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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota by 7

Home Win Probability

South Dakota 69%

Market (ESPN Bet)

South Dakota -28

Edge: Drake +28 (21.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Drake
03003
South Dakota
14147742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-328-335-342-3
South DakotaDrake

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDDRASDDRASDDRASDDRASDDRASDDRASDDRADRASDDRASDDRASDDRASDDRASDPUNT413ydPUNT1035ydPUNT529ydPUNT32ydTD558ydPUNT529ydPUNT36ydFG662ydTD771ydPUNT34ydTD746ydPUNT615ydEND433ydUncategorized1-5ydPUNT619ydTD652ydPUNT744ydTD980ydPUNT39ydTO216ydDOWNS49ydTO619ydDOWNS841ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Drake and South Dakota
StatisticDrakeSouth Dakota
Passing18-3318-26
Pass Yards118219
Rush Yards93192
Total Yards211411
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-155-10
Penalties9-6214-110
Possession30:0429:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Drake
passing
Luke Bailey
16/29, 107 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Dorian Boyland
8 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Trey Radocha
7 REC, 56 YDS
South Dakota
passing
Aidan Bouman
18/24, 219 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Travis Theis
9 CAR, 94 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Carter Bell
4 REC, 56 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 12 yds to the DRKE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 5 yds to the DRKE 42

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 1 yd to the DRKE 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USD Delay Of Game 5 yards from DRAKE41 to DRAKE46. NO PLAY.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trey Radocha at the DRKE 7

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+99 yds

Keyondray Jones-Logan 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Will Leyland Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 14 yds to the DRKE 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY USD Offside (Newsom,Mosai) 5 yards from DRAKE28 to DRAKE33. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.62

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.72

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 16 yds to the DRKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 7 yds to the SDAK 45

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Taj Hughes run for no gain to the SDAK 45

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Dorian Boyland run for 3 yds to the SDAK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.85

Luke Bailey sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the DRKE 49

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDAK 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Keyondray Jones-Logan for 7 yds to the SDAK 22

2nd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Travis Theis run for 21 yds to the SDAK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 1 yd to the SDAK 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+1 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 45 yds , Trey Radocha returns for 1 yd to the DRKE 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Dorian Boyland run for 2 yds to the DRKE 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 44 yds , Carter Bell returns for no gain to the SDAK 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.37

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 18 yds to the DRKE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 3 yds to the DRKE 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Quaron Adams for a loss of 2 yards to the DRKE 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Javion Phelps for 14 yds to the DRKE 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

T. Theis run for 25 yds for a TD (W. Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taj Hughes run for no gain to the DRKE 25

2nd & 10Penalty+12 yds

Shotgun Bailey,Luke pass incomplete short left to Hughes,Taj thrown to DRAKE40 broken up by Ganues,Josiah PENALTY USD Pass Interference (Ganues,Josiah) 12 yards from DRAKE25 to DRAKE37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 12 yds to the DRKE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY DRAKE False Start (VanDeWoestyne,Nathan) 5 yards from DRAKE49 to DRAKE44. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Luke Bailey pass complete to Luke Woodson for 3 yds to the DRKE 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Luke Bailey pass complete to Parker Olthoff for 7 yds to the SDAK 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDAK 10

1st & 10Penalty-1 yds

Shotgun Theis,Travis rush middle for 0 yards to the USD09 (Flood,J.R.; Adamski,Sebastian) PENALTY USD Personal Foul (Cotton,Joe) 1 yard from USD09 to USD08. NO PLAY.

1st & 11Penalty-4 yds

PENALTY USD False Start (Erickson,Hayden) 4 yards from USD08 to USD04. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty-2 yds

Shotgun Theis,Travis rush right for 12 yards gain to the USD16 (Bowling,Caleb), out of bounds PENALTY USD Holding (Boze,Tysen) 2 yards from USD04 to USD02. NO PLAY.

1st & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Travis Theis run for 5 yds to the SDAK 7

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Aidan Bouman pass complete to AJ Coons for 8 yds to the SDAK 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+6 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the DRKE 32 , Trey Radocha returns for 6 yds to the DRKE 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.22

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 11 yds to the SDAK 43 for a 1ST down South Dakota Penalty, Personal Foul (Teven McKelvey) to the SDAK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.24

Dorian Boyland run for 30 yds to the SDAK 12 for a 1ST down South Dakota Penalty, Personal Foul (Shahid Barros) to the SDAK 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Luke Woodson pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Shane Dunning 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Carter Bell run for 22 yds to the DRKE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Keyondray Jones-Logan for 4 yds to the DRKE 45

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the DRKE 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.60

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Charles Pierre Jr. for 9 yds to the DRKE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.42

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 24 yds to the DRKE 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Keyondray Jones-Logan run for 4 yds to the DRKE 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

C. Bell run for 6 yds for a TD (W. Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Zeke Mata kickoff for 64 yds , Taj Hughes return for 12 yds to the DRKE 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Dorian Boyland run for 1 yd to the DRKE 14

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Dorian Boyland run for 3 yds to the DRKE 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+16 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 45 yds , Carter Bell returns for 16 yds to the DRKE 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.00

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Quaron Adams for 32 yds to the DRKE 14 for a 1ST down

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the DRKE 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the DRKE 3

2nd & 3Penalty+1 yds

Bouman,Aidan pass incomplete short left to Galbreath,JJ thrown to DRAKE00 PENALTY DRAKE Pass Interference (Hughes,Holden) 1 yard from DRAKE03 to DRAKE02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Penalty+1 yds

PENALTY DRAKE Offside (Blalock,Gene) 1 yard from DRAKE02 to DRAKE01. NO PLAY.

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Charles Pierre Jr. run for no gain to the DRKE 1

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Aidan Bouman run for 4 yds to the DRKE 18

2nd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.47

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 11 yds to the DRKE 7

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

C. Pierre Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (W. Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 8 yds to the DRKE 33

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY DRAKE False Start (Rodriguez,Sam) 5 yards from DRAKE33 to DRAKE28. NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Trey Radocha run for no gain to the DRKE 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 9 yds to the DRKE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY USD Illegal Substitution 5 yards from DRAKE37 to DRAKE42. NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Luke Bailey pass complete to Luke Woodson for a loss of 2 yards to the DRKE 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for no gain to the DRKE 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDAK 20

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Travis Theis run for 25 yds to the SDAK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete for a 1ST down Drake Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Sean Allison) to the DRKE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -2.36

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Keyondray Jones-Logan for 3 yds to the DRKE 37 South Dakota Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the DRKE 47

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

0th & 17End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY DRAKE False Start (House,Isaac) 5 yards from DRAKE25 to DRAKE20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Interception+15 ydsPPA -0.18

Luke Bailey pass intercepted for a 1ST down South Dakota Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mike Reid) to the SDAK 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 8 yds to the DRKE 15

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Luke Bailey run for 8 yds to the DRKE 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Dorian Boyland run for 4 yds to the DRKE 27

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Blake Ellingson run for 4 yds to the DRKE 31

3rd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.82

Luke Bailey sacked by Nick Gaes for a loss of 5 yards to the DRKE 26

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDAK 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.82

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Quaron Adams for 19 yds to the DRKE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 3 yds to the DRKE 28

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.49

Keyondray Jones-Logan run for 16 yds to the DRKE 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the DRKE 4

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Travis Theis run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dorian Boyland run for 3 yds to the DRKE 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 6 yds to the DRKE 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Dorian Boyland run for 5 yds to the DRKE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Luke Bailey pass complete to Eli Stewart for 8 yds to the DRKE 47

2nd & 2Penalty+10 yds

Shotgun Ellingson,Blake pass incomplete short middle to Radocha,Trey thrown to USD45, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USD Pass Interference (Ganues,Josiah) 10 yards from DRAKE47 to DRAKE47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Luke Woodson run for 9 yds to the SDAK 44

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Bailey run for 3 yds to the SDAK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDAK 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Charles Pierre Jr. for 7 yds to the SDAK 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDAK 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 7 yds to the SDAK 38

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Quaron Adams run for no gain to the SDAK 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.18

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 11 yds to the SDAK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.08

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 20 yds to the DRKE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Javion Phelps for 11 yds to the DRKE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Charles Pierre Jr. for 20 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Davion Cherwin run for 3 yds to the DRKE 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Davion Cherwin run for no gain to the DRKE 28

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY USD Offside (Dunn,Will) 5 yards from DRAKE28 to DRAKE33. NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Luke Bailey pass complete to Davion Cherwin for 1 yd to the DRKE 34

4th & 1Punt+7 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDAK 28 , Carter Bell returns for 7 yds to the SDAK 28

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 14 yds to the SDAK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.44

L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDAK 44 L.J. Phillips Jr. fumbled, recovered by DRKE Gene Blalock

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Hank Foley run for 3 yds to the SDAK 41

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.13

Blake Ellingson sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the SDAK 46

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Blake Ellingson pass complete to Parker Olthoff for 5 yds to the SDAK 41

4th & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -1.19

Blake Ellingson pass complete to Jacob McCauley for 6 yds to the SDAK 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Charles Pierre Jr. run for no gain to the SDAK 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Drake Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the DRKE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 2 yds to the DRKE 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 1 yd to the DRKE 46

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -1.74

Nevan Cremascoli pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jun Ahn run for 3 yds to the DRKE 34

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY DRAKE False Start (VanDeWoestyne,Nathan) 5 yards from DRAKE34 to DRAKE29. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Blake Ellingson run for 7 yds to the DRKE 36

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Ellingson,Blake pass incomplete short right to Foley,Hank thrown to DRAKE38 broken up by Walsh,Matt PENALTY USD Roughing The Passer (Clark,Jacob) 15 yards from DRAKE36 to USD49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Blake Ellingson run for 7 yds to the SDAK 42

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Davion Cherwin run for 6 yds to the SDAK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Davion Cherwin run for 3 yds to the SDAK 33

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jun Ahn run for no gain to the SDAK 33

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA -1.94

Blake Ellingson run for 5 yds to the SDAK 28

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

N. Cremascoli takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

N. Cremascoli takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Drake

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
43%
21 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays

South Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
55%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th