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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina Central by 20.8

Home Win Probability

North Carolina Central 88%

Market (ESPN Bet)

North Carolina Central -11

Edge: North Carolina Central -11 (9.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morgan State
00077
North Carolina Central
073616

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-010-010-716-7
North Carolina CentralMorgan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCPUNT3-8ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT37ydPUNT520ydPUNT33ydMISS960ydTO1156ydTD476ydPUNT632ydTO1054ydEND10ydPUNT515ydPUNT37ydFG852ydPUNT1240ydTO732ydTD834ydTD673ydDOWNS916ydEND819yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morgan State and North Carolina Central
StatisticMorgan StateNorth Carolina Central
Passing9-2318-32
Pass Yards102216
Rush Yards102180
Total Yards204396
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-174-13
Penalties5-483-30
Possession29:4030:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morgan State
passing
Tahj Smith
9/23, 102 YDS
rushing
Jason Collins Jr.
14 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
JJ Davis
2 REC, 32 YDS
North Carolina Central
passing
Walker Harris
18/31, 216 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
J'mari Taylor
26 CAR, 196 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Markell Quick
5 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.25

Tahj Smith sacked by Thomas Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the MORG 17

4th & 18Punt-6 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 50 yds , Darryl Taylor returns for a loss of 6 yards to the NCCU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Walker Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick for 3 yds to the NCCU 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Walker Harris pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 70 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

J.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the MORG 22

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Morgan State Penalty, False Start (Daniel Casillas) to the MORG 17

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

J.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the MORG 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Darryl Taylor at the NCCU 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the NCCU 48

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the MORG 49

3rd & 3Sack-15 ydsPPA -2.32

Walker Harris sacked by Elijah Williams for a loss of 15 yards to the NCCU 36

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 64 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Myles Miree run for 6 yds to the MORG 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Myles Miree run for 2 yds to the MORG 28

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Myles Miree run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 46 yds, downed at the NCCU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Walker Harris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 8 yds to the NCCU 35

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

J'Mari Taylor run for 8 yds to the NCCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Walker Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the NCCU 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Walker Harris pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+17 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 41 yds , Malique Leatherbury returns for 17 yds to the MORG 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Myles Miree run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 28

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Myles Miree run for 4 yds to the MORG 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Darryl Taylor at the NCCU 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Walker Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

(03:16) HARRIS, Walker pass up the middle incomplete intended for QUICK, Markell thrown to the NCCU45. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference declined MSU Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the NCCU39 to the MSU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

J'Mari Taylor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

TAYLOR, J'Mari rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the MSU44 (WILLIAMS, Elijah). PENALTY MSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the MSU46 to the MSU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception-12 ydsPPA -3.13

Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for a loss of 12 yards to the MORG 48

2nd & 22Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.83

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 40 yds to the MORG 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

J'Mari Taylor run for 6 yds to the MORG 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

J'Mari Taylor run for no gain to the MORG 2

3rd & 2Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.44

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the MORG 4

4th & 4Blocked Field Goal+21 yds

Juan Velarde 21 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Jason Collins Jr. run for 20 yds to the MORG 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jason Collins Jr. run for no gain to the MORG 40

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tahj Smith run for 5 yds to the MORG 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.40

Tahj Smith pass complete to Andre Crawley for 11 yds to the NCCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jason Collins Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCCU 43

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jason Collins Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCCU 38

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jason Collins Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCCU 35

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.63

Jason Collins Jr. run for 4 yds to the NCCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

J.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the NCCU 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

J.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 29

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.15

TEAM run for 5 yds to the NCCU 24 fumbled, recovered by NCCU Juju Williams J. Williams return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

J'Mari Taylor run for 12 yds to the NCCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Walker Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick for 15 yds to the MORG 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick for 49 yds for a TD (Juan Velarde KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Kaleb Robison kickoff for 65 yds , Jason Collins Jr. return for 24 yds to the MORG 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jason Collins Jr. run for 7 yds to the MORG 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.28

Jason Collins Jr. run for 28 yds to the NCCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jason Collins Jr. run for no gain to the NCCU 41

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Tahj Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCCU 44

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.05

J'Mari Taylor run for 14 yds to the NCCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.92

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 22 yds to the MORG 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the MORG 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Walker Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.41

Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for 13 yds to the MORG 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Walker Harris run for 2 yds to the MORG 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Walker Harris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 3 yds to the MORG 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Walker Harris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 4 yds to the MORG 21

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.80

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the MORG 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.10

Walker Harris sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MORG 26 Walker Harris fumbled, recovered by MORG Jordan Jeudy , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Myles Miree run for no gain to the MORG 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 10 yds to the NCCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Walker Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Walker Harris pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kaleb Robison punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Malique Leatherbury at the MORG 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jason Collins Jr. run for 2 yds to the MORG 18

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jason Collins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 17

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Tahj Smith run for 6 yds to the MORG 23

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Darryl Taylor at the NCCU 44

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

J'Mari Taylor run for 13 yds to the MORG 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.54

J'Mari Taylor run for 13 yds to the MORG 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Walker Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.05

J'Mari Taylor run for 22 yds to the MORG 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the MORG 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Walker Harris run for 2 yds to the MORG 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Walker Harris pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Kaleb Robison 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

J.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the MORG 26

3rd & 9Penalty-13 yds

Morgan State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the MORG 13

3rd & 22Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.27

Tahj Smith run for 17 yds to the MORG 30

4th & 5Penalty0 yds

(06:46) MESSENGER, Shane punt 49 yards to the NCCU21, TAYLOR, Darryl returned 16 yards to the NCCU37 (BYNDON, Lance), out of bounds, clock 06:34. PENALTY NCCU Holding declined NCCU Running Into the kicker on BREVARD, Jaki enforced 5 yards from the MSU30 to the MSU35 and results in a 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

J.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 34

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

J.J. Davis run for no gain to the MORG 34

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.02

Tahj Smith pass complete to J.J. Davis for 15 yds to the MORG 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tahj Smith pass complete to Malique Leatherbury for 5 yds to the NCCU 46

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

J.J. Davis run for no gain to the NCCU 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.16

Tahj Smith pass complete to Matt Lowe for 16 yds to the NCCU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morgan State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the NCCU 35

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Myles Miree run for no gain to the NCCU 35

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 34 yds, downed at the NCCU 1

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

J'Mari Taylor run for 11 yds to the NCCU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 13

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds to the NCCU 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.87

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick for 18 yds to the NCCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, Personal Foul (Chance Peterson) to the NCCU 26

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Walker Harris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 7 yds to the NCCU 33

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return+18 ydsPPA +0.05

Walker Harris pass intercepted Arturo Mattocks return for 18 yds to the NCCU 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.52

Tahj Smith sacked by Thomas Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the NCCU 42

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Tahj Smith pass complete to Jason Collins Jr. for 7 yds to the NCCU 35

4th & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.12

Tahj Smith pass complete to J.J. Davis for 17 yds to the NCCU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jason Collins Jr. run for no gain to the NCCU 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.48

Tahj Smith pass complete to Andre Crawley for 15 yds to the NCCU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jason Collins Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCCU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jason Collins Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Beckett Leary KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Beckett Leary kickoff for 60 yds , Darryl Taylor return for 22 yds to the NCCU 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 29

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

J'Mari Taylor run for 7 yds to the NCCU 36

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.91

Walker Harris run for 1 yd to the NCCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.86

Walker Harris pass complete to Markell Quick for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

J'Mari Taylor run for 50 yds for a TD (Kaleb Robison PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Kaleb Robison kickoff for 62 yds , Carlvainsky Decius return for 20 yds to the MORG 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Tahj Smith pass complete to Joseph Kennerly Jr. for 8 yds to the MORG 31

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tahj Smith run for 6 yds to the MORG 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Tahj Smith pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 8 yds to the MORG 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

J.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the MORG 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

4th & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.18

Tahj Smith sacked by Thomas Johnson and TEAM for a loss of 8 yards to the MORG 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds to the MORG 34

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Chris Mosley run for no gain to the MORG 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.24

Walker Harris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 12 yds to the MORG 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chris Mosley run for 3 yds to the MORG 19

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the MORG 18

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Walker Harris pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.36

Walker Harris pass complete to Chance Peterson for 10 yds to the MORG 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-10 yds

(00:45) TAYLOR, J'Mari rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the MSU4 (PREVARD, Ja'son). PENALTY NCCU Holding enforced 10 yards from the MSU8 to the MSU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 18Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

(00:25) [NHSG] Kneel down by HARRIS, Walker at MSU20 (team loss of 2).

Situational Analysis

Morgan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

North Carolina Central

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
46%
13 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play