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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina Central by 9.4

Home Win Probability

Norfolk State 29%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Norfolk State +10

Edge: Norfolk State +10 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Carolina Central
14106737
Norfolk State
030710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-173-173-37
Norfolk StateNorth Carolina Central

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSNCCNSNCCNSNCCNSNCCNSNCCNSNCCNSNCCNSNCCNSNCCNSNCCNSNCCPUNT32ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT37ydTD598ydPUNT36ydTD261ydDOWNS826ydFG845ydPUNT33ydPUNT35ydPUNT1137ydPUNT510ydFG828ydTD545ydEND10ydPUNT34ydPUNT536ydTD1286ydPUNT514ydTD665ydTD1195ydUncategorized1356yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina Central and Norfolk State
StatisticNorth Carolina CentralNorfolk State
Passing20-2712-25
Pass Yards26685
Rush Yards188159
Total Yards454244
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-112-12
Penalties5-659-63
Possession31:3028:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina Central
passing
Walker Harris
19/25, 245 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
J'mari Taylor
11 CAR, 86 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Markell Quick
5 REC, 124 YDS, 2 TD
Norfolk State
passing
Jalen Daniels
12/25, 85 YDS
rushing
Jalen Daniels
14 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Kam'ryn Thomas
3 REC, 46 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen Daniels pass incomplete to Jacquez Jones, broken up by Malcolm Reed

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kevon King run for 2 yds to the NORF 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Noah Tracey punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.61

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick for a loss of 3 yards to the NCCU 30

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

pass incomplete to Chance Peterson

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Kam'Ryn Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Kevon King run for 2 yds to the NORF 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Jacquez Jones for 5 yds to the NORF 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Noah Tracey punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 4

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for 16 yds to the NCCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

J'Mari Taylor run for 7 yds to the NCCU 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Walker Harris pass incomplete to Chauncey Spikes for a 1ST down Norfolk State Penalty, Defensive holding (Terron Mallory) to the NCCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick for 63 yds for a TD (Juan Velarde KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 63 yds , Jaylen Laudermilk return for 36 yds to the NORF 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Jacquez Jones for 5 yds to the NORF 43

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

X'Zavion Evans run for 1 yd to the NORF 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Jacquez Jones

4th & 4Punt+27 yds

Noah Tracey punt for 44 yds , Darryl Taylor returns for 27 yds to the NCCU 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.04

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 31 yds to the NORF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

J'Mari Taylor run for 30 yds for a TD (Juan Velarde KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Daniels run for 3 yds to the NORF 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kevon King run for 4 yds to the NORF 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Jalen Daniels pass incomplete to Jacquez Jones for a 1ST down North Carolina Central Penalty, Defensive holding (Malcolm Reed) to the NORF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.01

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Elyjah Mitchell for no gain to the NORF 42 Norfolk State Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the NORF 37

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jalen Daniels pass incomplete to Kam'Ryn Thomas, broken up by Jaylen Bowden

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jalen Daniels run for 5 yds to the NORF 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Elyjah Mitchell for 9 yds to the NCCU 49

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.21

King,Kevon rush middle (Reed,Malcolm;Smith,Christian).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Walker Harris run for 9 yds to the NORF 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Chance Peterson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 4 yds to the NORF 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.12

Walker Harris pass complete to Arthur Rodgers Jr. for 9 yds to the NORF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.55

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick for 24 yds to the NORF 14 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.36

Chris Mosley run for a loss of 10 yards to the NORF 15

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Walker Harris pass complete to Luke Bracey for 9 yds to the NORF 6

4th & 2Field Goal Good+23 yds

Juan Velarde 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Fonnae Webb run for 3 yds to the NORF 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jalen Daniels pass incomplete to Ikeem Wright, broken up by Malcolm Reed

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen Daniels pass incomplete to Kam'Ryn Thomas, broken up by Wade Harris

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Noah Tracey punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Walker Harris pass complete to Darryl Taylor for 7 yds to the NCCU 34

3rd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Walker Harris sacked by Keshawn Lynch for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 33

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 52 yds , Jaylen Laudermilk returns for 4 yds to the NORF 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

X'Zavion Evans run for 3 yds to the NORF 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Daniels pass incomplete to Tavian Morris, broken up by Jaylen Bowden

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.03

Jalen Daniels pass incomplete to Kam'Ryn Thomas for a 1ST down North Carolina Central Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Wade Harris) to the NORF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.10

Jalen Daniels pass incomplete to Tavian Morris Norfolk State Penalty, Offensive holding (Samuel Eskridge) to the NORF 27

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Jalen Daniels run for 7 yds to the NORF 34

2nd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Jalen Daniels run for 10 yds to the NORF 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Kam'Ryn Thomas for 11 yds to the NCCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jalen Daniels run for 1 yd to the NCCU 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

pass incomplete to Elyjah Mitchell

3rd & 9Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -1.84

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Elyjah Mitchell for no gain to the NORF 44 Norfolk State Penalty, Offensive holding (Samuel Eskridge) to the NORF 46

3rd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Kam'Ryn Thomas for 10 yds to the NCCU 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Noah Tracey punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 10

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Walker Harris run for 8 yds to the NCCU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 17

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 1 yd to the NCCU 18

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

pass incomplete to Markell Quick

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Jacquez Jones for 4 yds to the NORF 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Daniels run for 4 yds to the NCCU 48

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Jalen Daniels run for 6 yds to the NCCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Jalen Daniels run for 12 yds to the NCCU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Norfolk State Penalty, false start (Jayden Chappell) to the NCCU 35

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

pass incomplete to Kam'Ryn Thomas

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Jalen Daniels run for 7 yds to the NCCU 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jalen Daniels pass incomplete to Jacquez Jones, broken up by Malcolm Reed

4th & 8Field Goal Good+45 yds

Grandin Willcox 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+49 yds

Grandin Willcox kickoff for 59 yds , Chris Mosley return for 49 yds to the NORF 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Walker Harris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 9 yds to the NORF 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.27

Walker Harris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 7 yds to the NORF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete to Markell Quick

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.63

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick for 25 yds to the NORF 4 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.99

Jalen Daniels sacked by Ryan Wynn for a loss of 10 yards to the NORF 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds to the NCCU 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Walker Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Joaquin Davis

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 62 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

X'Zavion Evans run for 3 yds to the NORF 12

2nd & 7Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.68

X'Zavion Evans run for 33 yds to the NORF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

X'Zavion Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 44

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Norfolk State Penalty, false start (Garrison Wheatley) to the NORF 39

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

Norfolk State Penalty, false start (Jayden Chappell) to the NORF 34

2nd & 21Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Elyjah Mitchell for 5 yds to the NORF 39

3rd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Daniels run for 6 yds to the NORF 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Noah Tracey punt for 41 yds , Darryl Taylor returns for no gain to the NCCU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Walker Harris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 6 yds to the NCCU 20

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 8 yds to the NCCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.92

J'Mari Taylor run for 38 yds to the NORF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Joaquin Davis

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.02

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 17 yds to the NORF 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Walker Harris pass complete to Chance Peterson for 3 yds to the NORF 14

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

J'Mari Taylor run for 6 yds to the NORF 8

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Taylor,J'Mari rush middle (Richardson,AJ;Miles,Terique).

1st & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 5

2nd & 5Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.10

Taylor,J'Mari rush , TOUCHDOWN, PENALTY NCC holding (McKinney,Noah) 10 yards to the NSU-5. North Carolina Central Penalty, Offensive holding (Noah McKinney) to the NORF 15

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.10

Markell Quick 15 Yd pass from Walker Harris (Juan Velarde PAT blocked)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Kaleb Robison kickoff for 62 yds , Jaylen Laudermilk return for 13 yds to the NORF 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kevon King run for 6 yds to the NORF 22

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.32

Jalen Daniels run for 4 yds to the NORF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

pass incomplete to Tavian Morris

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Daniels run for 4 yds to the NORF 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Daniels pass incomplete to Jacquez Jones, broken up by Malcolm Reed

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Noah Tracey punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 6 yds to the NORF 39

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.77

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 20 yds to the NORF 45 for a 1ST down

2nd & 4Rush+31 ydsPPA +0.85

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 31 yds to the NORF 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the NORF 11

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 12

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.23

Chance Peterson 12 Yd pass from Walker Harris (Juan Velarde Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Kaleb Robison kickoff for 60 yds , Jaylen White return for no gain to the NORF 5

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.65

Kevon King run for 17 yds to the NORF 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Elyjah Mitchell for 7 yds to the NORF 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.30

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Kevon King for a loss of 4 yards to the NORF 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.26

Jalen Daniels pass incomplete to Kam'Ryn Thomas for a 1ST down North Carolina Central Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Wade Harris) to the NORF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Kevon King for a loss of 3 yards to the NORF 37

2nd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Kevon King run for 10 yds to the NORF 47

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

X'Zavion Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 46

4th & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +3.12

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Jacquez Jones for 11 yds to the NCCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.76

Jalen Daniels pass complete to Kam'Ryn Thomas for 25 yds to the NCCU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jalen Daniels run for 4 yds to the NCCU 14

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.61

Jacquez Jones 14 Yd Run (Grandin Willcox Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Javion Martin run for 6 yds to the NCCU 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Aleni Mageo run for 2 yds to the NCCU 43

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.55

Aleni Mageo run for 5 yds to the NCCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Aleni Mageo run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCCU 44

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Aleni Mageo

3rd & 14Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.73

Javion Martin pass complete to Mehki Wall for 21 yds to the NORF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Aleni Mageo run for 9 yds to the NORF 26

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.35

Aleni Mageo run for 10 yds to the NORF 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Aleni Mageo run for a loss of 2 yards to the NORF 18

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Mageo,Aleni rush middle (Rivers,Dawson).

3rd & 12Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Javion Martin sacked by Eric Etienne and Malcolm Britt for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 19

4th & 13Penalty+9 yds

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

North Carolina Central

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
4th

Norfolk State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
13%
8 plays
100%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play