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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Central Connecticut by 7.1

Home Win Probability

Central Connecticut 63%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Central Connecticut -16.5

Edge: Mercyhurst +16.5 (9.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mercyhurst
707620
Central Connecticut
01714738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-717-724-731-1431-2238-20
Central ConnecticutMercyhurst

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MERCCMERCCMERCCMERCCMERCCMERCCMERCCMERCCMERCCMERCCMERCCMERCCTO735ydMISS635ydTD878ydTD1373ydTO3-14ydTD311ydTO855ydFG1276ydEND610ydTD757ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydPUNT412ydTD242ydTD1189ydPUNT629ydTD480ydPUNT37ydTO320ydTO2-1ydDOWNS524ydTD884ydDOWNS4-1ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mercyhurst and Central Connecticut
StatisticMercyhurstCentral Connecticut
Passing25-459-16
Pass Yards286124
Rush Yards17301
Total Yards303425
Turnovers41
3rd Down1-84-11
Penalties7-5513-132
Possession28:1431:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mercyhurst
passing
Adam Urena
25/45, 286 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Earnest Davis
4 CAR, 20 YDS
receiving
Cameron Barmore
8 REC, 103 YDS
Central Connecticut
passing
Brady Olson
9/14, 124 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Elijah Howard
27 CAR, 169 YDS
receiving
Paul Marsh
4 REC, 67 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Adam Urena pass complete to Austin Urena for 3 yds to the MERC 28 for a 1ST down Central Connecticut Penalty, (15 Yards) to the MERC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Earnest Davis run for 3 yds to the MERC 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.71

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 14 yds to the CCSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Adam Urena pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Adam Urena pass complete to Rylan Davison for no gain to the CCSU 40

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Adam Urena pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.96

Adam Urena pass intercepted Isaac Boston return for no gain to the CCSU 43

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Elijah Howard run for 11 yds to the MERC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.90

Elijah Howard run for 24 yds to the MERC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Ricky Ortega pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Elijah Howard run for no gain to the MERC 22

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Ricky Ortega pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Jack Barnum 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Earnest Davis run for 10 yds to the MERC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Adam Urena pass complete to Rylan Davison for 10 yds to the MERC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 15 yds to the CCSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 9 yds to the CCSU 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.30

Earnest Davis run for 7 yds to the CCSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Earnest Davis run for no gain to the CCSU 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 5 yds to the CCSU 22

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.18

Adam Urena pass complete to Brian Trobel for 22 yds for a TD (Nathan Nagucki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Elijah Howard run for 3 yds to the CCSU 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Elijah Howard run for 5 yds to the CCSU 35

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Elijah Howard run for 11 yds to the CCSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brady Olson run for 5 yds to the MERC 49

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Elijah Howard run for 12 yds to the MERC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Brady Olson run for 3 yds to the MERC 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Brady Olson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Brady Olson run for 1 yd to the MERC 33

4th & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.30

Brady Olson pass complete to Elijah Howard for 12 yds to the MERC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jadon Turner run for 6 yds to the MERC 15

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Jadon Turner run for 6 yds to the MERC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CCSU False Start (Ambrosia,Alec) 5 yards from HURST09 to HURST14. NO PLAY.

1st & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Elijah Howard run for 6 yds to the MERC 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Ricky Ortega run for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Barnum KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Adam Urena pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY HURST False Start (Staton,Terrell) 5 yards from HURST25 to HURST20. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Adam Urena pass incomplete

3rd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.11

Adam Urena sacked by Dan Toatley for a loss of 9 yards to the MERC 11 Adam Urena fumbled, recovered by MERC Gavin Taylor , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Brady Olson run for 3 yds to the MERC 8

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Elijah Howard run for 2 yds to the MERC 10

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.03

Brady Olson pass complete to Paul Marsh Jr. for 10 yds for a TD (Jack Barnum KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Chaz Davis run for 2 yds to the MERC 29

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Ayron Rodriguez run for 13 yds to the MERC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ayron Rodriguez run for no gain to the MERC 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.52

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 18 yds to the CCSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Adam Urena pass complete to Rylan Davison for 5 yds to the CCSU 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Adam Urena pass complete to Rylan Davison for 9 yds to the CCSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Adam Urena pass complete to Rylan Davison for 13 yds to the CCSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY HURST False Start (Staton,Terrell) 5 yards from CCSU13 to CCSU18. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -4.12

Adam Urena pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jadon Turner run for 7 yds to the CCSU 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jadon Turner run for 2 yds to the CCSU 29

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Elijah Howard run for 10 yds to the CCSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Elijah Howard run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Elijah Howard run for 12 yds to the MERC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Olson,Brady rush right for 20 yards gain to the HURST18 (Mackey,Anthony), out of bounds PENALTY CCSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from HURST38 to HURST43. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jadon Turner run for 7 yds to the MERC 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Brady Olson pass complete to Paul Marsh Jr. for 12 yds to the MERC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.36

Jadon Turner run for 16 yds to the MERC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jadon Turner run for 3 yds to the MERC 11

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Ricky Ortega run for 1 yd to the MERC 10

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Brady Olson pass complete to Paul Marsh Jr. for 6 yds to the MERC 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Jack Barnum 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 7 yds to the MERC 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Adam Urena pass complete to Rylan Davison for 12 yds to the CCSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Adam Urena pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.39

Adam Urena pass complete to Rylan Davison for 10 yds to the CCSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Adam Urena pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Urena,Adam pass complete deep middle to Barmore,Cameron caught at CCSU10, for 29 yards to the CCSU04 (Walden Jr.,Davone; Bryson,Gavin) PENALTY HURST Holding 10 yards from CCSU33 to CCSU43. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.64

Adam Urena sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MERC 48

0th & 20End of Half-9 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Elijah Howard run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Elijah Howard run for 4 yds to the MERC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Elijah Howard run for 6 yds to the MERC 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.58

Brady Olson pass complete to Peter Cleary for 18 yds to the MERC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brady Olson pass complete to Michael Plaskon for 6 yds to the MERC 16

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brady Olson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.91

Brady Olson pass complete to Joe Crifasi for 16 yds for a TD (Jack Barnum KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brian Trobel run for no gain to the MERC 11

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Brian Trobel run for no gain to the MERC 11

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Adam Urena pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Hunter Pittman punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCSU 47 , Michael Plaskon returns for 6 yds to the CCSU 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Elijah Howard run for 4 yds to the MERC 49

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.41

Brady Olson sacked by Jonas King for a loss of 4 yards to the CCSU 47

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Chaz Davis at the MERC 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Adam Urena pass complete to Brian Trobel for 12 yds to the MERC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Adam Urena pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Brian Trobel run for 1 yd to the MERC 22

3rd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Adam Urena pass complete to Brian Trobel for a loss of 1 yard to the MERC 21

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hunter Pittman punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MERC 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Elijah Howard run for 3 yds to the MERC 39

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.59

Brady Olson pass complete to Paul Marsh Jr. for 39 yds for a TD (Jack Barnum KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Central Connecticut Penalty, (15 Yards) to the MERC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Central Connecticut Penalty, (15 Yards) to the MERC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Adam Urena pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ayron Rodriguez run for 5 yds to the MERC 36

3rd & 15Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Urena,Adam pass incomplete short right to Barmore,Cameron thrown to HURST30 broken up by Taylor,Gavin PENALTY CCSU Personal Foul (Bryson,Gavin) 15 yards from HURST36 to CCSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ayron Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the CCSU 47

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Urena,Adam pass incomplete deep left to Davison,Rylan thrown to CCSU20 broken up by Bryson,Gavin PENALTY CCSU Pass Interference (Bryson,Gavin) 15 yards from CCSU47 to CCSU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Ayron Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the CCSU 33

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Adam Urena pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Adam Urena pass complete to Austin Urena for 4 yds to the CCSU 29

4th & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 15 yds to the CCSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chaz Davis run for 4 yds to the CCSU 18

2nd & 14Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Urena,Adam pass incomplete short right to Barmore,Cameron thrown to CCSU00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CCSU Pass Interference (Armstrong,Tristan) 15 yards from CCSU18 to CCSU03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Brian Trobel run for 3 yds for a TD PENALTY CCSU Offside (Stoll,Jack) 2 yards from CCSU03 to CCSU01. NO PLAY. (Nathan Nagucki KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

PENALTY CCSU Offside (Stoll,Jack) 2 yards from CCSU03 to CCSU01. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Elijah Howard run for 6 yds to the CCSU 39

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Elijah Howard run for 9 yds to the CCSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Boston for 5 yds to the MERC 47

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Olson,Brady pass incomplete deep middle to Boston,Isaac thrown to HURST25 PENALTY HURST Offside (Thomas,Will) 5 yards from HURST47 to HURST42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Elijah Howard run for 3 yds to the MERC 39

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Elijah Howard run for 1 yd to the MERC 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Brady Olson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Adam Urena pass complete to Brian Trobel for 22 yds to the MERC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Urena,Adam pass incomplete short middle to Urena,Austin thrown to CCSU40 PENALTY CCSU Pass Interference (Armstrong,Tristan) 15 yards from HURST42 to CCSU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Adam Urena pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.74

Adam Urena pass complete to Brian Trobel for 29 yds to the CCSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Brian Trobel run for 14 yds for a TD PENALTY CCSU Offside (Massay,Jared) 2 yards from CCSU03 to CCSU01. NO PLAY. (Nathan Nagucki PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

PENALTY CCSU Offside (Massay,Jared) 2 yards from CCSU03 to CCSU01. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Elijah Howard run for 8 yds to the CCSU 48

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Elijah Howard run for 1 yd to the CCSU 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brady Olson pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Chaz Davis at the MERC 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Adam Urena pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.45

Adam Urena pass complete to Cameron Barmore for 20 yds to the MERC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.31

Adam Urena pass intercepted Jayvis Rayside return for no gain to the CCSU 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brady Olson run for no gain to the CCSU 41

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -1.20

Elijah Howard run for 1 yd to the CCSU 40 Elijah Howard fumbled, recovered by MERC Anthony Mackey

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.56

Adam Urena pass complete to Chaz Davis for 19 yds to the CCSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Adam Urena pass complete to Brian Trobel for 5 yds to the CCSU 16

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Adam Urena pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Adam Urena pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.52

Adam Urena pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.52

Adam Urena pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-8 yds

PENALTY CCSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Armstrong,Tristan) 8 yards from CCSU16 to CCSU08. NO PLAY.

1st & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Ricky Ortega run for 2 yds to the CCSU 10

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CCSU False Start (Gianniotis,Stathi) 5 yards from CCSU10 to CCSU05. NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Elijah Howard run for 5 yds to the CCSU 10

3rd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Elijah Howard run for 8 yds to the CCSU 18

4th & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Elijah Howard run for 4 yds to the CCSU 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jadon Turner run for 4 yds to the CCSU 26

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY HURST Offside (Royal,James) 5 yards from CCSU26 to CCSU31. NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jadon Turner run for 4 yds to the CCSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jadon Turner run for 6 yds to the CCSU 41

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.84

Jadon Turner run for 59 yds for a TD (Jack Barnum KICK)

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.10

Adam Urena sacked by Jalen Howard for a loss of 10 yards to the MERC 27

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Adam Urena pass complete to Chaz Davis for 9 yds to the MERC 36

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Adam Urena pass incomplete

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.17

Adam Urena pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kneel down by Central Connecticut at HURST37 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

Mercyhurst

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
73%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Central Connecticut

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
26 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play