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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Dartmouth by 8.4

Home Win Probability

Merrimack 26%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Merrimack +11.5

Edge: Merrimack +11.5 (3.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Dartmouth
730616
Merrimack
707014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-77-1014-1014-13
MerrimackDartmouth

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DARMERDARMERDARMERDARMERDARMERDARMERDARMERDARMERDARMERDARPUNT3-6ydTD760ydTD275ydPUNT32ydDOWNS715ydMISS927ydPUNT36ydPUNT39ydFG1451ydPUNT415ydEND48ydTD772ydMISS1243ydPUNT624ydPUNT42ydDOWNS726ydFG1235ydPUNT830ydFG1062yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Dartmouth and Merrimack
StatisticDartmouthMerrimack
Passing14-2912-15
Pass Yards16199
Rush Yards119165
Total Yards280264
Turnovers00
3rd Down7-165-12
Penalties6-415-50
Possession30:4529:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Dartmouth
passing
Jackson Proctor
14/29, 161 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Q Jones
17 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Painter Richards-Baker
1 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
Merrimack
passing
Ayden Pereira
12/15, 99 YDS
rushing
Jermaine Corbett
21 CAR, 137 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jermaine Corbett
3 REC, 45 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Chris Corbo for a loss of 1 yard to the DART 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.31

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Nick Lemon for a loss of 4 yards to the DART 15

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

Dartmouth Penalty, delay of game (Jackson Proctor) to the DART 10

3rd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Q Jones run for 4 yds to the DART 14

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Lliam Davis kickoff for 63 yds , D.J. Crowther return for 18 yds to the DART 20

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Davis Golick punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jermaine Corbett run for 3 yds to the MRMK 43

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ayden Pereira run for 4 yds to the MRMK 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.74

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jared Dunn for 6 yds to the DART 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Jermaine Corbett run for 14 yds to the DART 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Ayden Pereira run for 8 yds to the DART 25

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.18

Jermaine Corbett run for 12 yds to the DART 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Jermaine Corbett run for 13 yds for a TD (Lliam Davis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Paxton Scott

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.78

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Painter Richards-Baker for 75 yds for a TD (Owen Zalc KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jared Dunn for no gain to the MRMK 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Corbett,Jermaine rush middle (Grimm,Tyson).

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Ayden Pereira run for 2 yds to the MRMK 27

4th & 8Punt+17 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 48 yds , Sean Williams returns for 17 yds to the DART 42

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Crowther,D.J. rush middle (Leavy,Tyler;Roberts,Brandon).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Desmin Jackson for 9 yds to the MRMK 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

D.J. Crowther run for 2 yds to the MRMK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jackson Proctor run for 6 yds to the MRMK 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Grayson O'Bara run for 2 yds to the MRMK 39

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

D.J. Crowther run for a loss of 4 yards to the MRMK 43

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Painter Richards-Baker

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Jermaine Corbett run for 5 yds to the DART 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Jermaine Corbett run for 8 yds to the DART 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jared Dunn for 4 yds to the DART 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Ayden Pereira run for a loss of 1 yard to the DART 46

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Jermaine Corbett run for 9 yds to the DART 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ayden Pereira run for 2 yds to the DART 30

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ayden Pereira run for 3 yds to the DART 27

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.46

Ayden Pereira run for a loss of 3 yards to the DART 30

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Lliam Davis 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Q Jones run for 1 yd to the DART 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Grayson O'Bara for a loss of 3 yards to the DART 28

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Q Jones run for 3 yds to the DART 31

4th & 9Penalty+5 yds

Merrimack Penalty, off-side (Wes Matthews) to the DART 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Davis Golick punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Corbett,Jermaine rush left (Williams,Sean).

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Jermaine Corbett run for 6 yds to the MRMK 30

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ayden Pereira run for 3 yds to the MRMK 33

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Daniel Haughton for a loss of 1 yard to the DART 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

pass incomplete to Chris Corbo

3rd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.85

Jackson Proctor run for 13 yds to the DART 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Proctor,Jackson rush right (Houston,Deon).

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Q Jones run for 5 yds to the MRMK 48

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jackson Proctor pass incomplete to Chris Corbo, broken up by Deon Houston

4th & 5Punt+5 yds

Davis Golick punt

4th & 0Rush+16 yds

Q Jones run for 1 yd to the MRMK 42 Merrimack Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jabari Nichols) to the MRMK 27

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jackson Proctor run for 5 yds to the MRMK 22

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

D.J. Crowther run for 4 yds to the MRMK 18

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.16

D.J. Crowther run for 4 yds to the MRMK 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jones,Q rush left (Compoh,Jason).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Q Jones

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Paxton Scott

4th & 10Field Goal Good+31 yds

Owen Zalc 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Owen Zalc kickoff for 64 yds , Jermaine Corbett return for 13 yds to the MRMK 20 , Donte Williams return for 7 yds to the MRMK 20

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Jermaine Corbett run for 11 yds to the MRMK 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Jermaine Corbett run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRMK 29

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Seth Sweitzer for 9 yds to the MRMK 38

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.93

Matthias Latham run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRMK 35

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 45 yds , Sean Williams returns for 2 yds to the DART 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Jackson Proctor pass incomplete to Painter Richards-Baker, broken up by Jabari Nichols Merrimack Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jabari Nichols) to the DART 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.10

Jackson Proctor pass incomplete to Paxton Scott Dartmouth Penalty, Offensive holding (Nick Marinaro) to the DART 27

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Q Jones run for 3 yds to the DART 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.72

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jermaine Corbett for 33 yds to the DART 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Brendon Wyatt run for 1 yd to the DART 38

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Brendon Wyatt run for 8 yds to the DART 30

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.35

Brendon Wyatt run for 1 yd to the DART 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 5 yds to the DART 24

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Jermaine Corbett run for 2 yds to the DART 22 for a 1ST down Dartmouth Penalty, face mask (11 yards) (Ejike Adele) to the DART 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Owen Zalc kickoff for 60 yds , Jermaine Corbett return for 23 yds to the MRMK 28

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Jermaine Corbett run for 11 yds for a TD (Lliam Davis KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Lliam Davis kickoff for 65 yds , Desmin Jackson return for 25 yds to the DART 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Paxton Scott

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Paxton Scott

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Jackson Proctor run for 11 yds to the DART 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Proctor,Jackson rush middle (Roberts,Brandon;Cooper,Rajahn).

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Q Jones run for 4 yds to the DART 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.30

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Paxton Scott for 8 yds to the DART 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Alex Geraci for 8 yds to the MRMK 44

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.19

Q Jones run for 10 yds to the MRMK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jackson Proctor pass incomplete to Daniel Haughton, broken up by Donte Williams

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Q Jones run for 2 yds to the MRMK 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jackson Proctor pass incomplete to Alex Geraci, broken up by Nate Palanica Jr.

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Owen Zalc 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jermaine Corbett run for 9 yds to the MRMK 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

pass incomplete to Jalen McDonald

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.95

Jermaine Corbett run for 12 yds to the DART 47 for a 1ST down Dartmouth Penalty, off-side (Sean Williams) to the DART 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jermaine Corbett run for 2 yds to the DART 45

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Wyatt,Brendon rush middle (Green,Josiah).

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Seth Sweitzer for 1 yd to the DART 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jones,Q rush left (Georges,Marc Christian).

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.38

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Daniel Haughton for no gain to the DART 20 Dartmouth Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the DART 15

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Q Jones run for 7 yds to the DART 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

pass incomplete to Paxton Scott

4th & 8Punt0 yds

punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Ayden Pereira run for 6 yds to the DART 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ayden Pereira run for 5 yds to the MRMK 47

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Jermaine Corbett run for 17 yds to the DART 36 for a 1ST down

2nd & 4Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.77

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Seth Sweitzer for no gain to the DART 30 Merrimack Penalty, Offensive holding (Austin Palmer) to the DART 40

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jermaine Corbett for 5 yds to the DART 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Seth Sweitzer for 3 yds to the DART 32

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Austin Palmer, broken up by Jordan Washington

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Paxton Scott

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jackson Proctor pass incomplete to Painter Richards-Baker, broken up by Garry Rosemond Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.77

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Daniel Haughton for 14 yds to the DART 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Dartmouth Penalty, false start (Cam Davenport) to the DART 41

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jackson Proctor run for 4 yds to the DART 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Paxton Scott for 10 yds to the MRMK 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.82

D.J. Crowther run for 1 yd to the MRMK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Jackson Proctor sacked by Favor Bate for a loss of 2 yards to the MRMK 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.90

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Paxton Scott for 12 yds to the MRMK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jackson Proctor run for 1 yd to the MRMK 33

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

D.J. Crowther run for 5 yds to the MRMK 28

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Dartmouth Penalty, false start (Delby Lemieux) to the MRMK 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jackson Proctor pass incomplete to Chris Corbo, broken up by Deon Houston

4th & 9Field Goal Good+50 yds

Owen Zalc 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jermaine Corbett run for 2 yds to the MRMK 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Ayden Pereira pass complete to LJ Robinson for 14 yds to the MRMK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete to Jared Dunn

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jermaine Corbett run for 3 yds to the MRMK 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 12 yds to the DART 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.67

Ayden Pereira sacked by Josiah Green and Ejike Adele for a loss of 8 yards to the MRMK 48

2nd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Corbett,Jermaine rush middle (Green,Micah).

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jermaine Corbett for 7 yds to the DART 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Chris Corbo for 13 yds to the DART 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Q Jones for 15 yds to the MRMK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Q Jones run for 4 yds to the MRMK 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Paxton Scott for 6 yds to the MRMK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Q Jones run for 5 yds to the MRMK 32

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Grayson Saunier run for 10 yds to the MRMK 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Q Jones run for 4 yds to the MRMK 18

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jackson Proctor run for 5 yds to the MRMK 13

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jones,Q rush middle (Lenon,Nicholas).

4th & 1Field Goal Good+32 yds

Owen Zalc 32 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Dartmouth

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Merrimack

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
22 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play