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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Iowa by 15.5

Home Win Probability

Northern Iowa 81%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Valparaiso
07007
Northern Iowa
14147035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-028-735-7
Northern IowaValparaiso

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NINIVALVALNIVALNIVALNIVALNIVALVALNIVALNIVALNIVALNITD975ydTD1079ydPUNT49ydPUNT3-6ydTD371ydTD575ydPUNT612ydPUNT31ydTD864ydPUNT615ydPUNT37ydEND413ydPUNT31ydTD671ydPUNT35ydPUNT616ydPUNT37ydMISS1557ydPUNT37ydUncategorized1140yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Valparaiso and Northern Iowa
StatisticValparaisoNorthern Iowa
Passing8-1812-17
Pass Yards108116
Rush Yards16365
Total Yards124481
Turnovers00
3rd Down1-99-14
Penalties9-654-45
Possession18:1341:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Valparaiso
passing
Rowan Keefe
6/15, 101 YDS
rushing
Caron Tyler
2 CAR, 17 YDS
receiving
Michael Mansaray
3 REC, 79 YDS
Northern Iowa
passing
Aiden Dunne
12/17, 116 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tye Edwards
15 CAR, 174 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Layne Pryor
3 REC, 44 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Tye Edwards run for 14 yds to the UNI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tye Edwards run for 7 yds to the UNI 46

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the VAL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for a 1ST down Valparaiso Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Max Franco) to the VAL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Aidan Dunne run for 4 yds to the VAL 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Tysen Kershaw for 7 yds to the VAL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tye Edwards run for 6 yds to the VAL 17

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Tye Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAL 20

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.25

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 20 yds for a TD (Caden Palmer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the UNI 26

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the UNI 29

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.99

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 3 yds to the UNI 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 12 yds to the UNI 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tye Edwards run for 3 yds to the UNI 47

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Edwards,Tye rush right (Samuel,Max;Fowler,Isaiah).

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.80

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy for a 1ST down Valparaiso Penalty, personal foul (Isaiah Fowler) to the VAL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the VAL 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.06

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 16 yds to the VAL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Layne Pryor for 21 yds for a TD (Caden Palmer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Rowan Keefe pass complete to Brandon Jimenez for 13 yds to the VAL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Chris Gundy run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAL 36

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ryan Mann run for 3 yds to the VAL 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

pass incomplete to Chris Gundy

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Valparaiso Penalty, delay of game (Sam Johnson) to the VAL 34

4th & 14Punt+11 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 52 yds , JC Roque Jr. returns for 11 yds to the UNI 25

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Caden Palmer kickoff for 64 yds , Barret Labus return for 34 yds to the VAL 35

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Valparaiso Penalty, delay of game (Rowan Keefe) to the VAL 30

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.96

Rowan Keefe sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the VAL 22

2nd & 23Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rowan Keefe sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the VAL 18

3rd & 27Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.06

Rowan Keefe pass complete to Michael Mansaray for 11 yds to the VAL 29

4th & 16Punt+13 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 55 yds , JC Roque Jr. returns for 13 yds to the UNI 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the UNI 33

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.73

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 13 yds to the UNI 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.18

Tye Edwards run for 54 yds for a TD (Caden Palmer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Michael Mansaray run for 2 yds to the VAL 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +4.00

Rowan Keefe pass complete to Michael Mansaray for 61 yds to the UNI 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brian Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNI 8

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Rowan Keefe pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 7 yds to the UNI 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Michael Mansaray run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Valparaiso Penalty, delay of game (Ryan Hawk) to the UNI 8

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Ryan Hawk kickoff for 65 yds , Sergio Morancy return for 36 yds to the UNI 29 Northern Iowa Penalty, Offensive holding (Ethan Schoville) to the UNI 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson, broken up by Onye Nwosisi

2nd & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.62

Edwards,Tye rush (Franco,Max), PENALTY UNI holding (Penning,Jared) 10 yards to the UNI36. Northern Iowa Penalty, Offensive holding (Jared Penning) to the UNI 16

2nd & 20Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.24

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 21 yds to the UNI 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Layne Pryor for 6 yds to the UNI 43

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.02

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNI 38

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to JC Roque Jr.

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 47 yds , Colin Graves returns for 6 yds to the VAL 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

pass incomplete to Chris Gundy

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Ryan Mann run for 6 yds to the VAL 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Rowan Keefe pass incomplete to Devin Yeats, broken up by Tucker Langenberg

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Valparaiso Penalty, delay of game (Sam Johnson) to the VAL 22

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 42 yds , JC Roque Jr. returns for no gain to the UNI 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tye Edwards run for 4 yds to the UNI 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tye Edwards run for 4 yds to the UNI 44

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 11 yds to the VAL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy, broken up by Jimmy Pouba

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.50

Aidan Dunne run for 10 yds to the VAL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Tysen Kershaw for 12 yds to the VAL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Tye Edwards run for 11 yds to the VAL 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Tye Edwards run for 12 yds for a TD (Caden Palmer KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Michael Mansaray run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAL 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

pass incomplete to Chris Gundy

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.26

Rowan Keefe pass incomplete to Devin Yeats, broken up by Fletcher Marshall Jr. for a 1ST down Northern Iowa Penalty, personal foul (Fletcher Marshall Jr.) to the VAL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Brandon Jimenez

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Rowan Keefe pass incomplete to Chris Gundy, broken up by Alonzo Morgan III

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Rowan Keefe pass complete to Michael Mansaray for 7 yds to the VAL 45

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Valparaiso Penalty, false start (Brian Thomas) to the VAL 40

4th & 8Punt+15 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 45 yds , JC Roque Jr. returns for 15 yds to the UNI 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy, broken up by Nic Lendino

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the UNI 35

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UNI 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Chris Gundy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

pass incomplete to Barret Labus

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.40

Barret Labus run for 13 yds to the VAL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Brian Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Brian Thomas

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Rowan Keefe pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 2 yds to the VAL 26

4th & 9Punt+45 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 50 yds Valparaiso Penalty, illegal formation (Sam Johnson) to the UNI 29

1st & 10Rush+49 ydsPPA +3.13

Tye Edwards run for 49 yds to the VAL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Edwards,Tye rush right (Chilton,Austin).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.17

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Layne Pryor for 17 yds to the VAL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy, broken up by Nic Lendino

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Pesek-Hickson,Amauri rush middle (Franco,Max;Bedell,Hayden).

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 5 yds for a TD (Caden Palmer KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Caden Palmer kickoff for 64 yds , Brian Thomas return for 24 yds to the VAL 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ryan Mann run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 24

2nd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.41

Ryan Mann run for a loss of 4 yards to the VAL 20

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.19

Caron Tyler run for 10 yds to the VAL 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 50 yds , JC Roque Jr. returns for no gain to the UNI 20

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 12 yds to the UNI 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 11 yds to the UNI 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.54

Aidan Dunne pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy Northern Iowa Penalty, Offensive holding (Jared Penning) to the UNI 33

1st & 20Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Desmond Hutson for a loss of 4 yards to the UNI 29

2nd & 24Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Aidan Dunne run for 6 yds to the UNI 35

3rd & 18Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Tye Edwards for 1 yd to the UNI 36

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Michael Mansaray run for 5 yds to the VAL 20

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

pass incomplete to Michael Mansaray

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Valparaiso Penalty, delay of game (Caron Tyler) to the VAL 15

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Caron Tyler pass complete to Jack Coulson for 7 yds to the VAL 22

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 9 yds to the UNI 38

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.60

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 37

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.38

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the UNI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Tye Edwards run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Tye Edwards run for 4 yds to the VAL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 4 yds to the VAL 42

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 5 yds to the VAL 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 4 yds to the VAL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 5 yds to the VAL 28

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 4 yds to the VAL 24

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 5 yds to the VAL 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 3 yds to the VAL 16

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 3 yds to the VAL 13

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Aidan Dunne run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 14

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Caden Palmer 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Caron Tyler pass complete to Barret Labus

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Caron Tyler run for 7 yds to the VAL 27

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Labus,Barret rush middle (Kriebs,Jack;Mehmert,Zach).

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matthew Schecklman run for 5 yds to the UNI 34

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 3 yds to the UNI 37

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.94

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 10 yds to the UNI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 5 yds to the VAL 48

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 7 yds to the VAL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 4 yds to the VAL 37

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 3 yds to the VAL 34

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 5 yds to the VAL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Matthew Schecklman run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 30

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Matthew Schecklman run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 31

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Matthew Schecklman run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 31

Situational Analysis

Valparaiso

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
17%
12 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
59%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th