tye Edwards run for 22 yds to the UNI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Tye Edwards run for 9 yds to the STMN 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Layne Pryor for 2 yds to the STMN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Tysen Kershaw, broken up by Mitchell Schares

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 43

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

pass incomplete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Adebayo,Hope rush left (Vislisel,Bradley).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Hope Adebayo for 5 yds to the STMN 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.21

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 5 yds to the STMN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Adebayo,Hope rush left (Hewitt,Carter;Belken,Ben).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.09

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 13 yds to the STMN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Colin Chase, broken up by Fletcher Marshall Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.01

Hope Adebayo run for 10 yds to the UNI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Michael Rostberg run for 10 yds to the UNI 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 9 yds to the UNI 28

2nd & 1Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Michael Rostberg sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the UNI 31

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNI 33

4th & 6Field Goal Good+50 yds

Stephen Shagen 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tye Edwards run for 12 yds to the UNI 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the STMN 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

pass incomplete to Tysen Kershaw

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 34 yds

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Colin Chase for 4 yds to the STMN 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Adebayo,Hope rush right (Hewitt,Carter;Dervil,JJ).

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Michael Rostberg run for 4 yds to the STMN 19

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tye Edwards run for 5 yds to the UNI 31

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Tye Edwards run for 2 yds to the UNI 33

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy, broken up by Ryan Calcagno

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, false start (Mo Olowo) to the UNI 28

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 50 yds , Eli Paulson returns for 7 yds to the STMN 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the STMN 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.24

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Hope Adebayo for a loss of 6 yards to the STMN 27

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Colin Chase, broken up by JJ Dervil

4th & 12Punt+6 yds

punt for no gain , Tucker Langenberg returns for 6 yds to the STMN 7

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Pesek-Hickson,Amauri rush middle (Boucher,Charlie;Warren,C.J).

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Caden Palmer 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Layne Pryor for 5 yds to the STMN 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Landon Reed run for 3 yds to the STMN 28

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Hope Adebayo run for 9 yds to the STMN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Hope Adebayo run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Hope Adebayo run for 11 yds to the UNI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Landon Reed for 6 yds to the UNI 33

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.21

Landon Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNI 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Colin Chase

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.86

Tye Edwards run for 56 yds to the STMN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the STMN 28

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Tye Edwards run for 3 yds to the STMN 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Edwards,Tye rush middle (Obeto,Joseph;Calcagno,Ryan).

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the STMN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the STMN 15

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Tye Edwards run for 5 yds Tye Edwards fumbled, recovered by UNI Amauri Pesek-Hickson for a TD Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 10 yds (Caden Palmer KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Caden Palmer kickoff for 64 yds , Eli Paulson return for 24 yds to the STMN 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the STMN 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the STMN 32

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the STMN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Andrew Eichmann for 5 yds to the STMN 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 5 yds to the STMN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Michael Rostberg pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 21 yds to the UNI 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Andrew Eichmann

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Andrew Eichmann, broken up by Fletcher Marshall Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Luke Schuler

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.68

pass incomplete to Andrew Eichmann

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Aidan Dunne run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 7

Situational Analysis

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play