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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tulane by 9.3

Home Win Probability

Tulane 69%

Market (Bovada)

Tulane -4

Edge: Tulane -4 (5.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South FloridaSouth Florida
073010
TulaneTulane
141701445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-017-024-031-731-1038-1045-10
TulaneSouth Florida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SFTULSFTULSFTULSFTULSFTULSFTULSFTULTULSFTULSFTULSFTULSFPUNT33ydTD669ydPUNT517ydTD788ydPUNT611ydFG1468ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT30ydTO330ydTD474ydTO515ydTD229ydTD675ydEND1-1ydPUNT633ydFG1253ydTD1275ydDOWNS726ydTD251ydPUNT30ydDOWNS1755ydEND14yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Florida and Tulane
StatisticSouth FloridaTulane
Passing16-2819-23
Pass Yards175330
Rush Yards26210
Total Yards201540
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-138-12
Penalties4-384-45
Possession17:5942:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Florida
passing
Byrum Brown
12/18, 134 YDS
rushing
Nay'Quan Wright
7 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
defense
Tulane
passing
Darian Mensah
18/22, 326 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Makhi Hughes
17 CAR, 61 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dontae Fleming
7 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kelley Joiner run for no gain to the USF 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Byrum Brown pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 3 yds to the USF 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 41 yds, downed at the TULN 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.67

Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for 35 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the USF 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.43

Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 14 yds to the USF 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the USF 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 10 yds to the USF 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Byrum Brown pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 8 yds to the USF 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 5 yds to the USF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the USF 39

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Byrum Brown run for 3 yds to the USF 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the TULN 20

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.96

Makhi Hughes run for 16 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 15 yds to the USF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.60

Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 25 yds to the USF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Ty Thompson run for 11 yds to the USF 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 15 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ta'Ron Keith run for 1 yd to the USF 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 10 yds to the USF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ta'Ron Keith run for 4 yds to the USF 40

2nd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.84

Byrum Brown sacked by Patrick Jenkins for a loss of 9 yards to the USF 31

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Byrum Brown pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 5 yds to the USF 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 49 yds, downed at the TULN 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Trey Cornist run for 3 yds to the TULN 18

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.73

Trey Cornist run for 7 yds to the TULN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Trey Cornist run for 1 yd to the TULN 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 10 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the TULN 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.74

Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 16 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.07

Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 18 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 37

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.22

Makhi Hughes run for 12 yds to the USF 25

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.24

Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the USF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the USF 22

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the USF 21

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 4 yds to the USF 17

4th & 3Field Goal Good+35 yds

Ethan Head 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Ethan Head kickoff for 64 yds , Ta'Ron Keith return for 20 yds to the USF 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.37

Kelley Joiner run for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 18

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt-10 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 61 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for a loss of 10 yards to the TULN 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 12

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.22

Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 11

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Darian Mensah pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Will Karoll punt for 45 yds , Sean Atkins returns for no gain to the USF 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Byrum Brown pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 11 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Nay'Quan Wright run for 8 yds to the TULN 37

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -4.25

Nay'Quan Wright run for 11 yds to the TULN 26 Nay'Quan Wright fumbled, recovered by TULN Rayshawn Pleasant R. Pleasant return for 0 yds

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(05:50) MENSAH, Darian scrambles to the left for no gain to the TLN26 (AUGUSTIN, D'Marco), clock 05:45. PENALTY USF Holding on AUGUSTIN, D'Marco enforced 10 yards from the TLN26 to the TLN36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Darian Mensah pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 37

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.62

Darian Mensah run for 10 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 53 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Ethan Head kickoff for 63 yds , Kelley Joiner return for 22 yds to the USF 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Byrum Brown run for 1 yd to the USF 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 4 yds to the USF 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Byrum Brown pass complete to Joshua Hardeman for 15 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ta'Ron Keith run for 4 yds to the USF 38

2nd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.70

Byrum Brown sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the USF 29 Byrum Brown fumbled, recovered by TULN Parker Petersen , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ty Thompson run for 2 yds to the USF 27

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.07

Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 27 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Byrum Brown pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 9 yds to the USF 34

2nd & 1Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Byrum Brown sacked by Kameron Hamilton and Elijah Champaigne for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Byrum Brown pass complete to Joshua Porter for 7 yds to the USF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.45

Byrum Brown pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 51 yds to the TULN 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Byrum Brown run for 10 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

[NH] Kneel down by MENSAH, Darian at TLN24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Nico Gramatica kickoff for 65 yds , Rayshawn Pleasant return for 15 yds to the TULN 15

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 14

2nd & 11Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 17 yds to the TULN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 14 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the TULN 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Darian Mensah pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Karoll punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 6 yds to the USF 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Byrum Brown run for 2 yds to the USF 28

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.31

Nay'Quan Wright run for 7 yds to the USF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.85

Byrum Brown sacked by Gerrod Henderson for a loss of 8 yards to the USF 27

2nd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Nay'Quan Wright run for 7 yds to the USF 34

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

BROWN, Byrum sacked for a loss of 9 yards at the USF25 (GRUBBS, Tyler), clock 09:10. PENALTY TLN Personal Foul on PETERSEN, Parker enforced 15 yards from the USF34 to the USF49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the TULN 47

2nd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Bryce Archie sacked by Parker Petersen for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.93

Bryce Archie pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 16 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the TULN 19

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(07:33) ARCHIE, Bryce pass deep to the left incomplete intended for YASEEN, Abdur-Rahmaan thrown to the TLN0, clock 07:35. PENALTY TLN Pass Interference on PLEASANT, Rayshawn enforced 15 yards to the TLN19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.78

Bryce Archie sacked by Tyler Grubbs for a loss of 8 yards to the TULN 27

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

4th & 18Field Goal Good+45 yds

John Cannon 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Darian Mensah pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the TULN 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 14 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Darian Mensah pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 7 yds to the USF 49

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the USF 47

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.49

Ty Thompson run for 13 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 8 yds to the USF 26

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.22

Ty Thompson run for 7 yds to the USF 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.10

run for a loss of 7 yards to the USF 26

2nd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 10 yds to the USF 16

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Darian Mensah run for 7 yds to the USF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Makhi Hughes run for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Hardeman for 8 yds to the USF 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.74

Bryce Archie pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 9 yds to the USF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ta'Ron Keith run for 1 yd to the USF 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Bryce Archie pass complete to Joshua Porter for 8 yds to the TULN 49

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.21

Ta'Ron Keith run for no gain to the TULN 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.04

Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 46 yds to the USF 5 for a 1ST down South Florida Penalty, Personal Foul (Ben Knox) to the USF 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Trey Cornist run for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryce Archie pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Trey Cornist run for 11 yds to the USF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ty Thompson run for 2 yds to the USF 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Trey Cornist run for 1 yd to the USF 46

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.25

Arnold Barnes III run for 10 yds to the USF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the USF 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ty Thompson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 4 yds to the USF 28

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the USF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tulane Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USF 31

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the USF 27

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Trey Cornist run for 1 yd to the USF 26

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(05:19) MENSAH, Darian pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FLEMING, Dontae thrown to the USF0, clock 05:18. PENALTY USF Pass Interference on CHENAULT, James enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the USF11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USF 15

1st & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Arnold Barnes III run for 3 yds to the USF 12

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Arnold Barnes III run for 7 yds to the USF 5

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.77

Ty Thompson run for 4 yds to the USF 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ty Thompson run for no gain to the USF 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

(02:00) [NH] Kneel down by THOMPSON, Ty at USF2 (team loss of 1), clock 01:50.

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

(01:13) [NH] Kneel down by THOMPSON, Ty at USF3 (team loss of 1), clock 01:08.

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -4.08

(00:34) [NH] Kneel down by THOMPSON, Ty at USF5 (team loss of 2); TLN turnover on downs, clock 00:36.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Yasias Young run for 4 yds to the USF 9

Situational Analysis

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
20%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Tulane

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
42%
31 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
86%
7 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play