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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern by 0.8

Home Win Probability

Southern 53%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Southern -2.5

Edge: Alcorn State +2.5 (1.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Alcorn State
770014
Southern
01401024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-714-1417-1424-14
SouthernAlcorn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SOUASSOUASSOUASSOUASSOUASSOUASSOUASSOUASSOUASSOUASSOUASSOUASDOWNS1070ydTO21ydDOWNS48ydTO328ydPUNT415ydTD686ydPUNT611ydPUNT36ydTD865ydPUNT59ydTD880ydPUNT431ydTO34ydTD647ydEND10ydPUNT7-2ydPUNT621ydPUNT641ydPUNT616ydPUNT614ydFG1561ydTO719ydTD146ydDOWNS83yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alcorn State and Southern
StatisticAlcorn StateSouthern
Passing10-2113-22
Pass Yards76141
Rush Yards214295
Total Yards290436
Turnovers31
3rd Down3-119-18
Penalties8-708-60
Possession27:4332:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alcorn State
passing
Xzavier Vaughn
10/21, 76 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tavarious Griffin
1 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tavarious Griffin
5 REC, 43 YDS
Southern
passing
Noah Bodden
13/22, 141 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kendric Rhymes
17 CAR, 133 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Datraveon Brown
3 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Noah Bodden pass complete to Cameron Jackson for 3 yds to the SOU 31

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kendric Rhymes run for 3 yds to the SOU 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.80

Noah Bodden pass complete to Cam Jefferson for 7 yds to the SOU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kendric Rhymes run for 4 yds to the SOU 45

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Noah Bodden run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.19

Kobe Dillon run for 39 yds to the ALCN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kobe Dillon run for 5 yds to the ALCN 6

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kendric Rhymes run for 2 yds to the ALCN 4

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Kendric Rhymes run for 1 yd to the ALCN 3

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.13

Barry Remo run for 1 yd to the ALCN 2

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Xzavier Vaughn run for 1 yd to the ALCN 3

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA +0.19

Xzavier Vaughn pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brown,Jamarius rush middle (Hamilton-Jordan,Jermaine).

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Jamarius Brown run for 8 yds to the ALCN 39

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jamarius Brown run for 1 yd to the ALCN 38

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.25

Jamarius Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 39

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -2.14

Miller,Tayvonne rush , fumble by Miller,Tayvonne recovered by SOU West,Elijah, West,Elijah rush , PENALTY SOU illegal use of hands 10 yards to the ASU29. Tayvonne Miller fumbled, recovered by SOU Elijah West for a 1ST down for a 1ST down Southern Penalty, illegal use of hands (10 Yards) to the ALCN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Jacorian Sewell run for 18 yds to the SOU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.34

Xzavier Vaughn sacked by Ckelby Givens for a loss of 4 yards to the SOU 37 Xzavier Vaughn fumbled, recovered by SOU Zak Yassine , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Kendric Rhymes run for 14 yds to the ALCN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Tyler Kirkwood

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kendric Rhymes run for 1 yd to the ALCN 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Dupree Fuller

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kenny Pham punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Jacorian Sewell run for 8 yds to the ALCN 22

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

for a 1ST down Southern Penalty, off-side (Darrius Harry) to the ALCN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sewell,Jacorian rush middle (Page Jr.,Vincent).

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Tyler Macon run for 9 yds to the ALCN 36

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

pass incomplete to Tavarious Griffin

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.73

Tavarious Griffin run for 64 yds for a TD (Noah Kiani KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kobe Dillon run for 4 yds to the SOU 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Noah Bodden pass complete to Tyler Kirkwood for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Kobe Dillon run for 2 yds to the ALCN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Noah Bodden pass incomplete to Elijah West, broken up by Edwin Summerour

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Cam Jefferson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete to Cameron Jackson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kenny Pham punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Williams run for 5 yds to the ALCN 12

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Anthony Williams run for 4 yds to the ALCN 16

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacorian Sewell run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALCN 13

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Franklin Rogers punt for 51 yds , Jordan Dupre returns for no gain to the SOU 35

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

CJ Russell run for 9 yds to the SOU 44

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.07

CJ Russell run for 5 yds to the SOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Noah Bodden pass complete to Dupree Fuller for 6 yds to the ALCN 45

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

CJ Russell run for 5 yds to the ALCN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

CJ Russell run for 2 yds to the ALCN 38

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Noah Bodden run for 3 yds to the ALCN 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.41

Noah Bodden pass complete to Datraveon Brown for 20 yds to the ALCN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Noah Bodden run for 15 yds for a TD (Joshua Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Williams run for 4 yds to the SOU 48

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.92

Anthony Williams run for 7 yds to the SOU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Anthony Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SOU 42

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Tavarious Griffin

3rd & 11Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Xzavier Vaughn sacked by Vincent Page Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the SOU 43

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Franklin Rogers punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kobe Dillon run for 1 yd to the SOU 21

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Kobe Dillon run for 11 yds to the SOU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kobe Dillon run for 3 yds to the SOU 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.32

Noah Bodden pass complete to Datraveon Brown for 2 yds to the SOU 37 Southern Penalty, Offensive holding (Cam Jefferson) to the SOU 27

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Noah Bodden pass complete to Cameron Jackson for 9 yds to the SOU 36

4th & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.45

Noah Bodden pass complete to Tyler Kirkwood for 6 yds to the SOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.51

Kendric Rhymes run for 21 yds to the ALCN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Datraveon Brown 37 Yd pass from Noah Bodden (Joshua Griffin Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 25 yds to the ALCN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 44

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Xzavier Vaughn run for 7 yds to the SOU 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Caleb Anderson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Franklin Rogers punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Penalty, false start (Cameron Foster) to the SOU 17

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

CJ Russell run for 4 yds to the SOU 21

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

CJ Russell run for 5 yds to the SOU 26

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+21 ydsPPA -0.06

Noah Bodden pass complete to Cameron Jackson for 21 yds Noah Bodden fumbled, recovered by ALCN Stemarion Edwards

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Geoffery McKelton run for 17 yds to the SOU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 7 yds to the SOU 23

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacorian Sewell run for 8 yds to the SOU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Xzavier Vaughn run for 8 yds to the SOU 7

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Xzavier Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the SOU 8

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Xzavier Vaughn run for 8 yds for a TD (Noah Kiani KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Noah Bodden run for a loss of 2 yards to the SOU 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacorian Sewell run for 5 yds to the ALCN 40

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jacorian Sewell run for 2 yds to the ALCN 42

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Xzavier Vaughn run for 5 yds to the ALCN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.77

Sewell,Jacorian rush (Johnson,Rodney), PENALTY ASU holding (Gordon,Demarcus) 10 yards to the SOU43. Alcorn State Penalty, Offensive holding (Demarcus Gordon) to the ALCN 37

1st & 25Penalty+5 yds

Southern Penalty, off-side (Willie Miles) to the ALCN 37

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, false start (Demarcus Gordon) to the ALCN 32

1st & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jacorian Sewell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALCN 36

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

pass incomplete to Tevarrius Adams

3rd & 21Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.16

Xzavier Vaughn sacked by Camden Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the ALCN 33

4th & 24Punt+42 yds

Franklin Rogers punt for 52 yds Alcorn State Penalty, Defensive holding (Dillon Crowell) to the SOU 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kendric Rhymes run for 1 yd to the SOU 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kendric Rhymes run for 5 yds to the SOU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Noah Bodden pass complete to Cam Jefferson for 12 yds to the SOU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rhymes,Kendric rush middle (Spottsville,Gideon;Edwards,Stemarion).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Noah Bodden pass complete to Tyler Kirkwood for 3 yds to the SOU 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Tyler Kirkwood

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kenny Pham punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.58

Xzavier Vaughn run for 21 yds to the ALCN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Tyran Warren

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacorian Sewell run for 2 yds to the ALCN 40

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Southern Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Horacio Johnson) to the SOU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Omarion Blakes

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Vaughn,Xzavier rush middle (Givens,Ckelby).

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 3 yds to the SOU 42

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Franklin Rogers punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kobe Dillon run for 1 yd to the SOU 8

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

pass incomplete to Cam Jefferson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Noah Bodden pass complete to Quay Davis for 10 yds to the SOU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kobe Dillon run for 3 yds to the SOU 21

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Kobe Dillon run for 2 yds to the SOU 23

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

pass incomplete to Quay Davis

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kenny Pham punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Xzavier Vaughn run for 9 yds to the ALCN 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.00

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Damien Jones for 6 yds to the SOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Williams,Anthony rush (Givens,Ckelby;Davis,Jelani), PENALTY SOU substitution infraction 5 yards to the ASU46. Southern Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the SOU 44

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, false start (Tyran Warren) to the SOU 49

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Xzavier Vaughn sacked by Derrick Williams and Vincent Page Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Damien Jones

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Tavarious Griffin

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Franklin Rogers punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.69

CJ Russell run for a loss of 4 yards to the SOU 13

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

pass incomplete to Elijah West

3rd & 14Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.47

Noah Bodden run for 15 yds to the SOU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Kendric Rhymes run for 7 yds to the SOU 35

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kendric Rhymes run for 1 yd to the SOU 36

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.64

Kobe Dillon run for 7 yds to the SOU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Kobe Dillon run for 8 yds to the ALCN 49

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.03

Kobe Dillon run for 1 yd to the ALCN 48

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.11

Kendric Rhymes run for 4 yds to the ALCN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kendric Rhymes run for 6 yds to the ALCN 38

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Kendric Rhymes run for 9 yds to the ALCN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Kendric Rhymes run for 3 yds to the ALCN 26

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Kobe Dillon run for 2 yds to the ALCN 24

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Kobe Dillon run for 2 yds to the ALCN 22

4th & 3Field Goal Good+39 yds

Joshua Griffin 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sewell,Jacorian rush left (Johnson,Rodney;Jones,Camden).

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Jacorian Sewell run for 9 yds to the ALCN 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Tyran Warren run for 2 yds to the ALCN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tavarious Griffin for 9 yds to the ALCN 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tyler Macon for 4 yds to the ALCN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Sewell,Jacorian rush right (Page Jr.,Vincent;West,Elijah).

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alcorn State Penalty, false start (Demarcus Gordon) to the ALCN 44

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.89

Xzavier Vaughn run for 2 yds to the ALCN 46 Xzavier Vaughn fumbled, recovered by SOU Herman Brister III

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Penalty, false start (Jeron Lewis) to the SOU 49

1st & 15Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +4.64

Kendric Rhymes run for 51 yds for a TD (Joshua Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Tyran Warren

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Damien Jones for 15 yds to the ALCN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Tyler Macon for 3 yds to the SOU 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Tyler Macon

3rd & 7Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.67

Vaughn,Xzavier rush (Campbell,Jamarlo), PENALTY ASU holding (Gordon,Demarcus) 10 yards to the SOU39. Alcorn State Penalty, Offensive holding (Demarcus Gordon) to the ALCN 41

3rd & 17Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.41

Vaughn,Xzavier rush (Givens,Ckelby), PENALTY ASU holding (Rodgers,Cameran) 10 yards to the SOU49. Alcorn State Penalty, Offensive holding (Cameran Rodgers) to the ALCN 31

3rd & 27Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Damien Jones for 5 yds to the ALCN 36

4th & 22Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Xzavier Vaughn run for 4 yds to the ALCN 40

Situational Analysis

Alcorn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
25%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play