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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 11.9

Home Win Probability

South Florida 23%

Market (Bovada)

South Florida +10

Edge: Memphis -10 (1.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MemphisMemphis
1400721
South FloridaSouth Florida
03003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-143-143-21
South FloridaMemphis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFMEMSFSFMEMSFMEMTD975ydPUNT416ydPUNT39ydTO16ydTD333ydPUNT33ydMISS867ydPUNT3-12ydDOWNS722ydPUNT417ydPUNT1042ydPUNT37ydPUNT38ydFG742ydDOWNS657ydPUNT36ydTO527ydDOWNS413ydPUNT33ydPUNT69ydPUNT36ydPUNT751ydTD1-1ydDOWNS948ydPUNT415ydDOWNS944ydEND510yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Memphis and South Florida
StatisticMemphisSouth Florida
Passing28-4022-41
Pass Yards208234
Rush Yards14124
Total Yards349258
Turnovers13
3rd Down4-161-13
Penalties7-756-55
Possession41:3818:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Memphis
passing
Seth Henigan
28/40, 208 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brandon Thomas
13 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Anthony Landphere
6 REC, 64 YDS
defense
Chandler Martin
1 TFL, 1 PD
South Florida
passing
Bryce Archie
22/41, 234 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Kelley Joiner Jr.
9 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Joshua Cobbs
2 REC, 69 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

HENIGAN, Seth pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Roc thrown to the MEM50. PENALTY USF Pass Interference on AUSTIN, Brent enforced 15 yards to the MEM40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for no gain to the MEM 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brandon Thomas for 7 yds to the MEM 47

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the MEM 49

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.27

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the USF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the USF 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 10 yds to the USF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the USF 31

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.04

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 31 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Bryce Archie pass complete to Payten Singletary for 12 yds to the USF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kelley Joiner run for 4 yds to the USF 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MEM 19

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 3 yds to the MEM 22

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the MEM 23

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.31

Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 6 yds Sean Atkins fumbled, recovered by MEM Jordan Grier J. Grier return for 3 yds fumbled, recovered by MEM Davion Ross D. Ross return for 3 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.11

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 24 yds to the USF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the USF 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the USF 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 60 yds, downed at the MEM 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brandon Thomas for 5 yds to the MEM 17

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 15 yds to the MEM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.11

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 24 yds to the USF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the USF 39

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

South Florida Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HAWTHORNE, Decarius enforced (Decarius Hawthorne) to the USF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ANDERSON JR., Mario rush to the right for a gain of 11 yards to the USF13 (HARRIS, Mac;WARD, Tavin). PENALTY MEM Holding on GAMBILL, Jonah enforced 10 yards from the USF24 to the USF34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 2 yds to the USF 32

2nd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Brandon Thomas run for 8 yds to the USF 24

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the USF 21

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Caden Costa 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USF 16

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

2nd & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.18

Bryce Archie sacked by Chandler Martin for a loss of 7 yards to the USF 9

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 40

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Mario Anderson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 4 yds to the MEM 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.82

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 12 yds to the USF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ANDERSON JR., Mario rush to the left for a loss of 3 yards to the USF49 (HARRIS, Mac;GOODEN, Bernard). PENALTY USF Offsides on GOODEN, Bernard enforced 5 yards from the USF46 to the USF41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Penalty0 yds

PENALTY USF Unsportsmanlike Conduct MEM Unsportsmanlike Conduct on ANDERSON JR., Mario , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Penalty-10 yds

HENIGAN, Seth pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Roc broken up by AUSTIN, Brent at the USF0. PENALTY MEM Holding on LEWIS, Keydrell enforced 10 yards from the USF41 to the MEM49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Brandon Thomas run for 8 yds to the USF 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Seth Henigan pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 4 yds to the USF 39

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the USF 38

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -2.10

Brandon Thomas run for no gain to the USF 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Porter for 13 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kelley Joiner run for 4 yds to the MEM 45

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bryce Archie run for no gain to the MEM 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

South Florida Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ben Knox) to the MEM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

HENIGAN, Seth pass to the left complete for 0 yards to DRAKE, Koby to the MEM22 (AUGUSTIN, D'Marco;BANKS, Kajuan). PENALTY MEM Holding on LEWIS, Keydrell USF Unnecessary Roughness on PETTWAY, Jamie , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Seth Henigan pass complete to Ja'Koby Banks for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 20

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 8 yds to the MEM 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brandon Thomas for 6 yds to the MEM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 2 yds to the MEM 36

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.94

Makari Bodiford run for 12 yds to the MEM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the USF 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Seth Henigan pass complete to Ja'Koby Banks for no gain to the USF 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 34 yds

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryce Archie pass complete to Payten Singletary for no gain to the USF 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.25

Bryce Archie pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 11

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Bryce Archie pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 10 yds to the USF 21

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 29

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 8 yds to the MEM 37

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Bryce Archie pass complete to Ta'Ron Keith for 8 yds to the USF 32

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 6 yds to the USF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Porter for 8 yds to the USF 46

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.52

Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Porter for 5 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARCHIE, Bryce pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for PORTER, Joshua broken up by MARTIN, Chandler at the MEM1. PENALTY MEM Roughing the Passer on KARHU, Brett enforced 15 yards from the MEM49 to the MEM34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Field Goal Good+52 yds

Nico Gramatica 52 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kelley Joiner run for no gain to the USF 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.04

Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Hardeman for 48 yds to the MEM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the MEM 22

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kelley Joiner run for 3 yds to the MEM 19

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Kelley Joiner run for 1 yd to the MEM 18

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.74

Bryce Archie run for no gain to the MEM 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Seth Henigan pass complete to Ja'Koby Banks for 3 yds to the MEM 21

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Memphis Penalty, False Start (Chris Adams) to the MEM 16

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 8 yds to the MEM 24

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 51 yds , Sean Atkins returns for 5 yds to the USF 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Ta'Ron Keith run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 29

3rd & 11Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.89

Bryce Archie pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 31 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARCHIE, Bryce pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ATKINS, Sean thrown to the MEM20. PENALTY USF Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GREENWALD, Gunnar enforced 5 yards from the MEM40 to the MEM45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ta'Ron Keith run for 2 yds to the MEM 43

2nd & 13Pass Interception Return+46 ydsPPA -2.33

Bryce Archie pass intercepted Davion Ross return for 46 yds to the MEM 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 6 yds to the USF 46

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.67

Brandon Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 4 yds to the USF 44

4th & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.52

Seth Henigan pass intercepted Tavin Ward return for no gain to the USF 39

1st & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Kelley Joiner run for 3 yds to the USF 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 39 yds, downed at the MEM 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the MEM 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 6 yds to the MEM 26

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 4 yds to the MEM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Seth Henigan sacked by Jamie Pettway for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brandon Thomas for no gain to the MEM 28

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+6 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds , Sean Atkins returns for 6 yds to the USF 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bryce Archie pass complete to Payten Singletary for 4 yds to the USF 37

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the USF 42

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.33

Kelley Joiner run for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 56 yds, downed at the MEM 5

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.45

Brandon Thomas run for 38 yds to the MEM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Seth Henigan run for 6 yds to the MEM 49

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.59

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 5 yds to the USF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Ja'Koby Banks run for 1 yd to the USF 44

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Seth Henigan run for no gain to the USF 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 43 yds, downed at the USF 1

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.01

Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Porter for a loss of 1 yard for a TD Joshua Porter fumbled, recovered by MEM Chandler Martin C. Martin return for 0 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ta'Ron Keith run for 3 yds to the USF 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Bryce Archie pass complete to Ta'Ron Keith for 12 yds to the USF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Bryce Archie pass complete to Ta'Ron Keith for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.17

Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Hardeman for 21 yds to the MEM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Archie pass complete to Gunnar Greenwald for 2 yds to the MEM 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.40

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Seth Henigan run for 13 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

THOMAS, Brandon rush up the middle for no gain to the MEM40 (BLUE-ELI, Doug). PENALTY MEM Holding on LEWIS, Keydrell enforced 10 yards from the MEM40 to the MEM30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Ja'Koby Banks run for 12 yds to the MEM 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 14 yds to the USF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryce Archie run for 2 yds to the USF 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.13

Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Porter for 19 yds to the USF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 7 yds to the MEM 46

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Bryce Archie pass complete to Sean Atkins for 2 yds Sean Atkins fumbled, recovered by USF

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Ta'Ron Keith run for no gain to the MEM 44

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.66

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the MEM 46

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Thomas run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brandon Thomas run for 3 yds to the USF 47

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.32

Jamari Hawkins run for 5 yds to the USF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.80

[NHSG] Kneel down by HENIGAN, Seth at USF46 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
4 plays

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays