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← Back to GamesNov 8, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 15.5

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 82%

Market (Bovada)

East Carolina -7.5

Edge: East Carolina -7.5 (8.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 8, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic
070714
East CarolinaEast Carolina
21147749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-021-735-742-749-749-14
East CarolinaFlorida Atlantic

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECFAECFAECFAECFAECFAECFAECFAFAECFAECFAECTD275ydPUNT34ydTD478ydPUNT833ydTD980ydDOWNS637ydMISS528ydTD1266ydPUNT520ydPUNT36ydTD373ydPUNT38ydTD559ydEND14ydTO1049ydTD680ydTO1491ydTD1680ydTD1581ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida Atlantic and East Carolina
StatisticFlorida AtlanticEast Carolina
Passing25-4317-22
Pass Yards262343
Rush Yards137238
Total Yards399581
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-155-8
Penalties4-253-15
Possession36:4823:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida Atlantic
passing
Kasen Weisman
20/35, 188 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kasen Weisman
6 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Jabari Smith
5 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense
East Carolina
passing
Katin Houser
17/22, 343 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Jhari Patterson
3 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Anthony Smith
3 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Katin Houser pass complete to Tyler Savage for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 50 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Cam Fancher pass complete to Jabari Smith for 7 yds to the FAU 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

CJ Campbell Jr. run for no gain to the FAU 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Florida Atlantic Penalty, Delay Of Game (Cam Fancher) to the FAU 29

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 53 yds , Winston Wright Jr. returns for 4 yds to the ECU 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the ECU 28

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the ECU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.72

Rahjai Harris run for 19 yds to the FAU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 47 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Cam Fancher pass complete to Omari Hayes for 20 yds to the FAU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Cam Fancher pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 7 yds to the ECU 48

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the ECU 46

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Cam Fancher pass incomplete

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Florida Atlantic Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FAU 49

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

(08:51) LUPO, Logan punt 43 yards to the ECU8 out of bounds, clock 08:47. PENALTY ECU Running Into the kicker on HOLMES, Noah enforced 5 yards from the FAU49 to the ECU46 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.51

CJ Campbell Jr. run for 10 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the ECU 31

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.53

CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECU 35

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.19

Cam Fancher sacked by Zakye Barker for a loss of 7 yards to the ECU 42

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the ECU 22

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Katin Houser run for 8 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.37

Jhari Patterson run for 30 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 5 yds to the FAU 35

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.50

London Montgomery run for 16 yds to the FAU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

London Montgomery run for 9 yds to the FAU 10

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the FAU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 8 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Gemari Sands run for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.61

Cam Fancher pass complete to Gemari Sands for 34 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Cam Fancher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the ECU 41

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(00:39) QB Keeper WEISMAN, Kasen rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the ECU37, out of bounds, clock 00:32. PENALTY FAU Holding on RICHARDSON, Daughtry enforced 10 yards from the ECU41 to the FAU49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Kasen Weisman run for 6 yds to the ECU 45

4th & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.45

Kasen Weisman run for 7 yds to the ECU 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.90

Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 25 yds to the FAU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 5 yds to the FAU 32

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 4 yds to the FAU 28

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 29

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

East Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FAU 34

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Andrew Conrad 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

CJ Campbell Jr. run for 9 yds to the FAU 43

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

CJ Campbell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FAU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

CJ Campbell Jr. run for 5 yds to the ECU 47

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

CJ Campbell Jr. run for 5 yds to the ECU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Omari Hayes run for 7 yds to the ECU 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Omari Hayes for 7 yds to the ECU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Gemari Sands run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.09

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Jabari Smith for 21 yds to the ECU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Gemari Sands run for 7 yds to the ECU 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Gemari Sands run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Jabari Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 8 yds to the ECU 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Rahjai Harris run for 7 yds to the ECU 43

2nd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.47

Katin Houser sacked by Gavench Marcelin for a loss of 8 yards to the ECU 35

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 10 yds to the ECU 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Omari Hayes at the FAU 20

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 8 yds to the FAU 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 49 yds , Winston Wright Jr. returns for 2 yds to the ECU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Katin Houser pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 8 yds to the ECU 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+64 ydsPPA +4.04

Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 64 yds to the FAU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Kahlil Brantley for 8 yds to the FAU 33

4th & 2Punt+8 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 34 yds , Winston Wright Jr. returns for 8 yds to the ECU 41

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Katin Houser run for 14 yds to the FAU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.50

Katin Houser pass complete to London Montgomery for 10 yds to the FAU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.66

Katin Houser run for 35 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Everett Scott kickoff for 55 yds , Milan Tucker return for 19 yds to the FAU 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gemari Sands run for 4 yds to the FAU 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Kasen Weisman pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Omari Hayes for 14 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kasen Weisman run for 3 yds to the FAU 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.84

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Jr. Leon Washington for 14 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyriq Starks pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 6 yds to the ECU 37

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.10

Tyriq Starks run for 4 yds to the ECU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Florida Atlantic Penalty, False Start (Malcolm Lamar) to the ECU 38

1st & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.06

Tyriq Starks run for 12 yds to the ECU 26

2nd & 3Pass Interception Return+8 ydsPPA -4.47

Tyriq Starks pass intercepted Ja'Marley Riddle return for 8 yds to the ECU 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Rahjai Harris run for 9 yds to the ECU 29

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

East Carolina Penalty, False Start (Jimarion McCrimon) to the ECU 24

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.62

Winston Wright Jr. run for 15 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Katin Houser run for 3 yds to the ECU 42

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECU 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.90

Katin Houser pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 8 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 46 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+65 yds

Everett Scott kickoff for 65 yds , Milan Tucker return for no gain to the FAU 6 , return for no gain to the FAU 6 , Jackson Ambush return for no gain to the FAU 6

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.33

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 22 yds to the FAU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kasen Weisman pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Omari Hayes for 13 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 12 yds to the ECU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Gemari Sands run for no gain to the ECU 48

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Kasen Weisman run for 9 yds to the ECU 39

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.80

Xavier Terrell run for 2 yds to the ECU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.54

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Jabari Smith for 27 yds to the ECU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Jabari Smith for 7 yds to the ECU 3

4th & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.08

Kasen Weisman pass intercepted, touchback. Gavin Gibson return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 18

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Jhari Patterson run for 9 yds to the ECU 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 7 yds to the ECU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 5 yds to the ECU 39

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECU 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.54

Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 14 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 1 yd to the FAU 45

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 6 yds to the FAU 37

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 5 yds to the FAU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Katin Houser pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.79

Jhari Patterson run for 22 yds to the FAU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 5 yds to the FAU 5

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 3 yds to the FAU 2 fumbled, recovered by ECU Jayvontay Conner J. Conner return for 0 yds

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Katin Houser pass complete to Jayvontay Conner for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Everett Scott kickoff for 58 yds , Milan Tucker return for 12 yds to the FAU 19

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.43

Xavier Terrell run for 29 yds to the FAU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Wyatt Sullivan for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.69

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Dominique Henry for 15 yds to the ECU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Milan Tucker for 2 yds to the ECU 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Kasen Weisman run for 8 yds to the ECU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Kasen Weisman pass complete to George Johnson III for 12 yds to the ECU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Kasen Weisman pass complete to Gemari Sands for 2 yds to the ECU 11

4th & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.97

Kasen Weisman run for 8 yds to the ECU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Gemari Sands run for 1 yd to the ECU 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kasen Weisman pass incomplete

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Kasen Weisman pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

(01:05) [NH] Kneel down by JETER, Raheim at ECU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:56.

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

(00:32) [NH] Kneel down by JETER, Raheim at ECU23 (team loss of 1), clock 00:24.

Situational Analysis

Florida Atlantic

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
57%
14 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
67%
27 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play