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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 23.9

Home Win Probability

Army 93%

Market (Bovada)

Army -17.5

Edge: Army -17.5 (6.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East CarolinaEast Carolina
0072128
ArmyArmy
71714745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-017-024-031-038-738-1445-28
ArmyEast Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECARMECARMECARMECARMECARMECARMARMECARMECARMECARMECARMECARMPUNT37ydTD566ydPUNT531ydFG1464ydPUNT33ydTD848ydDOWNS49ydTD131ydPUNT34ydPUNT38ydTO856ydEND32ydTD1175ydTD577ydTD775ydPUNT47ydPUNT35ydTD1075ydPUNT30ydTD635ydTD344ydTD775ydEND624yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Carolina and Army
StatisticEast CarolinaArmy
Passing24-387-10
Pass Yards282147
Rush Yards87295
Total Yards369442
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-116-13
Penalties9-625-60
Possession22:4037:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Carolina
passing
Katin Houser
24/38, 282 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Rahjai Harris
9 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Chase Sowell
7 REC, 138 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Army
passing
Bryson Daily
7/10, 147 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Bryson Daily
31 CAR, 171 YDS, 5 TD
receiving
Casey Reynolds
3 REC, 85 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Trey Gronotte kickoff for 60 yds , Winston Wright Jr. return for 17 yds to the ECU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 6 yds to the ECU 28

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 29

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Katin Houser pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.55

Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 37 yds to the ECU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ECU 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ECU 21

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.29

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ECU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Daily,Bryson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ECU 13 (Brown-Murray,Isaiah; Morris,Elijah) PENALTY ECU Offside (Holmes,Noah) 5 yards from ECU 18 to ECU 13. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +1.95

Bryson Daily pass complete to Miles Stewart for 13 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Trey Gronotte kickoff for 65 yds , Winston Wright Jr. return for 17 yds to the ECU 48 East Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (8 Yards) to the ECU 9

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Winston Wright Jr. run for 9 yds to the ECU 18

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the ECU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete deep middle to Smith,Anthony thrown to ARMY45, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ARMY Pass Interference (Platt,Donavon) 15 yards from ECU 20 to ECU 35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

London Montgomery run for 5 yds to the ECU 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Katin Houser pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Lloyd Benson III at the ARMY 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 19

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 22

3rd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.23

Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 27 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ECU 45

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Kanye Udoh run for 10 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ECU 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ECU 23

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ECU 21

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ECU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the ECU 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Bryson Daily pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ECU 15

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 yds

Trey Gronotte 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Trey Gronotte kickoff for 63 yds , Winston Wright Jr. return for 11 yds to the ECU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 11

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 5 yds to the ECU 16

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Katin Houser pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+6 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 38 yds , Lloyd Benson III returns for 6 yds to the ECU 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ECU 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Bryson Daily pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.52

Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 14 yds to the ECU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ECU 29

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ECU 24

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.34

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ECU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ECU 17

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Bryson Daily run for 17 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Trey Gronotte kickoff for 62 yds , Winston Wright Jr. return for 19 yds to the ECU 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Katin Houser run for 6 yds to the ECU 28

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 2 yds to the ECU 31

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Katin Houser pass incomplete

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Bryson Daily run for 31 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete deep right to Sowell,Chase thrown to ECU 45 PENALTY ECU Holding (Moorer,Parker) 10 yards from ECU 25 to ECU 15. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 4 yds to the ECU 19

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Katin Houser pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 10 yds to the ECU 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the ARMY 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 7 yds to the ARMY 41

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

James Wagenseller punt for 50 yds , Brock Spalding returns for no gain to the ECU 8

4th & 2Punt0 yds

James Wagenseller punt for 50 yds , Brock Spalding returns for no gain to the ECU 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECU 8

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 11

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Shotgun Houser,Katin pass complete short middle to Savage,Tyler caught at ECU 26, for 15 yards to the ECU 26 (Larkin,Casey) PENALTY ECU Holding (Moorer,Parker) 5 yards from ECU 11 to ECU 06. NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 8 yds to the ECU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Katin Houser pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 1 yd to the ECU 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.74

Katin Houser pass complete to Tyler Savage for 15 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST down East Carolina Penalty, (-15 Yards) to the ECU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Katin Houser run for 4 yds to the ECU 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.25

Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 11 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.81

Katin Houser pass intercepted Justin Weaver return for no gain to the ARMY 16

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the ARMY 25

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.02

Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Shotgun Daily,Bryson pass complete short left to Schurr,Cam caught at ARMY42, for 13 yards to the ARMY44 (Nash,Dontavius), out of bounds PENALTY ARMY Chop Block (Scott,Lucas) 15 yards from ARMY31 to ARMY16. NO PLAY.

0th & 10End of Half-15 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 25Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Jake Rendina run for 2 yds to the ARMY 18

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Kanye Udoh run for 11 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Noah Short run for 4 yds to the ARMY 44

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bryson Daily pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Bryson Daily pass complete to Miles Stewart for 8 yds to the ECU 46

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ECU 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.08

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.35

Kanye Udoh run for 43 yds for a TD

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the ECU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Trey Gronotte kickoff for 57 yds , Winston Wright Jr. return for 15 yds to the ECU 23

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Winston Wright Jr. run for 15 yds to the ECU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 10 yds to the ECU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Katin Houser pass complete to Desirrio Riles for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 47

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +6.30

Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 53 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Tyrell Robinson run for 23 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ECU 47

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the ECU 46

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.04

Bryson Daily run for 17 yds to the ECU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ECU 26

2nd & 7Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.49

Bryson Daily run for 23 yds to the ECU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Katin Houser pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 10 yds to the ECU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the ECU 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 9 yds to the ARMY 48

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ECU False Start (Poku,Emmanuel) 5 yards from ARMY48 to ECU 47. NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Katin Houser pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

Larsen,Luke punt 48 yards to the ARMY05 PENALTY ECU Illegal Substitution (King,Kerry) 5 yards from ECU 47 to ECU 42. NO PLAY.

4th & 13Punt+4 yds

punt for 51 yds , Lloyd Benson III returns for 4 yds to the ARMY 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the ARMY 12

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 14

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ARMY False Start (Katsigiannis,Bill) 5 yards from ARMY14 to ARMY09. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Penalty0 yds

Army Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Wagenseller punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Katin Houser pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 5 yds to the ECU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.93

Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 33 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Katin Houser run for 2 yds to the ARMY 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Katin Houser pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 4 yds to the ARMY 31

3rd & 4Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete short right to Wright Jr.,Winston thrown to ARMY28 PENALTY ARMY Holding (Larkin,Casey) 10 yards from ARMY31 to ARMY21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ARMY 13

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ARMY 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Houser,Katin pass complete short middle to Wright Jr.,Winston caught at ARMY12, for 0 yards to the ARMY10 (Gerena,Brett; Miller,Dre), out of bounds PENALTY ECU Illegal Formation 5 yards from ARMY10 to ARMY15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Rahjai Harris run for 7 yds to the ARMY 8

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Rahjai Harris run for 7 yds to the ARMY 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ARMY 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Katin Houser run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Everett Scott kickoff for 57 yds , Justin Weaver return for 8 yds to the ARMY 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 19

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Noah Short run for 5 yds to the ARMY 14

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 16

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Wagenseller punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Katin Houser pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.88

Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 10 yds to the ARMY 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.63

London Montgomery run for 14 yds to the ARMY 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ECU 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.92

Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 41 yds to the ECU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Katin Houser pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 14 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.04

Katin Houser pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 31 yds to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.39

Katin Houser pass complete to Chase Sowell for 21 yds to the ARMY 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Yannick Smith run for 3 yds to the ARMY 12

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Katin Houser pass incomplete

4th & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.78

Winston Wright Jr. 12 Yd pass from Katin Houser (Katin Houser Pass to Chase Sowell for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ECU 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ECU 38

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ECU 37

4th & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ECU 33 for a 1ST down East Carolina Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zakye Barker) to the ECU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

B. Daily takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

B. Daily takes a knee

Situational Analysis

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays